AndyLL Posted September 13, 2016 Posted September 13, 2016 http://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Predictions.aspx Quote
Rolling Thunder Posted September 13, 2016 Posted September 13, 2016 Will @Batescontinue his hot streak as Derby...Master? Quote
POTUS 2020 Posted September 13, 2016 Posted September 13, 2016 (edited) 2 hours ago, Rolling Thunder said: Will @Batescontinue his hot streak as Derby...Master? MasterBates Nice Maybe Connie Lingus will win next week. Edited September 13, 2016 by No Prisoners 1 Quote
POTUS 2020 Posted September 16, 2016 Posted September 16, 2016 https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1bPzds4qafgPN4Gg0I2MVEegn8Ur0T49JhS8e_31mPkM/edit?usp=sharing Derby sheet 1 Quote
ChipDerby Posted September 16, 2016 Posted September 16, 2016 Well I think I'm screwed on Snowden. Quote
Rolling Thunder Posted September 16, 2016 Posted September 16, 2016 (edited) 28 minutes ago, ChipMunky said: Well I think I'm screwed on Snowden. As am I, went with $5.3m. I'm fine with it, though - saw no viable reason for it open higher than Jobs. Oliver Stone factor and the upcoming election probably gave it a little bump because the reviews aren't strong enough to attract fence-sitters. Edited September 16, 2016 by Rolling Thunder Quote
TalismanRing Posted September 16, 2016 Posted September 16, 2016 1 hour ago, Rolling Thunder said: As am I, went with $5.3m. I'm fine with it, though - saw no viable reason for it open higher than Jobs. Oliver Stone factor and the upcoming election probably gave it a little bump because the reviews aren't strong enough to attract fence-sitters. I went low too but could possibly miss $6m even off a 2.7m Friday. That Friday not only has 360k in Thur previews but the $ rolled in from Weds 800 Theater Fathom events that were reportedly sold out. Quote
POTUS 2020 Posted September 17, 2016 Posted September 17, 2016 (edited) Fugly, Fugly, Fugly Deadline is definitely off on some projections, and fri est could be way off too with the report coming out at 9:21pm pdt, but I don't think scores will improve much. There will be some shifting around in the top ten but @JMorphin will take it with his low picks on the bombs. 1 JMorphin 80.11 2 Bates 74.99 3 Padre 74.89 4 Simionski 72.88 5 Blankments 72.54 6 Horror Wizard 72.45 7 Tower 72.38 8 Wildbill 72.04 9 CJohn 71.93 10 WrathOfHan 69.36 11 Rolling Thunder 69.23 12 Exxdee 69.12 13 Viceversa 69.11 14 No Prisoners 69.04 15 Boxx93 68.29 16 Matrix4You 68.12 17 AABATTERY 67.81 18 CoolEric258 67.5 19 TalismanRing 67.26 20 luxneji 66.73 21 ChipMunky 65.8 22 boxofficeth 65.61 23 8wombi7 65.43 24 kayumanggi 64.48 25 darkelf 64.45 26 RandomJC 64.19 27 PanaMovie 63.91 28 moviecriticguy 62.55 29 Fanboy 62.36 30 Lights Camera Action 62.36 31 Wonka 55.3 Edited September 17, 2016 by No Prisoners 1 Quote
JMorphin Posted September 17, 2016 Posted September 17, 2016 I totally messed up Snowden, though. I thought it would pull a Blackhat Quote
Rolling Thunder Posted September 17, 2016 Posted September 17, 2016 Two weeks in a row at 69% - got ya'll shaking in your boots! WTH happened last night? It's like everyone stopped going to the movies when the matinees ended. Quote
POTUS 2020 Posted September 17, 2016 Posted September 17, 2016 (edited) Scores haven't improved much with estimates while @JMorphin pulls farther ahead. Tourney Final is a tight race. 1 JMorphin 83.26 2 Bates 76.98 3 Padre 76.08 4 Horror Wizard 74.32 5 Wildbill 74 6 Simionski 72.84 7 Blankments 72.76 8 CJohn 72.56 9 WrathOfHan 71.91 10 Tower 71.46 11 Rolling Thunder 71.31 12 Exxdee 70.19 13 Boxx93 70.16 14 Viceversa 69.92 15 AABATTERY 69.78 16 TalismanRing 69.25 17 Matrix4You 69.21 18 No Prisoners 68.79 Tourney Final 19 CoolEric258 68.73 20 8wombi7 67.73 Tourney Final 21 luxneji 66.31 22 boxofficeth 66.27 23 kayumanggi 66.05 24 darkelf 65.5 25 ChipMunky 65.42 26 Fanboy 64.93 27 moviecriticguy 64.65 28 PanaMovie 64.01 29 RandomJC 63.83 30 Lights Camera Action 63.66 31 Wonka 57.28 Edited September 17, 2016 by No Prisoners 3 Quote
PanaMovie Posted September 17, 2016 Posted September 17, 2016 That's a horrible score Fuck BW and BJ and WTF with Wild Life's hold?? Quote
WrathOfHan Posted September 17, 2016 Posted September 17, 2016 How the fuck am I in the Top 10? Quote
Fanboy Posted September 19, 2016 Posted September 19, 2016 Predicting over 20M for Bridget Jones was a terrible, terrible idea. Oh well, at least we can laugh at Blair Witch's box office. Quote
aabattery Posted September 19, 2016 Posted September 19, 2016 Whats the worst week the derby has ever had? This one might be up there. 1 Quote
WrathOfHan Posted September 19, 2016 Posted September 19, 2016 @AndyLL Actuals are in: 1 1 Sully WB $21,653,017 -38.2% 3,525 - $6,143 $70,194,368 $60 2 2 N Blair Witch LGF $9,576,057 - 3,121 - $3,068 $9,576,057 $5 1 3 N Bridget Jones's Baby Uni. $8,571,785 - 2,927 - $2,929 $8,571,785 $35 1 4 N Snowden ORF $8,000,058 - 2,443 - $3,275 $8,000,058 $40 1 5 3 Don't Breathe SGem $5,640,232 -31.6% 3,208 -176 $1,758 $75,369,013 $9.9 4 6 2 When the Bough Breaks SGem $5,483,126 -61.4% 2,246 - $2,441 $22,655,858 $10 2 7 4 Suicide Squad WB $4,701,834 -17.8% 2,740 -363 $1,716 $313,774,166 $175 7 8 5 The Wild Life (2016) LG/S $2,771,443 -17.1% 2,493 - $1,112 $6,785,712 - 2 9 6 Kubo and the Two Strings Focus $2,540,031 -23.1% 1,757 -578 $1,446 $44,272,005 $60 5 10 7 Pete's Dragon (2016) BV $2,152,802 -30.6% 1,948 -737 $1,105 $72,917,327 $65 6 1 Quote
CJohn Posted September 19, 2016 Posted September 19, 2016 I am not sure why I have returned tbh. My scores are a disaster since I came back. Quote
AndyLL Posted September 20, 2016 Author Posted September 20, 2016 Well... at least @JMorphin got into the 80s.... Rank Player Total Score New Release Score Holdover Score Difference from Avg. Score Total Points Predicted Movies 1 JMorphin 80.493% 65.678% 86.843% 12.834% 31 10 2 Padre 75.281% 51.411% 85.511% 7.621% 30 10 3 Bates 74.347% 57.528% 81.555% 6.687% 29 10 4 Blankments 72.371% 52.410% 80.926% 4.712% 28 10 5 Horror Wizard 72.360% 49.559% 82.132% 4.700% 27 10 6 Wildbill 72.289% 53.527% 80.329% 4.629% 26 10 7 Simionski 71.111% 37.349% 85.580% 3.451% 25 10 8 CJohn 69.987% 39.989% 82.843% 2.327% 24 10 9 Tower 69.585% 41.380% 81.673% 1.926% 23 10 10 AABATTERY 69.531% 39.435% 82.430% 1.872% 22 10 11 Boxx93 69.398% 41.991% 81.144% 1.739% 21 10 12 Exxdee 69.250% 37.352% 82.921% 1.591% 20 10 13 Matrix4You 68.694% 35.643% 82.858% 1.034% 19 10 14 WrathOfHan 68.452% 39.475% 80.871% 0.793% 18 10 15 Viceversa 68.186% 33.929% 82.867% 0.526% 17 10 16 Rolling Thunder 67.498% 29.300% 83.869% -0.161% 16 10 17 CoolEric258 66.569% 36.931% 79.271% -1.090% 15 10 18 luxneji 66.515% 44.102% 76.121% -1.144% 14 10 2 Quote
JMorphin Posted September 20, 2016 Posted September 20, 2016 It was a tough weekend, all. September is historically my best month, so it's all good. Derby average will start killing it again, I'm sure Quote