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CaptainJackSparrow

War of the Planet of The Apes | July 14,2017

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War of the Planet of the Apes (FOX), $1.56M weekend, international $224.5Mcume; global cume: $367.9M

Should add ~3 more OS-China for 227.5

Dom looking at 146.5 dom (currently 145.3 after a 0.450 weekend)

China could do 90.

Japan could do 10?

 

So 227.5 + 146.5 + 90 + 10 = 474

 

500 seems dead unless it surprises in China with ~110 or I am missing a market.

Edited by a2knet
updated China
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good news from POTUS. 100 possible (not certain though).

 

2 hours ago, POTUS said:

Apes PS may get up 50% today to 11m heading to a 28m total.  100m+ OD 340m/$53m+ weekend incoming.

I now think it can reach 650m/$100m.  It should have a few % of shows from the 29th(3rd weekend) thru the 8th and could make 5m per day with the weekend then holiday crowd for 11 days to get it over $100m, even to $110m as long as it doesn't have a 7.5 rating

90-100 from China makes 475-480 ww very likely. let's hope it gets a good rating. for 500 ww it needs to get to 105-110 and then do well in Japan too (10+ compared to Dawn's 12.7).

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War For The Planet Of The Apes grossed $19.3m over the weekend, with $19.1m of that total coming from China where the film retains the number one position in the market for the second consecutive weekend, taking the market total to $99.3m. Japan is the final international market to release, scheduled for launch in mid-October. War For The Planet Of The Apes now stands at $325.4m internationally.

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On 9/17/2017 at 9:28 PM, Manchester by the Tree said:

Finally some good news for this movie... what's it likely to end up with in China, anyone know? According to BOM the previous one did 47/107.

China is at 99-100m usd after 10 days. The 2nd weekend drop was 69% approx.

It's gonna loose a lot of shows coming Saturday and final total may not go over 110m usd** ... which is a great number in itself.

Even SMH is giong to end below 120m usd after a bigger ow.

 

But the 115m total which looked possible for War after the ow won't happen.

Only bringing this up cause 500m ww needed 115-120m usd from China.

 

Current markets will finish at 146.5 dom + 110** China + 225.5 OS-China = 482 with Japan to come.

 

Dawn of Apes made 12 in Japan so I don't think War can do much more than 9-10.

Even if it over-performs with 12-14 in Japan, 495 too seems out of reach.

 

EDIT: **I was using the incorrect ER as it keeps on changing every day. You got to use the ER during the OW. So APES China crossed $110m last weekend and is looking to settle at $113-114m. IMO it should do 485-486m ww with current markets and 493-496m after Japan. Just like how POTC5 is gonna end at 795m ww, this one will just fall short of it's milestone.

Edited by a2knet
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China on $112/737.6 using ER during ow ($61.07/402.1).

Should do $113 if not $114.

 

146.5 Dom + 113 Ch + 225.5 OS-Ch = 485 WW-Japan.

 

494-496 with Japan imo.

 

Edited by a2knet
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