Tuesday (6/25) Numbers

[RamblinRed]

3 minutes ago, a2k said:

ANNABELLE is the reason behind KOTM's and PIKACHU's bad Tue bumps

 

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
Previews		Annabelle Comes Home	Warner Bros.	$3,500,000				$3,500,000
-	(4)	The Secret Life of Pets 2	Universal	$2,385,260	+71%	3,804	$627	$121,345,610	19
-	(5)	Men in Black: International	Sony Pictures	$2,068,267	+56%	4,224	$490	$56,033,193	12
-	(6)	Rocketman	Paramount Pictures	$1,005,938	+44%	2,414	$417	$78,990,372	26
-	(7)	Godzilla: King of the Monsters	Warner Bros.	$664,270	+22%	2,368	$281	$103,711,572	26
-	(11)	Shaft	Warner Bros.	$561,311	+40%	2,952	$190	$16,866,710	12
-	(14)	The Dead Don’t Die	Focus Features	$176,305	+12%	690	$256	$5,125,280	12
-	(13)	MA	Universal	$153,160	-5%	862	$178	$44,012,820	26
-	(-)	Pavarotti	CBS Films	$76,841	+32%	136	$565	$1,149,159	19
-	(15)	Pokémon: Detective Pikachu	Warner Bros.	$71,549	+4%	366	$195	$142,170,981	47

I absolutely agree and mentioned this yesterday as something I was curious to see about Tuesday numbers. 

I think this takes 110M DOM off the table for KOTM. I just don't think it can keep enough screens to get there. Still thinking 108M which is at least better than Lego2. 

 

I'm thinking it is at about 104.5 through Thur and adds a 1.5 weekend for a 106 after this weekend with another 2 maybe to go in its run.

 

[RamblinRed]

9 minutes ago, a2k said:

Shazam being a small hit?

 

Why folks can't gather what 140 dom means for a 100 prod budget. And that the 223+ OS has only 42-43 from China. Shazam's theatrical returns on 363+ ww compared to it's prod budget make it a bigger 'hit' than Pikachu's 425+ ww.

 

Shazam with 363 ww

140*0.55 = 77 dom

180*0.40 = 72 os-ch

43*0.25 = 11 ch

77 + 72 + 11 = 160 theatrical on 100 prod budget

 

Pikachu (guessing a final cume of 429 ww. Is a bit over 425 with a trailing run)

143*0.55 = 78.7 dom

192*0.40 = 77.8 os-ch

94*0.25 = 23.5

78.7 + 77.8 + 23.5 = 179 theatrical on 150 prod budget

 

 

Very well stated. Shazam is likely to make a small profit in its theatrical release.

 

DP is probably about a break even movie. it will eventually turn a profit after ancilliaries, but not alot.

 

This is also why KOTM is likely to be a loss. it is going to make just a little more than Shazam WW but has a 170M production budget (maybe more if some articles are correct).

 

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[NamakFiskKa]

59 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

Troll rush? For an Annabelle flick? Maybe just so few votes that that the % fluctuated a lot early on?

Chucky fandom

[Krissykins]

6 hours ago, PKMLover said:

You should call it re-expansion in 4 days rather than re-release.

Hmm they’ve allegedly added more footage at the end and are offering gimmicks such as posters. 

 

It hasn’t left cinemas, so technically not a re release, but there’s extra incentives for fans added

[gary]

26 minutes ago, RamblinRed said:

Very well stated. Shazam is likely to make a small profit in its theatrical release.

 

DP is probably about a break even movie. it will eventually turn a profit after ancilliaries, but not alot.

 

This is also why KOTM is likely to be a loss. it is going to make just a little more than Shazam WW but has a 170M production budget (maybe more if some articles are correct).

 

Big profit is more like it i think. It made 366 million without relying on China much either from a budget of $85-100 million budget.

[Krissykins]

4 hours ago, sfran43 said:

 

Great start. 

3 hours ago, a2k said:

75% for a sequel from an established franchise is not a good starting score imo. The most ardent fans will have voted at this point.

Lol

 

 

Anyway, great for Annabelle AND Toy Story. 

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

Edited June 26, 2019 by sfran43

[a2k]

45 minutes ago, RamblinRed said:

Very well stated. Shazam is likely to make a small profit in its theatrical release.

 

DP is probably about a break even movie. it will eventually turn a profit after ancilliaries, but not alot.

 

This is also why KOTM is likely to be a loss. it is going to make just a little more than Shazam WW but has a 170M production budget (maybe more if some articles are correct).

 

KOTM is looking at ~150 theatricals on 170-185 prod budget. Will need to do very well on dvd/bluray/home media globally to prevent loss, and also hope that it has at least earned goodwill to set up GVK positively.

Edited June 26, 2019 by a2k

[sfran43]

 

[RamblinRed]

40 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

What a run this is having, by far the most interesting movie to follow this summer. It has moved ahead of IJ4 in cumulative to this point.

It actually had more consecutive days above $2M than AE did (31 to 26) even though it opened to a 3-day barely 1/4th of AE. 

On Saturday it will pass AE on consecutive days in the top 5.

 

 

[a2k]

50 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

Jumanji, American Sniper, Inside Out, Zootopia, AQM were sub-100 FSS openers and still crossed 300 dom in the last 5-6 years.

 

Jumanji opened on Wed but it's 5-day was itself under 100 at at 52+ so have included it.

 

Aladdin will join them.

 

Sniper's most impressive of the lot imo. AQM and Jum were Dec releases but not taking away anything from their legs, especially Jum. IO and Zootp were animations but still needed great wom to do what they did.

[sfran43]

June 23	% Change from Last Wknd
Toy Story 4	Disney / Pixar	$60,800,000	$243,800,000	-50%
Annabelle Comes Home	Warner Bros. / New Line	$27,000,000	$43,700,000	NEW
Yesterday	Universal	$10,000,000	$10,000,000	NEW
Aladdin (2019)	Disney	$9,200,000	$305,800,000	-31%
The Secret Life of Pets 2	Universal / Illumination	$7,600,000	$132,100,000	-26%
Men In Black International	Sony / Columbia	$5,500,000	$63,700,000	-49%
Child’s Play (2019)	United Artists Releasing	$5,200,000	$25,000,000	-63%
Rocketman	Paramount	$3,500,000	$84,000,000	-38%
Avengers: Endgame	Disney / Marvel	$2,900,000+	$838,600,000+	46%
John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum	Lionsgate / Summit	$2,700,000	$160,900,000	-34%

[Maxmoser3]

Great Tuesday! Toy Story 4 pulling in great cash! Also great preview number for Annabelle, it should do most of its business as a weekend film but it’s Wednesday and Thursday walk-ups could be decent.