The Summer Game 2017 | Beans have been counted, sprouts measured, zombies destroyed, and Tele relegated to... oh wait better not... | Let the Pre-Season Reveals begin ...

[Wrath]

Its ludicrious that I seem to be better at predicting OW's before the season starts than I am the week before the actual openings, but that seems to be how it works.

[chasmmi]

3 hours ago, Wrath said:

Its ludicrious that I seem to be better at predicting OW's before the season starts than I am the week before the actual openings, but that seems to be how it works.

 

Imagine being in my shoes. My pre and in-season predictions are usually awful, yet hal of the questions are like bang on where the final totals land. 

 

[chasmmi]

Part A:

 

1. Will The Mummy Open to more than $35M? 1000  NO

2. Will It Comes at Night Open to more than $10M? 2000  NO

3. Will Will Meagan Leavey open to more than $4M? 3000  NO

4. Will the three main openers combine to more than $50M? 4000  NO

5. Will My Cousin Rachel open to more than $1M? 5000    NO

 

6. Will Wonder Woman drop more than 55%  1000  NO

7. Will Captain Underpants drop more than 45% 2000  YES

8. Will Alien Stay above Everything Everything? 3000   YES

9. Will Snatched have a lower percentage drop than King Arthur? 4000  NO

10. Will Baywatch cross $50M by the end of the weekend? 5000  YES

 

11. Will the Boss Baby stay above 3 IDiotas? 1000  YES

12. Will Miles have a PTA above $3,000? 2000   NO

13. Will Pirates have a PTA above $3,250? 3000  NO

14. Will Wonder Woman's domestic total overtake Boss Baby's Domestic Total by the end of the Weekend? 4000  YES

15. Will it turn out that the Mummy was Johnny Depp in disguise all along and that we are just not aloud to have any nice things in cinema anymore? 5000 NOPE WE GOT CROWE'S ACCENT   

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will The Mummy make for its 3 day OW?  $31.688m

2. What will be Wonder Woman's PTA this weekend?    $14,051

3. What will Wimpy Kid's Percentage drop be?   49.1%

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

3.  UNDERPANTS 

5.  GOTG2

8.  MEGAN LEAVEY

10.  EVERYTHING

13. BOSS BABY

15. KING ARTHUR

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

[chasmmi]

Results

 

Name	Part 1	Part 2	Part 3	Total
JJ99	65000		10000	75000
Water Bottle	43000	24000	4000	71000
spaghetti	45000		25000	70000
Matrix4You	43000	8000	18000	69000
Exxdee	33000	20000	10000	63000
Jake Gittes	44000		18000	62000
panda	45000	5000	10000	60000
Wrathofhan	48000		10000	58000
Kayumanggi	33000	15000	10000	58000
Telemachos	53000		4000	57000
Fancyarcher	50000		4000	54000
24lost	36000		18000	54000
damnitgeorge	50000		4000	54000
Wrath	49000		4000	53000
glassfairy	45000	4000	4000	53000
Empire	34000		18000	52000
Dark Alfred	33000		18000	51000
Chewy	45000		4000	49000
aabattery	45000		4000	49000
Siminonski	38000		10000	48000
Blankments	37000		10000	47000
Grey Ghost	34000		10000	44000
Baumer	38000		4000	42000
Darkelf	27000		10000	37000
Damienroc	25000		10000	35000
Chasmmi	30000		4000	34000
Movieman	24000		10000	34000
bcf26	25000	4000	4000	33000
Narniadis	23000		10000	33000
Kalo	18000	2000	10000	30000
That One Guy	23000		4000	27000

[Kalo]

Ouch, what a terrible week for me. 

[The Panda]

I need to get good at part three, I think my average is 2/6

[chasmmi]

Can't do more scoring today, but the weekly stuff is up, including my most beautiful SOTM to date: 

 

http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/24315-sotm-8-yall-are-gonna-love-this-its-my-most-beautiful-creation-deadline-is-thursday-july-6th-at-1159pm/

[Wrath]

1 hour ago, chasmmi said:

Can't do more scoring today, but the weekly stuff is up, including my most beautiful SOTM to date: 

 

http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/24315-sotm-8-yall-are-gonna-love-this-its-my-most-beautiful-creation-deadline-is-thursday-july-6th-at-1159pm/

 

It is indeed a lovely question, but I feel misled. I was expecting an accompanying picture of Emma Watson.

[jj99]

5 hours ago, chasmmi said:

Results

 

Name	Part 1	Part 2	Part 3	Total
JJ99	65000		10000	75000
Water Bottle	43000	24000	4000	71000
spaghetti	45000		25000	70000
Matrix4You	43000	8000	18000	69000
Exxdee	33000	20000	10000	63000
Jake Gittes	44000		18000	62000
panda	45000	5000	10000	60000
Wrathofhan	48000		10000	58000
Kayumanggi	33000	15000	10000	58000
Telemachos	53000		4000	57000
Fancyarcher	50000		4000	54000
24lost	36000		18000	54000
damnitgeorge	50000		4000	54000
Wrath	49000		4000	53000
glassfairy	45000	4000	4000	53000
Empire	34000		18000	52000
Dark Alfred	33000		18000	51000
Chewy	45000		4000	49000
aabattery	45000		4000	49000
Siminonski	38000		10000	48000
Blankments	37000		10000	47000
Grey Ghost	34000		10000	44000
Baumer	38000		4000	42000
Darkelf	27000		10000	37000
Damienroc	25000		10000	35000
Chasmmi	30000		4000	34000
Movieman	24000		10000	34000
bcf26	25000	4000	4000	33000
Narniadis	23000		10000	33000
Kalo	18000	2000	10000	30000
That One Guy	23000		4000	27000

 

 

1st place for the first time.

 

[Plain Old Tele]

@chasmmi, point of clarification on the opening weekends: can each film appear only once? or can films appear multiple times?

 

As it stands out, we have an interesting situation where both GOTG2 and WW could appear twice.  

[JJ-8]

5 hours ago, Telemachos said:

@chasmmi, point of clarification on the opening weekends: can each film appear only once? or can films appear multiple times?

 

As it stands out, we have an interesting situation where both GOTG2 and WW could appear twice.  

Yes.  Once only. Reread the first paragraph (sorry my phone won't let me copy it right now) under the weekend section and it mentions that films qualifying weekend when showing an example. 

 

So so only the highest weekend for each film counts. 

[Jake Gittes]

Quote

 

B: DOMESTIC TOP 7 WEEKENDS (READ CAREFULLY)

NOTE: THIS IS NO LONGER EXCLUSIVELY OPENING WEEKENDS.

 

This section will no longer be exclusively opening weekends but rather any weekend in general. This means that if a repeat of the American Sniper situation from Winter 2014 occurs again, the 100 million ‘3^rd weekend’ or whenever it was would be that film’s qualifying weekend.

 

A film’s weekend will always be deemed its 3 day Friday to Sunday gross (including Thursday previews). So if a film opens on a Wednesday, only the BOM reported Friday-Sunday 3 day will count as the weekend total.

 

 

Strictly speaking there's nothing misleading here but I think it coulda been worded with more emphasis on the fact that only one weekend per film is allowed. I quickly took "no longer exclusively opening weekends" and "any weekend in general" to mean that all weekends qualify and I could include GOTG's 2nd weekend in my top 7. 

[dxmatrixdt]

Week 7 answers:

 

Part A:

 

1. Will Rough Night Open to more than $25M? 1000 NO

2. Will All Eyez On Me Open to more than $20M? 2000  YES

3. Will Cars 3 open to more than $60M? 3000  NO

4. Will the three main openers combine to more than $100M? 4000 NO

5. Will The Book of Henry open to more than $1M? 5000   YES

 

6. Will Wonder Woman drop less than 45%  1000  YES

7. Will Mummy drop more than 62% 2000  NO

8. Will Baywatch Stay above Megan Leavey? 3000  NO

9. Will Guardians have a lower percentage drop than Captain Underpants? 4000  YES

10. Will Pirates have a PTA above $2000? 5000  YES

 

11. Will Snatched have a weekend above $200k? 1000   NO

12. Will Warriors of the dawn have a PTA above $5,000? 2000 NO

13. Will Alien have a PTA above $600? 3000  YES

14. WillFate of the Furious increase more than 100% on Friday? 4000   NO

15. Will Vin Diesel win the Piston Cup? 5000   FREE POINTS

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Cars make for its 3 day OW?  $53.688m

2. What will be What will Mummy's percentage drop be this weekend?  54.2%

3. What will Wonder Woman's Domestic gross be by the end of Saturday?   $260.249M

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

2. WONDER WOMAN

4. MUMMY

7. ROUGH NIGHT

9. GOTG2 

12. BAYWATCH

15.  BEATRIZ

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

[dxmatrixdt]

[dxmatrixdt]

week 8 answers

 

Part A:

 

1. Will Transformers' 5 day opening (Wed-Sun) be higher than Pirates 3 day OW ($62.9M) gross? 1000  YES

2. Will Transformers Open to more than $50M for its 3 Day? 2000  NO

3. Will Transformers' Wed+Thursday total be more than 27.5% of the total gross by end of Sunday? 3000  YES

4. Will Transformers gross more on Friday or Saturday? 4000  SATURDAY

5. Will Transformers have a daily PTA above $4000 for every day of the weekend? 5000   NO

 

6. Will Cars drop less than 50%  1000  NO

7. Will Guardians drop less than 45% 2000  YES

8. Will Cars stay in the top 2? 3000  NO

9. Will The Mummy drop more than 62% 4000   NO

10. Will all Eyes on me drop more than 64%? 5000   YES

 

11. Will 47 Metres Down have a PTA above $2,250? 1000  YES

12. Will Rough Night drop more than 55%? 2000   NO

13. Will anything in its 2nd weekend drop less than 42%? 3000  YES

14. Will All Eyes on me cross $50M by the end of the weekend? 4000  NO

15. Will Baywatch stay above Book of Henry? 5000   NO

 

16. Will The Mummy stay above 47 Metres Down 1000   NO

17. Will Captain Underpants have a higher weekend percentage drop than Megan Leavey? 2000   NO

18. Will The Big Sick have a PTA above $8,000?  3000  YES

19. Will The Beguiled have a PTA above $11,000? 4000   YES

20. How many sets of dangling robot testicles will it take for both Ethan and Baumer to hate this film? 5000  FREE POINTS

 

Bonus: 

 

12/20   2000 

13/20   4000

14/20    7000

15/20   12000

16/20    16,000

17/20   21,000 

18/20    26,000

19/20    32,000 

 20/20   40,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Transformers make for its 5 day OW?  $68.475m

2. What percentage of Transformers' 5 day gross will be made on Wed and Thurs?   34.75%

3. What will be the difference in percentage between Wonder Woman's percentage drop and The Mummy's (so if WW drops 75% and Mummy 50% the answer is 25%, order doesn't matter)?    18.6%

 

 

Part C:

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

2. WONDER WOMAN

5. THE MUMMY

7. PIRATES

10.  GOTG2 

12.  MEGAN LEAVEY

15. IT COMES AT NIGHT

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

 

[dxmatrixdt]

[dxmatrixdt]

Chasmmi and I discussed the prospects of me volunteering to sub-in to grade the weekly s.  Week 9 should be posted in less than 1 day.  Please PM me if you catch an error.  I copy and pasted everyone's part #2 into excel so I am pretty confident those will always be 100% correct.  Part A and C were looked over twice.  You will be in good hands.

[Plain Old Tele]

3 hours ago, Matrix4You said:

Chasmmi and I discussed the prospects of me volunteering to sub-in to grade the weekly s.  Week 9 should be posted in less than 1 day.  Please PM me if you catch an error.  I copy and pasted everyone's part #2 into excel so I am pretty confident those will always be 100% correct.  Part A and C were looked over twice.  You will be in good hands.

 

You seem to have made a terrible error on both weeks. Somehow my name is near the bottom both times -- there must be some mistake. 

[That One Girl]

2 minutes ago, Telemachos said:

 

You seem to have made a terrible error on both weeks. Somehow my name is near the bottom both times -- there must be some mistake. 

 

2nd to last...

[The Panda]

Do we have a cumulative score yet?  I'm curious to see how far I am behind.