Weekend Actuals (Page 80) | Black Panther 111.7M | Game Night 17M | Peter Rabbit 12.8M | Annihilation 11.1M | Fifty Shades Freed 7.1M | Jumanji 5.7M

[tawasal]

Does someone remember what BP's friday estimates on MOJO was before the actuals? 

[The Futurist]

So this second week-end puts Black Panther in what ballpark as far as its final bo take domestic ?

550-650m ?

[tawasal]

3 minutes ago, slambros said:

 

Well, hopefully Every Day can pull a Forever My Girl sort of run in the dilapidated March season. I always root for the overall success of distributors.

Yeah every day is better reviewed everywhere except for IMDB where they are identical. 

 

Title (click to view)	Studio	Release Gross* / Theaters		Opening / Theaters		Date^
The Young Messiah	Focus	$6,490,401	1,769	$3,294,876	1,761	3/11/16
My All American	CE	$2,246,000	1,565	$1,365,000	1,565	11/13/15
Woodlawn	PFR	$14,394,097	1,553	$4,002,226	1,553	10/16/15

 

These are more in Every Day's alley.

[a2k]

6 minutes ago, tawasal said:

Does someone remember what BP's friday estimates on MOJO was before the actuals? 

"Disney and Marvel's Black Panther exploded to an estimated $75.8 million on Friday"

...just a tad below 75.941 actuals.

Edited February 24, 2018 by a2knet

[Chewy]

4 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

So this second week-end puts Black Panther in what ballpark as far as its final bo take domestic ?

550-650m ?

 

Would take a catastrophe for it to finish at 550

[tawasal]

3 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

So this second week-end puts Black Panther in what ballpark as far as its final bo take domestic ?

550-650m ?

Both JW and TA made 250m respectively after their 2nd weekends and that was summer, so it's really hard to judge on where it could finish, but I will say 600 mill 90% there. 

[a2k]

7 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

So this second week-end puts Black Panther in what ballpark as far as its final bo take domestic ?

550-650m ?

it would have to have horrible legs to do "only" 550. 101 weekend gives 393, just 157 away from 550. can't miss 575 even in the worst-case imo. 625-650 seems realistic.

Edited February 24, 2018 by a2knet

[redfirebird2008]

6 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

So this second week-end puts Black Panther in what ballpark as far as its final bo take domestic ?

550-650m ?

 

580+ feels pretty locked now. Very good chance to go over 600. 

[The Futurist]

3 minutes ago, Chewy said:

 

Would take a catastrophe for it to finish at 550

So 600m minimum ?

Thx guys for all your answers.

 

 

Edited February 24, 2018 by The Futurist

[tawasal]

3 minutes ago, a2knet said:

"Disney and Marvel's Black Panther exploded to an estimated $75.8 million on Friday"

...just a tad below 75.941 actuals.

I was just thinking about if it had a chance of beating the 29.2m for TA and 29.1m from JW with actuals. 

[tawasal]

1 minute ago, The Futurist said:

So 600-700m+ ballbarpk ?

Thx guys for all your answers.

 

 

700m is a stretch iMO, maybe wait for 3rd weekend and if that say does more than TA and JW's 54-55m then we can talk. 

[The Futurist]

So ok, Infinity War lost its chance to be number one domestic unless purple aliens immigration politics become topical.

[redfirebird2008]

4 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

So 600m minimum ?

Thx guys for all your answers.

 

 

 

From Tuesday-Friday, the gross is about 77% ahead of Deadpool. Friday itself is about 78% ahead of Deadpool's Friday. If this kind of pace continues it will finish at $617m. 

[a2k]

BATB added 185 more after a 90.4 weekend.

Mar 24–26

1

$90,426,717

-48.3%

4,210

-

$21,479

$319,032,604

2

 

BP is showing a similar 2nd weekend drop (using 104). Same legs give 212 more for 609 dom.

 

BATB did show a series of good drops when folks thought 500 would be very tough:

Mar 24–26	1	$90,426,717	-48.3%	4,210	-	$21,479	$319,032,604	2
Mar 31–Apr 2	2	$45,420,743	-49.8%	4,210	-	$10,789	$393,337,585	3
Apr 7–9	2	$23,652,605	-47.9%	3,969	-241	$5,959	$430,946,639	4
Apr 14–16	3	$13,705,122	-42.1%	3,592	-377	$3,815	$454,720,873	5
Apr 21–23	3	$9,662,645	-29.5%	3,315	-277	$2,915	$470,787,029	6
Apr 28–30	6	$6,825,595	-29.4%	3,155	-160	$2,163	$480,525,828	7
May 5–7	5	$5,087,749	-25.5%	2,680	-475	$1,898	$487,739,364	8
May 12–14	5	$4,809,170	-5.5%	2,172	-508	$2,214	$494,140,334	9
May 19–21	9	$2,545,579	-47.1%	1,792	-380	$1,421	$497,924,628	10
May 26–28	11	$1,463,306	-42.5%	1,076	-716	$1,360	$500,463,741	11
May 26–29	10	$2,013,748	-20.9%	1,076	-716	$1,872	$501,014,183	11

 

But BP could end up with better Mon-Thu and better 3rd/4th/6th weekend drops. Maybe not need that series of great holds to get to ~610. In any case, even if it's 15 short and is hovering around 595, Disney will give it a push ala Tangled.

[Webslinger]

The Boss Baby's unexpected breakout also put a dent in Beauty and the Beast, though. I don't really see any of the competition in the next several weeks having the same effect on Black Panther.

[tawasal]

4 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

From Tuesday-Friday, the gross is about 77% ahead of Deadpool. Friday itself is about 78% ahead of Deadpool's Friday. If this kind of pace continues it will finish at $617m. 

If it has similar run to Beauty2017 it will be great and with no tough competition that's awesome. 

[TwoMisfits]

Black Panther's final number will probably depend on Disney and its own other movies...how much Disney wants to try to tout Wrinkle In Time vs the continued legs of Black Panther...the more WIT disappoints, the higher BP's legs could go...and vice versa...

[That One Girl]

BATB did good for a February release

[tawasal]

Just now, TwoMisfits said:

Black Panther's final number will probably depend on Disney and its own other movies...how much Disney wants to try to tout Wrinkle In Time vs the continued legs of Black Panther...the more WIT disappoints, the higher BP's legs could go...and vice versa...

that puny won't affect our BP.

[tawasal]

1 minute ago, That One Guy said:

BATB did good for a February release

That was a march release, if it's what I think.