WrathOfHan Posted July 9, 2017 Share Posted July 9, 2017 1 minute ago, Matrix4You said: OMG for SOTM I put Yes for Captain Underpants when in my mind it was NOOOO. Just lost 30,000 points! i am going to have to do some heavy gambling now. Looks like meat's back on the menu, boys! 1. 30,000 / 1,000 - Will Spiderman make more than $40M Opening Day? - YES 2. 25,000 / 2,000 - Will Baby Driver outgross the Mummy? - YES 3. 22,000 / 3,000 - Will Transformers outgross Cars 3 Domestically? - NO 4. 20,000 / 4,000 - Will the House drop more than 60% on its second weekend? - NO 5. 18,000 / 5,000 - Will Valerian outgross Baywatch Domestically? - YES 6. 15,000 / 6,000 - Will Annabelle have an Opening Weekend above $30M? - YES 7. 12,000 / 8,000 - Will Girls Trip make more than $6M opening day? - YES 8. 10,000 / 10,000 - Will Spiderman make more than $115M Opening weekend? - YES 9. 8,000 / 12,000 - Will Atomic Blonde open above the Emoji Movie? - YES 10. 6,000 / 15,000 - Will Planet of the Apes outgross Despicable Me Domestically? - NO 11. 5,000 / 18,000 - Will Dunkirk make more than $500M worldwide? - YES 12. 4,000 / 20,000 - Will Wonder Woman make $400M? - YES 13. 3,000 / 22,000 - Will Spiderman make more than $310M by the end of the game? - YES 14. 2,000 / 25,000 - Will the Big Sick make more than $20M - YES 15. 1,000 / 30,000 - Will Captain Underpants make the final domestic top 15 list? - YES This is why I put it at #6. I have it as Yes but I'm not confident in it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted July 9, 2017 Share Posted July 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: This is why I put it at #6. I have it as Yes but I'm not confident in it. I wanted to put Wonder Woman last just so I can anticipate whether or not I would loose 30k points for the next month. Decided not to invest that much, so I put Captain Underpants there. I thought it would be kind of fun watching it bump down depending on which August releases hit or flop. But I accidentally put YES and I do not want to see any movies flop so I concede 30,000 points. I must go all in on something and gamble my life away. IM BETTING THE HOUSE AND KIDS! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted July 9, 2017 Share Posted July 9, 2017 this is a ROUGH ROUGH RUFF RUFF SKETCH of what I made of the top 25+ the night that SOTM 7 was due so please do not judge my final totals for movies that were currently in release. All i cared about were placements. Captain Underpants finishing under Alien:Covenant does not look good for it being in the top 15. I think that is the make or break point for CU. I put stars around Polaroid just in case it is not released then that would be the designated spot for another August release. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted July 10, 2017 Share Posted July 10, 2017 If Dark Tower opens under 30 m, Captain Underpants will probably make it. Atomic Blonde could open under 30 m also. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted July 10, 2017 Share Posted July 10, 2017 Emoji Movie is a wild card. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted July 10, 2017 Share Posted July 10, 2017 Emoji is going to bomb bomb bomb... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted July 10, 2017 Share Posted July 10, 2017 (edited) 1 hour ago, grey ghost said: Emoji Movie is a wild card. Though its getting a little less wild with every new trailer... Edited July 10, 2017 by Wrath 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted July 10, 2017 Share Posted July 10, 2017 On 7/7/2017 at 5:27 AM, JJ-8 said: Can you post in as a table from excel... images don't work too work when i copy into my spreadsheets EDIT - btw... fantastic job .... I am testing last weeks results posting it as a table. I have never used tables before so i just selected the entire thing and clicked format as table. Anything I need to know about tables? 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted July 10, 2017 Share Posted July 10, 2017 all this hand wringing over QOTW makes me glad I got ditched really early (FU Snatched....) 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted July 10, 2017 Author Share Posted July 10, 2017 Week 11 is up. An SOTM may appear over the course of this week, but any deadline will not be until next Thursday. http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/24353-summer-game-week-11-apes-dont-kill-summer-game-man-kill-summer-game-deadline-thursday-july-13th-1159pm/ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted July 10, 2017 Share Posted July 10, 2017 Damn. So close to massive bloodshed on the SM one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted July 10, 2017 Share Posted July 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, Wrath said: Damn. So close to massive bloodshed on the SM one. I said yes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted July 11, 2017 Share Posted July 11, 2017 I have everything graded except QUESTION 22. Please let me know if the answers do not match. I will be back in 2 hours to put the grades into excel. By then hopefully someone got the answer for QUESTION 22. Part A: 1. Will Spiderman make more than $100M? YES 2. Will Spiderman make more than $125M? NO 3. WIll Spiderman drop more than 15% on Saturday? YES 4. Will Spiderman make more than 75% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? NO 5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Spiderman's weekend gross? YES 6. Will Depsicable Me drop more than 50%? YES 7. Will Baby Driver drop less than 50%? YES 8. Will Cars 3 stay above The House? YES 9. Will Wonder Woman increase more than 35% on Saturday? YES 10. Will the top 12 films all make more than $1M? YES 11. Will The Big Sick's PTA stay above $6,000? YES 12. Will Captain Underpants stay above The Hero? NO 13. Will The Book of Henry make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? NO 14. Will Baywatch stay above Alienl? YES 15. Will Guaradians cross $385M by the end of the weekend? YES 16. Will All Eyez on me have a PTA above $900? YES 17. Will Transformers have a PTA above $2,250? NO 18. Will City of ghosts have a PTA above $5,000? YES 19. Will Undercover Grandpa have a PTA above $1,500? +4000 20. Will Superpowerless' total Weekend gross be more than 0.5% of Spiderman's Friday gross? +5000 21. Will Spiderman's Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? YES 22. Will Wonder Woman's first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? NO 24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $175M? YES 25. Will Tom Holland go all Emo and then snap the spine of someone he loves? +5000 Part B: 1. What will Spiderman make for its 3 day OW? $117,027,503 2. What will The House's Saturday gross be? $1,914,774 3. What will The Transformers' percentage drop be? 62.2253% Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 3. Baby Driver 5. Transformers 7. The House 10. Beguiled 12. Mummy 15. Hero 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted July 11, 2017 Share Posted July 11, 2017 Please find the answer within 2 hours!!!! 22. Will Wonder Woman's first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 THANK YOU EVERYONE Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Premium George Posted July 11, 2017 Share Posted July 11, 2017 Quote 3 minutes ago, Matrix4You said: Please find the answer within 2 hours!!!! 22. Will Wonder Woman's first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 THANK YOU EVERYONE Quote Warner Bros./DC’s Wonder Woman isn’t being bullied by Spider-Man in the marketplace with an estimated weekend six that’s poised to be -30% with $11M and a potential total by Sunday of $369.7M $11 m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted July 11, 2017 Author Share Posted July 11, 2017 4 minutes ago, damnitgeorge08 said: $11 m So the answer is NO, as actual was $9.8M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bcf26 Posted July 11, 2017 Share Posted July 11, 2017 Damn you Spiderman! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted July 11, 2017 Share Posted July 11, 2017 1 hour ago, damnitgeorge08 said: $11 m 1 hour ago, chasmmi said: So the answer is NO, as actual was $9.8M That is the Friday 12 (noon) pacific time estimate. Is that the number we are looking for. I thought the question pertained to the first estimates posted Friday night (or Sat morning) Please help me out, your my only hope... On 7/7/2017 at 11:06 PM, grim22 said: 1). Spider-Man: Homecoming (SONY/MARVEL), 4,348 theaters / $48M-49M Fri. (includes $15.4M previews) / 3-day cume: $116M-$119.6M /Wk 2 2). Despicable Me 3 (UNI/ILL), 4,535 theaters (+6) / $11.6M Fri. (-60%) / 3-day cume: $37.4M (-48%) /Total: $152.5M Wk 2 3). Baby Driver (SONY), 3,226 theaters (0) / $3.9M Fri. (-35%)/ 3-day cume: $12.5M (-39%)/ Total cume: $56.6M / Wk 2 4.) Wonder Woman (WB), 3,091 theaters (-313) / $3.1M Fri. (-29%)/ 3-day cume: $10.7M (-32%)/ Total: $369.4M / Wk 6 5). Transformers: The Last Knight (PAR), 3,241 theaters (-891) / $1.9M Fri. (-62%)/ 3-day cume: $6.2M (-63%)/ Total cume: $118.8M / Wk 3 6). Cars 3 (DIS), 2,702 theaters (-874) / $1.9M Fri. (-35%) / 3-day cume: $6M (-39%) / Total: $134M / Wk 4 7). The House (WB), 3,134 theaters (0)/ $1.5M Fri. (-55%) / 3-day cume: $4.7M (-46%)/Total: $18.5M/ Wk 2 8.) The Big Sick (AMAZ/LGF), 326 theaters (+255) / $1.1M (+102%) / 3-day cume: $3.2M (+92%) / Per screen: $9.7K /Total: $6.4M/Wk 3 9.). 47 Meters Down (ENT), 1,740 theaters (-510) / $857K Fri. (-38%) / 3-day cume: $2.7M (-40%) / Total: $38.4M / Wk 4 10.) The Beguiled (FOC), 941 theaters (+267) / $780K Fri. (-26%) / 3-day cume: $2.4M (-23%)/Total: $7.8M/ Wk 3 NOTABLES: Kinnu Kori (INDIN), 144 theaters / $210K Fri. / PTA: $4,3K/3-day cume: $633K /Wk 1 A Ghost Story (A24), 4 theaters / $30K Fri. / PTA: $22,4K/3-day cume: $89K /Wk 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted July 11, 2017 Share Posted July 11, 2017 ^^ It doesn't really matter, since neither number was within 500k of WW's actuals. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted July 11, 2017 Share Posted July 11, 2017 Part 2 results 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...