Juby Posted September 14, 2020 Share Posted September 14, 2020 So $300 million overseas is dead, or we can't be sure yet? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted September 14, 2020 Author Share Posted September 14, 2020 (edited) 2 hours ago, Juby said: So $300 million overseas is dead, or we can't be sure yet? It is possible. Will depend on Japan and Latin America and need to continue these holds in Europe. @Carlangonz @Purple Minion what can we expect in Mexico? Nolan don't seem hot in Latin America, but can really use $25-30mn. Edited September 14, 2020 by charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted September 14, 2020 Share Posted September 14, 2020 (edited) It's going to benefit from a 5-day OW, opens on the 16th which is National Independence Day. From what I can see, OK number of screens with high ticket prices. Unless things go really wrong, it should be the first $1M+ OW after the re-opening. Edited September 14, 2020 by Purple Minion Typo 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted September 14, 2020 Author Share Posted September 14, 2020 (edited) TENET Third Weekend China: $10.37mn (-66%) / $51.2mn UK: $1.58mn / $16.35mn France: $1.75mn (-38%) / $13.2mn Germany: $1.71mn (-39%) / $11.2mn South Korea: $1.33mn (-26.5%) / $10.3mn Taiwan: $1.3mn (-33%) / $8.6mn Spain: $0.7mn (-33%) / $6.36mn Australia: $0.72mn (-40%) / $5.6mn Russia: $2.2mn (-17.7%) / $5.85mn Italy: $0.77mn (-34%) / $5.79mn Netherlands: $0.91mn (-32%) / $5.37mn Saudi Arabia: $0.69mn (-35%) / $4.2mn Denmark: $0.42mn (-32%) / $2.71mn Switzerland: $0.29mn (-40%) / $2.23mn Sweden: $0.38mn / $2.5mn Norway: $0.28mn (-35%) / $1.93mn Hong Kong: $1.94mn (NEW) UAE: $0.2mn (-46%) / $1.73mn Thailand: $0.16mn / $1.64mn Finland: $0.23mn (-26%) / $1.57mn Austria: $0.15mn (-49%) / $1.55mn Vietnam: $0.09mn (-57%) / $1.4mn Ukraine: $0.19mn (-40%) / $1.3mn Poland: $0.12mn (-40%) / $1.21mn Singapore: $0.2mn (-35%) / $1.27mn New Zealand: $0.24mn (-32%) / $1.23mn Malaysia: $0.14mn / $1.06mn Rest of World: Europe: $0.85mn / $7.2mn Middle East: $0.34mn / $1.07mn Rest: $0.05mn / $0.18mn Total: $30.3mn / $177.75mn Official number $178mn Edited September 20, 2020 by charlie Jatinder 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted September 14, 2020 Share Posted September 14, 2020 38 minutes ago, Purple Minion said: Unless things go really wrong, it should be the first $1M+ OW after the re-opening. Yup. Been rounding around $1M-$1.1M for the 5-Day Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted September 14, 2020 Author Share Posted September 14, 2020 Possible closing numbers China: 65 Middle East: 15 Korea: 14 Taiwan: 13 Russia: 12 Hong Kong: 7 South East Asia: 7 Australia: 9 New Zealand: 2 UK: 24 France: 18 Germany: 18 Nordic: 13 Spain: 8.5 Netherlands: 8 Italy: 7.5 Rest: 18 Around 260 ish Markets left Japan: possibly 15-20 India: possibly 5-8 Latin America: possibly 10-15 Rest: possibly 5 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juby Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 So the bad scenario is around $290 million OS. Still nice all things consider. The good scenario is even $315-320 million - very good for a first major movie released during pandemic. It seems the fate of the film completely depends on US theaters. With barely $30 mln after almost 2 weeks, this movie has no profit. Warner must keep it in cinemas as long as possible and push it over $100 million no matter what, even if the California and NY theaters opens as late as in December, and even if they decide to not release Tenet on UHD/Blu-ray/DVD for a whole year. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted September 15, 2020 Author Share Posted September 15, 2020 (edited) I think it will be better if they go for digital release soon and get those home media & PVOD money in USA. If this make $25mn in PVOD, that will be really great. Edited September 15, 2020 by charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 3 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said: I think it will be better if they go for digital release soon and get those home media & PVOD money in USA. If this make $25mn in PVOD, that will be really great. Nolan: I will never make cinema for WB Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThomasNicole Posted September 15, 2020 Share Posted September 15, 2020 This will be released on home media december / january max 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted September 20, 2020 Author Share Posted September 20, 2020 <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr"><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/TENET?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#TENET</a> crossed $200mn internationally. At end of Friday, total stood at $198mn, coupled with Eastern world Saturday, its around $203mn currently. Will be over $215mn by Sunday. <a href="https://t.co/IyxBLdQKuO">pic.twitter.com/IyxBLdQKuO</a></p>— charlie Jatinder (@itisjat32) <a href="https://twitter.com/itisjat32/status/1307347138070884356?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 19, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted September 20, 2020 Author Share Posted September 20, 2020 <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-conversation="none"><p lang="en" dir="ltr"><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/TENET?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#TENET</a> grossed $25mn Approx in its 4th weekend internationally, taking its total to $215mn Approx. China leads the play with $60.9mn. Japan best new market with $4mn.<br><br>Coupled with an est. $36.8mn in North America, worldwide gross goes past $250mn at $251.5mn Approx. <a href="https://t.co/rv27lZDxXt">pic.twitter.com/rv27lZDxXt</a></p>— charlie Jatinder (@itisjat32) <a href="https://twitter.com/itisjat32/status/1307690336521564160?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 20, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted September 20, 2020 Share Posted September 20, 2020 22 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: How did it do in Mexico? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Borobudur Posted September 21, 2020 Share Posted September 21, 2020 It is weird to see Tenet has been posting good weekend hold but their total still look low in comparison to their opening weekend number especially in france and UK. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Gotham Bank Posted September 21, 2020 Share Posted September 21, 2020 2 hours ago, Borobudur said: It is weird to see Tenet has been posting good weekend hold but their total still look low in comparison to their opening weekend number especially in france and UK. Well the movie can have good weekend holds but not do that good during weekdays. Perhaps that's why you think the total should be higher by looking at weekend holds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted September 21, 2020 Author Share Posted September 21, 2020 1 minute ago, The Gotham Bank said: Well the movie can have good weekend holds but not do that good during weekdays. Perhaps that's why you think the total should be higher by looking at weekend holds. Naah, total are perfectly fine and in sync with the drops overall. Other thing which may make drops look small is staggered release. This week there were $5.3mn worth new markets. Previous week there were $2.2mn. Before that there was China and Russia opening. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted September 22, 2020 Author Share Posted September 22, 2020 (edited) TENET Fourth Weekend China: $5.62mn (-46%) / $60.9mn UK: $1.02mn (-35.4%) / $18.2mn France: $1.5mn (-14%) / $16mn Germany: $1.2mn (-30%) / $12.9mn South Korea: $1mn (-24%) / $11.9mn Taiwan: $0.8mn (-40%) / $9.9mn Russia: $1.55mn (-28%) / $8.1mn Spain: $0.56mn (-19%) / $7.3mn Italy: $0.54mn (-30%) / $6.6mn Australia: $0.61mn (-16%) / $6.4mn Netherlands: $0.61mn (-33%) / $6.2mn Saudi Arabia: $0.38mn (-46%) / $4.8mn Japan: $4.4mn (NEW) Hong Kong: $1.5mn (-22%) / $4.15mn Denmark: $0.28mn / $3.2mn Sweden: $0.24mn / $2.9mn Switzerland: $0.28mn (-7%) / $2.6mn Norway: $0.18mn (-37%) / $2.23mn UAE: $0.13mn (-33%) / $1.93mn Finland: $0.15mn (-37%) / $1.83mn Austria: $0.1mn / $1.73mn Belgium: $0.15 / $1.72mn Thailand: $0.11mn / $1.65mn (Actually $2.06mn) Ukraine: $0.13mn (-32%) / $1.51mn Singapore: $0.15mn / $1.5mn Vietnam: $0.04mn (-57%) / $1.5mn New Zealand: $0.18mn (-15%) / $1.49mn Poland: $0.09mn (-33%) / $1.3mn Malaysia: $0.1mn / $1.2mn Mexico: $0.85mn (NEW) Rest of World: Europe: $0.4mn / $6.3mn Middle East: $0.25mn / $1.42mn Rest: $0.06mn / $0.27mn Total: $25mn / $215mn Edited September 30, 2020 by charlie Jatinder 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted September 22, 2020 Author Share Posted September 22, 2020 (edited) Closing Projections China: 67 (+2) Japan: 25 (+7) Korea: 16 (+3) Middle East: 15 Russia: 13 (+1) Taiwan: 12.5 (-0.5) Hong Kong: 8.5 (+1.5) South East Asia: 7 ANZ: 13 (+2) UK: 25 (+1) France: 23 (+5) Germany: 21 (+3) Nordic: 14 (+1) Spain: 9 (+1) Netherlands: 9 (+1) Italy: 9 (+1.5) Rest: 20 (+2) Mexico: 3 Markets left India: possibly 5-8 Remaining Latin America: possibly 5-7 Rest: possibly 5-7 $325-332mn Approx. Edited October 5, 2020 by charlie Jatinder 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted September 26, 2020 Share Posted September 26, 2020 any update @charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
excel1 Posted September 26, 2020 Share Posted September 26, 2020 I know some would disagree but I do not think this was going to be some huge money maker anyway. $320m overseas is on the low end of what I would have guessed was a realistic projection. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...