Weekend Thread | Estimates: T:R 57.08M, DH2 29.65M, MOTOE 28.68M, ABMC 11.47M, 32.4K PTA for Lady Bird (Deadline, p.46) | The box office is good again!

[filmlover]

I'll be interested to see what kind of staying power Murder on the Orient Express has. Saw it today in a nearly sold out theater and there was really no reaction either way on the way out.

[raulbalarezo]

Numbers? 

[Rthmessiah]

4 minutes ago, raulbalarezo said:

Numbers? 

Your expecting Zeus to show up 

[Rthmessiah]

T:R 24, OE/DN2 12

[dxmatrixdt]

Good increases.  Looks good for Goodbye Christopher Robin

[a2k]

Quote

 

Jigsaw (LG), 2,651 theaters (-290) / $1.15M Fri. / 3-day cume: $3.3M (-50%) / Total cume: $34.2M / Wk 3

Happy Death Day (UNI/BLUM), 1,564 theaters (-620) / $454K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.3M (-51%)/ Total cume: $54.9M / Wk 5

 

 

If JIGSAW adds 1.5x the weekend more it will end at 39.15m dom which gives a 2.35x multiplier (39.15/16.64).

Giving HDD a better 2x the weekend more (cause it's further into the run putting smaller numbers), it ends with 57.5m dom and a 2.21x multiplier (57.5/26.04).

 

HDD's ow was inflated because of Friday the 13th but did not anticipate JIGSAW having better legs as it was the 8th film of the franchise.

 

[YM!]

That’s a big jump for Thor.

[MrPink]

So maybe around 57-58 for Thor, and roughly 30-31m for Daddy's Home 2 and Orient Express? Great Sat #'s

Edited November 12, 2017 by MrPink

[a2k]

That's a big Sat jump for Thor, about 31%.

18.3 + 24 (+31%) + 13.8 (-42.5%) = 56.1 (-54.3%)

Locks 300. 310-320 could happen.

 

edit: I think Sun drop could be 40-45%.

 

 

Edited November 12, 2017 by a2knet
Updating Sunday drop from 38% to 42.5%

[aabattery]

8 minutes ago, Rth Ragnarok said:

T:R 24, OE/DN2 12

 

[Sam]

11 minutes ago, Rth Ragnarok said:

T:R 24, OE/DN2 12

That’s a great jump for Thor. Could reach close to 57M even with a -40% Sun drop.

 

Great hold/increase for the openers as well. 

[Subzero]

4 minutes ago, a2knet said:

That's a big Sat jump for Thor, about 32%.

18.2 + 24 (+32%) + 14.9 (-38%) = 57.1 (-53.5%)

Locks 300. 310-320 could happen.

 

Yeah I think this is a given at this point .... with holiday and all ....I think it will do SMH number.

[Frozen]

29 minutes ago, filmlover said:

I'll be interested to see what kind of staying power Murder on the Orient Express has. Saw it today in a nearly sold out theater and there was really no reaction either way on the way out.

 

There was one loud reaction in mine, but it was a drunk girl so 

[junkshop36]

Nice increase for Thor

 

Saw MOTOE tonight. I enjoyed it. Thought it was really well directed and acted. Pacing was very good as well. I’d like to see another one down the road. 

[dxmatrixdt]

I think drops on Sunday will be greater than 40% for everything

[dxmatrixdt]

it is funny how every week there is always a moderate crowd pleaser based on some source material with a history.  It just so happens this weekend the crowds came to the movie theater.  I am surprised all the money is going to the top 4 and split decision buyers did not see one of the older ones with better reviews.

[a2k]

2 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

I think drops on Sunday will be greater than 40% for everything

Last year 4 movies in the top 10 jumped more than 20% with 27% being the biggest jump. All 4 dropped 47-53% on Sunday.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2016-11-12&p=.htm

[YM!]

Also both OE and DH2 can open in the $30M range.

[TalismanRing]

3 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Last year 4 movies in the top 10 jumped more than 20% with 27% being the biggest jump. All 4 dropped 47-53% on Sunday.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2016-11-12&p=.htm

37-53%

 

The ones the top three might follow:

 

DR. Strange - 40.8%

Arrival: 37%

Almost Christmas:  47.4%

 

[grey ghost]

16 minutes ago, a2knet said:

That's a big Sat jump for Thor, about 32%.

18.2 + 24 (+32%) + 14.9 (-38%) = 57.1 (-53.5%)

Locks 300. 310-320 could happen.

I say 310 m is a lock.

 

325-345 m could happen.