WEEKEND THREAD | Weekend actuals (pg. 87 onward) - Dunkirk: 26.6M; The Emoji Movie: 24.5M; Girls Trip: 19.6M; Atomic Blonde: 18.2M; SM Homecoming: 13.2M; War For The POTA: 10.4M; Despicable Me 3: 7.4M; Valerian: 6.3M; Baby Driver: 3.9M; Wonder Woman: 3.3M

[a2k]

After a 20m weekend (65.5 cume), GT could add 24.5 over the next 7 days for 90 cume by next Sunday.

(last Mon-Thu was 14m. So could do 10.5m this Mon-Thu and 14m over FSS for 24.5 Mon-Sun).

[Water Bottle]

20 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

Also it's being distributed by Focus Features, they're not known for films like this.

 

That has nothing to do with anything. 99 percent of the GA doesn't know who they are much less what kind of films they are known for.

[Subzero]

8 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Not unlike SMH. 62% and then 50%.

 

Hopefully it will hold better from here on end ..since nothing major is in store pretty much till year end.

SMH is beginning to show some pretty legs now.

 

[Zakiyyah6]

Girls Trip is doing excellent numbers. I didn't know whether we'd see a hundred million grossing comedy this summer. 

[grim22]

5 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

Girls Trip is doing excellent numbers. I didn't know whether we'd see a hundred million grossing comedy this summer. 

 

Girls Trip will give us a 100M grossing comedy, Wonder Woman will give us a 400M grosser for summer and DM3 will get us a 1B WW grosser for summer. All 3 looked like stretch goals a month ago, DM3 has the hardest road but it will end up close enough that Universal will keep it in theaters long enough to push it over.

[Jonwo]

6 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

Girls Trip is doing excellent numbers. I didn't know whether we'd see a hundred million grossing comedy this summer. 

If The Hitman's Bodyguard ends up having good reviews and legs, it might be the second.

[WrathOfHan]

FORECASTING:

 

Dunkirk:

Remainder of this week: 15.3M (118.1M Total)

Aug 4: 17M (9.2M weekdays, 144.3M Total)

Aug 11: 11M (5.5M weekdays, 160.8M Total)

Aug 18: 6.8M (3.2M weekdays, 170.8M Total)

Aug 25: 4.8M (2.2M weekdays, 177.8M Total)

Sep 1: 4.5M (1.8M weekdays, 184.1M Total)

Sep 8: 2.5M (800k weekdays, 187.4M Total)

Sep 15: 1.3M (400k weekdays, 189.1M Total)

 

Final Total: 192M (3.8x)

 

Emoji:

 

Remainder of this week: 13.3M (39M Total)

Aug 4: 11M (6M weekdays, 56M Total)

Aug 11: 5.5M (2.8M weekdays, 64.3M Total)

Aug 18: 3M (1.3M weekdays, 68.6M Total)

Aug 25: 1.8M (700k weekdays, 71.1M Total)

Sep 1: 1.3M (700k weekdays, 73.1M Total)

 

Final Total: 76M (2.96x)

 

Atomic:

 

Remainder of this week: 8.8M (27.4M Total)

Aug 4: 9.3M (4.8M weekdays, 41.5M Total)

Aug 11: 5.6M (2.9M weekdays, 50M Total)

Aug 18: 3.6M (1.8M weekdays, 55.4M Total)
Aug 25: 2.5M (1.2M weekdays, 59.1M Total)

Sep 1: 2.2M (1M weekdays, 62.3M Total)

Sep 8: 1.1M (400k weekdays, 63.8M Total)

 

Final Total: 67M (3.6x)

 

GT:

 

Remainder of this week: 9.2M (74.7M Total)

Aug 4: 14M (6M weekdays, 94.7M Total)

Aug 11: 8.5M (3.6M weekdays, 106.8M Total)

Aug 18: 4.8M (2M weekdays, 113.6M Total)

Aug 25: 3.4M (1.3M weekdays, 118.3M Total)

Sep 1: 3.3M (1.1M weekdays, 122.7M Total)

Sep 8: 1.8M (500k weekdays, 125M Total)

 

Final Total: 128M (4.1x)

[Zakiyyah6]

I think The Hitman's Bodyguard is going to be another Ryan Reynolds disappointment like Life was. I seem to be one of the few that thinks that.

[Jonwo]

The fact SPA is going to have three sub $100m grossers domestic is going to be concerning for Sony. The budgets may be modest but I can't imagine they're happy with subpar performances.

[grim22]

4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

FORECASTING:

 

Dunkirk:

Remainder of this week: 15.3M (118.1M Total)

Aug 4: 17M (9.2M weekdays, 144.3M Total)

Aug 11: 11M (5.5M weekdays, 160.8M Total)

Aug 18: 6.8M (3.2M weekdays, 170.8M Total)

Aug 25: 4.8M (2.2M weekdays, 177.8M Total)

Sep 1: 4.5M (1.8M weekdays, 184.1M Total)

Sep 8: 2.5M (800k weekdays, 187.4M Total)

Sep 15: 1.3M (400k weekdays, 189.1M Total)

 

Final Total: 192M (3.8x)

 

Emoji:

 

Remainder of this week: 13.3M (39M Total)

Aug 4: 11M (6M weekdays, 56M Total)

Aug 11: 5.5M (2.8M weekdays, 64.3M Total)

Aug 18: 3M (1.3M weekdays, 68.6M Total)

Aug 25: 1.8M (700k weekdays, 71.1M Total)

Sep 1: 1.3M (700k weekdays, 73.1M Total)

 

Final Total: 76M (2.96x)

 

Atomic:

 

Remainder of this week: 8.8M (27.4M Total)

Aug 4: 9.3M (4.8M weekdays, 41.5M Total)

Aug 11: 5.6M (2.9M weekdays, 50M Total)

Aug 18: 3.6M (1.8M weekdays, 55.4M Total)
Aug 25: 2.5M (1.2M weekdays, 59.1M Total)

Sep 1: 2.2M (1M weekdays, 62.3M Total)

Sep 8: 1.1M (400k weekdays, 63.8M Total)

 

Final Total: 67M (3.6x)

 

GT:

 

Remainder of this week: 9.2M (74.7M Total)

Aug 4: 14M (6M weekdays, 94.7M Total)

Aug 11: 8.5M (3.6M weekdays, 106.8M Total)

Aug 18: 4.8M (2M weekdays, 113.6M Total)

Aug 25: 3.4M (1.3M weekdays, 118.3M Total)

Sep 1: 3.3M (1.1M weekdays, 122.7M Total)

Sep 8: 1.8M (500k weekdays, 125M Total)

 

Final Total: 128M (4.1x)

 

But what about Wonder Woman??  

[Jonwo]

2 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

I think The Hitman's Bodyguard is going to be another Ryan Reynolds disappointment like Life was. I seem to be one of the few that thinks that.

I don't think it'll do Life numbers, I think the lack of action films until Kingsman could help it and it's apparently decent.

[grey ghost]

Can one of you animation nerds rank the animation studios based on box office clout?

[Water Bottle]

Just now, grey ghost said:

Can one of you animation nerds rank the animation studios based on box office clout?

 

1) Pixar

2) Illumination

3) Almost everyone else

4) Sony Pictures Animation

 

[Jonwo]

1 minute ago, Water Bottle said:

 

1) Pixar

2) Illumination

3) Almost everyone else

4) Sony Pictures Animation

 

I'd say Walt Disney Animation Studios are on par with Pixar. 

[WrathOfHan]

8 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

But what about Wonder Woman??  

Too much effort for such little left in the tank  We all know it's passing Spoderman.

Edited July 30, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[Water Bottle]

1 minute ago, Jonwo said:

I'd say Walt Disney Animation Studios are on par with Pixar. 

 

Walt Disney Animation studios coasts on the general Disney brand name. Nothing wrong with that.

[a2k]

Pixar

Sony (Yeah I know Emoji and Smurfs are crap. But Surfs Up, Cloudy and a few Sony-Aaardmans were AWESOME IMO. If not for Emoji/Smurfs would put them above Pixar.)

Dreamworks

Illumination

 

Edited July 30, 2017 by a2knet

[Jonwo]

1 minute ago, Water Bottle said:

 

Walt Disney Animation studios coasts on the general Disney brand name. Nothing wrong with that.

Considering only a decade ago, the studio was basically on its knees, they made a huge comeback in the last 7 years. 

[Premium George]

2 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Pixar

Sony (Yeah I know Emoji and Smurfs are crap. But Surfs Up, Cloudy and Sony-Aaardmans were AWESOME)

Dreamworks

Illumination

 

He asked by box office. Or you are doing your own thing.

[Water Bottle]

Just now, a2knet said:

Pixar

Sony (Yeah I know Emoji and Smurfs are crap. But Surfs Up, Cloudy and Sony-Aaardmans were AWESOME)

Dreamworks

Illumination

 

You think Sony Animation has more BO clout than Illumination or even Dreamworks?

 

Sony Animation doesn't even have a $200 million domestically movie even with inflation.