ROGUE ONE WEEKEND THREAD | Actuals R1 155.09m, Moana 12.7m, OCP 8.58m, CB 7.1m, FB 5.07m

[Fancyarcher]

4 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

Gosling is an odd one. He somehow seems to maintain the illusion of A lister despite being known among the GA for literally just one role in the last decade+. 

 

Gosling's not interested in doing traditional blockbuster fare, so that may be part of the reason why.

 

3 minutes ago, AABATTERY said:

 

Gosling is a national treasure and you should treat him with the respect he deserves. He's a real Nice Guy.

 

Gosling's actually Canadian, though he does live in New York.

 

2 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

It held the very prestigious title of IMDB's #1 bottom film for years and years. Sadly I see it's lost that honor today. Shawshank, watch out!

 

Shawshank's been #1 on IMDb top 250 for over a decade now. It's not moving. The only way I could see Shawshank losing it's spot on IMDb top 250, is if Nolan somehow wound making a film that actually ended up with a 100% on RT.

[MovieMan89]

2 minutes ago, druv10 said:

In your scenario it drops from proper Friday to Saturday. Hell SW7 increased 62 to 68 so no chance, RO drops 44M to 41.5M  on Saturday.

Not strong kid appeal. The big blockbuster openings that increase from Friday proper have massive kid appeal. Still think word will spread quickly this isn't for kids, so a drop from Friday proper could happen. 

Edited December 17, 2016 by MovieMan89

[aabattery]

Just now, Fancyarcher said:

Gosling's actually Canadian, though he does live in New York.

 

And I'm from NZ. He's an international national treasure.

[Fancyarcher]

1 minute ago, AABATTERY said:

 

And I'm from NZ. He's an international national treasure.

 

International Treasure: Book of Gosling

[MovieMan89]

5 minutes ago, Fancyarcher said:

 

Gosling's not interested in doing traditional blockbuster fare, so that may be part of the reason why.

Well with The Big Short last year, La La Land this year, and Blade Runner he seems to finally be adding some well known films to his resume beyond the Notebook. 

[Porthos]

4 minutes ago, druv10 said:

In your scenario it drops from proper Friday to Saturday. Hell SW7 increased 62 to 68 so no chance, RO drops 44M to 41.5M  on Saturday.

 

I highly doubt it as well.  So let's say it does only 'respectably' on Saturday.  What's the worst realistic drop it could have on Sunday, and what does that imply for an OW range?

[Fancyarcher]

4 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

Well with The Big Short last year, La La Land this year, and Blade Runner he seems to finally be adding some well known films to his resume beyond the Notebook. 

 

I can see why he signed up for the Blade Runner sequel. Being directed by Villeneueve probably means it's going to be more thought-provoking and interesting compared to your average big-budgeted film.

Edited December 17, 2016 by Fancyarcher

[druv10]

3 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

I highly doubt it as well.  So let's say it does only 'respectably' on Saturday.  What's the worst realistic drop it could have on Sunday, and what does that imply for an OW range?

73M

45M

32.25M

148.25M, I gave it tiny increase on Saturday followed by 25% drop on Sunday. 

[DAR]

Sorry going back to the trailer talk.  Usually I get 5-6 trailers.  Problem is by the time it gets to the last one I've already forgotten the first.

[druv10]

The top 10 films per industry estimates for the weekend of Dec. 16-18, 2016 as of Friday night:

 

 1). Rogue One (DIS), 4,157 theaters  /$72M Fri.  (includes $29M previews)  / 3-day cume: $155.8M /Wk 1

 

2). Moana (DIS), 3,587 Theaters (-288) / $3M Fri (-29%) /3-day cume: $12.3M /Wk 4

 

 3). Office Christmas Party  (PAR/DW), 3,210 theaters (0) /$2.65M Fri.   (-59%)/ 3-day cume: $8.4M (-50%)/Total: $31.4M/Wk 2

 

 4). Collateral Beauty  (WB/NL), 3,028 theaters  /$2.4M Fri.  /3-day cume: $6.8M /Wk 1

 

5). Fantastic Beasts…  (WB), 3,036 theaters (-590) /$1.34M Fri. (-52%)/3-day cume: $5.1M (-51%)/Total: $207.8m/Wk 5

 

6).Manchester by the Sea (RSA/AMZ) 1,208 theaters  (+842)/$1.26M Fri (+37%) /3-day: $4.1M(+32%)/Total: $14M/Wk 5

 

7).La La Land (Lionsgate) 200 (+195)/$1.3M Fri (+335%)/3-day: $3.6M (+309%)/$18K PTA/Total: $4.85M/ Wk 2

 

8.)  Arrival  (PAR), 2,157 theaters (-958)/$834K Fri (-48%)/3-day cume: $3.07M (-45%)/Total:$86.8M/ Wk 6

 

9.) Doctor Strange  (DIS), 1,930 theaters (-833) /$601K Fri (-51%) /3-day cume: $2.3M /Total cume: $226.3M/Wk 7

 

10.) Nocturnal Animals (Focus), 1,246 theaters (-16) /$455K Fri. (-59%)/3-day:$1.5M(-52%)/Total: $8.9M/ Wk 5

 

Notables:

 

Fences(PAR) 4 theaters /$37K Fri/3-day: $108K/$27K PTA/ Wk 1

 

Jackie (FSL) 84 theaters (+58)/$149K Fri./3-day $499K(+1%)/Total cume: $1.5M/Wk  3

 

Lion(TWC) 16 theaters (+1)/$33K Fri./3-day $121K (-28%)/Total cume: $692K /Wk 4

 

http://deadline.com/2016/12/rogue-one-star-wars-story-preview-box-office-social-media-1201871704/

Edited December 17, 2016 by druv10

[MovieMan89]

Damn, the 20% Moana hold was nice while it lasted. 30-35% is still great though. 

[Mattrek]

1 hour ago, Grand Moff Tele said:

P.S. I pretty much love AVATAR.

 

Any poster praising Avatar gets a +1 (I ran out of likes 50 pages ago).

[druv10]

4 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

Damn, the 20% Moana hold was nice while it lasted. 30-35% is still great though. 

Hold is great. It should be able to get 250M+.

[Noctis]

@water Remember you insisting FB wouldn't pass a 2.8 multiplier? Well...after this weekend, it'll only need $1m to hit it. 

 

Trash.

[Mojoguy]

All holdover movies got MURDERED on Friday!

[DAR]

Avatar was a great theatrical experience.   At home the movie still looks great but I'm not as over the moon with the story.  I'll have to watch it again though probably haven't fully watched it in about six years 

[druv10]

4 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

All holdover movies got MURDERED on Friday!

Moana had a strong hold.

[DeeCee]

Nocturnal Animals is crashing 1 weekend after expanding. 

[Mojoguy]

Forgot about Moana, too distracted by that Office Christmas Party drop. lol

[DAR]

6 minutes ago, DeeCee said:

Nocturnal Animals is crashing 1 weekend after expanding. 

It always seemed like a difficult sell for the GA