wintersoldier2021 Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 2 hours ago, PenguinXXR said: I fully expect Strange to come in under Thor. All the cameos make strange a must see event 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 8 minutes ago, wintersoldier2021 said: All the cameos make strange a must see event Disagree. They’re throwaways that don’t really matter. It’s not NWH. DSITMOM will live and die by Wanda and Strange. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noiret Jak Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 I think Fantastic Beasts can surprise and will do more than 120M.I see a 150M$ in the US, like the second, the film looks simpler and more adventurous than the twisty Crimes Of Grindelwald.The Harry Potter fan base remains strong.I expect a worldwide total of $550M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MG10 Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 After seeing the trailer I have to update my prediction for Jurassic World Dominion, I'm thinking of 500M in Usa/Canada (with a 200M OW), 300M in China and 700M in the rest of the world, for a $1.5B total 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ViktorLosAngeles Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 Uhm… the first Black Panther was the first of it’s kind. Also it had Chadwick and Michael B. Jordan. This film will probably market as a POC female driven superhero film and I think it won’t replicate the success of it’s predecessor. Maybe I’m underestimating it, but anything above 400 million $ is an overestimation imo. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 I stand by what I said a few months ago on Black Panther probably having the most impact than any another MCU film mainly due to the strong hold it has had in the pop culture. A drop is to be expected but not a harsh one. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 51 minutes ago, ViktorLosAngeles said: Uhm… the first Black Panther was the first of it’s kind. Also it had Chadwick and Michael B. Jordan. This film will probably market as a POC female driven superhero film and I think it won’t replicate the success of it’s predecessor. Maybe I’m underestimating it, but anything above 400 million $ is an overestimation imo. It won't replicate the success, but it's also not going to drop THAT much. Even (relatively) weak sequels to stronger films don't drop that harshly (AOU dropped 26.5% from TA1, TLJ dropped 33.8% from TFA, JW:FK dropped 36% from JW.) What made BP so successful was the cultural phenomenon, and that isn't going away all of a sudden. I'd put the minimum at $450M but my expectation is something in the $525-575M range. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ViktorLosAngeles Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 22 hours ago, YourMother said: I stand by what I said a few months ago on Black Panther probably having the most impact than any another MCU film mainly due to the strong hold it has had in the pop culture. A drop is to be expected but not a harsh one. Don't want to sound harsh but which impact? I mean, outside the Marvel circles and it's fans, I haven't heard anyone talking about the first film, and I live here in LA. I would say it had it's moment because it was the first of it's kind, but anything more than that would be an overstatement. Even if the drop is softer Stateside, I can see a bigger drop coming overseas. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BruiseCruise Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 I think BP will do about 1.1 bil worldwide, expect about 70m drop domestically and no china, think overseas will be the same Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wintersoldier2021 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Based on eternal requests I will clarify my previous post people are mad about the Johnny depp situation and I believe that will affect fantastic beasts performance 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MG10 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 (edited) In 2018 Black Panther grossed 700M in Usa, 100M in China and 550M in the rest of the world, for a $1.35B total For its sequel I'm thinking about 500/600M in Usa, 450/500M in the rest of the world and no release in China, for a $0.9/1.1B total. Then a lot will also depend on the quality of the film... Edited February 12, 2022 by MG10 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juby Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 My 2022 Summer forecast: 1. Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Opening weekend: $181 million / Domestic: $442 million 2. Thor: Love & Thunder Opening weekend: $155 million / Domestic: $430 million 3. Jurassic World: Dominion Opening weekend: $121 million / Domestic: $339 million 4. Lightyear Opening weekend: $91 million / Domestic: $325 million 5. Minions 2: The Rise of Gru Opening weekend: $70 million / Domestic: $208 million 6. Top Gun: Maverick Opening weekend: $75 million / Domestic: $203 million 7. Black Adam Opening weekend: $64 million / Domestic: $185 million 8. Nope Opening weekend: $65 million / Domestic: $165 million I've no idea what might be 9th and 10th. Maybe this Elvis movie? Idk, I don't see any +100 million this summer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wintersoldier2021 Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 I'd reverse jw and Thor but other than that great list 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
excel1 Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 BLACK ADAM is going to be a gigantic hit. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juby Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Bruce Nash's (the-numebrs.com) predictions for 2022: https://www.the-numbers.com/beta/news/251050830-2022-market-prediction-our-first-analysis-of-2022-points-to-6-8-billion-year-at-the-box-office https://www.the-numbers.com/beta/news/251260830-2022-market-prediction-studio-shifts-pull-expected-box-office-down-200-million-from-last-month 🤔 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ViktorLosAngeles Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Hmmm… How good were they at predicting before this? I would say that Avatar 2 could go either way, exceeding the first one’s numbers or being greatly overlooked if the gp doesn’t connect with it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shanks Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 (edited) Reality: Sang-Chi - 224m No Way Home - 780m+/ 613m (31st Dec, 2021 only) Eternals - 164m Sing 2 - 147m+/ 90m (31st Dec, 2021 only) F9 - 173m Matrix - 30.9m (31st Dec, 2021 only) Edited February 21, 2022 by Shanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juby Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 (edited) 28 minutes ago, Shanks said: Reality: No Way Home - 780m+ No Way Home - $573m (in 2021) Avatar 2 prediction is also only for 15 days of 2022. 48 minutes ago, ViktorLosAngeles said: Hmmm… How good were they at predicting before this? the-numbers has always been overcautious in their... well, numbers. I think Mr. Nash will be very surprised when The Batman hits theaters. Edited February 21, 2022 by Juby 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poweranimals Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 37 minutes ago, Shanks said: Reality: They really hit the spot with F9 & BW. NWH & Matrix were... Sang-Chi - 224m No Way Home - 780m+ Eternals - 164m BW - 183m Sing 2 - 147m+ F9 - 173m Matrix - 37m Eh. That prediction is dated September 27th. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shanks Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 7 minutes ago, poweranimals said: Eh. That prediction is dated September 27th. Oh, Corrected. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
