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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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Added MH2+DC2 line to the graph, needless to say, DC3 is pounding them.

 

In fact it won't be much short if one had to compare the whole CNYs with just DC3.

 

<iframe width="570" height="375" seamless frameborder="0" scrolling="no" src="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vQeYCxFjCOf7ECULVp8rzmpuo6BSerz1LtsKvsBvXUKVmvc37dycGm0T96UUImpmWCxfDncA5PeH9C-/pubchart?oid=1633834891&amp;format=interactive"></iframe>

Edited by jatvision
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">By end of the weekend, <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/DetectiveChinatown3?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#DetectiveChinatown3</a> will quite easily be the topper while great chance of getting No. 2 and small chance of No. 3 as well.</p>&mdash; jatvision. (@meJat32) <a href="https://twitter.com/meJat32/status/1358977048794992641?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">February 9, 2021</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

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10 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

Just a reminder that my DC3 in the Top 5 WW 2021 Club is still open until February 14th! 
 

 

If I remember my answer, I was predicting some July release which we don't know to breakout. Ne Zha beat the The Wandering Earth which was considered a huge grosser, so let's see.

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Realised runtime of this CNY releases is on average 21 mins longer than 2019 ones, so 520K total shows wont be possible. More like 430K ish. So DC3 will probably add 6-10K shows more.

 

Current capacity is 1205M approx on 153K shows. On 160K shows, it will probably be 1260M. 800M OD will need 63.4% occupancy.

 

MH 2 had 72.8% occupancy on 140K shows. It isn't asking too much for 67.5% on 160K shows for DC3. 😛

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34 minutes ago, jatvision said:

And 350M done.

 

This is just ridiculous. 50M+ T-2nd Day. 

 

In comparison

 

Endgame - 17M

Monster Hunt 2 - 9M

DC2 - 6M

What do you mean with "50M+ T-2nd Day"? I do not understand it. Thank you in advance

 

Anyway, 485m right now for the whole weekend. That is about $75m.

 

And just for reference, it could match the whole run of DC1 (819m) and entering in the top 100 of China (Lion King 829m) with just the OD...

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3 minutes ago, peludo said:

What do you mean with "50M+ T-2nd Day"? I do not understand it. Thank you in advance

t-2nd day as in 2nd day before release. 

 

like today 9th Feb is T-2nd day before release, with release on 12th Feb. so gross added just today is 50+ while EG, MH2 and DC2 on their respective T-2nd day added what I posted above.

Edited by jatvision
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Every time I set a target for it, checks next time, it already is over that.

 

Yesterday night I was thinking 330M at end of day today, which itself was huge addition. 

 

When I wake up at 11:00 CST, it was looking to cross 340 easily, so thought well may be that much.

 

Just after 2 hours it started looking 345 and eventually 350.

 

Now half hour ago, I thought well may be 355 today and its already 355M. 🤣

 

Edit - and 360 is done as well. may be 363.

Edited by jatvision
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1 hour ago, jatvision said:

t-2nd day as in 2nd day before release. 

 

like today 9th Feb is T-2nd day before release, with release on 12th Feb. so gross added just today is 50+ while EG, MH2 and DC2 on their respective T-2nd day added what I posted above.

Thank you :) Once I have understood your post I just can say...:winomg: 

 

Maybe it is the excitement about seeing a so big run, but I need to say that if the movie is good enough it could be the first $1b grosser in a single market. Just to think that there is a chance of seeing it seems absurd.

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2 minutes ago, WandaLegion said:

1B at these exchange rates requires “just” a 13% increase or so over WW2 in lc. Probably not going to happen, but if it gets great reception and nothing else is breaking out, possible.

Yes, 14%. It needs, more or less, 6.5b Yuan (WW2 did 5.688b). I know it is hard, but the perspective of being possible is really exciting.

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12 minutes ago, WandaLegion said:

1B at these exchange rates requires “just” a 13% increase or so over WW2 in lc. Probably not going to happen, but if it gets great reception and nothing else is breaking out, possible.

If this gets Nezha footfalls of 139M, probably 46 full run ATP, will be at 6.4B gross in China, around Billion dollar if ER improves more.

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Detective Chinatown 3 T-2 Days

 

Friday - ¥362M on 162K shows

Saturday - ¥82M on 105K shows

Sunday - ¥44M on 73K shows

 

Total - ¥488M or $76M

 

<iframe width="556" height="371" seamless frameborder="0" scrolling="no" src="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vQeYCxFjCOf7ECULVp8rzmpuo6BSerz1LtsKvsBvXUKVmvc37dycGm0T96UUImpmWCxfDncA5PeH9C-/pubchart?oid=1633834891&amp;format=interactive"></iframe>

 

Crazy. Crazy. Crazy.

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So apparently Sunday is Valentines day and quite possibly could be bigger than Saturday 😛

 

$350M opening weekend is a possibility 😛

 

$130M

$105M

$115M (?)

 

Edit:

 

So I checked CNY 2016, last time when Valentines Day fall on Sunday. Sadly CNY was midweek.

 

Following is day wise China Total Box Office and Mermaid Box office for period.

 

Mon 08 Feb - 272M (646M total)

Tue 09 Feb - 243M (527M)

Wed 10 Feb - 250M (509M)

Thu 11 Feb - 249M (475M)

Fri 12 Feb - 245M (454M)

Sat 13 Feb - 240M (435M)

Sun 14 Feb -315M (603M)

 

Ok so, Valetines Day is big. In fact it was only 7% less than CNY day while Mermaid actually grew.

 

Perhaps

 

$130M

$105M

$120M // $355M weekend.

 

Endgame official OW be scared.

 

I was discussing with @WandaLegion a few days ago, as how 3x weekend multiple is probably likely. :redcapes:

 

 

 

 

Edited by jatvision
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