The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

katnisscinnaplex · August 20, 2022

20 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

By format

Day Movie Format Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-0 Beast (Fri) PLF 21 124 183 4,165 4.39% $14.01 $2,564.08
Standard 35 134 196 4,013 4.88% $10.77 $2,111.79
Total 56 258 379 8,178 4.63% $12.34 $4,675.87
T-0 Dragon Ball (Fri) PLF 44 319 1,271 10,740 11.83% $14.86 $18,881.48
Standard 83 259 688 12,158 5.66% $13.64 $9,384.34
Total 127 578 1,959 22,898 8.56% $14.43 $28,265.82
T-1 Beast (Sat) PLF 20 78 78 4,115 1.90% $13.18 $1,028.29
Standard 34 77 77 3,834 2.01% $9.76 $751.76
Total 54 155 155 7,949 1.95% $11.48 $1,780.05
T-1 Dragon Ball (Sat) PLF 44 727 727 10,740 6.77% $14.57 $10,591.77
Standard 81 375 375 11,985 3.13% $13.39 $5,019.97
Total 125 1,102 1,102 22,725 4.85% $14.17 $15,611.74

By matinee

Day Movie Mat Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-0 Beast (Fri) N 26 171 258 3,597 7.17% $13.32 $3,437.32
Y 30 87 121 4,581 2.64% $10.24 $1,238.55
Total 56 258 379 8,178 4.63% $12.34 $4,675.87
T-0 Dragon Ball (Fri) N 116 578 1,919 21,494 8.93% $14.48 $27,785.37
Y 11 0 40 1,404 2.85% $12.01 $480.45
Total 127 578 1,959 22,898 8.56% $14.43 $28,265.82
T-1 Beast (Sat) N 24 55 55 3,368 1.63% $14.43 $793.43
Y 30 100 100 4,581 2.18% $9.87 $986.62
Total 54 155 155 7,949 1.95% $11.48 $1,780.05
T-1 Dragon Ball (Sat) N 114 1,037 1,037 21,321 4.86% $14.37 $14,898.45
Y 11 65 65 1,404 4.63% $10.97 $713.29
Total 125 1,102 1,102 22,725 4.85% $14.17 $15,611.74

Beast previews was very close to the average of Massive Talent and Firestarter comps. I didn't do any weekend runs for those movies, but I can add a couple comps and their adjusted numbers.

Beast Fri comps

- Crawdads - .476x (2.51m)

- Nope - .205x (2.69m)

Beast Fri adjusted comps

- Crawdads - 7.5m

- Nope - 6.25m

- Morbius - 7.22m

Friday sales are much healthier than Thursday's were at 3.8x higher. With how good walkups were last night, I think we could see close to 3m true Friday

Beast Sat T-1 comps

- Crawdads - .349x (1.87m)

- Nope - .191x (2.66m)

Beast Sat adjusted comps (using 3m Friday)

- Crawdads - 2.24m

- Nope - 2.97m

We don't have a preview number for Dragon Ball Super yet, so I'm plugging 3.25m and running adjusted comps.

DBS Fri adjusted comps

- JW3 - 3.86m

- Batman - 3.64m

- Bullet Train - 3.49m

I'll go with a 3.6m true Friday

DBS Sat T-1 adjusted comps (using 3.6m Friday)

- Batman - 3.02m

- Bullet Train - 4.84m

Pretty wide range in all comps, so without any good comps I'll wait to even predict a Sat.

Santikos Tracking

By format

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Beast (Sat)	PLF	20	80	158	4,115	3.84%	$13.02	$2,057.36
		Standard	34	80	157	3,834	4.09%	$9.97	$1,565.10
	Total		54	160	315	7,949	3.96%	$11.50	$3,622.46
	Dragon Ball (Sat)	PLF	44	267	994	10,740	9.26%	$14.45	$14,367.51
		Standard	81	219	594	11,985	4.96%	$13.40	$7,959.24
	Total		125	486	1,588	22,725	6.99%	$14.06	$22,326.75
T-1	Beast (Sun)	PLF	20	51	51	4,115	1.24%	$12.32	$628.20
		Standard	34	64	64	3,834	1.67%	$9.91	$634.26
	Total		54	115	115	7,949	1.45%	$10.98	$1,262.46
	Dragon Ball (Sun)	PLF	44	336	336	10,740	3.13%	$14.35	$4,823.11
		Standard	81	172	172	11,946	1.44%	$13.22	$2,274.62
	Total		125	508	508	22,686	2.24%	$13.97	$7,097.73

By matinee

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Beast (Sat)	N	24	59	114	3,368	3.38%	$13.80	$1,572.68
		Y	30	101	201	4,581	4.39%	$10.20	$2,049.78
	Total		54	160	315	7,949	3.96%	$11.50	$3,622.46
	Dragon Ball (Sat)	N	114	466	1,503	21,321	7.05%	$14.24	$21,399.60
		Y	11	20	85	1,404	6.05%	$10.91	$927.15
	Total		125	486	1,588	22,725	6.99%	$14.06	$22,326.75
T-1	Beast (Sun)	N	24	15	15	3,368	0.45%	$14.52	$217.75
		Y	30	100	100	4,581	2.18%	$10.45	$1,044.71
	Total		54	115	115	7,949	1.45%	$10.98	$1,262.46
	Dragon Ball (Sun)	N	114	466	466	21,282	2.19%	$14.27	$6,650.54
		Y	11	42	42	1,404	2.99%	$10.65	$447.19
	Total		125	508	508	22,686	2.24%	$13.97	$7,097.73

After updating to the actual 4m previews, I forgot to update the adjusted Friday comps for DBS.

DBS Fri adjusted comps

- JW3 - 4.75m

- Batman - 4.48m

- Bullet Train - 4.3m

DBS Sat comps

- JW3 - 4.81m

- Batman - 6m

DBS Sat adjusted comps

- JW3 - 4.07m

- Batman - 3.87m

- Bullet Train - 3.94m

I'll go with 3.9m for Saturday

Adjusted Sunday comps put it around 2.3m currently.

Beast Saturday comps

- Crawdads - .387x (2.07m)

- Nope - .171x (2.38m)

Beast Sat adj comps

- Crawdads - 2.73m

- Nope - 2.93m

Not looking as good as Friday did, but still plenty of time. This would be a small drop from true Friday so hopefully sales pick up, but I'll go with 2.85m Sat for now.

Beast Sun comps

- Crawdads - 1.64m

- Nope - 3.24m

Beast Sun adj comps

- Crawdads - 2.15m

- Nope - 3.98m

Some divergence here; let's see how it looks tomorrow.

Gokira2012 · August 20, 2022

Another issue is that Japanese creators see these billions that Disney and Pixar are making with CGI animated movies and want that same money, but want to do it with low budgets

charlie Jatinder · August 20, 2022

20 minutes ago, Gokira2012 said:

Another issue is that Japanese creators see these billions that Disney and Pixar are making with CGI animated movies and want that same money, but want to do it with low budgets

Not Anime thread. Please take this to weekend thread.

@Eric the Lion may be move the last few comments to weekend thread.

katnisscinnaplex · August 20, 2022

34 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

By format

Day Movie Format Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-0 Beast (Sat) PLF 20 80 158 4,115 3.84% $13.02 $2,057.36
Standard 34 80 157 3,834 4.09% $9.97 $1,565.10
Total 54 160 315 7,949 3.96% $11.50 $3,622.46
Dragon Ball (Sat) PLF 44 267 994 10,740 9.26% $14.45 $14,367.51
Standard 81 219 594 11,985 4.96% $13.40 $7,959.24
Total 125 486 1,588 22,725 6.99% $14.06 $22,326.75
T-1 Beast (Sun) PLF 20 51 51 4,115 1.24% $12.32 $628.20
Standard 34 64 64 3,834 1.67% $9.91 $634.26
Total 54 115 115 7,949 1.45% $10.98 $1,262.46
Dragon Ball (Sun) PLF 44 336 336 10,740 3.13% $14.35 $4,823.11
Standard 81 172 172 11,946 1.44% $13.22 $2,274.62
Total 125 508 508 22,686 2.24% $13.97 $7,097.73

By matinee

Day Movie Mat Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-0 Beast (Sat) N 24 59 114 3,368 3.38% $13.80 $1,572.68
Y 30 101 201 4,581 4.39% $10.20 $2,049.78
Total 54 160 315 7,949 3.96% $11.50 $3,622.46
Dragon Ball (Sat) N 114 466 1,503 21,321 7.05% $14.24 $21,399.60
Y 11 20 85 1,404 6.05% $10.91 $927.15
Total 125 486 1,588 22,725 6.99% $14.06 $22,326.75
T-1 Beast (Sun) N 24 15 15 3,368 0.45% $14.52 $217.75
Y 30 100 100 4,581 2.18% $10.45 $1,044.71
Total 54 115 115 7,949 1.45% $10.98 $1,262.46
Dragon Ball (Sun) N 114 466 466 21,282 2.19% $14.27 $6,650.54
Y 11 42 42 1,404 2.99% $10.65 $447.19
Total 125 508 508 22,686 2.24% $13.97 $7,097.73

After updating to the actual 4m previews, I forgot to update the adjusted Friday comps for DBS.

DBS Fri adjusted comps

- JW3 - 4.75m

- Batman - 4.48m

- Bullet Train - 4.3m

DBS Sat comps

- JW3 - 4.81m

- Batman - 6m

DBS Sat adjusted comps

- JW3 - 4.07m

- Batman - 3.87m

- Bullet Train - 3.94m

I'll go with 3.9m for Saturday

Adjusted Sunday comps put it around 2.3m currently.

Beast Saturday comps

- Crawdads - .387x (2.07m)

- Nope - .171x (2.38m)

Beast Sat adj comps

- Crawdads - 2.73m

- Nope - 2.93m

Not looking as good as Friday did, but still plenty of time. This would be a small drop from true Friday so hopefully sales pick up, but I'll go with 2.85m Sat for now.

Beast Sun comps

- Crawdads - 1.64m

- Nope - 3.24m

Beast Sun adj comps

- Crawdads - 2.15m

- Nope - 3.98m

Some divergence here; let's see how it looks tomorrow.

I forgot to update my DBS Fri number in my Saturday adjustments. Here are the corrected adjusted comps

DBS Sat adjusted comps

- JW3 - 4.51m

- Batman - 4.3m

- Bullet Train - 4.39m

Updating my Sat projection to 4.4m

charlie Jatinder · August 20, 2022

On 8/19/2022 at 12:24 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

On 8/19/2022 at 6:53 AM, charlie Jatinder said:

Around ~9K final for Dragon Ball, which shall normally means $5.5M but I suppose Dragon Ball may be over-indexing here and by A LOT. The lowest I can go is may be $4M but none of other regions is that high, just $3.25M seems peak. I guess $3.5M may be doable here.

Harkins THU Previews

Dragon Ball Super - 8947/42101 (156 showings) $101,768

10 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Harkins FRI

Dragon Ball Super - 12947/70250 (253 showings) $144,879

So Harkins ended up pretty normal with around 2.3-2.35% ratio.

Edited August 20, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

Gokira2012 · August 20, 2022

amazing numbers

Edited August 20, 2022 by Gokira2012

charlie Jatinder · August 21, 2022

23 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Harkins FRI

Dragon Ball Super - 12947/70250 (253 showings) $144,879

Beast - 6340/59334 (242 showings) $65,673

Harkins SAT

Dragon Ball Super - 13386/70272 (249 showings) $141,554

Very minor drop. Probably $6-6.25M SAT. $21M+ weekend.

Beast - 8771/51528 (216 showings) $88,770

Good jump. $4.4-4.7M. $12-12.5M weekend.

M37 · August 21, 2022

4 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Harkins SAT

Dragon Ball Super - 13386/70272 (249 showings) $141,554

Very minor drop. Probably $6-6.25M SAT. $21M+ weekend.

Beast - 8771/51528 (216 showings) $88,770

Good jump. $4.4-4.7M. $12-12.5M weekend.

For Beast, that would be a larger OW Sat increase than any August release the last two years, even Free Guy and Paw Patrol, which seems unexpected

Following your calcs here, you said a normal market share/ratio for Harkins was ~2.3% (43:1), but Beast was sub-2% for TFri (51:1). Perhaps Fri underindexed but Sat winds up back in or closer to the normal range?

Cooper Legion · August 21, 2022

15 minutes ago, M37 said:

For Beast, that would be a larger OW Sat increase than any August release the last two years, even Free Guy and Paw Patrol, which seems unexpected

Following your calcs here, you said a normal market share/ratio for Harkins was ~2.3% (43:1), but Beast was sub-2% for TFri (51:1). Perhaps Fri underindexed but Sat winds up back in or closer to the normal range?

Paw patrol sat was muted because of true fri open/fan rush/simultaneous streaming. Free Guy was a week more summer-y. That said I agree the jump looks a bit big and the harkins ratio may move to partially counteract.

charlie Jatinder · August 21, 2022

29 minutes ago, M37 said:

For Beast, that would be a larger OW Sat increase than any August release the last two years, even Free Guy and Paw Patrol, which seems unexpected

Following your calcs here, you said a normal market share/ratio for Harkins was ~2.3% (43:1), but Beast was sub-2% for TFri (51:1). Perhaps Fri underindexed but Sat winds up back in or closer to the normal range?

The normal is more like 1.8-2% but some things overindex and some underindex, so based on those it goes like 1.5-2.5%. Usually films that does well with Hispanic demo, overindex here, like Minions, Pixar, Venom, anime, etc.

What I meant normal for DBZ was that initially all other comps were giving like $3.25M which would mean Harkins was around 3.1% i.e. way more than normal overindex. 2.3% was in expected range for overindexing titles, that's why Harkins came out normal in the end.

Beast FRI came around 1.95% depending on where actuals will land. For SAT expecting similar ratio i.e. 1.95-2% for ~$4.5M.

John2015 · August 21, 2022

"Honk For Jesus. Save Your Soul." TV spots did good jobs to sell this film as a funny marketable comedy.

However, word is that the film is actually not very mainstream at all. (TV spots also did hide some 'controversial' elements of the film.)

I suspect that the film will get mostly positive reviews .... and low CinemaScore rating.

Edited August 21, 2022 by John2015

filmlover · August 21, 2022

9 minutes ago, John2015 said:

"Honk For Jesus. Save Your Soul." TV spots did good jobs to sell this film as a funny marketable comedy.

However, word is that the film is actually not very mainstream at all. (TV spots also did hide some 'controversial' elements of the film.)

I suspect that the film will get mostly positive reviews .... and low CinemaScore rating.

Movies about televangelists, even satirical ones, will always be tough sells. The Eyes of Tammy Faye would've struggled even if had it been released in a non-COVID environment. This is also gonna be on Peacock at the same time so they knew it wasn't making much in theaters from the beginning.

katnisscinnaplex · August 21, 2022

On 8/20/2022 at 8:55 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

By format

Day Movie Format Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-0 Beast (Sat) PLF 20 80 158 4,115 3.84% $13.02 $2,057.36
Standard 34 80 157 3,834 4.09% $9.97 $1,565.10
Total 54 160 315 7,949 3.96% $11.50 $3,622.46
Dragon Ball (Sat) PLF 44 267 994 10,740 9.26% $14.45 $14,367.51
Standard 81 219 594 11,985 4.96% $13.40 $7,959.24
Total 125 486 1,588 22,725 6.99% $14.06 $22,326.75
T-1 Beast (Sun) PLF 20 51 51 4,115 1.24% $12.32 $628.20
Standard 34 64 64 3,834 1.67% $9.91 $634.26
Total 54 115 115 7,949 1.45% $10.98 $1,262.46
Dragon Ball (Sun) PLF 44 336 336 10,740 3.13% $14.35 $4,823.11
Standard 81 172 172 11,946 1.44% $13.22 $2,274.62
Total 125 508 508 22,686 2.24% $13.97 $7,097.73

By matinee

Day Movie Mat Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-0 Beast (Sat) N 24 59 114 3,368 3.38% $13.80 $1,572.68
Y 30 101 201 4,581 4.39% $10.20 $2,049.78
Total 54 160 315 7,949 3.96% $11.50 $3,622.46
Dragon Ball (Sat) N 114 466 1,503 21,321 7.05% $14.24 $21,399.60
Y 11 20 85 1,404 6.05% $10.91 $927.15
Total 125 486 1,588 22,725 6.99% $14.06 $22,326.75
T-1 Beast (Sun) N 24 15 15 3,368 0.45% $14.52 $217.75
Y 30 100 100 4,581 2.18% $10.45 $1,044.71
Total 54 115 115 7,949 1.45% $10.98 $1,262.46
Dragon Ball (Sun) N 114 466 466 21,282 2.19% $14.27 $6,650.54
Y 11 42 42 1,404 2.99% $10.65 $447.19
Total 125 508 508 22,686 2.24% $13.97 $7,097.73

After updating to the actual 4m previews, I forgot to update the adjusted Friday comps for DBS.

DBS Fri adjusted comps

- JW3 - 4.75m

- Batman - 4.48m

- Bullet Train - 4.3m

DBS Sat comps

- JW3 - 4.81m

- Batman - 6m

DBS Sat adjusted comps

- JW3 - 4.07m

- Batman - 3.87m

- Bullet Train - 3.94m

I'll go with 3.9m for Saturday

Adjusted Sunday comps put it around 2.3m currently.

Beast Saturday comps

- Crawdads - .387x (2.07m)

- Nope - .171x (2.38m)

Beast Sat adj comps

- Crawdads - 2.73m

- Nope - 2.93m

Not looking as good as Friday did, but still plenty of time. This would be a small drop from true Friday so hopefully sales pick up, but I'll go with 2.85m Sat for now.

Beast Sun comps

- Crawdads - 1.64m

- Nope - 3.24m

Beast Sun adj comps

- Crawdads - 2.15m

- Nope - 3.98m

Some divergence here; let's see how it looks tomorrow.

On 8/20/2022 at 9:31 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

I forgot to update my DBS Fri number in my Saturday adjustments. Here are the corrected adjusted comps

DBS Sat adjusted comps

- JW3 - 4.51m

- Batman - 4.3m

- Bullet Train - 4.39m

Updating my Sat projection to 4.4m

Santikos Tracking

By format

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Beast (Sun)	PLF	20	36	87	4,115	2.11%	$12.35	$1,074.26
		Standard	34	137	201	3,834	5.24%	$9.04	$1,816.15
	Total		54	173	288	7,949	3.62%	$10.04	$2,890.41
	Dragon Ball (Sun)	PLF	44	270	606	10,740	5.64%	$14.19	$8,599.06
		Standard	81	206	378	11,946	3.16%	$13.05	$4,932.72
	Total		125	476	984	22,686	4.34%	$13.75	$13,531.78

By matinee

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Beast (Sun)	N	24	9	24	3,368	0.71%	$14.92	$358.16
		Y	30	164	264	4,581	5.76%	$9.59	$2,532.25
	Total		54	173	288	7,949	3.62%	$10.04	$2,890.41
	Dragon Ball (Sun)	N	114	416	882	21,282	4.14%	$14.14	$12,473.91
		Y	11	60	102	1,404	7.26%	$10.37	$1,057.87
	Total		125	476	984	22,686	4.34%	$13.75	$13,531.78

Dragon Ball Sun comps

- Batman - .099x (3.37m)

- DS2 - .088x (3.42m)

DBS Sun adj comps

- Batman - 2.57m

- DS2 - 2.86m

- Crawdads - 2.79m

- Thor 4 - 2.66m

Going with 2.8m Sunday

Beast Sun comps

- Crawdads - .416x (1.93m)

- Nope - .27x (2.94m)

Beast Sun adj comps

- Crawdads - 2.54m

- Nope - 3.61m

- Bullet Train - 2.77m

I'm only adjusting using Fri since our Sat projections are very different. Probably won't have time to update, but I'll go with around 2.7m for Sunday

Cooper Legion · August 21, 2022

Sat 5.77 per studio

katnisscinnaplex · August 21, 2022

14 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

By format

Day Movie Format Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-0 Beast (Sun) PLF 20 36 87 4,115 2.11% $12.35 $1,074.26
Standard 34 137 201 3,834 5.24% $9.04 $1,816.15
Total 54 173 288 7,949 3.62% $10.04 $2,890.41
Dragon Ball (Sun) PLF 44 270 606 10,740 5.64% $14.19 $8,599.06
Standard 81 206 378 11,946 3.16% $13.05 $4,932.72
Total 125 476 984 22,686 4.34% $13.75 $13,531.78

By matinee

Day Movie Mat Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-0 Beast (Sun) N 24 9 24 3,368 0.71% $14.92 $358.16
Y 30 164 264 4,581 5.76% $9.59 $2,532.25
Total 54 173 288 7,949 3.62% $10.04 $2,890.41
Dragon Ball (Sun) N 114 416 882 21,282 4.14% $14.14 $12,473.91
Y 11 60 102 1,404 7.26% $10.37 $1,057.87
Total 125 476 984 22,686 4.34% $13.75 $13,531.78

Dragon Ball Sun comps

- Batman - .099x (3.37m)

- DS2 - .088x (3.42m)

DBS Sun adj comps

- Batman - 2.57m

- DS2 - 2.86m

- Crawdads - 2.79m

- Thor 4 - 2.66m

Going with 2.8m Sunday

Beast Sun comps

- Crawdads - .416x (1.93m)

- Nope - .27x (2.94m)

Beast Sun adj comps

- Crawdads - 2.54m

- Nope - 3.61m

- Bullet Train - 2.77m

I'm only adjusting using Fri since our Sat projections are very different. Probably won't have time to update, but I'll go with around 2.7m for Sunday

That moves DBS Sun adj comps to 3.4m

Eric Prime · August 21, 2022

2 hours ago, Legion By Night said:

Paw patrol sat was muted because of true fri open/fan rush/simultaneous streaming

Okay I know what you're saying and you're right, but the idea of "fanboys" rushing out to catch the latest PAW Patrol like they do for Star Wars or whatever just makes me laugh.

Issac Newton · August 21, 2022

Dragon Ball Super: Super Heroes

Thursday, August 18: $4,303,671
Friday, August 19: $6,584,653 (revised)
Saturday, August 20: $5,768,686
Sunday, August 21: $3,450,000 (estimate)

katnisscinnaplex · August 21, 2022

2 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

By format

Day Movie Format Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-0 Beast (Sun) PLF 20 36 87 4,115 2.11% $12.35 $1,074.26
Standard 34 137 201 3,834 5.24% $9.04 $1,816.15
Total 54 173 288 7,949 3.62% $10.04 $2,890.41
Dragon Ball (Sun) PLF 44 270 606 10,740 5.64% $14.19 $8,599.06
Standard 81 206 378 11,946 3.16% $13.05 $4,932.72
Total 125 476 984 22,686 4.34% $13.75 $13,531.78

By matinee

Day Movie Mat Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-0 Beast (Sun) N 24 9 24 3,368 0.71% $14.92 $358.16
Y 30 164 264 4,581 5.76% $9.59 $2,532.25
Total 54 173 288 7,949 3.62% $10.04 $2,890.41
Dragon Ball (Sun) N 114 416 882 21,282 4.14% $14.14 $12,473.91
Y 11 60 102 1,404 7.26% $10.37 $1,057.87
Total 125 476 984 22,686 4.34% $13.75 $13,531.78

Dragon Ball Sun comps

- Batman - .099x (3.37m)

- DS2 - .088x (3.42m)

DBS Sun adj comps

- Batman - 2.57m

- DS2 - 2.86m

- Crawdads - 2.79m

- Thor 4 - 2.66m

Going with 2.8m Sunday

Beast Sun comps

- Crawdads - .416x (1.93m)

- Nope - .27x (2.94m)

Beast Sun adj comps

- Crawdads - 2.54m

- Nope - 3.61m

- Bullet Train - 2.77m

I'm only adjusting using Fri since our Sat projections are very different. Probably won't have time to update, but I'll go with around 2.7m for Sunday

Beast updated adj Sunday comps are at 3.3m with the new Sat estimate

katnisscinnaplex · August 22, 2022

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
3000 Years	T-3	Jax	6	15	20	20	1,988	1.01%
		Phx	5	12	8	8	1,442	0.55%
		Ral	6	14	14	14	1,695	0.83%
	Total		17	41	42	42	5,125	0.82%
Breaking	T-3	Jax	4	6	0	0	484	0.00%
		Phx	2	3	5	5	356	1.40%
		Ral	3	5	0	0	457	0.00%
	Total		9	14	5	5	1,297	0.39%
Breaking (EA)	T-2	Jax	1	1	5	5	50	10.00%
		Phx	1	1	18	18	44	40.91%
	Total		2	2	23	23	94	24.47%
The Invitation	T-3	Jax	5	15	5	5	1,601	0.31%
		Phx	4	11	11	11	2,374	0.46%
		Ral	7	16	25	25	1,448	1.73%
	Total		16	42	41	41	5,423	0.76%

The Invitation T-3 comps

- Escape Room 2 - .554x (665k)

- The Night House - 2.28x (592k)

- Antlers - 1.025x (379k)

3000 Years T-3 comps

- House of Gucci - .191x (248k)

- Spencer - 1.556x

Breaking T-3 comps

- Ambulance - .083x (58k)

- Crawdads - .011x (23k)

Open to comp suggestions for any of these. I have never heard of, nor seen trailers for any of them.

abracadabra1998 · August 22, 2022

On 8/18/2022 at 12:17 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

For next week:

Three Thousand Years of Longing (T-7):

Day: T-8 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold
Totals: 8 theaters 17 -3 58 2443 2.37

The Invitation (T-7):

Day: T-7 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold
Totals: 9 theaters 22 6 6 3218 0.19

Going to be gone in the weekend, will check these again on Monday.

Twin Cities Thursday Previews Report:

Three Thousand Years of Longing (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 9 theaters	19	23	81	2626	3.08

Comp:

1.59x Beast: $1.47 M

The Invitation (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 9 theaters	22	20	26	3133	0.83

Comp:

0.51x Beast: $470k

Beast isn't a good comp, but it's all I have. Three Thousand Years continues to surprise me as it has more sales than I would expect, but it'll probably be pre-sales heavy, as fans of Miller will go to watch it while not appealing to the general audience. The Invitation is looking rough, think it'll be closer to $5M than to $10M

Day: T-8	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 8 theaters	17	-3	58	2443	2.37

Day: T-7	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 9 theaters	22	6	6	3218	0.19

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