The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[M37]

2 hours ago, Eric Williams said:

This is the third movie in the sub-series for a franchise that has gotten more and more insular every single year. What is the appeal to the GA?

Because when it’s good, it’s fun and mostly disposable entertainment. Are there diminishing returns, audiences moving on? Probably - but Thor L&T just made like $340M last summer, and even a disappointing AMWQ just essentially matched it predecessor

[keysersoze123]

44 minutes ago, M37 said:

Because when it’s good, it’s fun and mostly disposable entertainment. Are there diminishing returns, audiences moving on? Probably - but Thor L&T just made like $340M last summer, and even a disappointing AMWQ just essentially matched it predecessor

Thor was an OG Avenger and Ragnarok had very strong reception. Still its early presales looked disappointing and it finished very well despite bad reviews. 

 

Ant-man I guess played like Kang Dynasty Prequel for hardcore base. That is why there was early rush from fanbase. But it finished terribly as Ant-man does not play that wide as other movies. 

 

Guardians here seem to lack any hook as we have had so much SH content including a holiday special for Guardians. So fun flick alone does not have the same pull. Especially with Mario being a juggernaut seem to suck the buzz out of everything. 

[Tinalera]

Hey everyone-

 

Just letting you all know that my posting might get a bit sporadic for awhile....Ill post what I can, when I can. Life just about to get interesting (nothing bad! Just very busy) and depending on things I may not always get to a computer or get as much info down as possible. Again, nothing bad, just things getting a busy.

 

Thank you all for allowing me to be a part of this little community. From my weird/creepy avatars to my posting to just being and sharing with me. Its a very theraputic thing to do and contribute to these forums. Thanks for all your patience and inclusiveness-I love my time I spend on these boards and community

[Starrow5722]

3 minutes ago, Tinalera said:

Hey everyone-

 

Just letting you all know that my posting might get a bit sporadic for awhile....Ill post what I can, when I can. Life just about to get interesting (nothing bad! Just very busy) and depending on things I may not always get to a computer or get as much info down as possible. Again, nothing bad, just things getting a busy.

 

Thank you all for allowing me to be a part of this little community. From my weird/creepy avatars to my posting to just being and sharing with me. Its a very theraputic thing to do and contribute to these forums. Thanks for all your patience and inclusiveness-I love my time I spend on these boards and community

Hey, if it means anything, I love your weird avatars.

[kayumanggi]

 

[misterpepp]

4 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

@datpepper is the one to update on when ticket sales will start. 

 

I'm working on figuring this out. Will say that there will be early access shows on May 24.

[Eric Prime]

18 minutes ago, datpepper said:

 

I'm working on figuring this out. Will say that there will be early access shows on May 24.

...no.

 

[GOGODanca]

instead of EA just drop the facade of previews and make thursday a full OD

[keysersoze123]

12 minutes ago, GOGODanca said:

instead of EA just drop the facade of previews and make thursday a full OD

Nah keep it this way. Then our musketeer will track it for sure. if its full day, he will not for sure :-)

[TheFlatLannister]

On 4/19/2023 at 5:59 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION 

 

GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY 3

 

THURSDAY PREVIEWS

 

T-15

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
207	5146	31332	16.4%

*Numbers taken as of 5:30pm EST

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE T-17

163

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE T-17

0

 

2 days of sales

 

3D sales are anemic 

 

 

**These aren't great comps but they seem to point to the same range other trackers have seen, so here they are:

 

Mario Wednesday: (0.415x) ~$13.2M THUR

John Wick Thursday: (1.431x) ~$12.7M THUR

GREATER ORLANDO REGION 

 

GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY 3

 

THURSDAY PREVIEWS

 

T-13

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
207	5338	31332	17.0%

^{*Numbers taken as of 8:00pm EST}

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE T-15

192

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE T-15

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

Roughly 2 days of sales

 

 

***These aren't great comps but they seem to point to the same range other trackers have seen, so here they are:

 

Mario Wednesday: (0.430x) ~$13.6M THUR

John Wick Thursday: (1.484x) ~$13.2M THUR

[JohnnyGossamer]

4 hours ago, M37 said:

Because when it’s good, it’s fun and mostly disposable entertainment. Are there diminishing returns, audiences moving on? Probably - but Thor L&T just made like $340M last summer, and even a disappointing AMWQ just essentially matched it predecessor

Not to mention, even though it doesn't seem to be helping presales, Guardians is nice as in you've seen Vol. 1, Vol. 2, Infinity War and Endgame, you're set. Other MCU stuff relies on audiences seeing much, much more at this point to make good sense of it. 

[Porthos]

2 hours ago, datpepper said:

 

I'm working on figuring this out. Will say that there will be early access shows on May 24.

 

Really trying to max out those PLF screens, eh?

 

Honestly surprised more films haven't been attempting that strat following the success of The Batman and Top Gun: Maverick.

[filmlover]

Little Mermaid's first tracking is about to come in too I believe. O/U Aladdin '19 feels like the benchmark given the Memorial Day weekend release.

[M37]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

 

Really trying to max out those PLF screens, eh?

 

Honestly surprised more films haven't been attempting that strat following the success of The Batman and Top Gun: Maverick.

As much as they make tracking and forecasting more complicated, with the physical supply of premium seats limited and insufficient for demand on many releases, there is no reason any like $70M+ opener shouldn’t have a PLF only EA day before Thursday previews, or at least those shows staring earlier than standard for preview night. It’s just leaving money on the table from people who settle for standard showings, until the capacity can be increased 

[misterpepp]

Hypnotic on sale May 2

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Fast X Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-28 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	182	27027	27738	711	2.56%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

3

 

T-28 Comp:

%

Sold T-29

Total Sold

Sellouts Shows

Seats Left Total Seats

Perct Sold

Final Sold

% of Final

Comp

JWD

46.75

47

1521

0/171

22263/23784

6.40%

33839

2.10%

8.41m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Fast X's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     103/10143  [1.02% sold]
Matinee:    14/3532  [0.40% | 1.97% of all tickets sold]

 

Fast X Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-27 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	182	26985	27700	715	2.58%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

4

 

T-27 Comp:

%

Sold T-27

Total Sold

Sellouts Shows

Seats Left Total Seats

Perct Sold

Final Sold

% of Final

Comp

JWD

45.00

22

1589

0/171

22195/23784

6.68%

33839

2.11%

8.10m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Fast X's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     103/10105  [1.02% sold]
Matinee:     14/3518  [0.40% | 1.96% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Guardians of the Galaxy: Volume 3 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-14 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	203	25501	29095	3594	12.35%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

47

 

T-14 Comps:

	%		Sold T-14	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	34.56		190	10399		0/351	32037/42436	24.51%		21117	17.02%		12.44m
L&T	54.88		195	6549		0/228	25051/31600	20.72%		16962	21.19%		15.91m
Bats	87.94		164	4087		0/285	31380/35467	11.52%		11757	30.57%		18.99m
BP2	50.91		230	7060		2/294	29934/37024	19.07%		16800	21.39%		14.25m
AM3	75.39		150	4767		0/238	28027/32794	14.54%		10475	34.31%		13.19m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of GOTG3's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     694/11051  [6.28% sold]
Matinee:    111/3372  [3.29% | 3.09% of all tickets sold]
3D:            407/5498  [7.40% | 11.32% of all tickets sold]

 

Guardians of the Galaxy: Volume 3 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-13 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	203	25377	29054	3677	12.66%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

83

 

T-13 Comps:

	%		Sold T-13	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	34.64		216	10615		0/351	31821/42436	25.01%		21117	17.41%		12.47m
L&T	53.96		265	6814		0/228	24786/31600	21.56%		16962	21.68%		15.65m
Bats	86.74		152	4239		0/285	31225/35464	11.95%		11757	31.27%		18.74m
BP2	50.72		190	7250		2/296	29904/37154	19.51%		16800	21.89%		14.20m
AM3	75.19		123	4890		0/238	27904/32794	14.91%		10475	35.10%		13.16m
JWD	135.83		112	2707		0/191	22665/25372	10.67%		10966	33.53%		24.45m
TGM	85.19		261	4316		0/259	31617/35933	12.01%		11474	32.05%		16.41m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of GOTG3's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:       713/11010  [6.48% sold]
Matinee:     111/3372  [3.29% | 3.02% of all tickets sold]
3D:            430/5457  [7.88% | 11.69% of all tickets sold]

[Eric Prime]

23 hours ago, Eric Williams said:

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-14 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	221	3206	39919	8.03%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 41

 

Comp - T-15

1.733x of Black Widow (22.87M)

3.614x of Shang-Chi (31.81M)

2.153x of Eternals (20.45M)

0.334x of Doctor Strange 2 (12.01M)

0.598x of Thor 4 (17.35M)

0.460x of Black Panther 2 (12.89M)

0.783x of Ant-Man 3 (13.7M)

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-13 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	221	3252	39919	8.15%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 46

 

Comp - T-14

1.699x of Black Widow (22.43M)

3.456x of Shang-Chi (30.41M)

2.083x of Eternals (19.79M)

0.333x of Doctor Strange 2 (12M)

0.582x of Thor 4 (16.88M)

0.448x of Black Panther 2 (12.55M)

0.763x of Ant-Man 3 (13.35M)

[Eric Prime]

Fast X Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-27 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	83	491	17734	2.77%

 

Total Seats Sold the Past Two Days: 24

 

Comp - T-27

0.400x of Jurassic World: Dominion (7.2M)

2.713x of Nope (17.36M)

[keysersoze123]

14 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Really trying to max out those PLF screens, eh?

 

Honestly surprised more films haven't been attempting that strat following the success of The Batman and Top Gun: Maverick.

I am sure Flash will try though PLF screens will be premium at that time when we have big releases every week. Other movies are MI7 and Blue Beetle. I wish this summer were more spaced apart. There is hardly any breathing room for movies to thrive.