5-day Weekend #s: DM3 99M, BD 29.97M, WW 24.07M, TF5 24.05M, Cars 3 14.2M, House 11.9M

[Hades]

4 minutes ago, SpiritComix said:

Yeah, 2017 is the year of franchise fatigue.

 

And I think next weekend, 'Spider-Man: Homecoming' will pay the price of the three previous bad movies. Thirteen years with bad Spider-Man movies and the last one was very close, 2014, just three years ago.

 

Something that happened to 'Batman Begins', which came after 'Batman Forever' and 'Batman and Robin'. And BB still had a longer time for people to forget the previous films, eight years.

 

Let's see. 

If Wolverine can increase upon its previous films (Which btw includes Xmen Origins) with a grim R-rated film and no 3d, I'm sure Homecoming will be fine. It has a lot more going for it.

[CJohn]

23 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

DM3 had a worse Saturday hold than Minions and was only above Minions' Sunday drop by about 5% (15% or so vs 20.7%) on an inflated Sunday. Honestly, this is going to drop 60% next weekend.

You jumped the shark, like you did last year with Pets. Fun over. Now you are just a crazy teen again 

[titanic2187]

5 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Well, they did put out Alice Through the Looking Glass and The BFG just last year. 

well, alice 2 was completely forgotten, i couldn't even recall its existence until u've mentioned it

[cookie]

I remember writing in my year-end list in 2015 that Minions' poor legs gave the feeling of franchise fatigue. Two years later and that's proving to be right.

Edited July 3, 2017 by cookie

[XO21]

5 minutes ago, Hades said:

If Wolverine can increase upon its previous films (Which btw includes Xmen Origins) with a grim R-rated film and no 3d, I'm sure Homecoming will be fine. It has a lot more going for it.

 

good point...totally forgot about Logan

[a2k]

If Fri and Sat hold, then Sun went down by 3m for DM3.

 

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days
2017/06/30	1	$29,122,995		4,529	$6,430	$29,122,995	1
2017/07/01	1	$24,366,920	-16%	4,529	$5,380	$53,489,915	2
2017/07/02	1	$18,920,360*	-22.35%*	4,529	$4,178*	$72,410,275*	3

 

*Edited by me, not the-numbers.com

 

EDIT: Deadline gives the breakdown as 29 + 24.3 + 19.1

Edited July 3, 2017 by a2knet

[WrathOfHan]

This is how I'm feeling about July:

 

Spider-Man: Presales indicate an opening around WW, and I'm not straying from that. I'm predicting 105M, but given the massive underperformance of DM3 and the starving blockbuster market, I can see it hitting 110-120M.

Apes: Presales are on par with POTC, which is a good thing considering many including myself have been thinking it'll be in the 50's on OW. Buzz is still a bit muted though, so maybe TOMATO LAW prevails and it hits 70M?

Wish Upon: Yeaaaaaaah no. It'll do ok because the horror market is semi-starved right now, but legs will probably be shit. 7/18

Dunkirk: This has the makings of a huge breakout, but will the younger (non-Styles fans) demo show up? I'm still sticking with 60/230

Valerian: The positive reactions are what the film needs, and audiences seeing Spider-Man in 3D are going to see the opening of the film. That is going to provide a huge boost of buzz. 30/100

Girls Trip: This is the hardest film to predict. Every raunchy R rated comedy this year has bombed, and this has the least-known cast of them all. It doesn't help that Dunkirk and Valerian will be opening over 25-30M and taking away some females. 15/50

Atomic Blonde: Reviews are good but not out of this world good, and online buzz is fairly weak. August legs will come through on this. 20/70

Emoji: This can breakout if it's a good movie. The franchise animated films have massively underperformed, and Captain Underpants didn't do anything notable either. I'm going with Angry Birds numbers.

[titanic2187]

http://deadline.com/2017/07/despicable-me-3-baby-driver-the-house-july-4th-weekend-box-office-independence-day-1202122599/

 

Despicable Me 3’ Slows To $72.4M Opening But Will Still Profit; ‘Baby Driver’ Clocks $29.5M; ‘The House’ Burns Down To $8.7M – July 4th Weekend B.O.

[WrathOfHan]

7 minutes ago, CJohn said:

You jumped the shark, like you did last year with Pets. Fun over. Now you are just a crazy teen again 

[WrathOfHan]

Fucking Sony. Learn how to fudge your movies. At least it hit 20M for the 3 day  

[John Marston]

1). Despicable Me 3 (UNI/ILL), 4,259 theaters / $29M Fri. (includes $4.1M previews)/$24.3M Sat/ $19.1M Sunday/ 3-day cume: $72.4M /Wk 1

2). Baby Driver (PAR), 3,226 theaters / $5.7M Wed. (includes Tuesday preview of $2.1M) / $3.3M Thurs. / $6M Fri. /$7.7M Sat/$6.8M Sun/ 3-day cume: $20.5M / Total cume: $29.5M / Wk 1

3). Transformers: The Last Knight (PAR), 4,132 theaters (+63) / $4.9M Fri. / $6.5M Sat/$5.5M Sun/3-day cume: $16.8M (-62%)/ Total cume: $101.9M / Wk 2

4.) Wonder Woman (WB), 3,404 theaters (-529) / $4.4M Fri. /$6.1M Sat/$5.3M Sun 3-day cume: $15.7M (-37%)/ Total: $346.2M / Wk 5

5). Cars 3 (DIS), 3,576 theaters (-680) / $3m Fri. /$3.6M Sat/$2.8M Sun/ 3-day cume: $9.4M (-61%) / Total: $120.6m / Wk 3

6). The House (WB), 3,134 theaters / $3.3M Fri. (includes $800K previews) /$3M Sat/$2.4M Sun/ 3-day cume: $8.7M/ Wk 1

7.). 47 Meters Down (ENT), 2,250 theaters (-221) / $1.37M Fri. /$1.7M Sat/$1.4M Sun 3-day cume: $4.49M (-36%) / Total: $32.4M / Wk 3

9.) The Beguiled (FOC), 674 theaters (+670) / $1.05M Fri. /$1.2M Sat/$1.2M/$902K Sun/3-day cume: $3.1M (+1279%)/Total: $3.5M/ Wk 2

9.). The Mummy (Uni), 1,760 theaters (-1,112) / $835K Fri. /$1.1M Sat/ $984K Sun/3-day cume: $2.9M (-51%)/Total: $74.7M / Wk 4

10.). Pirates Of The Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales  (DIS), 1,674 theaters (-682) / $724K Fri. /$963K Sat/$836K Sun/ 3-day cume: $2.5M  (-53%)/ Total: $165.6M / Wk 6

[filmlover]

Next summer will see the return of The Avengers, Deadpool, The Incredibles, Jurassic World, Ant-Man, Hotel Transylvania, Mamma Mia, and Mission: Impossible along will the spin-offs or revivals of Star Wars, Ocean's Eleven, Transformers, and Predator. Summer has become less a big movie season and more of a test as to which brands are the strongest.

Edited July 3, 2017 by filmlover

[cookie]

1 minute ago, titanic2187 said:

http://deadline.com/2017/07/despicable-me-3-baby-driver-the-house-july-4th-weekend-box-office-independence-day-1202122599/

 

Despicable Me 3’ Slows To $72.4M Opening But Will Still Profit; ‘Baby Driver’ Clocks $29.5M; ‘The House’ Burns Down To $8.7M – July 4th Weekend B.O.

 

So all the openers were overestimated. Ouch.

[cookie]

Just now, filmlover said:

Next summer will see the return of The Avengers, Deadpool, The Incredibles, Jurassic World, Ant-Man, Hotel Transylvania, Mamma Mia, and Mission: Impossible along will the spin-offs or revivals of Star Wars, Ocean's Eleven, Transformers, and Predator. Summer has become less a big movie season and more of a test as to which brands are the strongest.

 

I can easily see Hotel Transylvania being a major underperformer.

[FlashMaster659]

1). Despicable Me 3 (UNI/ILL), 4,259 theaters / $29M Fri. (includes $4.1M previews)/$24.3M Sat/ $19.1M Sunday/ 3-day cume: $72.4M /Wk 1

2). Baby Driver (PAR), 3,226 theaters / $5.7M Wed. (includes Tuesday preview of $2.1M) / $3.3M Thurs. / $6M Fri. /$7.7M Sat/$6.8M Sun/ 3-day cume: $20.5M / Total cume: $29.5M / Wk 1

3). Transformers: The Last Knight (PAR), 4,132 theaters (+63) / $4.9M Fri. / $6.5M Sat/$5.5M Sun/3-day cume: $16.8M (-62%)/ Total cume: $101.9M / Wk 2

4.) Wonder Woman (WB), 3,404 theaters (-529) / $4.4M Fri. /$6.1M Sat/$5.3M Sun 3-day cume: $15.7M (-37%)/ Total: $346.2M / Wk 5

5). Cars 3 (DIS), 3,576 theaters (-680) / $3m Fri. /$3.6M Sat/$2.8M Sun/ 3-day cume: $9.4M (-61%) / Total: $120.6m / Wk 3

6). The House (WB), 3,134 theaters / $3.3M Fri. (includes $800K previews) /$3M Sat/$2.4M Sun/ 3-day cume: $8.7M/ Wk 1

7.). 47 Meters Down (ENT), 2,250 theaters (-221) / $1.37M Fri. /$1.7M Sat/$1.4M Sun 3-day cume: $4.49M (-36%) / Total: $32.4M / Wk 3

9.) The Beguiled (FOC), 674 theaters (+670) / $1.05M Fri. /$1.2M Sat/$1.2M/$902K Sun/3-day cume: $3.1M (+1279%)/Total: $3.5M/ Wk 2

9.). The Mummy (Uni), 1,760 theaters (-1,112) / $835K Fri. /$1.1M Sat/ $984K Sun/3-day cume: $2.9M (-51%)/Total: $74.7M / Wk 4

10.). Pirates Of The Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales  (DIS), 1,674 theaters (-682) / $724K Fri. /$963K Sat/$836K Sun/ 3-day cume: $2.5M  (-53%)/ Total: $165.6M / Wk 6

[CJohn]

Despicable Me 3 really is Shrek 4. Goddamn. The brand has what? One movie left in it? DM3 is opening above DM2 in many markets.

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

Next summer will see the return of The Avengers, Deadpool, The Incredibles, Jurassic World, Ant-Man, Hotel Transylvania, Mamma Mia, and Mission: Impossible along will the spin-offs or revivals of Star Wars, Ocean's Eleven, Transformers, and Predator. Summer has become less a big movie season and more of a test as to which brands are the strongest.

 

Just now, cookie said:

 

I can easily see Hotel Transylvania being a major underperformer.

Yeah, I have no idea why Sony is releasing that in the summer. It'll get over 100M, but the other two were big successes largely due to their time of the year.

[XO21]

 

Weren't DM3 presales on par with Pets?

 

or I missread 

[CJohn]

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[WrathOfHan]

Just now, CJohn said:

Despicable Me 3 really is Shrek 4. Goddamn. The brand has what? One movie left in it? DM3 is opening above DM2 in many markets.

This is some weird hybrid of Shrek and Ice Age. As long as OS audiences continue eating the series up, Universal will make more.