druv10 Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 3 hours ago, Legion of the Ten Crores said: Lot of MCU 4th weekends confounded by some holiday or another. The best 4th Sat drop is Gotg -28%, which is very mildly inflated by returning to school increasing the Sat share of moviegoing. Next are TDW, DS1, and Ragnarok all chilling around -30-31%… on Thanksgiving Sat. So if SC can score a “best in MCU” 4th Sat drop to match its best in MCU 3rd Sat drop, that looks like a hold of 69-72% for ~ 6.75-7.05M and a weekend of ~14.9M-15.5M. This is an optimistic case, but it could target TROS 4th weekend gross of 15.187M SC is trending towards 250M finish domestically. Fantastic result regardless of Pandemic or not!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 Oh yeah, Sep analysis update: current grosses SC 177, rest 122. Shang last week 32.5, finish month ~ 203 adding 26 (80%). Other movies last week did ~ 32.5 — 25M holdovers and 7.5M openers. Holdovers say add 100% for 25, openers can add maybe 2x for 15M. DEH call it 15M opening week. That gives 203 vs 177, plenty of room for error. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, druv10 said: SC is trending towards 250M finish domestically. Fantastic result regardless of Pandemic or not!!! It's $23m+ behind TWS ($200.5m - 3rd w/e) - I don't see it making $14m up on it. I'd say $240m is the high end with $230m more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 9 minutes ago, druv10 said: SC is trending towards 250M finish domestically. Fantastic result regardless of Pandemic or not!!! Little optimistic there, it’s not off the table if it shrugs off V2+NTTD but I think 230s is more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DlAMONDZ Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 6 hours ago, Napoleon said: Are there any markets left for The Suicide Squad to open? It will really finish at $165 million worldwide? That would be close to an 80% drop from the 2016 film, that's insane. Isn't that just shy of WW84? Might be time to take this IP out back.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RRA Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 34 minutes ago, DlAMONDZ said: Isn't that just shy of WW84? Might be time to take this IP out back.. Do you think they regret pre-emptively green lighting the Peacemaker Max show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fox20 Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 55 minutes ago, RRA said: Do you think they regret pre-emptively green lighting the Peacemaker Max show? At the end of the day, it's just more content to their streaming service. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 9 hours ago, MikeQ said: Best 3rd Weekends for Live Action Comic Book Movies Wonder Woman (2017) — 41.3 million (-29.5%) Wow. Best third week hold of any of these films at this level. 3 hours ago, RRA said: Do you think they regret pre-emptively green lighting the Peacemaker Max show? Nope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, Krissykins said: Wow. Best third week hold of any of these films at this level. It did have the Sunday holiday boosted, but the FriSat drop of 33.5% is still the best there! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wild Eric Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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Cooper Legion Posted September 21, 2021 Share Posted September 21, 2021 I guess for 3rd best MCU legs we need 237.4M. For that we need 2.87 multi from past 7 days, or 34.8% drops. Could be pretty close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted September 21, 2021 Share Posted September 21, 2021 (edited) Free Guys seem to have reached special status now: https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Free-Guy-(2020)#tab=box-office Now outside the expected maximum zone of the-numbers, with an almost 4x multiplier after a 5.086m weekend. Edited September 21, 2021 by Barnack 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted September 21, 2021 Share Posted September 21, 2021 Box office mojo has shang chi at 288 mill ww for some reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...