Leyla Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 (edited) SK thread On 14.05.2017 at 6:48 PM, abra said: POTC 5 presales 1,055 FF8 was 2,908 So wont expect much China seems to be doing great tho (uncomparable to FF8) Edited May 19, 2017 by Leyla Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 1 hour ago, Leyla said: SK thread FF8 was 2,908 So wont expect much China seems to be doing great tho (uncomparable to FF8) It has recovered since then. It is higher than Fate at a similar point. Current PS is at 15518. Fate was 12949 3 days to go. Pirates are 4 days and few hours to go to OD. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 I really hope this breaks out or at least exceeds expectations. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PanaMovie Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 765M+ OS 200M+ DOM 965M-1B WW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FantasticBeasts Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 I don't understand why people expect this to rise overseas from the last one.. POTC4 adjusts with the current exchange rates at about $620m. I think this one will likely do $550-600m taking into account the China growth. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Impossible Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 $1B is 50/50 at this point. Same for TF5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted May 19, 2017 Share Posted May 19, 2017 10 hours ago, keysersoze123 said: It has recovered since then. It is higher than Fate at a similar point. Current PS is at 15518. Fate was 12949 3 days to go. Pirates are 4 days and few hours to go to OD. You talking about China Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 20, 2017 Share Posted May 20, 2017 2 hours ago, John Marston said: You talking about China Korea. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted May 20, 2017 Share Posted May 20, 2017 52 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: Korea. Cool. Where do you find that out. That's great news Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 20, 2017 Share Posted May 20, 2017 43 minutes ago, John Marston said: Cool. Where do you find that out. That's great news Kobis Its at 16838 now. Of course Fate had weak PS but incredible OD(much higher than F7). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThomasNicole Posted May 20, 2017 Share Posted May 20, 2017 Still thinking $ 700 - 750m OS $ 250m from China and $ 450 - 500m from the rest WW between $ 900m - 1b Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 23, 2017 Share Posted May 23, 2017 Pirates is opening in Korea tomorrow. Its PS is at 81639. I doubt its gonna hit even Guardians numbers. Probably make around 20m there. China PS did not accelerate at all. Plus Olive after seeing it is saying WOM will be BAD, I am thinking more like $160m in China(good 1st week and then crash after that). I would say OS 525m and domestic 150m. WW 675m. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted May 23, 2017 Share Posted May 23, 2017 (edited) 38 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: Pirates is opening in Korea tomorrow. Its PS is at 81639. I doubt its gonna hit even Guardians numbers. Probably make around 20m there. China PS did not accelerate at all. Plus Olive after seeing it is saying WOM will be BAD, I am thinking more like $160m in China(good 1st week and then crash after that). I would say OS 525m and domestic 150m. WW 675m. 675 WW would be such a disappointment. POTC2 & 3 did 630-640 OS-China. POTC4 did 700+ OS-China (albeit exchange rates and still-in-vogue 3D helped compared to predecessors, despite fall in admissions in many markets) POTC5 is looking at sub-700 WW despite 150+ China? Fuck. Edited May 23, 2017 by a2knet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 23, 2017 Share Posted May 23, 2017 6 minutes ago, a2knet said: 675 WW would be such a disappointment. POTC2 & 3 did 630-640 OS-China. POTC4 did 700+ OS-China (albeit exchange rates and still-in-vogue 3D helped compared to predecessors, despite fall in admissions in many markets) POTC5 is looking at sub-700 WW despite 150+ China? Fuck. Some of the currencies have dropped half its value. Minus Korea almost everything dropped huge. Plus its going to drop hard in developed markets in local currency. Just do the math. BTW what is your prediction for India? Will it do at least better than Guardians. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted May 23, 2017 Share Posted May 23, 2017 1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said: Pirates is opening in Korea tomorrow. Its PS is at 81639. I doubt its gonna hit even Guardians numbers. Probably make around 20m there. China PS did not accelerate at all. Plus Olive after seeing it is saying WOM will be BAD, I am thinking more like $160m in China(good 1st week and then crash after that). I would say OS 525m and domestic 150m. WW 675m. Presales are the end all be all? Let's wait for the opening days Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 23, 2017 Share Posted May 23, 2017 4 minutes ago, John Marston said: Presales are the end all be all? Let's wait for the opening days China BO is quite easy to extrapolate. You can just draw the trend line from this point onwards. Most breakout movies accelerate PS by this point. Only movies that open very low and then break out are small releases(Zootopia and Dangal kind). Pirates definitely wont behave like them as it will open > 50% of showtimes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted May 23, 2017 Share Posted May 23, 2017 (edited) Let me guess? Chinese people are harshly hating on this film? Like BvS-bad? I feel like all the chinese audience in their country, have the exact same opinion about a blockbuster when they see it. Would be predictable if OLIVE, keysersoze123, jiangsen, Gavin Feng & POTUS, have all the exact same negative rating. Edited May 23, 2017 by MrFanaticGuy34 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted May 23, 2017 Share Posted May 23, 2017 it ain't over till it's over! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leyla Posted May 24, 2017 Share Posted May 24, 2017 thx for the update keysersoze123 Better be indeed prepared for the most conservative outcome prediction from kinobusiness for the opening weekend here http://www.kinobusiness.com/news/piraty-na-gorizonte-obzor-novinok-uik-enda-25-28-maya/ General reception (aside from reviewers) seem to be positve enough (not on par with the trilogy tho) juni expects 2 mln rub overall which would be excellent The general opinion is that Pirates should gross 2 billion + RUB. So 900-1000 mln RUB is a reasonable prediction for OW. Deadpool grossed 964 mln RUB. The Force Awakens 880 mln RUB. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 24, 2017 Share Posted May 24, 2017 1st number from Korea OD - 204279 admissions. @Olive Do you know OD for previous pirates movies. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...