CAPTAIN MARVEL | 701.4 M overseas ● 1128.3 M worldwide

[Legion Again]

2 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

OS-C-J first weekdays were $56.5mn while 2nd weekend was $87.5mn i.e. 1.55x.

 

2nd week weekdays are $33.5mn, say due to Mexico they will be $31.7mn, with same ratio, 3rd weekend shall be $49mn, while I estimated them to be $48mn in my $57mn projection.

 

 

If it has to beat Aquaman, need that $60mn plus weekend.

Ahh, I forgot to subtract out J weekdays from this week since didn’t have to bother with last week 😅     

 

Seems reasonable to hope for better than 1.55x this time though, we’ll see how F goes.

[Taruseth]

4 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

My projection for 3rd weekend,

 

Friday: $13.5mn

Saturday: $25mn

Sunday: $20.5mn

  Reveal hidden contents

 

	3rd Weekend
China	6.70
UK	5.30
Brazil	4.60
South Korea	3.60
Mexico	3.00
India	0.55
Australia	2.70
Indonesia	1.30
Russia	2.30
Germany	3.30
France	3.40
Japan	3.10
Rest	19.25
	59.10

 

 

Total: $59mn ($599mn Cume)

 

Domestic cume post weekend $322-323mn.

 

That gives worldwide total of $921-922mn post 3rd weekend.

 

That said, we would have

 

Week 0: $44mn

Week 1: $532mn

Week 2: $251mn

 

Week 3: $130mn / $957mn cume

Week 4: $70mn / $1027mn cume

Week 5: $35mn / $1062mn cume

Week 6: $20mn / $1082mn cume

Week 7: $13mn / $1095mn cume

Week 8: $10mn / $1104mn cume

 

Final: $1125mn cume 

 

 

Are those the numbers for the 3day weekend in all countries?

Because for Germany $3.3M would mean 270k adm sold on just Friday to Sunday and Thursday was about 26k adm (drop of roughly 42% compared to last weekend) which for the whole weekend would mean a drop to 225-230k and $2.75M and excluding friday 200k and $2.4M.

[charlie Jatinder]

10 minutes ago, Taruseth said:

Are those the numbers for the 3day weekend in all countries?

Because for Germany $3.3M would mean 270k adm sold on just Friday to Sunday and Thursday was about 26k adm (drop of roughly 42% compared to last weekend) which for the whole weekend would mean a drop to 225-230k and $2.75M and excluding friday 200k and $2.4M.

Yeah, Friday-Sunday. 

[terrestrial]

Just now, Charlie Jatinder said:

Yeah, Friday-Sunday. 

Trend says 225k for the weekend

[Taruseth]

7 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Yeah, Friday-Sunday. 

I hope it gets that high, but Thursday suggests otherwise right now, but you maybe know a lot more because I only know the released Thursday numbers for last weekend and this weekend and the internal multiplier last weekend which should be roughly the same this weekend as far as I didn't forget any special holidays.

And furthermore this (from German box office website insidekino)

7 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

Trend says 225k for the weekend

 

[terrestrial]

Just now, Taruseth said:

I hope it gets that high, but Thursday suggests otherwise right now, but you maybe know a lot more because I only know the released Thursday numbers for last weekend and this weekend and the internal multiplier last weekend which should be roughly the same this weekend as far as I didn't forget any special holidays.

And furthermore this (from German box office website insidekino)

Friday and Saturday the weather here is way too nice for big numbers, Sunday its 50:50 (south), according the weather reports

[charlie Jatinder]

9 minutes ago, Taruseth said:

I hope it gets that high, but Thursday suggests otherwise right now, but you maybe know a lot more because I only know the released Thursday numbers for last weekend and this weekend and the internal multiplier last weekend which should be roughly the same this weekend as far as I didn't forget any special holidays.

And furthermore this (from German box office website insidekino)

 

Yeah, that's expected. Some markets will go higher, some down.

[raulbalarezo]

 

Edited March 22, 2019 by raulbalarezo

[raulbalarezo]

 

[charlie Jatinder]

Why is Disney underreporting China and Korea 🙄

[Fake]

1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Why is Disney underreporting China and Korea 🙄

The numbers look okay. Are you sure you are nit comparing gross upto Thursday (reported by Disney) to the gross upto Friday that is available from local sources??

[charlie Jatinder]

41 minutes ago, Fake said:

The numbers look okay. Are you sure you are nit comparing gross upto Thursday (reported by Disney) to the gross upto Friday that is available from local sources??

Yeah sure,

China - $139.3mn (till Thursday)

Korea - I rechecked it's ok.

[Fake]

8 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Yeah sure,

China - $139.3mn (till Thursday)

Korea - I rechecked it's ok.

Difference in china gross is minor and can be attributed to different exchange rates.

 

Btw China is looking to have a big drop this weekend ($6-7M). $150M should happen but i doubt that it can reach $155M.

[UserHN]

14 minutes ago, Fake said:

Difference in china gross is minor and can be attributed to different exchange rates.

 

Btw China is looking to have a big drop this weekend ($6-7M). $150M should happen but i doubt that it can reach $155M.

I'll take $150M. During the 1st week when the 'free fall' happened, predictions were $130M to $140M. I consider it an improvement.

[charlie Jatinder]

27 minutes ago, Fake said:

Difference in china gross is minor and can be attributed to different exchange rates.

 

Btw China is looking to have a big drop this weekend ($6-7M). $150M should happen but i doubt that it can reach $155M.

It can still reach $155-157mn.

[charlie Jatinder]

	Week One	Week Two		3rd Fri	Total
China	108	31.3		1.45	140.75
UK	22.2	12.1		1.10	35.40
Brazil	17.7	9.4		0.80	27.90
South Korea	28.2	9.95		0.55	38.70
Mexico	16.5	10		0.65	27.15
India	9.55	3.65		0.15	13.35
Australia	13.8	6.1		0.50	20.40
Indonesia	13.7	3.9		0.20	17.80
Russia	12.9	4.3		0.40	17.60
Germany	9.9	5.6		0.50	16.00
France	11	5.4		0.40	16.80
Japan		8.55		0.45	9.00
Rest	115.43	49.5		4.40	169.33
	378.88	159.75		11.55	550.18

 

Bold ones are actuals. Rest estimated.

 

[Rthmessiah]

Intl WE looking 56-60m

[raulbalarezo]

4 minutes ago, Rthmar-vell said:

Intl WE looking 56-60m

 

... So $915M - $920M worldwide by tomorrow

Edited March 24, 2019 by raulbalarezo

[druv10]

4 minutes ago, Rthmar-vell said:

Intl WE looking 56-60m

Awesome, with the strong hold domestic we should be looking around 920M WW total. Fantastic performance, should finish 1.1B+ WW.

[Legion Again]

Sun OS should be about 590-595 then, WW 910-915. +150 in last week, likely be a bit short of 1B next Sun. Over AQM is fading a bit, but over 1.1 still a really good result.