a2k Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 (edited) Movie Distr Gross %YD %LW Thr Per Thr Total Gross D - P 1917 Universal $3,250,000 +2,898% +2,116% 2,900 $1,121 $5,891,888 16 1 (1) Star Wars: The Rise of Sk… Walt Disney $2,200,000 -8% -76% 4,406 $499 $463,145,094 21 - (2) Little Women Sony Pictures $1,375,000 -5% -62% 3,308 $416 $66,377,454 16 - (3) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $1,230,000 -11% -82% 4,134 $298 $243,121,177 28 - (5) Uncut Gems A24 $664,422 -16% -60% 2,686 $247 $39,966,672 28 - (6) The Grudge Sony Pictures $530,000 -14% 2,642 $201 $14,409,300 7 - P Underwater 20th Century… $500,000 $500,000 - (14) Parasite Neon $132,006 -7% -10% 222 $595 $24,402,732 91 - (13) A Beautiful Day in the Ne… Sony Pictures $130,000 -10% -58% 856 $152 $59,409,709 49 - (11) Richard Jewell Warner Bros. $120,000 -30% -76% 1,870 $64 $21,834,373 28 - (-) Just Mercy Warner Bros. $10,000 +19% -42% 4 $2,500 $435,862 16 - (-) No Safe Spaces Atlas Distri… $6,762 -6% +208% 69 $98 $1,269,504 77 - (-) The Lighthouse A24 $4,541 +9% -49% 21 $216 $10,825,163 84 - (-) Clemency Neon $2,856 -16% +33% 9 $317 $88,397 14 - (-) Waves A24 $2,143 -29% -68% 22 $97 $1,635,548 56 Edited January 10, 2020 by a2k 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1Robert1 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 1917 (3,434 theaters) - $35.0 M Star Wars: Episode IX - The Rise of Skywalker (4,279 theaters) - $17.3 M Jumanji: The Next Level (3,904 theaters) - $16.7 M Like a Boss (3,078 theaters) - $13.0 M Little Women (3,216 theaters) - $10.0 M Just Mercy (2,375 theaters) - $9.5 M Frozen II (2,655 theaters) - $7.7 M Knives Out (2,060 theaters) - $6.4 M Underwater (2,791 theaters) - $6.0 M Spies in Disguise (2,671 theaters) - $5.2 M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 (edited) Edited January 10, 2020 by sfran43 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted January 10, 2020 Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 TROS has held better than my expectations honestly. Especially on Thu. Felt loosing premium screens could give it a 15% drop. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 6 minutes ago, a2k said: TROS has held better than my expectations honestly. Especially on Thu. Felt loosing premium screens could give it a 15% drop. It didn't lose all premium screens. Still playing in Prime and Dolby in most places, and even IMAX in half the theaters. The 4 week engagement ends next week. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlyDeadlinePredictions Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 TROS still has the majority of IMAX screens in Canada. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vafrow Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Forecasters have TROS and Jumanji at comparable weekends, but Thursday actuals have TROS at almost double. Is TROS just much more weekday friendly. I'd assume similar demos for both. Or, are there forecasts too optimistic for Jumanji? After last weekend, I was presuming there was a chance of Jumanji overtaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 2 minutes ago, vafrow said: Forecasters have TROS and Jumanji at comparable weekends, but Thursday actuals have TROS at almost double. Is TROS just much more weekday friendly. I'd assume similar demos for both. Or, are there forecasts too optimistic for Jumanji? After last weekend, I was presuming there was a chance of Jumanji overtaking. Jumanji Welcome to the Jungle often had 12-14x Thurs: Weekend multipliers in January where TFA/RO/TLJ were more in the 7-9x range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vafrow Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 28 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said: Jumanji Welcome to the Jungle often had 12-14x Thurs: Weekend multipliers in January where TFA/RO/TLJ were more in the 7-9x range. Thanks That makes an obvious place to compare. I should have thought of that. I find it a little surprising, but perhaps speak to Jumanji franchise being more of a movie you see when you're looking for something to watch in theatres, while Star Wars is something people make a point to go see. Even with those multipliers, pretty hard for Jumanji to overtake it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 1 billion this weekend for TROS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted January 10, 2020 Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 1 hour ago, Arendelle Legion said: Jumanji Welcome to the Jungle often had 12-14x Thurs: Weekend multipliers in January where TFA/RO/TLJ were more in the 7-9x range. 1 hour ago, vafrow said: Thanks That makes an obvious place to compare. I should have thought of that. I find it a little surprising, but perhaps speak to Jumanji franchise being more of a movie you see when you're looking for something to watch in theatres, while Star Wars is something people make a point to go see. Even with those multipliers, pretty hard for Jumanji to overtake it seems. Was going with 120-140% Fri bump for JUM2 but looking at JUM1 guessing TROS vs JUM2 will pan out as 2.20 -8.3% Thu 1.23 -11.5% 3.75 70.5% Fri 3.25 164.2% 6.25 66.7% Sat 6.25 92.3% 4.00 -36.0% Sun 3.75 -40.0% 14.00 -59.4% FSS 13.25 -49.5% Gives TROS 6.4x the Thu and give JUM2 10.8x TROS has a better shot at winning the weekend but a fun upset/meltdown is still alive imo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 This might be a daft question, when the holdovers are losing theatre locations this weekend, do they lose them on the Thursday night now to make room for the preview films? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Fast and the Furiosa Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 2 minutes ago, Krissykins said: This might be a daft question, when the holdovers are losing theatre locations this weekend, do they lose them on the Thursday night now to make room for the preview films? Often if the theater is dropping them for the weekend, they drop for Thursday night as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MagnarTheGreat Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 (edited) TROS Multiplier advantage versus TLJ Multiplier advantage Week 1 = +0.28 (2.82 + 0.28 * $177.4M = $550M TROS final domestic total) Multiplier advantage Week 2 = +0.24 (2.82 + 0.24 * $177.4M = $543M TROS final domestic total) Multiplier advantage Week 3 = +0.11 (2.82 + 0.11 * $177.4M = $520M TROS final domestic total) ... and so on ... If it keeps on decreasing, then the final total shifts downward. If it increases, the final total shifts upward. And TLJ only added another 0.32 to its multiplier between yesterday (Thursday) and its final multiplier. If TROS final total is $500M, then day it hit 90% is Day 17 If TROS final total is $505M, then day it hit 90% is Day 18 If TROS final total is $510M, then day it hit 90% is Day 20 If TROS final total is $515M, then day it hit 90% is Day 22 (today) If TROS final total is >=$520M, then day it hit 90% is Day >=22 (today) Comparisons Edited January 10, 2020 by MagnarTheGreat redundant text, added table 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1Robert1 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 19 minutes ago, a2k said: TROS has a better shot at winning the weekend but a fun upset/meltdown is still alive imo Jumanji Welcome to jungle Welcome to jungle Sun 7th 10.6 mln sun 6th 6.7m Mon 2.6 mln 0.25 of sunday Mon 2.05 0.3 of sunday Tue 3.5 0.33 of sunday Tue 2.5 0.37 of sunday Wed 2.1 0.205 of sunday Wed 1.3 0.205 of sunday Thu 2.1 0.2 of sunday Thu 1.2 0.18 of sunday Jumanji Welcome to jungle had just 25% drop during weekend, and next level weekdays are holding quite well in comparison to jwtl so maybe 50% drop is a little bit harsh, don't you think so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 39 minutes ago, a2k said: Was going with 120-140% Fri bump for JUM2 but looking at JUM1 guessing TROS vs JUM2 will pan out as 2.20 -8.3% Thu 1.23 -11.5% 3.75 70.5% Fri 3.25 164.2% 6.25 66.7% Sat 6.25 92.3% 4.00 -36.0% Sun 3.75 -40.0% 14.00 -59.4% FSS 13.25 -49.5% Gives TROS 6.4x the Thu and give JUM2 10.8x TROS has a better shot at winning the weekend but a fun upset/meltdown is still alive imo Frozen 2 with 550k Thursday...what will weekend look like? Maybe 4-5m? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 (edited) Edited January 10, 2020 by sfran43 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
