That One Girl Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 24 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: That's VERY low for Logan after how well the trailer performed on YouTube. Are all of your tracking methods for films completely boiled down to "how many YT views does it have?" 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 2 minutes ago, That One Guy said: Are all of your tracking methods for films completely boiled down to "how many YT views does it have?" It hasn't failed yet this year (outside of Nice Guys). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 19 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: It hasn't failed yet this year (outside of Nice Guys). What about Arrival? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCKillswitch123 Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 On 22/11/2016 at 3:24 AM, That One Guy said: What about Arrival? Arrival was fucked over by the low theater count, if anything, as it could've easily opened to 30M+, if not 40M. And he has a point: though trailer views are not 100% indictive of BO results (Suicide Squad pre-release was probably the hottest social media performer in the comic book genre ever, and its YT trailers way more views than the BVS ones), Logan's trailer has actually outperfomed GOTG Vol. 2's teaser in terms of overall internet buzz. Though I imagine Guardians is gonna blow up when the full trailer releases (which should be w/either Rogue One or Lego Batman), but Logan has a good headstart, which will make people way more excited for the next tidbits of its promotion, and incidentally, the movie itself. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 God I'm so excited for Wonder Woman. But also so nervous for it's box office run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 1. Star Wars VIII - 640m 2. Justice League - 400m 3. Beauty and the Beast - 390m 4. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 - 370m 5. Despicable Me 3 - 350m 6. Lego Batman - 325m 7. Wonder Woman - 320m 8. Spider-Man: Homecoming - 300m 9. Fast 8 - 270m 10. Thor: Ragnarok - 250m Gosh. That's 6/10 being CBMs. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCKillswitch123 Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 @James I really don't see Justice League pulling that much. Its audience (the superhero fans) may be downplayed by Thor: Ragnarok opening just two weeks prior and already giving them satisfaction, but even that is just a small detail compared to my real reasoning: Batman V Superman turned off a lot of folks. Sure, many came around on it through the Ultimate Edition, but it doesn't change the overall opinion on the film THAT much. It would have to be really, really good, and open at least at 150M (which it sure can, I'll give you that) in order to get to 400. Let's hope Wonder Woman can actually change the opinion on the DCEU so that such a number is truly possible, because for now, barely over BVS is as far as it can go imo. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 3 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said: @James I really don't see Justice League pulling that much. Its audience (the superhero fans) may be downplayed by Thor: Ragnarok opening just two weeks prior and already giving them satisfaction, but even that is just a small detail compared to my real reasoning: Batman V Superman turned off a lot of folks. Sure, many came around on it through the Ultimate Edition, but it doesn't change the overall opinion on the film THAT much. It would have to be really, really good, and open at least at 150M (which it sure can, I'll give you that) in order to get to 400. Let's hope Wonder Woman can actually change the opinion on the DCEU so that such a number is truly possible, because for now, barely over BVS is as far as it can go imo. I would agree if not for the reception of that first footage. It was insane. It still is. It is following the BvS/SS trend of constantly appearing on social media charts. I think the OW will actually be even bigger than BvS' with a bit better legs. It also doesn't hurt that Lego Batman and WW precede it. But yes, it will have to have a bit better legs. Thinking a 180m OW and a 2.2x-ish multi. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCKillswitch123 Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 14 minutes ago, James said: I would agree if not for the reception of that first footage. It was insane. It still is. It is following the BvS/SS trend of constantly appearing on social media charts. I think the OW will actually be even bigger than BvS' with a bit better legs. It also doesn't hurt that Lego Batman and WW precede it. But yes, it will have to have a bit better legs. Thinking a 180m OW and a 2.2x-ish multi. We shall see. Right now, I don't see it doing that much better than BVS (I absolutely agree it'll be leggier, if just because it's bound to be more lighthearted and probably shorter in runtime), but I don't disagree that the potential is there. Though Lego Batman I don't think will do much in order to further the anticipation for JLA (though it'll obviously do great for itself), Wonder Woman is the one whose shoulders are where the weight of such pressure lies on. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain H Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 (edited) Not sure if I've posted my prediction or not, but here's the top 10: 1. Star Wars Episode VIII $720 million 2. Beauty and the Beast $450 million 3/4. GOTG 2/JL $400 million 5. Spidey $350 million 6. Lego Batman $340 million 7. Despicable Me 3 $330 million 8. Wonder Woman $310 million 9. Thor: Ragnarok $270 million 10. Coco/Fast 8 $250 million (Really not sure) Honorable mentions: I believe these films will cross $200 million. Transformers 5, War of the Planet of the Apes, Logan, Cars 3, and Dunkirk. I want Valerian to cross $200 million, but $150 million will already be a miracle, so... Edited November 23, 2016 by Captain H 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 After considering Logan and Apes 3, I'll revise my predict to a top 25 (and include both of them fairly high up) Star Wars Episode VIII: $675 million Beauty & the Beast: $480 million Spider-Man - Homecoming: $430 million Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $385 million The LEGO Batman Movie: $360 million Justice League: $335 million Despicable Me 3: $310 million Fast 8: $280 million Coco: $275 million Wonder Woman: $250 million Thor - Ragnorak: $235 million Dunkirk: $200 million Kong - Skull Island: $185 million Logan: $175 million Transformers - The Last Knight: $170 million War for the Planet of the Apes: $165 million Jumanji: $155 million Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $150 million The Greatest Showman on Earth: $145 million Cars 3: $140 million Ninjago: $135 million Murder on the Orient Express: $135 million Alien - Covenant: $130 million Baywatch: $130 million Kingsman - The Golden Circle: $125 million 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric is Quiet Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Hooray! Lists! 1. Stair Wares: $650M 2. Beauty and A Beat: $420M 3. Baby Groot: $400M 4. Spider-Man: Homecoming: $350M 5. Justice League: $335M 6. Despicable Me 3: $330M 7. Wonder Woman: $315M 8. Fast 8: $300M 9. Kong: $290M 10. Lego Batman: $275M 11. Thor: Ragnarok: $270M 12. Coco: $260M 13. Dunkirk: $250M 14. Apes: $230M 15. Ninjago: $210M 16. Transformers 5: $200M 17. Logan: $190M 18. The Mummy: $185M 19. The Dark Tower: $175M 20. Kingsman 2: $160M 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 I really don't think Justice League is getting over 300M 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 I think people are underestimating how big Ninjago will be. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 I'm not sure at all how to size up the Lego franchise. Feels like something that could just be a one time success Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 At this point its hard to imagine that Ninjango will appeal to non-childeren the way The Lego (Batman) movie did (might) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warmaster506 Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Going out on a limb and saying Justice League will be good and do over $400 million. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 30 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said: At this point its hard to imagine that Ninjango will appeal to non-childeren the way The Lego (Batman) movie did (might) LB will obviously will be out of it's league but I think Ninjago could easily do over $150M, with a chance for $200M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted November 25, 2016 Share Posted November 25, 2016 Updating my predictions January Patriot's Day - 40.5m OW, 120m DOM A Dog's Purpose - 27.5m / 82m DOM February Fifty Shades Darker - 50.5m / 101m John Wick: Chapter 2 - 27.5m / 77m LEGO Batman - 58m / 212m God Particle - 25m / 80m March Logan - 58m / 150m Kong: Skull Island - 52m / 128m Beauty and the Beast - 128m / 409.6m Power Rangers - 37.8m / 102m Ghost in the Shell - 30.5m / 85.4m Boss Baby - 28.9m / 89.6m April The Case for Christ - 21.4m / 96.3m Smurfs: The Lost Village - 24.5m / 73.5m Fast 8 - 104.2m / 238m May Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 - 150.6m / 415m Barbie - 28.5m / 85m Mother/Daughter - 30.2m / 102.8m Alien: Covenant - 37.5m / 100m Baywatch - 34m / 114m Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - 78.6m / 200m June Captain Underpants - 32.1m / 103m Wonder Woman - 145.7m / 335.1m The Mummy - 34.2m / 87.2m World War Z 2 - 35.4m / 90m Cars 3 - 52.1m / 177m Tranformers: The Last Knight - 74.3m / 178.3m Despicable Me 3 - 120.5m / 385.6m The House - 30.2m July Spider-Man: Homecoming - 125.2m / 313m War of the Planet of the Apes - 65.7m / 180.6m Dunkirk - 37.8m / 151.2m The Dark Tower - 50.2m / 205.8m August Emoji Movie - 28.3m / 82m September It - 27.8m / 74m Ninjago - 35.8m / 133m American Made - 32.1m / 100m October Blade Runner 2049 - 34.5m / 125m Kingsman: The Golden Circle - 37.8m / 105.8m My Little Pony - 27.4m / 94m Friday the 13th - 45.4m / 102m November Thor: Ragnorak - 90.2m / 205m The Star - 37.2m / 126m Justice League - 135.4m / 305m Coco - 50.2m / 210m Let it Snow - 35.6m / 130m December Star Wars: Episode 8 - 205m / 725m Downsizing - 27.4m / 105m Pitch Perfect 3 - 40.2m / 140.7m The Story of Ferdinand - 25.6m / 94.7m Star Wars: Episode 8 - 725m Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 - 415m Beauty and the Beast - 409.6m Despicable Me 3 - 385.6m Wonder Woman - 335.1m Spider-Man: Homecoming - 313m Justice League - 305m Fast 8 - 238m LEGO Batman - 212m Coco - 210m The Dark Tower - 205.8m Thor: Ragnorak - 205m Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - 200m War of the Planet of the Apes - 180.6m Transformers: The Last Knight - 178.3m Cars 3 - 177m Dunkirk - 151.2m Logan - 150m Pitch Perfect 3 - 140.7m Ninjago - 133m Let it Snow - 130m Kong: Skull Island - 128m The Star - 126m Blade Runner 2049 - 125m Patriot's Day - 120m Baywatch - 114m Kingsman: The Golden Circle - 105.8m The House - 105.7m Downsizing - 105m Captain Underpants - 103m Mother/Daughter - 102.8m Friday the 13th - 102m Power Rangers - 102m Fifty Shades Darker - 101m American Made - 100m Alien: Covenant - 100m The Case for Christ - 96.3m The Story of Ferdinand - 94.7m My Little Pony - 94m World War Z 2 - 90m Boss Baby - 89.6m The Mummy - 87.2m Ghost in the Shell - 85.4m Barbie - 85m A Dog's Purpose - 82m Emoji Movie - 82m God Particle - 80m John Wick: Chapter 2 - 77m It - 74m Smurfs: the Lost Village - 73.5m 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Napoleon Posted November 25, 2016 Share Posted November 25, 2016 1. Star Wars: Episode VIII (over 600M) 2. Spider-Man: Homecoming (420M) 3. Guardians of the Galaxy 2 (400M) 4. Justice League (390M) 5. Despicable Me 3 (360M) 6. Coco (350M) 7. Fast 8 (315M) 8. Pirates of the Caribbean 5 (300M) 9. Beauty and the Beast (250M) 10. Thor: Ragnarok (245M) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
