Blaze Heatnix Posted June 21, 2017 Share Posted June 21, 2017 Based on the fact that this movie seems to be decreasing if compared to the previous one ( even China's numbers seem to be down ), 1 billion won't happen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 21, 2017 Share Posted June 21, 2017 19 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said: Based on the fact that this movie seems to be decreasing if compared to the previous one ( even China's numbers seem to be down ), 1 billion won't happen. I think 900 is out too. 170 Dom + 330 Ch + 400 OS-Ch gives 900 but all three of those are optimistic imo. 155 Dom + 305 Ch + 365 OS-Ch for 825 seems realistic. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaptainJackSparrow Posted June 21, 2017 Author Share Posted June 21, 2017 Just now, a2knet said: I think 900 is out too. 170 Dom + 330 Ch + 400 OS-Ch gives 900 but all three of those are optimistic imo. 155 Dom + 305 Ch + 365 OS-Ch for 825 seems realistic. At this point I would be ecstatic for 825 mil! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 21, 2017 Share Posted June 21, 2017 2 minutes ago, CaptainJackSparrow said: At this point I would be ecstatic for 825 mil! Yeah. China should not have any bad surprises for 825 to happen. The pre-sales imo are pointing to below 300 but am not good at China bo stuff. Those on BOT I trust with it believe 300 is not dead. Seems it's not gonna have much competition either. POTC5 below 800 was a downer but tolerable since China came at 170+. TF5 below 800 would be a shocker considering China is so much bigger. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 21, 2017 Share Posted June 21, 2017 SK Number is horrible. It will miss 3m admissions at this rate. Even Mummy broke OD record(though that was a holiday). and Mummy wont gross even 4m admissions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mockingjay Raphael Posted June 21, 2017 Share Posted June 21, 2017 1 hour ago, a2knet said: I think 900 is out too. 170 Dom + 330 Ch + 400 OS-Ch gives 900 but all three of those are optimistic imo. 155 Dom + 305 Ch + 365 OS-Ch for 825 seems realistic. This is not going to make $365m OS-C, when it is dropping 40% in one of its main markets, Germany seems to be bombing as well. And I'm pretty sure it won't touch in $800m, not even $750m is locked yet. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mockingjay Raphael Posted June 21, 2017 Share Posted June 21, 2017 1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said: SK Number is horrible. It will miss 3m admissions at this rate. Even Mummy broke OD record(though that was a holiday). and Mummy wont gross even 4m admissions. How's things looking in China? Do you still believe in an increase? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 21, 2017 Share Posted June 21, 2017 2 minutes ago, Mockingjay Raphael said: This is not going to make $365m OS-C, when it is dropping 40% in one of its main markets, Germany seems to be bombing as well. And I'm pretty sure it won't touch in $800m, not even $750m is locked yet. wow. that's stunning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blaze Heatnix Posted June 21, 2017 Share Posted June 21, 2017 Based on the weekdays, numbers seem to be disappointing. However, shouldn't we wait for the weekend? I mean, usually movies are released on Thursdays and/or Fridays. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted June 21, 2017 Share Posted June 21, 2017 2 hours ago, Mockingjay Raphael said: SK is, after China, the most important market for this franchise OS. This dropping 40% there is an awful sign for what is coming in Europe/OS, $280m OS-C may actually be optimistic. It is a very discerning audience too, no ? That can go really high on movie that look good and very low the other way around. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mockingjay Raphael Posted June 21, 2017 Share Posted June 21, 2017 17 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said: Based on the weekdays, numbers seem to be disappointing. However, shouldn't we wait for the weekend? I mean, usually movies are released on Thursdays and/or Fridays. But it opened on the same day as previous movies in SK. I truly hope that Asia won't follow the same pattern of SK. I always expected Europe/OZ to drop between 50%-60%, but I thought it would have soft drops across Asia, if Asia drops around 40%, then LA will need to come to the rescue. An 48% OS-C drop sounds plausible to me, especially when Pirates is dropping 45%. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mockingjay Raphael Posted June 21, 2017 Share Posted June 21, 2017 17 minutes ago, Barnack said: It is a very discerning audience too, no ? That can go really high on movie that look good and very low the other way around. Yeah, but they went crazy for previous movies, I don't see why it would be different with this one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoilingHotCoffee Posted June 21, 2017 Share Posted June 21, 2017 This is probably not even gonna hit $150M domestically lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 22, 2017 Share Posted June 22, 2017 7 hours ago, Mockingjay Raphael said: How's things looking in China? Do you still believe in an increase? Presales will finish around 60% or slightly lower than that. But it could be more walk in friendly. We wont know until how WOM is. Maoyan is predicting similar total to Fate. I think it will be closer to TF4 but could still increase with decent WOM. We will know how things are on friday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rsyu Posted June 22, 2017 Share Posted June 22, 2017 7 hours ago, Mockingjay Raphael said: Yeah, but they went crazy for previous movies, I don't see why it would be different with this one. A lot of bad will built up from Age of Extinction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bruchav Posted June 22, 2017 Share Posted June 22, 2017 Yeah, seems like this movie it's going to prove that the franchise is in decline. But I think people are overreacting already thinking it's not going to hit $ 800m worldwide, only when the numbers come out on Sunday that we have a better sense of how much this movie can do. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted June 22, 2017 Share Posted June 22, 2017 At this rate, 130m DOM + 240m OS-C + 300m = 670m possibly 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bruchav Posted June 22, 2017 Share Posted June 22, 2017 9 minutes ago, firedeep said: At this rate, 130m DOM + 240m OS-C + 300m = 670m possibly Only 240m Os-China? Seems too low, I know this movie may have a drop compared to the last movie in these markets, but TF4 made $ 538m OS-China. If TF5 make only 240m would be a total disaster. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted June 22, 2017 Share Posted June 22, 2017 48 minutes ago, bruchav said: Only 240m Os-China? Seems too low, I know this movie may have a drop compared to the last movie in these markets, but TF4 made $ 538m OS-China. If TF5 make only 240m would be a total disaster. It is decreasing 40% to two-thirds in opened markets in local currency, considering exchange rates... so 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 22, 2017 Share Posted June 22, 2017 TF5's dom will likely be under TF5 China OW. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...