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charlie Jatinder

Black Widow Overseas Thread.

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4 hours ago, VenomXXR said:

Despite my club, my real prediction is about....

 

$280m DOM

$120m China 
$350m Rest 

That seems quite low. I mean $750m is probably what Doctor Strange would have done in 2020, and that had way less buzz than BW does right now. 

 

$350 million DOM

$180 million China (trailer did disproportionately well there and seems to have a lot more buzz than say Captain Marvel)

$450 million Rest

 

is what I'm thinking.

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19 minutes ago, Menor said:

That seems quite low. I mean $750m is probably what Doctor Strange would have done in 2020, and that had way less buzz than BW does right now. 

DS 96th WW, so in BW’s release spot about 785M would be similar.

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Opening weekend expectations

 

Asia/Oceania

China - $100-110M (release uncertain)

Korea - $17-20M

ANZ - $7M (AUS under lockdown now)

Middle East - $7M

Japan - $2-3M

Indonesia - $3M

Hong Kong - $3.5M

Rest of Asia - $2-5M

 

Total - $141.5-158.5M

 

Europe and Africa

UK - $15M

France - $9M

Russia - $8M

Germany - $4M

Spain - $4M

Italy - $4M

Rest of Europe and Africa - $7-10M

 

Total - $51-55M

 

LATAM

Mexico - $9M

Brazil - $3M

Cent AM - $1.5M

Colombia - $1.5M

Rest of LATAM - $1M (Could be more depending on opening status)

 

Total - $16M

 

Total OS OW - $208-230M

Edited by charlie Jatinder
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12 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Non adjusted for ER, Far From Home opened at ~$175M in markets this will open. With chance of overperformance, expecting $110M from Black Widow.

110 ow would be your medium performance ? if so what an overperformance would look like ?

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Updated Opening weekend expectations

 

Asia/Oceania

Korea - $17-20M

ANZ - $10-12M

Middle East - $7-8M

Japan - $2-3M

Indonesia - $3M

Hong Kong - $3.5M

Rest of Asia - $1M

 

Total - $41-48M

 

Europe and Africa

UK - $12-15M

France - $6M

Russia - $6-7M

Germany - $3-4M

Spain - $3-4M

Italy - $3M

Rest of Europe and Africa - $7-10M

 

Total - $40-49M

 

LATAM

Mexico - $9-11M

Brazil - $2.5-3M

Cent AM - $1.5-2M

Colombia - $1.5-2M

Rest of LATAM - $2.5-3M

 

Total - $17-21M

 

Total OS OW - $97-118M

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6 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Updated Opening weekend expectations

 

Asia/Oceania

Korea - $17-20M

ANZ - $10-12M

Middle East - $7-8M

Japan - $2-3M

Indonesia - $3M

Hong Kong - $3.5M

Rest of Asia - $1M

 

Total - $41-48M

 

Europe and Africa

UK - $12-15M

France - $6M

Russia - $6-7M

Germany - $3-4M

Spain - $3-4M

Italy - $3M

Rest of Europe and Africa - $7-10M

 

Total - $40-49M

 

LATAM

Mexico - $9-11M

Brazil - $2.5-3M

Cent AM - $1.5-2M

Colombia - $1.5-2M

Rest of LATAM - $2.5-3M

 

Total - $17-21M

 

Total OS OW - $97-118M

with that ow can it hit 400 mill os without china ?

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6 minutes ago, john2000 said:

with that ow can it hit 400 mill os without china ?

No, even 350 would be great legs from there. Could happen with a combination of reception being great and reopening helping legs (larger factor in some markets).

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