Top 10 of 2018 predictions: From JAN 1st 2018 to DEC 31st 2018

[Hades]

1 hour ago, iJackSparrow said:

The Avengers: Infinity War will top everything else. The rest I don't know. 

Just like what Ultron was expected to do in 2015 huh. Disney better move Han Solo from that May spot then.

 

 Next year is not as predictable as it seems. 

[YM!]

The number one spot will either be:

Infinty War 

Han Solo

Jurassic World 2 

The Incredibles 2

[MCKillswitch123]

1 hour ago, YourMother said:

The number one spot will either be:

Infinty War 

Han Solo

Jurassic World 2 

The Incredibles 2

 

Yeah, agreed (unless Avatar 2 comes out). I'm putting greater faith in a Han Solo win (cause Star Wars), but either of them could feasibly pull it off.

 

So, basically, unless JW2 pulls an unpredecedented uptick from a 500M+ predecessor, Disney wins. At this point, Disney wins should be everyone's #1 prediction for the year.

 

And this is just a warm up year for them compared to 2019 (Infinity War aside), as while most of these movies will be big, that year, they will unleash all of their brand's marquee franchises at once:

- Avengers 4

- Frozen 2 (?)

- Indiana Jones 5

- The Lion King

- Toy Story 4

- Star Wars Ep. IX

 

While I'm not a huge fan of that line-up from a creative standpoint, from a money making standpoint...

Edited April 15, 2017 by MCKillswitch123

[YM!]

17 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

 

Yeah, agreed (unless Avatar 2 comes out). I'm putting greater faith in a Han Solo win (cause Star Wars), but either of them could feasibly pull it off.

 

So, basically, unless JW2 pulls an unpredecedented uptick from a 500M+ predecessor, Disney wins. At this point, Disney wins should be everyone's #1 prediction for the year.

 

And this is just a warm up year for them compared to 2019 (Infinity War aside), as while most of these movies will be big, that year, they will unleash all of their brand's marquee franchises at once:

- Avengers 4

- Frozen 2 (?)

- Indiana Jones 5

- The Lion King

- Toy Story 4

- Star Wars Ep. IX

 

While I'm not a huge fan of that line-up from a creative standpoint, from a money making standpoint...

Captain Marvel and maybe the Disneytoon movie might help too.

[MCKillswitch123]

5 minutes ago, YourMother said:

Captain Marvel and maybe the Disneytoon movie might help too.

 

Oh yeah, they will, but again, they'll only be helps compared to a Star Wars IX or a Lion King or an Avengers 4 and so on. They'll be what Moana and Dr. Strange were to Zootopia/Jungle Book/Dory/Civil War/Rogue One last year, more or less.

 

Although a Captain Marvel big breakout would not be entirely shocking either.

[Arlborn]

Here are mine:

 

Spoiler

1 - Han Solo - 170/560

 

2 - Avengers: Infinity War - 180/530

 

3 - Jurassic World 2 - 190/520

 

4 - Deadpool 2 - 145/365

 

5 - Incredibles 2 - 110/355

 

6 - Aquaman - 140/320

 

7 - Black Panther - 135/315

 

8 - Mulan - 95/300

 

9 - Ready Player One - 95/290

 

10 - Fantastic Beasts 2 - 85/250

 

11 - Ocean's 8 - 70/200

 

12 - The New Mutants - 65/190

 

13 - Ant-Man and the Wasp - 75/190

 

14 - Wreck-it Ralph 2 - 55/190

 

15 - How the Grinch Stole Christmas - 60/185

 

16 - Tomb Raider - 80/180

 

17 - X-Men: Supernova - 75/175

 

18 - Mission: Impossible 6 - 60/175

 

19 - Rampage - 60/165

 

20 - Venom - 70/160

 

________________________________

 

Some notables:

Mary Poppins Returns - 25/150

Bumblebee - 65/150

Bad Boys for Life - 55/150

Cruella - 45/140

Gigantic - 35/140

Invisible Man - 55/135

Hotel Transylvania 3 - 40/130

Predator - 50/125

Peter Rabbit - 35/125

Mortal Engines - 45/120

Fifty Shades Freed - 45/120

Jungle Book: Origins - 40/110

Scooby-Doo - 40/100

Holmes and Watson - 30/100

Halloween - 40/100

Robin Hood - 40/100

Barbie - 35/95

Animated Spider-Man - 30/95

Maze Runner: Death Cure - 35/90

A Wrinkle in Time - 20/80

Meg - 30/75

Alita: Battle Angel - 25/60

Pacific Rim 2 - 25/60

Goosebumps 2 - 15/60

Equalizer 2 - 20/50

Sherlock Gnomes - 15/45

 

 

 

[YM!]

20 minutes ago, Arlborn said:

Here are mine:

 

  Hide contents

1 - Han Solo - 170/560

 

2 - Avengers: Infinity War - 180/530

 

3 - Jurassic World 2 - 190/520

 

4 - Deadpool 2 - 145/365

 

5 - Incredibles 2 - 110/355

 

6 - Aquaman - 140/320

 

7 - Black Panther - 135/315

 

8 - Mulan - 95/300

 

9 - Ready Player One - 95/290

 

10 - Fantastic Beasts 2 - 85/250

 

11 - Ocean's 8 - 70/200

 

12 - The New Mutants - 65/190

 

13 - Ant-Man and the Wasp - 75/190

 

14 - Wreck-it Ralph 2 - 55/190

 

15 - How the Grinch Stole Christmas - 60/185

 

16 - Tomb Raider - 80/180

 

17 - X-Men: Supernova - 75/175

 

18 - Mission: Impossible 6 - 60/175

 

19 - Rampage - 60/165

 

20 - Venom - 70/160

 

________________________________

 

Some notables:

Mary Poppins Returns - 25/150

Bumblebee - 65/150

Bad Boys for Life - 55/150

Cruella - 45/140

Gigantic - 35/140

Invisible Man - 55/135

Hotel Transylvania 3 - 40/130

Predator - 50/125

Peter Rabbit - 35/125

Mortal Engines - 45/120

Fifty Shades Freed - 45/120

Jungle Book: Origins - 40/110

Scooby-Doo - 40/100

Holmes and Watson - 30/100

Halloween - 40/100

Robin Hood - 40/100

Barbie - 35/95

Animated Spider-Man - 30/95

Maze Runner: Death Cure - 35/90

A Wrinkle in Time - 20/80

Meg - 30/75

Alita: Battle Angel - 25/60

Pacific Rim 2 - 25/60

Goosebumps 2 - 15/60

Equalizer 2 - 20/50

Sherlock Gnomes - 15/45

 

 

 

You underestimated a lot of animated films, still it's a good list.

[Arlborn]

24 minutes ago, YourMother said:

You underestimated a lot of animated films, still it's a good list.

Which ones? Gigantic I guess? I probably did underestimate that one looking back, it kinda slipped my mind whose it was from while making the list. Don't tell me I underestimated Animated Spider-Man though, that's not doing that much!

 

Edited April 15, 2017 by Arlborn

[YM!]

3 minutes ago, Arlborn said:

Which ones? Gigantic I guess? I probably did underestimate that one looking back, it kinda slipped my mind whose it was from while making the list. Don't tell me I underestimated Animated Spider-Man though, that's not doing that much!

 

I agree with you on WIR2, Gnomes, Goosebumps, Peter Rabbit, HT3, and Gigantic. Grinch won't do under $200M, no Illumination film since 2011 has done under $200M domestic. At worst, it'll do Lorax numbers (around $210M). Sing and Pets are examples of non DM success for them both doing $270M+ domestic. I don't see SCOOB having an under 3x multiple, with a $40M OW (like HT1), it should finish around $120M-$150M domestic. As with Passengers, even if Spider-Man does sink that low, Sony will fudge it to $100M domestic. Besides LB even did $150M+ domestic, with Miles Morales, an African American Spider-Man will attract audiences. 

[Barnack]

56 minutes ago, Arlborn said:

Here are mine:

 

  Hide contents

1 - Han Solo - 170/560

 

2 - Avengers: Infinity War - 180/530

 

3 - Jurassic World 2 - 190/520

 

4 - Deadpool 2 - 145/365

 

5 - Incredibles 2 - 110/355

 

6 - Aquaman - 140/320

 

7 - Black Panther - 135/315

 

8 - Mulan - 95/300

 

9 - Ready Player One - 95/290

 

10 - Fantastic Beasts 2 - 85/250

 

11 - Ocean's 8 - 70/200

 

12 - The New Mutants - 65/190

 

13 - Ant-Man and the Wasp - 75/190

 

14 - Wreck-it Ralph 2 - 55/190

 

15 - How the Grinch Stole Christmas - 60/185

 

16 - Tomb Raider - 80/180

 

17 - X-Men: Supernova - 75/175

 

18 - Mission: Impossible 6 - 60/175

 

19 - Rampage - 60/165

 

20 - Venom - 70/160

 

________________________________

 

Some notables:

Mary Poppins Returns - 25/150

Bumblebee - 65/150

Bad Boys for Life - 55/150

Cruella - 45/140

Gigantic - 35/140

Invisible Man - 55/135

Hotel Transylvania 3 - 40/130

Predator - 50/125

Peter Rabbit - 35/125

Mortal Engines - 45/120

Fifty Shades Freed - 45/120

Jungle Book: Origins - 40/110

Scooby-Doo - 40/100

Holmes and Watson - 30/100

Halloween - 40/100

Robin Hood - 40/100

Barbie - 35/95

Animated Spider-Man - 30/95

Maze Runner: Death Cure - 35/90

A Wrinkle in Time - 20/80

Meg - 30/75

Alita: Battle Angel - 25/60

Pacific Rim 2 - 25/60

Goosebumps 2 - 15/60

Equalizer 2 - 20/50

Sherlock Gnomes - 15/45

 

 

 

 

Not a bad list overall, some comments:

 

Barbie with Schumer quiting the project I'm not sure it happen in 2018 or if it is easy to predict what it will end up to be.

 

Ready player one, I don't know how big is the book exactly but it sequel started only at number 4, it does seem more like The Martian (good sales and fan bases) but far from a Girl on a train/Life of Pi/Da vinci code and other giants book.

 

I was going to say that is 95 million would have an argument for the best first weekend in a long time, no movie without a suberly strong IP ever openned over the 77 million Avatar/I Am legend did, but American Sniper had a 89 million first weekend, that had a good ip/biopic/known hero but not that specially big.

 

So I guess that is possible, being a first more conventional blockbuster Spielberg in a long time.

[Arlborn]

25 minutes ago, YourMother said:

I agree with you on WIR2, Gnomes, Goosebumps, Peter Rabbit, HT3, and Gigantic. Grinch won't do under $200M, no Illumination film since 2011 has done under $200M domestic. At worst, it'll do Lorax numbers (around $210M). Sing and Pets are examples of non DM success for them both doing $270M+ domestic. I don't see SCOOB having an under 3x multiple, with a $40M OW (like HT1), it should finish around $120M-$150M domestic. As with Passengers, even if Spider-Man does sink that low, Sony will fudge it to $100M domestic. Besides LB even did $150M+ domestic, with Miles Morales, an African American Spider-Man will attract audiences. 

 

Spider-man is a classic animation, I don't see it going over 101M*, sorry.

 

I had no idea Grinch was illumination just like I had forgotten Gigantic was Disney and I'll take that into consideration next time I revisit this list, thanks for the feedback!

[YM!]

10 minutes ago, Arlborn said:

 

Spider-man is a classic animation, I don't see it going over 101M*, sorry.

 

I had no idea Grinch was illumination just like I had forgotten Gigantic was Disney and I'll take that into consideration next time I revisit this list, thanks for the feedback!

No problem. 

[Jonwo]

3 hours ago, Barnack said:

Ready player one, I don't know how big is the book exactly but it sequel started only at number 4, it does seem more like The Martian (good sales and fan bases) but far from a Girl on a train/Life of Pi/Da vinci code and other giants book.

 

I was going to say that is 95 million would have an argument for the best first weekend in a long time, no movie without a suberly strong IP ever openned over the 77 million Avatar/I Am legend did, but American Sniper had a 89 million first weekend, that had a good ip/biopic/known hero but not that specially big.

 

So I guess that is possible, being a first more conventional blockbuster Spielberg in a long time.

 

I think WB would be thrilled if RPO does $75-80m OW, I think $90-95m is unlikely but I could be wrong if the first trailer whets the appetite. There isn't big names in it, so they have to sell on Spielberg and the visuals.

 

 

[kayumanggi]

On 4/15/2017 at 8:23 AM, CaptainJackSparrow said:

I really think ya'll are underestimating Rampage. That could be another San Andreas hit.

 

Won't be enough to crack the top 10.

[kayumanggi]

My Top 15 (2018 Domestic, by release date)

 

FEBRUARY
16 | BLACK PANTHER

 

MARCH
09 | WRECK-IT RALPH II
30 | READY PLAYER ONE

 

MAY
04 | AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR
25 | HAN SOLO

 

JUNE
15 | THE INCREDIBLES II
22 | JURASSIC WORLD II

 

JULY
06 | ANT-MAN AND THE WASP
20 | ALITA: BATTLE ANGEL

 

NOVEMBER
02 | MULAN

09 | HOW THE GRINCH STOLE CHRISTMAS
16 | FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEM II
23 | GIGANTIC

 

DECEMBER
14 | MORTAL ENGINES

21 | AQUAMAN

 

---

 

08 DISNEY

03 WARNER BROTHERS

03 UNIVERSAL

01 FOX

[Dingdong123]

1. Han Solo - $550

2. Infinity War - $500

3. Jurassic World - $475

4. The Incredibles 2 - $400

5. Deadpool 2 - $375

6. Gigantic - $350

7. The Grinch - $300

8. Wreck-it Ralph 2 - $300

9. Fantastic Beasts - $275

10. Mulan - $275

 

Disney strikes again

Edited April 16, 2017 by Dingdong123

[YM!]

28 minutes ago, Dingdong123 said:

1. Han Solo - $550

2. Infinity War - $500

3. Jurassic World - $475

4. The Incredibles 2 - $400

5. Deadpool 2 - $375

6. Gigantic - $350

7. The Grinch - $300

8. Wreck-it Ralph 2 - $300

9. Fantastic Beasts - $275

10. Mulan - $275

 

Disney strikes again

You're overestimating Gigantic and WIR2, I would argue Grinch has a better chance of beating both domestic (like Pets with Zootopia/Sing with Moana).

[Ocho]

This is the real Aquaman.....



Sent from my VS995 using Tapatalk

[fabiopazzo2]

3 minutes ago, Ocho said:

This is the real Aquaman.....



Sent from my VS995 using Tapatalk
 

[Dingdong123]

26 minutes ago, YourMother said:

You're overestimating Gigantic and WIR2, I would argue Grinch has a better chance of beating both domestic (like Pets with Zootopia/Sing with Moana).

 

Did anyone see that Zootopia and Deadpool would breakout the way they did? Lol no. That's my case here.

 

Although if there's anyone that's overpredicted, I'd say it's Gigantic. A Christmas-themed animated film (The Grinch) and a remake of a classic musical (Poppins) is a tougher competition than what Moana faced imo. Although I trust the Lopezes on their songwriting for Gigantic.