darthdevidem01 Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 EXCELLENT!!!Wanna see the Friday blow away expectations too!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 Not sure if the Twilight album was #1 though. I'll have to do some checking.It was, need to do some more research, but I recently read that Twilight movie and album were #1 at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 Nice number for The Games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cozmeesah Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 I had put this in the Wednesday thread, but it can go in here too:Weekend predictions for THG:BO.com - 72mGuru - 69BOM - 71Weekend Warrior - 68xiayun - 68I'm guessing 65+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 You know what's coming.... "Stronger Thursday than expected... obviously this means there will be only 90% increase on Friday!"lol, no doubt, film will set things straight in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 THG's 8.1m Thursday had a 75% retention of its 10.8m Monday. A look at how other pre-Summer huge openers did.SM1: 7.5m/11m: 68%IM1: 5.3m/7m: 76%IM2: 6.3m/9.4m: 67%X2: 4.6m/6.5m: 71%AIW: 6.8m/9m: 76%SM3: 5.9m/10.3m: 57%Looks like THG followed some of these films pattern's pretty closely. The lowest Friday increase out of all of these films was 140% which was IM2. THG should at least match that and then some. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 Nice number for The Games.Indeed, that puts me 7 for 7 (predicted a thursday increase), may the films lucrative and ridiculous run continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 Nice for THG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 THG's 8.1m Thursday had a 75% retention of its 10.8m Monday. A look at how other pre-Summer huge openers did.SM1: 7.5m/11m: 68%IM1: 5.3m/7m: 76%IM2: 6.3m/9.4m: 67%X2: 4.6m/6.5m: 71%AIW: 6.8m/9m: 76%SM3: 5.9m/10.3m: 57%Looks like THG followed some of these films pattern's pretty closely. The lowest Friday increase out of all of these films was 140% which was IM2. THG should at least match that and then some.I like these trends better than age trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 70M+ 2nd weekend for shoo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 I'm so ready for Nikki's weekend estimates, we should have them in a few hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Shorts Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 I had put this in the Wednesday thread, but it can go in here too:Weekend predictions for THG:BO.com - 72mGuru - 69BOM - 71Weekend Warrior - 68xiayun - 68I'm guessing 65+I'm with you, I'm guessing between 65-68. Anything more than that would be amazing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 I like these trends better than age trends You mean the one that used totally non-comparable films like The Lorax and John Carter? Yeah, I didn't like that one much either. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 (edited) THG's 8.1m Thursday had a 75% retention of its 10.8m Monday. A look at how other pre-Summer huge openers did. SM1: 7.5m/11m: 68% IM1: 5.3m/7m: 76% IM2: 6.3m/9.4m: 67% X2: 4.6m/6.5m: 71% AIW: 6.8m/9m: 76% SM3: 5.9m/10.3m: 57% Looks like THG followed some of these films pattern's pretty closely. The lowest Friday increase out of all of these films was 140% which was IM2. THG should at least match that and then some. Superhero films have some of the worst 7 day to 2nd wknd retention ever, even TDK only made 31% of its 7 day in wknd 2, as did every superhero film listed except spider-man1 (we dont want the film fallowing that trajectory, would mean another 100m+ wknd). Overall I think the film is safe for minimum 35%+ 7-day retention, so 67m+ is coming up. I personally thin 40% + retention is in play. EDIT, Iron-Man had 40% retention, as did AIW. Only the sequels failed to reach 40% retention. Edited March 30, 2012 by B J Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MasterDodsen Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 It stayed relatively flat, even increased a small bit. Very good. My prediction of 65-68M may be a little too conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 You mean the one that used totally non-comparable films like The Lorax and John Carter? Yeah, I didn't like that one much either. Brother, if you could read worth a damn, you wouldn't be saying that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 Brother, if you could read worth a damn, you wouldn't be saying that.Oh I can read just fine, that doesn't mean I have to agree with what you're saying though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darthdevidem01 Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 Oh I can read just fine, that doesn't mean I have to agree with what you're saying though.His lack of faith is disturbing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 There is a big difference in finding a TREND and comparing similar films.A little Chemistry tutorial as a bonus for an example to illustrate the difference. Ionization potentials of elements across a period:Sodium (Group 1): 5.1Magnesium (Group 2): 7.6Chlorine (Group 7): 13.0Now if I had to guess the Ionization potential of Sulphur (Group 6), I would guess something around 11-12 (It is 10.4 actually). Now that is using the trend across a period, not that I am saying that Sulfur is similar to Sodium or Chlorine.Give up a big round of applause if my point got through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Shorts Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 It's pretty sad when you have to resort to giving Chemistry lessons to support your boxoffice predictions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
