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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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56 minutes ago, marveldcfox said:

Under 80M OW is a possibility. Should have done 90+ if not 100. Kinda disappointing. To think this could have been much bigger pre covid times. They should have released Kong skull island in 2016/17, KOTM in  2017/18 and this in 2018/19. 

Or even without the HBO Max release tbh, I think piracy is definitely affecting things. 

Edited by Menor
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122 mill at 6pm. 12 mill pr hour runrate. If it can maintain around that the next 3 hours and not totally crash like last night, 160-165 mill is not out of the question.

20% increase. Okay but nothing to brag about

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What is happeing in India is too horrible for words.

And I hope , at least, it leads to the downfall of that idiotic fanatic Modi.

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On 4/28/2021 at 5:59 AM, WandaLegion said:

Yeah they look pretty pathetic honestly. Shame Disney moved BW.

So I checked and 2018 May Day wasn't that strong, so probably Endgame impacting our POV. For 2018 levels, pre-sales are good enough.

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19 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

So I checked and 2018 May Day wasn't that strong, so probably Endgame impacting our POV. For 2018 levels, pre-sales are good enough.

Thought 2021 had another extended May Day holiday, like 2019 and unlike 2018. @Gavin Feng, is that the case or am I just imagining it?

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1 hour ago, WandaLegion said:

Thought 2021 had another extended May Day holiday, like 2019 and unlike 2018. @Gavin Feng, is that the case or am I just imagining it?

I mean that could be the case but the single day grosses in 2018 were under 300M only. 2021 will be over that easily I suppose.

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Fast 9 T-12

 

Midnight - ¥1M Approx

Friday - ¥1.88M on 77K shows (!!!)

Saturday - ¥1.02M on 44K shows

Sunday - ¥0.7M on 39K shows

 

Total - ¥4.6M

 

Well today can be regarded as first day of sales in spirit as not much hype yesterday. Huge number of shows right away so should see a big increase today. Probably around ¥6-7M Friday which will be par to what FF8 was around T-11 days 4 years ago. Too early to call anything. Will take first shot at prediction may be tomorrow.

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Fast 9 T-11 Days

 

Midnight - ¥1.9M on 11.5K shows

Friday - ¥4.25M (+¥2.37M) on 92K shows

Saturday - ¥2.1M on 55K shows

Sunday - ¥1.25M on 47K shows

 

Total - ¥9.5M

 

I will still refrain from any prediction but this is actually slow for the level of last two FF films opened. T-11 numbers are currently 2/3rd of FF8 and par Hobbs and Shaw. Besides FF8 numbers were probably wrong and they were corrected on T-9 or T-8 days jumping from 8M to 19M in 2 days. Let's see.

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Posted (edited)

Fast 9 T-10 Days

 

Midnight - ¥2.85M on 12.5K shows

Friday - ¥6.75M (+¥2.45M) on 102K shows

Saturday - ¥2.6M on 63K shows

Sunday - ¥1.32M on 53K shows

 

Total - ¥13.5M

 

Nothing to add. Still far away that things can change. We will have clearer picture by Thursday.

Edited by charlie Jatinder
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Posted (edited)

A very early projection.

<iframe width="600" height="371" seamless frameborder="0" scrolling="no" src="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vQeYCxFjCOf7ECULVp8rzmpuo6BSerz1LtsKvsBvXUKVmvc37dycGm0T96UUImpmWCxfDncA5PeH9C-/pubchart?oid=891115567&amp;format=interactive"></iframe>
 

Static chart for archive

Spoiler

<iframe width="600" height="371" seamless frameborder="0" scrolling="no" src="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vQeYCxFjCOf7ECULVp8rzmpuo6BSerz1LtsKvsBvXUKVmvc37dycGm0T96UUImpmWCxfDncA5PeH9C-/pubchart?oid=891115567&amp;format=image"></iframe>

 

Edited by charlie Jatinder
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Posted (edited)

Fast 9 T-9 Days

 

Midnight - ¥3.7M on 12.8K shows

Friday - ¥9.19M (+¥2.5M) on 108K shows

Saturday - ¥3.41M on 67K shows

Sunday - ¥1.48M on 57K shows

 

Total - ¥17.8M

 

Comp

OD

65% of The Fate of the Furious -  ¥271M

144% of Hobbs and Shaw - ¥359M

 

OD + MN

67% of The Fate of the Furious - ¥321M

155% of Hobbs and Shaw - ¥440M

 

Well, here you have it. I am thinking ¥290-300M true OD and ¥340-360M including Midnight. In $ that will be $46M true OD and $54M including midnight. Of course this is still way too early and its ultimately the final 2 days that matter. ¥950-1050M OW i.e. $145-160M.

 

Edited by charlie Jatinder
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3 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Fast 9 T-9 Days

 

Midnight - ¥3.7M on 12.8K shows

Friday - ¥9.25M (+¥2.55M) on 108K shows

Saturday - ¥3.4M on 67K shows

Sunday - ¥1.5M on 57K shows

 

Total - ¥17.9M

 

Comp

OD

65% of The Fate of the Furious -  ¥271M

145% of Hobbs and Shaw - ¥361M

 

OD + MN

67% of The Fate of the Furious - ¥321M

156% of Hobbs and Shaw - ¥443M

 

Well, here you have it. I am thinking ¥290-300M true OD and ¥340-360M including Midnight. In $ that will be $46M true OD and $54M including midnight. Of course this is still way too early and its ultimately the final 2 days that matter. ¥950-1050M OW i.e. $145-160M.

 

it is not extraordinary but I think it would be a correct result. A good OW.

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Thinking 100M final PS and maybe 265-285 OD. Still very far out, don’t have any post-covid runs of comparable length and magnitude, lot could happen, blah blah blah 

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This doesn't make any sense, but...

 

<iframe width="644" height="411" seamless frameborder="0" scrolling="no" src="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vQeYCxFjCOf7ECULVp8rzmpuo6BSerz1LtsKvsBvXUKVmvc37dycGm0T96UUImpmWCxfDncA5PeH9C-/pubchart?oid=1824497146&amp;format=interactive"></iframe>

 

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