No Way Home Weekend Thread | #RIP AIW Record | 260M OW DOM | 340M OS | 600M OW WW W/O CHINA

[grey ghost]

19 minutes ago, GoblinXXR said:

The one thing NWH has proven to me is that $75-80M in previews is possible. If you can get a film with Endgame level hype + a run time under 150 minutes, it can be done. 

 

Especially if "previews" start at noon. Lol.

[XXR vs XXR]

 

All of the Asgard's are thinking right around $73-ish. 

[charlie Jatinder]

2 minutes ago, Weird Alegion said:

They’d just lose more money to matinees, lol. Allowed that was the real mistake, it’s an easy 260+ otherwise.

Now if it end up between 257-258, well done Sony.

[Ms Lady Hawk]

55 minutes ago, Weird Alegion said:

Well, actually… 

When? 

[Legion Again]

3 minutes ago, Ms Lady Hawk said:

When? 

When it came out. Couldn’t even hit 400, it was okay enough but we all knew it was far from spider-man heights. WW also ended up below expectations iirc.

[Legion Again]

5 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Now if it end up between 257-258, well done Sony.

I was saying earlier what a crazy narrow range 257,698,184-257,999,999 was. If Sony hit it they are legends forever.

[charlie Jatinder]

1 minute ago, Weird Alegion said:

I was saying earlier what a crazy narrow range 257,698,184-257,999,999 was. If Sony hit it they are legends forever.

I hope Sony don't do the dumb thing of taking it over 258.

[Legion Again]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I hope Sony don't do the dumb thing of taking it over 258.

My derby was 258. If I win the next $25 I’m gonna laugh my ass off 

[Menor the Destroyer]

30 minutes ago, Weird Alegion said:

When it came out. Couldn’t even hit 400, it was okay enough but we all knew it was far from spider-man heights. WW also ended up below expectations iirc.

Yeah FFH run for me was always like it did fine but it felt kinda anticlimactic after the previous 2 MCU in 2019 did so well.

[Legion Again]

SM4 won’t repeat NWH craziness of course but I hope we are permanently kicked up from the smh/FFH tier to something a little stronger. Like AoU-TLK zone.

Edited December 19, 2021 by Weird Alegion

[XXR vs XXR]

4 minutes ago, Weird Alegion said:

SM4 won’t repeat NWH craziness of course but I hope we are permanently kicked up from the smh/FFH tier to something a little stronger. Like AoU-TLK zone.

 

Seems reasonable. NWH is an outlier but SM4 should have a similar jump to what FFH did from HC. 

[Warmaster506]

I was blown away. Great job Sony.

[Legion Again]

7 minutes ago, GoblinXXR said:

 

Seems reasonable. NWH is an outlier but SM4 should have a similar jump to what FFH did from HC. 

Thinking about it more that’s actually too modest. SM4 is probably a 2024 flick would be my guess. FFH adjusted may be 470+. Should aim for TROS-TA ish instead.

Edited December 19, 2021 by Weird Alegion

[charlie Jatinder]

2 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Let's go 72-73 and see where it goes.

Looking +3-3.5% friday.

 

If you think it was 70.5, 72.5-73M.

If you think it was 71.5, 73.5-74M.

 

 

Choose your own adventure.

 

 

Edited December 19, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[XXR vs XXR]

12 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Looking +3-3.5% friday.

 

If you think it was 70.5, 72.75-73M.

If you think it was 71.5, 73.75-74M.

 

 

Choose your own adventure.

 

 

 

I guess whichever way it ends up, it'll let us know what Friday actually was 

[XXR vs XXR]

31 minutes ago, Weird Alegion said:

Thinking about it more that’s actually too modest. SM4 is probably a 2024 flick would be my guess. FFH adjusted may be 470+. Should aim for TROS-TA ish instead.

 

I think there's going to be a pretty big drop for SM4. Just like the next Avengers film, whatever it is, will likely drop a decent amount from Endgame. 

If they put SM4 in December, it's going to drop 30-35%.

If it's any other time of the year, it's going to be 40-45%.

[Legion Again]

8 minutes ago, GoblinXXR said:

 

I think there's going to be a pretty big drop for SM4. Just like the next Avengers film, whatever it is, will likely drop a decent amount from Endgame. 

If they put SM4 in December, it's going to drop 30-35%.

If it's any other time of the year, it's going to be 40-45%.

I think a non-pandemic NWH is worth ~1B in 2024 atp, so 40-45% down hits about my updated range  

[JustWatching]

 

[Knights of Ren]

Still a 4.9/5 All Audience reaction.

 

 

This movie has been goated 

[DAJK]

3 hours ago, CJohn said:

Do we think Europe is still open by the time Morbius opens? I am gonna go with no.

Mr. Optimistic is back folks.