Eric Duncan Posted October 26, 2019 Share Posted October 26, 2019 (I kinda spitballed this, don't yell at me) 1. Wonder Woman 1984: 420M 2. Eternals: 405M 3. Mulan: 375M 4. Soul: 365M 5. Black Widow: 310M 6. Birds of Prey: 250M 7. Raya and the Last Dragon: 240M 8. Onward: 240M 9. Dune: 235M 10. Tenet: 225M No Time to Die: 220M Fast 9: 210M Venom 2: 190M West Side Story: 170M Jungle Cruise: 170M Minions: 165M Trolls World Tour: 165M Top Gun: Maverick: 145M Godzilla vs Kong: 130M In the Heights: 125M Ghostbusters: 110M A Quiet Place Part II: 105M Spongebob: 105M Halloween Kills: 100M Coming 2 America: 100M Peter Rabbit 2: The Runaway: 95M Conjuring 3: 95M Free Guy: 90M Tom and Jerry: 85M Scoob!: 85M Croods 2: 80M Bad Boys For Life: 80M Bill and Ted: 80M Sonic: 75M Morbius: 70M Dolittle: 60M King's Man: 55M Artemis Fowl: 55M Snake Eyes: 50M The New Mutants: LOL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alli Posted October 26, 2019 Share Posted October 26, 2019 I really think Mulan is being over predicted. Aladdin, which was fun made 355M. I don't see Mulan making more Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted October 28, 2019 Share Posted October 28, 2019 425 - Wonder Woman - 150 360 - Jungle Cruise - 110 350 - Minions - 95 290 - Birds of Prey - 110 290 - Black Widow - 110 260 - Tenet - 60 250 - Fast & Furious 9 - 95 240 - No Time to Die - 80 250 - Venom - 100 225 - Halloween - 100 225 - Top Gun - 70 200 - Morbius - 60 190 - Soul - 60 180 - Trolls - 60 170 - Onward - 60 170 - Mulan - 60 155 - Godzilla vs Kong - 60 145 - A Quiet Place - 60 150 - Ghostbusters - 60 150 - The Croods 2 - 30 150 - Tom & Jerry - 30 150 - Dune - 30 150 - West Side Story - 25 100 - Coming to America - 20 100 - Uncharted - 20 100 - The Conjuring 3 - 40 110 - Scooby - 45 105 - Spongebob - 40 100 - Artemis Fowl - 40 100 - The King's Men - 45 100 - Sonic the Hedgehog - 45 105 - Dolittle - 40 105 - Bad Boys - 40 90 - The Purge - 35 85 - The New Mutants - 40 80 - Legally Blonde - 30 75 - The Grudge - 35 75 - G.I. Joe - 25 75 - The Organ Donor - 30 70 - Peter Rabbit - 20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WayneBorg Posted January 5, 2020 Share Posted January 5, 2020 Revised predictions from Jan to Aug. January 2020 Bad Boys for Life – Domestic: 65m, worldwide: 220m Dr. Doolittle – domestic: 75m, worldwide: 145m February Birds of Prey – Domestic: 175m, worldwide: 475m Sonic the Hedgehog – Domestic: 75m, worldwide: 295m The Call of the Wild – domestic: 65m, worldwide: 220m March Onward: Domestic: 265m, worldwide: 585m Godzilla vs Kong – Domestic: 100m, worldwide: 450m A Quiet Place 2 – Domestic: 160m, worldwide: 370m Mulan – Domestic: 385, worldwide: 785m April The New Mutants – Domestic: 65m, worldwide: 300m James Bond 25 – Domestic: 220m, worldwide: 870m Trolls World Tour – Domestic: 125m, worldwide: 400m May Black Widow – Domestic: 300m, worldwide: 700m Greyhound – Domestic: 110m, worldwide: 300m Legally Blonde 3 – Domestic: 85m, worldwide: 270m Scooby – Domestic: 100m, worldwide: 230m Fast and Furious 9 – Domestic: 190m, worldwide: 1 billion The SpongeBob Movie – Domestic: 85m, worldwide: 300m Artemis Fowl – Domestic: 65m, worldwide: 200m June Wonder Woman 1984 – Domestic: 390m, worldwide: 1B Candyman – Domestic: 90m, worldwide: 220m Soul – Domestic: 330m, worldwide: 730m In the Heights – Domestic: 120m, worldwide: 300m Top Gun – Domestic: 110m, worldwide: 300m July Free Guy – Domestic: 100m, worldwide: 250m Minions: The Rise of Gru – Domestic: 165m, worldwide: 740m Ghostbusters – Domestic: 100m, worldwide: 270m Bob’s Burgers – Domestic: 55m, worldwide: 170m Tenet – Domestic: 220m, worldwide: 580m Jungle Cruise – Domestic: 120m, worldwide: 420m Morbius – Domestic: 75m, worldwide: 275m August The Suicide Squad – Domestic: 250m, worldwide: 740m Bill and Ted Face the Music – Domestic: 90m, worldwide: 240m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted January 5, 2020 Share Posted January 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, WayneBorg said: Black Widow – Domestic: 300m, worldwide: 700m It seems highly unlikely that OS would only be 33% more than domestic when films like FFH and Captain Marvel are 65% or more. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted January 5, 2020 Share Posted January 5, 2020 Will be a down year but hopefully creative talent doesn't overreact and flock en masse to the streaming services. It's ok to not have perpetual increases. That's unrealistic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inceptionzq Posted January 5, 2020 Share Posted January 5, 2020 7 hours ago, VenomXXR said: It seems highly unlikely that OS would only be 33% more than domestic when films like FFH and Captain Marvel are 65% or more. Yeah that’s 100% not happening. Even if it “only” does 150M in China, that means it would get 250M OS-China. Antman and the Wasp did 285M OS-China. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 worldwide prediction: No Disney film in the top 4 for the year. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWR Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 22 minutes ago, Avatree said: worldwide prediction: No Disney film in the top 4 for the year. What are your choices for the top 4 or 5? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 3 minutes ago, JWR said: What are your choices for the top 4 or 5? Top 4 (not sure what order): Fast & Furious 9, Minions, No Time To Die, and Wonder Woman. all of these bordering on 1B or surpassing it. Disney will probably get #5 whether it's mulan or jungle cruise or Black Widow / Eternals etc but I don't see a Disney film reaching as high as those 4. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWR Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 5 minutes ago, Avatree said: Top 4 (not sure what order): Fast & Furious 9, Minions, No Time To Die, and Wonder Woman. all of these bordering on 1B or surpassing it. Disney will probably get #5 whether it's mulan or jungle cruise or Black Widow / Eternals etc but I don't see a Disney film reaching as high as those 4. I can maybe see some of these picks cracking the list, but Minions 2 is not going to be one of them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 (edited) 6 minutes ago, JWR said: I can maybe see some of these picks cracking the list, but Minions 2 is not going to be one of them. despicable me 2 grossed 970m, minions 1159m, despicable me 3 was 1035m. It may have peaked with Minons in 2015 but they aren't going anywhere. Edited January 6, 2020 by Avatree Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWR Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 8 minutes ago, Avatree said: despicable me 2 grossed 970m, minions 1159m, despicable me 3 was 1035m. It may have peaked with Minons in 2015 but they aren't going anywhere. Minions is still going to make bank, but it is going to see a noticeable drop from the other movies. I'm thinking $700-850m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gokai Red Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Here were my predictions for 2019 (WW/DOM/OS) and how my predictions lined up with reality. Green text represents my prediction being within 9.9% right (either positively or negatively - hint, there's not that many). Yellow text represents my prediction being within 10-19.9% correct. Red text means that I was more than 20% off on my prediction. The percentages are based on (My prediction) divided by (What the film actually grossed), so as to measure my own ability to predict the box office Will post my 2020 predictions before January is over. 1. Avengers: Endgame - 1925 (-31.2%)/625 (-27.2%)/1300 (-33.0%) - Way off on this, but then again, who wasn't. OS alone outgrossed what I thought would be its WW gross 2. The Lion King - 1400 (-15.5%)/600 (+10.4%)/800 (-28.1%) - I was somewhat close on the domestic front, but the OS over performance was hard to see coming 3. Frozen 2 - 1300 (-10.3%)/450 (-10%)/850 (-10.5%) (Assuming 1450/500/950) - We were this close to greatness. Under predicted, but at least I got the ratios right 4. Star Wars: Episode IX - 1250 (+17.9%)/600 (+17.6%)/650 (+18.2%) (Assuming 1060/510/550) - Over predicted, but at least I got the ratios right. 5. Spider-Man: Far From Home - 1025 (-9.4%)/375 (-4.0%)/650 (-12.3%) - One if my better predictions. OS over performed 6. Fast and Furious Presents: Hobbs and Shaw - 1000 (+31.8%)/200 (+15.1%)/800 (+36.7%) - Over predicted by a lot 7. Toy Story 4 - 975 (-9.2%)/350 (-19.4%)/625 (-2.3%) - Another halfway decent prediction. If I had had DOM up by 75, this prediction would pretty much be spot on 8. Jumanji 3 - 925 (+18.6%)/350 (+12.9%)/575 (+22.3%) (Assuming 780/310/470) - Over predicted 9. Captain Marvel - 900 (-20.2%)/375 (-12.1%)/525 (-25.1%) - I say I'm an MCU fanboy but I under predicted all 3 MCUs this year. Maybe I should start going higher 10. The Secret Life of Pets 2 - 900 (+109.6%)/325 (+105.3%)/575 (+112.0%) - Don't even talk to me about this one dude I did not predict Joker or Aladdin making it into the top 10. I'm still trash at this 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Duncan Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
