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AndyLL

Well, for one thing, I'm not Asgardian. And for another, we have a Derby | Week 18

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7 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

@AndyLL  Truth Or Dare is entered in at 

Truth or Dare 4 $35.37M

We were so obsessed with IW massive opening weekend we missed Truth or Dare's legendary increase. 

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9 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

@AndyLL  Truth Or Dare is entered in at 

Truth or Dare 4 $35.37M

For the current week game? 

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1 hour ago, AndyLL said:

For the current week game? 

Yes. Using the percentage drop feature won't be effective :lol: 

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I was so confused when I changed it to the drop view and i was predicting a 95+% drop.

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@AndyLL The last 2 picks aren't coming up for me to predict. I tried in classic wizard and %. Rampage is my last pick

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16 minutes ago, POTUS said:

@AndyLL The last 2 picks aren't coming up for me to predict. I tried in classic wizard and %. Rampage is my last pick

I'll try to fix it tonight but send them to me in a PM just in case

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8 hours ago, AndyLL said:

I'll try to fix it tonight but send them to me in a PM just in case

just woke up. its working now, thanks

 

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@JJ-8 PMed me his picks.  I will enter them manually tonight

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On 04/05/2018 at 10:10 AM, POTUS said:

Thanks for this! By deadline's friday night estimates I'm 3rd! THIRD! 

 

I really hope that sticks, because that would be my best result by far :D 

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4 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

Thanks for this! By deadline's friday night estimates I'm 3rd! THIRD! 

 

I really hope that sticks, because that would be my best result by far :D 

Even a broken clocks right twice a day.

 

Sorry feasby dont mean it much love

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1 minute ago, IronJimbo said:

Even a broken clocks right twice a day.

 

Sorry feasby dont mean it much love

To be fair though, I usually put a lot less effort into derby than some members here. 

 

This week I actually tried and did a little more effort, it seems to have paid off!

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The weekend's tightest derby match-up is between myself and Litio, of which I appear to be on the losing end. The average difference between our guesses is .297 (one of 5 match-ups with a sub-1.0 average in difference in guesses). Standard deviation of guesses from the avg is .27. We differed the most in our guesses for Overboard (0.85 difference), half our guesses are within 0.2 of each other (closeness not entirely surprising given some low-grossing movies) and we guessed the exact same 115.96 for Avengers (as did 2 other players, must've all went for a straightforward 55% drop).

 

I'm currently doing a bit better in the lower grossing movies (Bad Samaritan, Tully, Truth or Dare, and Quiet) while Litio has the upper hand on Overboard, Super Troopers 2, Black Panther, I Feel Pretty, and Rampage (I really whiffed it on the last two and need them to sink harder, which is doubtful in the case of Pretty).

 

It also appears we could be on track for two 90s in the same match-up (averaging estimates from a few websites, using only deadline's numbers gives us high 80s) which, for one of us, won't count for anything in derby where all that matters is getting that almighty W

Edited by BobDole
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My Bad Samaritan prediction was so stupid. Cost me at least 10% in my total.

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I overcompensated my prediction of IW's OW. And I paid the price.

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@Tower On fire.

 

 
      |         
1 Tower 92.605% 87.459% 94.811% 10.204% 49 10
2 kayumanggi 91.995% 82.678% 95.988% 9.593% 48 10
3 POTUS 91.585% 88.252% 93.013% 9.183% 47 10
4 Sheikh 91.514% 78.224% 97.210% 9.113% 46 10
5 Bates 91.070% 84.409% 93.924% 8.668% 45 10
6 Premium George 90.897% 87.005% 92.565% 8.495% 44 10
7 Simionski 90.749% 80.784% 95.020% 8.348% 43 10
8 feasby007 90.628% 86.760% 92.285% 8.226% 42 10
9 Litio 90.118% 85.872% 91.938% 7.716% 41 10
10 TalismanRing 89.803% 89.831% 89.792% 7.401% 40 10
11 ZeeSoh 89.494% 85.872% 91.047% 7.092% 39 10
12 BobDole 89.471% 86.889% 90.577% 7.069% 38 10
13 Tain 89.365% 81.365% 92.794% 6.964% 37 10
14 Boxx93 88.554% 88.826% 88.437% 6.152% 36 10
15 8wombi7 88.375% 74.685% 94.241% 5.973% 35 10
16 WrathOfHan 88.238% 80.756% 91.445% 5.837% 34 10
17 peludo 88.149% 85.943% 89.095% 5.747% 33 10
18 Empire 88.065% 74.267% 93.978% 5.663% 32 10
19 Deja23 87.605% 74.565% 93.194% 5.204% 31 10
20 The Fast and the Furiosa 87.462% 72.044% 94.069% 5.060% 30 10
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