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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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On 6/12/2023 at 3:16 PM, Inceptionzq said:

The Flash Alamo Drafthouse

T-3 Thursday 140 Showings 5148 +621 21645 ATP: 15.51
0.573 Across the Spider-Verse T-3 9.93M
0.375 Guardians T-3 6.57M
0.335 Ant-Man 3 T-3 5.87M
1.557 Black Adam T-3 11.83M
0.289 Thor L&T T-3 8.37M
0.369 The Batman T-3 6.49M
0.790 Eternals T-3 7.50M

 

T-4 Friday 184 Showings 3576 +467 27700 ATP: 15.89
0.424 Across the Spider-Verse T-4 14.63M
0.267 Guardians T-4 8.17M
0.240 Ant-Man 3 T-4 6.94M
1.109 Black Adam T-4 21.17M
0.228 Thor L&T T-4 9.25M
0.234 The Batman T-4 8.23M
0.555 Eternals T-4 11.84M

 

T-5 Saturday 182 Showings 3104 +452 28032 ATP: 15.23
0.408 Across the Spider-Verse T-5 15.26M
0.208 Guardians T-5 8.08M
0.207 Ant-Man 3 T-5 7.02M
1.032 Black Adam T-5 24.47M
0.213 Thor L&T T-5 8.96M
0.191 The Batman T-5 8.27M
0.483 Eternals T-5 11.65M

 

T-6 Sunday 156 Showings 1784 +334 24737 ATP: 14.40
0.353 Across the Spider-Verse T-6 11.04M
0.203 Guardians T-6 6.39M
0.230 Ant-Man 3 T-6 5.92M
1.603 Black Adam T-6 26.61M
0.202 Thor L&T T-6 6.55M
0.214 The Batman T-6 7.31M
0.454 Eternals T-6 7.42M

The Flash Alamo Drafthouse

T-2 Thursday 147 Showings 5795 +647 22162 ATP: 15.46
0.551 Across the Spider-Verse T-2 9.56M
0.377 Guardians T-2 6.60M
0.357 Ant-Man 3 T-2 6.25M
1.419 Black Adam T-2 10.78M
0.304 Thor L&T T-2 8.81M
0.362 The Batman T-2 6.37M
0.813 Eternals T-2 7.72M

 

T-3 Friday 277 Showings 4502 +926 38392 ATP: 15.70
0.446 Across the Spider-Verse T-3 15.38M
0.290 Guardians T-3 8.86M
0.274 Ant-Man 3 T-3 7.92M
1.066 Black Adam T-3 20.35M
0.260 Thor L&T T-3 10.56M
0.241 The Batman T-3 8.46M
0.601 Eternals T-3 12.82M

 

T-4 Saturday 282 Showings 3778 +674 39582 ATP: 15.13
0.426 Across the Spider-Verse T-4 15.94M
0.220 Guardians T-4 8.56M
0.232 Ant-Man 3 T-4 7.88M
0.997 Black Adam T-4 23.65M
0.230 Thor L&T T-4 9.68M
0.193 The Batman T-4 8.35M
0.523 Eternals T-4 12.61M

 

T-5 Sunday 251 Showings 2258 +474 35733 ATP: 14.41
0.390 Across the Spider-Verse T-5 12.20M
0.225 Guardians T-5 7.08M
0.265 Ant-Man 3 T-5 6.84M
1.569 Black Adam T-5 26.05M
0.223 Thor L&T T-5 7.23M
0.220 The Batman T-5 7.50M
0.514 Eternals T-5 8.39M
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On 6/12/2023 at 3:17 PM, Inceptionzq said:

The Flash Emagine Entertainment

T-3 Thursday 143 Showings 2083 +260 22186
0.657 Across the Spider-Verse T-3 11.40M

 

T-4 Friday 224 Showings 1505 +207 34437
0.435 Across the Spider-Verse T-4 15.00M

 

T-5 Saturday 217 Showings 1155 +129 33586
0.593 Across the Spider-Verse T-5 22.16M

 

T-6 Sunday 210 Showings 607 +112 32465
0.784 Across the Spider-Verse T-6 24.51M

The Flash Emagine Entertainment

T-2 Thursday 154 Showings 2535 +452 23004
0.643 Across the Spider-Verse T-2 11.15M

 

T-3 Friday 256 Showings 1847 +342 35790
0.414 Across the Spider-Verse T-3 14.28M

 

T-4 Saturday 248 Showings 1430 +275 35159
0.571 Across the Spider-Verse T-4 21.37M

 

T-5 Sunday 237 Showings 804 +197 33694
0.793 Across the Spider-Verse T-5 24.78M
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On 6/12/2023 at 3:19 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total 151 2338 6.46%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 194 1365 14.21%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
680 2 20137 3.38% 13 102

 

0.389 JW Dominion T-17 7.00M
1.771 NTTD T-17 11.03M

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total 156 2338 6.67%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 182 1195 15.23%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
708 28 20137 3.52% 13 102

 

0.394 JW Dominion T-16 7.10M
1.792 NTTD T-16 11.17M
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2 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

The Flash Emagine Entertainment

T-2 Thursday 154 Showings 2535 +452 23004
0.643 Across the Spider-Verse T-2 11.15M

 

T-3 Friday 256 Showings 1847 +342 35790
0.414 Across the Spider-Verse T-3 14.28M

 

T-4 Saturday 248 Showings 1430 +275 35159
0.571 Across the Spider-Verse T-4 21.37M

 

T-5 Sunday 237 Showings 804 +197 33694
0.793 Across the Spider-Verse T-5 24.78M

Looks promising.

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On 6/12/2023 at 3:25 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alamo Drafthouse

T-17 Thursday 113 Showings 4215 +224 18505 ATP: 15.59
1.050 JW Dominion T-17 18.91M

 

T-18 Friday 157 Showings 3575 +169 26274 ATP: 15.43

 

T-19 Saturday 158 Showings 3523 +140 26610 ATP: 14.72

 

T-20 Sunday 138 Showings 1784 +76 23474 ATP: 14.23
1.147 JW Dominion T-20 44.26M

 

JW Friday and Saturday wasn't working this day, so no comps there. Also, today's jump was highly suspect. Same thing happened with Oppenheimer. Whenever there's an unusually high jump, it's always because a random sellout was added, but that's not the case here. The showings seemed normal to me and I didn't notice any changes in the code after looking it over. So, put an asterisk on the day, not sure what caused this huge jump.

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alamo Drafthouse

T-16 Thursday 113 Showings 4359 +144 18505 ATP: 15.60
1.051 JW Dominion T-16 18.92M

 

T-17 Friday 157 Showings 3762 +187 26274 ATP: 15.46
0.983 JW Dominion T-17 40.86M

 

T-18 Saturday 158 Showings 3651 +128 26610 ATP: 14.68
0.972 JW Dominion T-18 45.58M

 

T-19 Sunday 138 Showings 1876 +92 23474 ATP: 14.22
1.134 JW Dominion T-19 43.75M
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On 6/12/2023 at 3:27 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Emagine Entertainment

T-17 Thursday 143 Showings 856 +42 22137

 

T-18 Friday 231 Showings 399 +25 35152

 

T-19 Saturday 227 Showings 235 +8 34780

 

T-20 Sunday 225 Showings 89 +3 34103

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Emagine Entertainment

T-16 Thursday 143 Showings 863 +7 21919

 

T-17 Friday 232 Showings 416 +17 34905

 

T-18 Saturday 235 Showings 245 +10 35437

 

T-19 Sunday 228 Showings 101 +12 34193
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On 6/12/2023 at 3:28 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Oppenheimer Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total 289 800 36.13%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 100 563 17.76%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
685 22 7872 8.70% 13 41

Oppenheimer Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total 295 804 36.69%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 105 563 18.65%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
713 28 7876 9.05% 13 41
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On 6/12/2023 at 3:29 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Oppenheimer Alamo Drafthouse

T-38 Thursday 80 Showings 1702 +266 12248 ATP: 18.31

 

T-39 Friday 123 Showings 1415 +185 18750 ATP: 17.37

 

T-40 Saturday 114 Showings 1728 +154 17685 ATP: 18.49

 

T-41 Sunday 114 Showings 831 +102 17830 ATP: 18.42

 

Like I said in the Indiana Jones post, highly suspect increases, but didn't notice anything strange. Put an asterisk on the day.

Oppenheimer Alamo Drafthouse

T-37 Thursday 80 Showings 1847 +145 12248 ATP: 18.17

 

T-38 Friday 123 Showings 1542 +127 18750 ATP: 17.30

 

T-39 Saturday 114 Showings 1857 +129 17685 ATP: 18.28

 

T-40 Sunday 112 Showings 929 +98 17830 ATP: 18.32
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On 6/12/2023 at 3:30 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Oppenheimer Emagine Entertainment

T-38 Thursday 70 Showings 284 +6 11340

 

T-39 Friday 112 Showings 118 +0 15868

 

T-40 Saturday 111 Showings 80 +0 15867

 

T-41 Sunday 109 Showings 22 +3 15637

Oppenheimer Emagine Entertainment

T-37 Thursday 72 Showings 309 +25 11931

 

T-38 Friday 123 Showings 145 +27 18353

 

T-39 Saturday 122 Showings 97 +17 18354

 

T-40 Sunday 120 Showings 24 +2 18122
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22 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

The Flash Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total 436 2182 19.98%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 275 1498 18.36%

 

Monday: 238

Thursday:

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
1758 212 20980 8.38% 13 118

 

0.542 Across the Spider-Verse T-2 9.41M
0.443 Guardians 3 T-2 7.75M
0.378 Ant-Man 3 T-2 6.61M
1.252 Black Adam T-2 9.52M
0.251 Thor L&T T-2 7.29M
0.319 Batman T-2 6.90M
0.801 Eternals T-2 7.61M

Black Adam comp is in freefall 

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35 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Black Adam comp is in freefall 

That's what having a review release bump vs not looks like. The ATSV comps will likely do the same tomorrow

 

Its really starting to feel like WB oversold the film, and when it came as out good but not "best CBM ever" level, it backfired, turned people off, rather than clearing the "good enough" bar that Transformers apparently had to meet

 

Wondering if your sales pull today can even top 4000 ...

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Black Adam comp was going to freefall even if this got 95% RT. That’s how it goes when comping an established fan nostalgia crossover thing with a fairly GA first entry that had much lower initial sales.  
 

Though, yes, review timing is important for the exact daily jerkiness of that fall and level of reception for flash is important for the exact degree of magnitude.

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Should have numbers a bit later. Very interested to see how it sold yesterday and any change of trajectory.

 

I do still very much hold out hope that it’ll  surprise everyone with some incredibly strong reception and WOM for a higher-than-norm Thursday multiplier.

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23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

OPPENHEIMER

 

THURSDAY previews

 

T-38

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

70

752

12741

5.9%

*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

27

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

OPPENHEIMER

 

THURSDAY previews

 

T-37

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

70

772

12741

6.1%

*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

20

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

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6 minutes ago, M37 said:

That's what having a review release bump vs not looks like. The ATSV comps will likely do the same tomorrow

 

Its really starting to feel like WB oversold the film, and when it came as out good but not "best CBM ever" level, it backfired, turned people off, rather than clearing the "good enough" bar that Transformers apparently had to meet

 

Wondering if your sales pull today can even top 4000 ...

It did, but just barely 

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On 6/12/2023 at 6:47 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

The Blackening 

 

Wednesday

 

T-2

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

15

270

2169

12.4%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

11

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

5

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

Thursday

 

T-3

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

44

176

7319

2.4%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

17

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

14

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

 

COMPS (THUR ONLY)

T-3

 

(0.577x) of The Boogeyman

~$600K THUR + anything it makes from EA

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

The Blackening 

 

Wednesday

 

T-1

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

15

292

2169

13.5%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

22

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

Thursday

 

T-2

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

              56

212

8645

2.5%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

36

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

12

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

 

COMPS (THUR ONLY)

T-2

 

(0.648x) of The Boogeyman

~$700K THUR + anything it makes from EA

Edited by TheFlatLannister
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Flash looks DOA. Elemental with late review surge could hopefully over perform relative to meagre presales so far. Next week No hard Feelings has sold 2092 at MTC1 while Asteroid City with just 360 shows has sold 2948 tickets . Ruby Gillman has sold whooping 616 tickets !!! June BO already looks like fizzling out at this point. Hopefully Spidey does 400m+ and July releases do lot better. 

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1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

Flash looks DOA. Elemental with late review surge could hopefully over perform relative to meagre presales so far. Next week No hard Feelings has sold 2092 at MTC1 while Asteroid City with just 360 shows has sold 2948 tickets . Ruby Gillman has sold whooping 616 tickets !!! June BO already looks like fizzling out at this point. Hopefully Spidey does 400m+ and July releases do lot better. 

wow. So bad for No Hard feelings. I doubt reviews will help it either

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On 6/12/2023 at 6:39 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-17

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

165

1846

34244

5.4%

*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

16

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-17

 

(0.370x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3

~$6.5M THUR Previews

 

(1.337x) of FAST X

~$10M THUR Previews

 

(1.576x) of TRANSFORMERS RoTB

~$13.8M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG $10.1M

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-16

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

183

1866

37284

5.0%

*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

20

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

18

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-16

 

(0.367x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3

~$6.4M THUR Previews

 

(1.328x) of FAST X

~$9.9M THUR Previews

 

(1.568x) of TRANSFORMERS RoTB

~$13.8M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG $10M

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