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CaptainJackSparrow

Nosferatu (from The Director of The Witch) | December 25, 2024 | AMAZING CREEPY TEASER IS OUT!!

By CaptainJackSparrow, in Box Office Discussion

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Jake Gittes Global Phenomenon

Jake Gittes

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Don't see why it wouldn't do well. It looks impressive, the right balance of familiar and fresh, the "succumb to the darkness" line is more playful and welcoming than e.g. "the feel-bad movie of Christmas", might get some techs love from the awards bodies. I just realized it reminds me of Sleepy Hollow as a lush R-rated holiday horror, it almost certainly won't match it even unadjusted but I think it can be a success.

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JimmyB Indie Sensation

JimmyB

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1 hour ago, ThomasNicole said:

Do you really think a big studio movie will do sub 20M on Christmas calendar? lol


It’s a horror movie, calendar is great, +50M even if opens with 10M

 

Big studio horror all year has come in with low numbers.  It's a still a Robert Eggers movie.  His films don't light the box office on fire.   We just saw Ferrari open on Christmas Day and finish with 18.5m gross.

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ThomasNicole Blockbuster

ThomasNicole

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20 minutes ago, JimmyB said:

Big studio horror all year has come in with low numbers.  It's a still a Robert Eggers movie.  His films don't light the box office on fire.   We just saw Ferrari open on Christmas Day and finish with 18.5m gross.

Well yeah it was a independent drama with a very cold and somewhat ambiguous narrative structure. It was also bought by NEON to distribution only, a studio that just had their biggest OW with Immaculate 3 months ago. 
 

I don’t think it’s a good comparison with a studio horror movie, made to appeal to mainstream audiences according to Eggers himself, with a way bigger distribution from Focus with Universal as partnership. 
 

See, i’m not saying it’s an impossible scenario, i don’t believe in impossible anymore when it comes to how bad things can go in box office post-pandemic. It’s just highly unlikely to a point that would justify some doom and gloom tbh when we remember that The Watchers and Tarot will made ~20M.

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Jake Gittes Global Phenomenon

Jake Gittes

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33 minutes ago, JimmyB said:

It's a still a Robert Eggers movie.  His films don't light the box office on fire. 

 

He debuted with a 17th century set horror drama in Old English that grossed more than what you're predicting for this. Most filmmakers are capable of reaching a bigger audience when the stars align. The Safdie brothers' highest grossing film was sitting at 2m before they made Uncut Gems which made 50m. Luca Guadagnino's biggest gross was 18m until Challengers. Civil War more than doubled Annihilation which had been Alex Garland's biggest movie.

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