Thursday Numbers

[a2k]

Someone go wake up WB

[grim22]

5 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Someone go wake up WB

 

WB has an extended 4-day weekend holiday (one of my friends is working for them on a project currently), so there is a chance we may not get any actual numbers from them till Tuesday.

[a2k]

So we have just 1 1b film this summer - CA3 in the 1st week of summer 

Hopefully DORY makes it there too.

 

Even if DORY crosses 1b it's most likely not gonna touch ZOOTOPIA's 1.023b.

So ZOOTOPIA has a legit shot at #3 WW behind ROGUE ONE and CA3.

[TalismanRing]

IF WB is off partying then

 

Daily Domestic Chart for Thursday September 1st, 2016

← Previous Chart

Chart Index

 

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	(1)	Don’t Breathe	Sony Pictures	$1,831,298	-1%	3,051	$600	$35,423,952	7
2	(6)	Pete’s Dragon	Walt Disney	$725,015	+12%	3,244	$223	$57,751,939	21
3	(3)	Sausage Party	Sony Pictures	$724,972	n/c	3,135	$231	$83,146,124	21
4	(5)	Kubo and the Two Strings	Focus Features	$692,344	+7%	3,279	$211	$27,861,436	14
5	(7)	Bad Moms	STX Entertainment	$639,020	+7%	2,565	$249	$97,787,194	35
-	(10)	Jason Bourne	Universal	$460,610	+6%	2,445	$188	$151,170,655	35
-	(11)	Ben-Hur	Paramount Pictures	$416,849	+3%	3,084	$135	$21,508,139	14
-	(12)	The Secret Life of Pets	Universal	$405,445	+6%	2,091	$194	$355,007,490	56
-	(13)	Florence Foster Jenkins	Paramount Pictures	$384,289	+1%	1,324	$290	$21,380,919	21
-	(14)	Star Trek Beyond	Paramount Pictures	$232,571	+6%	1,277	$182	$151,843,322	42
-	(-)	Southside with You	Roadside Attractions	$166,011	-1%	813	$204	$3,657,393	7
-	(15)	Hands of Stone	Weinstein Co.	$165,884	-5%	810	$205	$2,417,207	7
-	(-)	Finding Dory	Walt Disney	$75,495	-6%	345	$219	$479,921,069	77
-	(-)	Greater	Hammond Entertainment	$54,546	+7%	340	$160	$840,766	7
-	(-)	Ghostbusters	Sony Pictures	$49,745	-7%	434	$115	$125,174,627	49
-	(-)	Nine Lives	EuropaCorp	$38,854	-1%	532	$73	$18,427,936	28
-	(-)	The Jungle Book	Walt Disney	$38,665	+21%	352	$110	$363,695,442	140
-	(-)	Ice Age: Collision Course	20th Century Fox	$38,191	-15%	455	$84	$61,906,030	42
-	(-)	Indignation	Roadside Attractions	$31,042	+14%	172	$180	$2,917,120	35
-	(-)	The BFG	Walt Disney	$26,603	-5%	235	$113	$54,431,187	63
-	(-)	Hunt for the Wilderpeople	The Orchard	$16,527	+9%	100	$165	$4,456,820	70
-	(-)	A Tale of Love and Darkness	Focus World	$11,975	-2%	26	$461	$215,667	14
-	(-)	Captain America: Civil War	Walt Disney	$11,038	+39%	93	$119	$407,868,934	119
-	(-)	Mike and Dave Need Wedding …	20th Century Fox	$8,901	+7%	94	$95	$45,763,869	56
-	(-)	Independence Day: Resurgence	20th Century Fox	$6,178	+4%	112	$55	$102,899,053	70
-	(-)	Absolutely Fabulous: The Movie	Fox Searchlight	$5,140	-14%	38	$135	$4,678,295	42
-	(-)	The Music of Strangers: Yo …	The Orchard	$3,461	+8%	18	$192	$1,133,607	84
-	(-)	Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtle…	Paramount Pictures	$2,550	-7%	73	$35	$81,998,823	91
-	(-)	Gleason	Open Road	$1,787	-31%	35	$51	$583,664	35
-	(-)	Love & Friendship	Roadside Attractions	$1,595	+29%	20	$80	$13,990,172	112
-	(-)	Alice Through the Looking G…	Walt Disney	$978	+8%	25	$39	$77,041,381	98
-	(-)	Our Kind of Traitor	Roadside Attractions	$434	-34%	5	$87	$3,149,218	63
-	(-)	Life, Animated	The Orchard	$196	-82%	60	$3	$226,276	63

[grim22]

As I mentioned earlier, WB only providing estimates. Everyone has left work yesterday and won't be back till Tuesday

 

TD	YD	Title (Click to View)	Studio	Daily Gross	% +/- YD / LW		Theaters / Avg		Gross To-Date	Day
1	1	Don't Breathe	SGem	$1,831,298	-1%	-	3,051	$600	$35,423,952	7
2	2	Suicide Squad	WB	$1,000,000	+5%	-41%	3,292	$304	$287,417,209	28
3	6	Pete's Dragon (2016)	BV	$725,015	+12%	-27%	3,244	$223	$57,751,939	21
4	3	Sausage Party	Sony	$724,972	+0%	-44%	3,135	$231	$83,146,124	21
5	5	Kubo and the Two Strings	Focus	$692,344	+7%	-21%	3,279	$211	$27,861,436	14
6	4	War Dogs	WB	$670,000	+1%	-40%	3,258	$206	$30,512,809	14
7	7	Bad Moms	STX	$639,020	+7%	-29%	2,565	$249	$97,787,194	35
8	8	Mechanic: Resurrection	LG/S	$546,925	-3%	-	2,258	$242	$10,142,786	7
9	9	Hell or High Water	LGF	$478,524	+8%	+60%	1,181	$405	$10,151,633	21
10	10	Jason Bourne	Uni.	$460,610	+6%	-34%	2,445	$188	$151,170,655	35
11	11	Ben-Hur (2016)	Par.	$416,849	+3%	-44%	3,084	$135	$21,508,139	14
12	12	The Secret Life of Pets	Uni.	$405,445	+6%	-31%	2,091	$194	$355,007,490	56
-	-	Florence Foster Jenkins	Par.	$384,289	+1%	-31%	1,324	$290	$21,380,919	21
-	-	Star Trek Beyond	Par.	$232,571	+6%	-38%	1,277	$182	$151,843,322	42
-	-	Southside with You	RAtt.	$166,011	-1%	-	813	$204	$3,657,393	7
-	-	Hands of Stone	Wein.	$165,884	-5%	-	1,524	$109	$2,417,207	7
-	-	Finding Dory	BV	$75,495	-6%	-39%	345	$219	$479,921,069	77
-	-	Greater	Ham	$54,546	+7%	-	340	$160	$840,766	7
-	-	Lights Out	WB (NL)	$53,000	+21%	-44%	603	$88	$65,681,343	42
-	-	Ghostbusters (2016)	Sony	$49,745	-7%	-49%	434	$115	$125,174,627	49
-	-	Cafe Society	LGF	$49,253	+15%	-20%	216	$228	$10,164,571	49
-	-	Nine Lives (2016)	EC	$38,854	-1%	-75%	532	$73	$18,427,936	28
-	-	The Jungle Book (2016)	BV	$38,665	+21%	+163%	352	$110	$363,695,442	140
-	-	Ice Age: Collision Course	Fox	$38,191	-15%	-57%	455	$84	$61,906,030	42

 

SS doing almost exactly what I extrapolated on Monday

On 8/30/2016 at 7:28 AM, grim22 said:

Giving SS drops and increases in between GOTG and Ultimatum, the week through Labor Day can be extrapolated as (from Tuesday)

1.35M, .97M, .95M, 2.5M, 4M, 4.1M, 2.8M putting it at around 301-302M by the end of Labor Day

 

 

 

[ecstasy]

Pete's Dragon with a nice little increase.

[a2k]

SS needs 12.6 to touch 300 over the 4-day.

Should do it without needing great holds,

2.3 (+130%) + 3.7 (+60%) +3.9 (+5.4%) + 2.85(-27%) = 12.75

GOTG was +146.2%, +61.7%, +12.8%, -17% over FSSM,

so my SS holds are very reasonable considering last weekend SS had much better jumps on Fri and Sat compared to GOTG

(albeit with worse weekly holds as GOTG weekday holds were much better)

 

I think 10/13 3-day/4-day should happen. That would be glorious.

Edited September 2, 2016 by a2knet

[cannastop]

37 minutes ago, a2knet said:

So we have just 1 1b film this summer - CA3 in the 1st week of summer 

Hopefully DORY makes it there too.

 

Even if DORY crosses 1b it's most likely not gonna touch ZOOTOPIA's 1.023b.

So ZOOTOPIA has a legit shot at #3 WW behind ROGUE ONE and CA3.

I think some people are expecting/praying for $50m from Germany for Dory. Pretty much the only way it could ever pass Zootopia.

Edited September 2, 2016 by cannastop

[ecstasy]

 

 

44 minutes ago, grim22 said:

As I mentioned earlier, WB only providing estimates. Everyone has left work yesterday and won't be back till Tuesday

 

TD	YD	Title (Click to View)	Studio	Daily Gross	% +/- YD / LW		Theaters / Avg		Gross To-Date	Day
1	1	Don't Breathe	SGem	$1,831,298	-1%	-	3,051	$600	$35,423,952	7
2	2	Suicide Squad	WB	$1,000,000	+5%	-41%	3,292	$304	$287,417,209	28
3	6	Pete's Dragon (2016)	BV	$725,015	+12%	-27%	3,244	$223	$57,751,939	21
4	3	Sausage Party	Sony	$724,972	+0%	-44%	3,135	$231	$83,146,124	21
5	5	Kubo and the Two Strings	Focus	$692,344	+7%	-21%	3,279	$211	$27,861,436	14
6	4	War Dogs	WB	$670,000	+1%	-40%	3,258	$206	$30,512,809	14
7	7	Bad Moms	STX	$639,020	+7%	-29%	2,565	$249	$97,787,194	35
8	8	Mechanic: Resurrection	LG/S	$546,925	-3%	-	2,258	$242	$10,142,786	7
9	9	Hell or High Water	LGF	$478,524	+8%	+60%	1,181	$405	$10,151,633	21
10	10	Jason Bourne	Uni.	$460,610	+6%	-34%	2,445	$188	$151,170,655	35
11	11	Ben-Hur (2016)	Par.	$416,849	+3%	-44%	3,084	$135	$21,508,139	14
12	12	The Secret Life of Pets	Uni.	$405,445	+6%	-31%	2,091	$194	$355,007,490	56
-	-	Florence Foster Jenkins	Par.	$384,289	+1%	-31%	1,324	$290	$21,380,919	21
-	-	Star Trek Beyond	Par.	$232,571	+6%	-38%	1,277	$182	$151,843,322	42
-	-	Southside with You	RAtt.	$166,011	-1%	-	813	$204	$3,657,393	7
-	-	Hands of Stone	Wein.	$165,884	-5%	-	1,524	$109	$2,417,207	7
-	-	Finding Dory	BV	$75,495	-6%	-39%	345	$219	$479,921,069	77
-	-	Greater	Ham	$54,546	+7%	-	340	$160	$840,766	7
-	-	Lights Out	WB (NL)	$53,000	+21%	-44%	603	$88	$65,681,343	42
-	-	Ghostbusters (2016)	Sony	$49,745	-7%	-49%	434	$115	$125,174,627	49
-	-	Cafe Society	LGF	$49,253	+15%	-20%	216	$228	$10,164,571	49
-	-	Nine Lives (2016)	EC	$38,854	-1%	-75%	532	$73	$18,427,936	28
-	-	The Jungle Book (2016)	BV	$38,665	+21%	+163%	352	$110	$363,695,442	140
-	-	Ice Age: Collision Course	Fox	$38,191	-15%	-57%	455	$84	$61,906,030	42

 

SS doing almost exactly what I extrapolated on Monday

 

Hell or High Water making moves. Did they add theaters?

[RichWS]

1 minute ago, ecstasy said:

 

Hell or High Water making moves. Did they add theaters?

 

 

Looks like they added 272 on Wednesday. 

[ecstasy]

8 minutes ago, RichWS said:

 

Looks like they added 272 on Wednesday. 

 

That explains it.  Heard its a good movie.

[narniadis]

1 hour ago, a2knet said:

So we have just 1 1b film this summer - CA3 in the 1st week of summer 

Hopefully DORY makes it there too.

 

Even if DORY crosses 1b it's most likely not gonna touch ZOOTOPIA's 1.023b.

So ZOOTOPIA has a legit shot at #3 WW behind ROGUE ONE and CA3.

 

Yeah it will still pass 1B as it's overseas isn't done yet (Germany and Italy still to go) but as Cannastop noted, it would take a huge Germany turn out to get it past Zoo - not expecting it to. Frankly Dory's OS gross has been perplexing to me. It's fine, but nothing special and it will barely in the end top Inside Out's OS gross. Frankly based on other films and the fact that Nemo itself was HUGE for Pixar back in the day you would have thought 600m was locked and loaded... but like here in the US the overseas holds weren't anything more than "just fine"

[ttr]

I think some people are expecting/praying for $50m from Germany for Dory. Pretty much the only way it could ever pass Zootopia.

I for one am expecting/praying enough money for Dory from Germany to pass 1B. Don't care if it passes Zootopia or not.

[baumer]

1 hour ago, a2knet said:

Someone go wake up WB

 

[The Dark Alfred]

SS is having an impressive run, Tracking better than Bourne Ultimatum which did over 10m 3-day with lower Thursday. SS is looking good for 320m, beating IM and IM2 which is impressive.

[a2k]

Start of the summer few people would have expected SS to do more than 2x APOC dom (2x155.4 = ~311m). SS will also beat it OS by about 20m. WW it will be ahead of APOC by ~180m. That's the about the same as their budget. If you remove China for APOC too then SS will be ahead WW by ~300m .

 

Edited September 3, 2016 by a2knet

[Brainiac5]

8 hours ago, a2knet said:

Start of the summer few people would have expected SS to do more than 2x APOC dom (2x155.4 = ~311m). SS will also beat it OS by about 20m. WW it will be ahead of APOC by ~180m. That's the about the same as their budget. If you remove China for APOC too then SS will be ahead WW by ~300m .

 

Damn I never looked at it that way.

It's funny I havent heard of a single article talking about X:A being a bomb.

I don't  even think Fox broke even.

[a2k]

3 minutes ago, Brainiac5 said:

Damn I never looked at it that way.

It's funny I havent heard of a single article talking about X:A being a bomb.

I don't  even think Fox broke even.

 

I feel with auxiliary revenue XA will be fine but yeah, doubts over SQUAD's profit have been ludicrous to say the least.

Even when it was expected to do "just" 650 ww those doubts didn't make sense, not even with a 250 budget.

 

[Brainiac5]

44 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

I feel with auxiliary revenue XA will be fine but yeah, doubts over SQUAD's profit have been ludicrous to say the least.

Even when it was expected to do "just" 650 ww those doubts didn't make sense, not even with a 250 budget.

 

Yeah it's really ridiculous.

I have been browsing in other fourms, when I see arguments about how the movie needs another 100+ mil to breakeven it makes me realize exactly why people has in thier minds that DC is failing.

They find negative news and they hold on to it entirely too long.

Also blast it without no real evidence.

But in the end DC has the last laugh.