charlie Jatinder Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, terrestrial said: But that is, what e.g. I am writing here about. Ppl do not add a qualifier always to it. The numbers alone - a no for now the numbers and a high rating - a nice possibility, depending on the ratings and the reasons given for the ratings How is being possible a no? What is no is $400mn in 5 days. Ffs even $350mn ain't no if it gets crazy 9.8. No is something that's simply not possible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 (edited) 14 minutes ago, IceFire9yt said: I don't think a conservative model is going to inherently be more accurate. It's only more useful in the sense that it doesn't get people's hopes up. Its equally valid to point out that all these predictions are based on very pessimistic assumptions that aren't well justified, and there's a very good chance that this consensus is dead wrong. Sure, you can point to some OW record breakers that had poor legs due to front loading (DH2), but plenty of movies that have broken those records have had great legs (TA, JW, TFA). Its a fallacy to assume that high OW mean poor legs. If you look at the best opening movies it's pretty clear that this isn't the case. 4/6 200M+ openers domestically have a 3x or more multi. The Avengers movie with the lowest opening also has the worst legs. Imo reception and rewatchability are far more important for legs than OW. Edited April 12, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 12 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said: At what point in Presales would we consider them high enough for 300mil OW to become a likely event? 'we'? I am always for the real numbers. Hmmm maybe if the seasoned and known for a more cautious approach members say so? But it still will depend on the ratings a lot too MN is one thing, OW depends on qualifier Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 (edited) 17 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said: At what point in Presales would we consider them high enough for 300mil OW to become a likely event? Pre-sales can't tell that, reception will tell that. If reception is good, 300 will be done. What pre-sales can tell that is how big opening day will be and currently that looks like will be ¥400-450mn i.e. $60-67mn. Edited April 12, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raulbalarezo Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 (edited) Well, at least this time we won’t have to worry if it opens slightly below $200M or barely over it, no meltdowns this time right ? Edited April 12, 2019 by raulbalarezo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 1 minute ago, raulbalarezo said: Well, at least this time we won’t have to worry if it opens slightly less than $200M or barely over it, no meltdowns this time right ? Unless Maoyan rating is 7 point something. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Premium George Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 1 minute ago, raulbalarezo said: Well, at least this time we won’t have to worry if it opens slightly less than $200M or barely over it, no meltdowns this time right ? We didn't have much meltdowns last time too. It was only trolls and newbies who wanted to undermine IW. Just out of fear of their meltdowns doesn't mean we should talk about everything conservative. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, raulbalarezo said: Well, at least this time we won’t have to worry if it opens slightly less than $200M or barely over it, no meltdowns this time right ? Meltdowns are the most crucial BOT tradition raul, don’t try to rob me of this opportunity. Let’s all agree to melt down if it goes below TFA’s OW. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 Just now, Thanos Legion said: Meltdowns are the most crucial BOT tradition raul, don’t try to rob me of this opportunity. Let’s all agree to melt down if it goes below TFA’s OW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 If it doesn’t, top 3 OWs in any market will be Endgame, Endgame, IW. Just better aesthetics Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 12, 2019 Author Share Posted April 12, 2019 my nearest thaeter sells regular 3D at price of more than $30, and it's likely to be sold out.. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 Just so my own nerd hype doesn’t kill me, I’m only hoping for a 10% increase in OW and total (in USD). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 They posted nearly 90k shows, close to 50%. They normally don't post 50% until 3 days out. Only 10-20k on the first day is normal. It will be an interesting PS run. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 (edited) 7 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said: They posted nearly 90k shows, close to 50%. They normally don't post 50% until 3 days out. Only 10-20k on the first day is normal. It will be an interesting PS run. Edited April 12, 2019 by john2000 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Premium George Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 25 minutes ago, VenomXXR said: Just so my own nerd hype doesn’t kill me, I’m only hoping for a 10% increase in OW and total (in USD). I am expecting $250m 5 day and $400m total. Having one's own expectations is the way to go as we don't have any comps for these madness. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 Quote Avengers: Endgame presales in China have skyrocketed to record heights within the first few hours. According to Maoyan Box Office System, Endgame sold over 1 million tickets in the first six hours after they went on sale Friday local time. This is a record for all movies in the Middle Kingdom; not even a Chinese New Year title has crossed the 1M admission level in the same amount of time. What’s more, Endgame topped the first 24 hours of Avengers: Infinity War within just the first hour of presales. In its first three hours, the latest Disney/Marvel superhero epic overtook the first seven days of presales on Infinity War. Infinity War holds the all-time presales record of $65M, including $8.9M from its midnights, though it is the record holder even without those. Last year, IW tickets went on sale 21 days and seven hours prior to release, whereas Endgame will have 11 days and 12 hours of presales. Some of the figures above do not include Wanda cinemas, whose system put Endgame tickets on sale six hours after other platforms. As of 9 p.m. Friday Beijing time, Endgame had sold RMB 88M ($13.12M) worth of tickets. It crossed RMB 100M in 10 hours. Estimates on the ground in China expect Endgame to do at least $75M in presales — some see $100M, we’re hearing — which would set a record. However, numbers this wild this early are unprecedented. Endgame opens April 24 in China, two days ahead of domestic, giving it a five-day launch weekend — though Sunday, April 28, is a working day ahead of an extended holiday the following week. https://deadline.com/2019/04/avengers-endgame-china-presales-record-1202594805/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, terrestrial said: https://deadline.com/2019/04/avengers-endgame-china-presales-record-1202594805/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter thank you for the updates 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 1 minute ago, john2000 said: thank you for the updates I simple find it funny how long they needed. And it 'black & white' means if someone gets into a discussion elsewhere, he/she can use it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlashMaster659 Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 Maoyan count for midnights has been stuck at ¥54.74m for a while. Wonder if we'll see a big jump soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 12, 2019 Share Posted April 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said: Maoyan count for midnights has been stuck at ¥54.74m for a while. Wonder if we'll see a big jump soon. It usually grinds to a hault at 2am. Communist curfew 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
