The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Eric is Quiet]

23 hours ago, Eric Lightyear said:

Minions: The Rise of Gru Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	120	89	26275	0.34%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 20

 

Comp

0.200x of Sonic the Hedgehog 2 T-17 (1.25M)

Minions: The Rise of Gru Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	120	109	26275	0.41%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 20

 

Comp

0.234x of Sonic the Hedgehog 2 T-16 (1.46M)

[Eric is Quiet]

23 hours ago, Eric Lightyear said:

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-24 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	184	3689	34283	10.76%

 

Comp

0.327x of Spider-Man: No Way Home's First Day of Sales (16.38M)

1.023x of The Batman's First Day of Sales (22.1M)

0.599x of Doctor Strange 2's First Day of Sales (21.55M)

0.464x of Doctor Strange 2 T-24 (16.7M)

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-23 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	184	4098	34283	11.95%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 409

 

Comp

0.325x of Spider-Man: No Way Home's First Two Days of Sales (16.23M)

1.025x of The Batman's First Two Days of Sales (22.14M)

0.595x of Doctor Strange 2's First Two Days of Sales (21.41M)

0.503x of Doctor Strange 2 T-23 (18.09M)

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Minions 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-17 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	167	24883	25200	317	1.26%

 

Total Showings Added Today	2
Total Seats Added Today	n/a*
Total Seats Sold Today	24

* NOTE: The two showings added tonight where at the local drive-in theater, which sells tickets online but does not have reserved seating/slots.

 

T-17 Comp

%

Sold T-17

Total Sold

Sellouts Shows

Seats Left Total Seats

Perct Sold

Final Sold

% of Final

Comp

Sonic 2

81.91

13

387

0/76

11279/11666

3.32%

5847

5.42%

5.12m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Minions 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:        40/5129  [0.78% sold]
Matinee:    18/2080  [0.87% | 5.68% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Minions 2 just keeps chugging along.  Probably bring back GB:A on, oh let's say Thursday, even though the pre-sale differences will still be skewing things, it shouldn't be quite as bad by then.  At least as not as bad as a Day 1 vs Day 8.

 

Minions 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-16 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	167	24852	25197	345	1.37%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

28

 

T-16 Comp

%

Sold T-16

Total Sold

Sellouts Shows

Seats Left Total Seats

Perct Sold

Final Sold

% of Final

Comp

Sonic 2

80.80

40

427

0/76

11239/11666

3.66%

5847

5.90%

5.05m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Minions 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:        40/5129  [0.78% sold]
Matinee:    22/2080  [1.06% | 6.38% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-24 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	228	27442	31603	4161	13.17%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

4161

 

Day 1 Comps      

	%		Sold Day 1	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH	31.34		13279	13279		0/225	14920/28199	47.09%		28183	14.76%		15.67m
Batman	144.43		2406	2881		0/248	29316/32197	8.95%		11757	35.39%		31.20m
MoM	61.65		6749	6749		0/329	34167/40916	16.49%		21117	19.70%		22.20m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Love and Thunder's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:        379/5458  [6.94% sold]
Matinee:    154/2566  [6.00% | 3.70% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Not too bad all things considered, IMO.  Did in fact pick up the pace a bit from this morning.  Comps are all over the place, but that's to be expected with differences in pre-sale length and hype. 

 

I did comp Black Widow on my home sheet, but I'm not including it quite yet here.  Ftr, it's comping at 48.76m after adjusting for lack of Ontario + differences in tracking in Sacramento at the time.  Which probably explains why I'm not putting it here. (hush about the NWH inclusion )  Might bring it back in when I switch to T-x comps in a few days.

 

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-23 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	228	26876	31600	4724	14.95%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

563

 

Day 2 Comps     

	%		Sold Day 2	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH	32.27		1361	14640		0/273	19521/34161	42.86%		28183	16.76%		16.13m
Batman	146.03		354	3235		0/248	29063/32298	10.02%		11757	40.18%		31.54m
MoM	63.81		654	7403		0/329	33513/40916	18.09%		21117	22.37%		22.97m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Love and Thunder's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:       437/5458  [8.01% sold]
Matinee:    201/2566  [7.83% | 4.25% of all tickets sold]

 

[Porthos]

On 6/14/2022 at 12:06 AM, Porthos said:

 

Lightyear Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	147	16295	17891	1596	8.92%

 

Total Showings Added Today	18
Total Seats Added Today	1415
Total Seats Sold Today	343

 

T-3 Comps

	%		Sold T-3	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
GB:A	135.60		182	1177		0/153	19354/20531	5.73%		3034	52.60%		6.10m
Sonic 2	97.91		269	1630		0/109	12800/14430	11.30%		3951	40.39%		6.12m
SC	58.23		335	2741		0/156	19111/21852	12.54%		5847	27.30%		5.12m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Lightyear's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP***

Lightyear = 0.46068x TS4 at the same sources of tracking at T-3 [4.98m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 10% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2019 to 2022.

 

Wednesday Sales:      615/1325 [46.42% sold] [+70 tickets]
Thursday Sales:        981/16566 [5.92% sold] [+270 tickets]
    
Regal:      150/3504  [4.28% sold]
Matinee:    111/1683  [6.60% | 6.95% of all tickets sold]

 

Lightyear Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	1	186	19987	22023	2036	9.24%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today	1
Total Showings Added Today	39
Total Seats Added Today	4132
Total Seats Sold Today	440

 

T-2 Comps

	%		Sold T-2	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
GB:A	134.83		333	1510		0/178	21594/23104	6.54%		3034	67.11%		6.07m
Sonic 2	97.14		466	2096		0/119	13278/15374	13.63%		3951	51.53%		6.07m
SC	62.09		490	3279		0/183	21325/24604	13.33%		5847	34.82%		5.46m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Lightyear's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP***

Lightyear = 0.50383x TS4 at the same sources of tracking at T-2 [5.44m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 10% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2019 to 2022.

 

Wednesday Sales:     677/1325 [51.09% sold] [+62 tickets]
Thursday Sales:    1359/20698 [6.57% sold] [+378 tickets]
    
Regal:     199/3944  [5.05% sold]
Matinee:    134/2123  [6.31% | 6.58% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

ngl, not a great T-2.   Could have been higher, mind, but I am not counting a suspicious sellout. A 10pm 3D showing went from 1 ticket (out of 65) sold to sold out tonight.  Smells like an error, but it could be a group buying out a showing.  If it's still sold out tomorrow night, I'll go ahead and count it (I'll decide whether to back date those 64 tickets if it's still sold out tomorrow night). 

 

As it is, would have liked to see stronger sales even without that suspect sellout.  Just have to see if this was a blip or a sign of hesitancy on the GA.

 

EDITED NEXT DAY:  Was indeed still sold out, so updating this post for the historical record, as it were.

 

 

 

 

 

Edited June 16, 2022 by Porthos

[charlie Jatinder]

On 6/14/2022 at 2:29 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Lightyear Harkins T-3 Days

Day	Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
Early Access	11	3,448	1,157	33.56%	$18,175	$15.71
Thursday	313	78,770	1,637	2.08%	$20,886	$12.76
Total	324	82,218	2,794	3.40%	$39,061	$13.98

 

Comps

0.81x of Shang Chi T-3 days - $6.89M

 

Lightyear Harkins T-2 Days

Day	Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
Early Access	11	3,448	1,289	37.38%	$20,252	$15.71
Thursday	339	82,945	2,213	2.67%	$27,664	$12.50
Total	350	86,393	3,502	4.05%	$47,916	$13.68

 

Comps

0.84x of Shang Chi T-2 days - $7.15M

 

Shang Chi under indexed in Harkins and Lightyear is likely to over index, so not a perfect comp. Will have Eternals comp tomorrow, which isn't great as well but better. Approx Eternals comp will be $5.9M ish. 

Edited June 15, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[charlie Jatinder]

On 6/14/2022 at 2:07 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Thor: Love and Thunder Harkins T-24 Days

 

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
406	102,582	6,218	6.06%	$84,890	$13.65

 

Comps

0.51x of DSitMoM first day of sales - $18.4M

1.58x of The Batman first day of sales - $34.1M

 

I will figure out a better presentation in next few days or tweak the way of tracking. The Capacity might not be true but don't think it really matter much. Good start on the whole. If there were no NWH and DSitMoM, these sales would have been mind blowing but for now it just seems ok, so blame those two.

Thor: Love and Thunder Harkins T-23 Days

 

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
412	103,322	6,999	6.77%	$94,698	$13.53

 

Comps

0.52x of DSitMoM two days of sales - $18.7M

 

Good day two. Around 56% of DSitMoM. My target is to hit 9K by T-17 days. Let's see if we can do that.

[filmlover]

I'm having a tough time picturing Minions opening higher than Despicable Me 3 did in the same spot five years ago. Honestly even if Lightyear opens on the low end of expectations its legs should be fine since WOM is certain to be good.

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Black Phone	T-9	Jax	6	16	1	31	1,959	1.58%
		Phx	5	13	-5	29	2,108	1.38%
		Ral	7	18	3	39	1,933	2.02%
	Total		18	47	-1	99	6,000	1.65%
Black Phone (EA)	T-1	Jax	1	1	0	35	60	58.33%
		Phx	1	1	9	43	106	40.57%
	Total		2	2	9	78	166	46.99%
Elvis	T-9	Jax	7	27	11	109	4,689	2.32%
		Phx	6	16	15	93	2,103	4.42%
		Ral	8	20	5	83	2,074	4.00%
	Total		21	63	31	285	8,866	3.21%
Elvis (EA)	T-8	Jax	2	2	4	76	403	18.86%
	Total		2	2	4	76	403	18.86%
Lightyear	T-2	Jax	6	75	56	293	10,221	2.87%
		Phx	6	69	92	392	11,262	3.48%
		Ral	8	47	39	228	4,541	5.02%
	Total		20	191	187	913	26,024	3.51%
Lightyear (EA)	T-1	Jax	3	3	21	99	600	16.50%
		Phx	1	1	4	23	410	5.61%
		Ral	1	1	9	15	261	5.75%
	Total		5	5	34	137	1,271	10.78%
Minions 2	T-16	Jax	6	101	8	65	16,556	0.39%
		Phx	6	66	14	91	12,191	0.75%
		Ral	8	52	2	67	6,699	1.00%
	Total		20	219	24	223	35,446	0.63%
Nope	T-37	Jax	7	51	1	32	8,591	0.37%
		Phx	6	20	0	52	4,344	1.20%
		Ral	7	22	4	46	3,210	1.43%
	Total		20	93	5	130	16,145	0.81%
Thor 4	T-23	Jax	7	92	112	942	14,689	6.41%
		Phx	5	107	221	1,325	17,781	7.45%
		Ral	8	61	133	1,108	8,164	13.57%
	Total		20	260	466	3,375	40,634	8.31%

 

Back to a combined post.  *Thor 4 new sales since 9hr mark (15 hrs ago)*

 

Lightyear (Thu) T-2 comps

 - Bad Guys - 7.61x (8.75m)

 - Encanto (Tue) - 3.77x (5.66m)

 - Sonic 2 - .852x (4.24m)

 - Jungle Cruise - 2.78x (7.52m)

 - Free Guy - 2.6x (5.72m)

 

Black Phone (Thu) T-9 comps

 - Ghostbusters - missed

 - Morbius - .149x (852k)

 - Suicide Squad - .313x (1.28m)

 

Elvis (Thu) T-9 comps

 - No Time to Die - .54x (2.81m)

 - F9 - .33x (2.34m)

 - Ghostbusters - missed

 - FB3 - .315x (1.89m)

 

Minions 2 T-16 comp

 - Sonic 2 - .774x (3.86m)

 

Not even gonna try for Nope.  The earliest horror I tracked was Black Phone that had 24 tickets sold in its first day.  Historically horror is not heavy on presales so I normally wait until the week before release to start tracking.  I'll keep it in the updates but probably no comps for a few weeks at least.

 

Thor 4 24hr comps

 - Eternals (23hrs) - 4.42x (42.02m)

 - Batman + EA (23hrs) - 1.037x (22.41m)

 - No Way Home (33hrs) - .239x (11.96m)

 - Dr. Strange 2 (24hrs) - .562x (20.24m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Black Phone	T-8	Jax	6	16	3	34	1,959	1.74%
		Phx	5	13	4	33	2,108	1.57%
		Ral	7	18	0	39	1,933	2.02%
	Total		18	47	7	106	6,000	1.77%
Black Phone (EA)	T-0	Jax	1	1	2	37	60	61.67%
		Phx	1	1	4	47	106	44.34%
	Total		2	2	6	84	166	50.60%
Elvis	T-8	Jax	7	27	7	116	4,689	2.47%
		Phx	6	16	4	97	2,103	4.61%
		Ral	8	20	22	105	2,074	5.06%
	Total		21	63	33	318	8,866	3.59%
Elvis (EA)	T-7	Jax	2	2	9	85	403	21.09%
	Total		2	2	9	85	403	21.09%
Lightyear	T-1	Jax	6	77	36	329	10,382	3.17%
		Phx	7	74	133	525	11,542	4.55%
		Ral	8	50	98	326	5,048	6.46%
	Total		21	201	267	1,180	26,972	4.37%
Lightyear (EA)	T-0	Jax	3	3	26	125	600	20.83%
		Phx	1	1	25	48	410	11.71%
		Ral	1	1	7	22	261	8.43%
	Total		5	5	58	195	1,271	15.34%
Minions 2	T-15	Jax	6	101	7	72	16,556	0.43%
		Phx	6	66	1	92	12,191	0.75%
		Ral	8	52	17	84	6,699	1.25%
	Total		20	219	25	248	35,446	0.70%
Nope	T-36	Jax	7	51	3	35	8,591	0.41%
		Phx	6	20	4	56	4,344	1.29%
		Ral	7	22	4	50	3,210	1.56%
	Total		20	93	11	141	16,145	0.87%
Thor 4	T-22	Jax	7	92	128	1,070	14,689	7.28%
		Phx	6	111	140	1,465	18,041	8.12%
		Ral	8	61	156	1,264	8,164	15.48%
	Total		21	264	424	3,799	40,894	9.29%

 

Lightyear (Thu) T-1 comps

 - Bad Guys - 7.76x (8.93m)

 - Encanto (Tue) - 3.81x (5.71m)

 - Sonic 2 - .843x (4.2m)

 - Jungle Cruise - 2.55x (6.9m)

 - Free Guy - 2.92x (6.43m)

 

Black Phone (Thu) T-8 comps

 - Ghostbusters - .193x (803k)

 - Morbius - .145x (824k)

 - Suicide Squad - .31x (1.27m)

 

Elvis (Thu) T-8 comps

 - No Time to Die - .54x (2.81m)

 - F9 - .35x (2.51m)

 - Ghostbusters - .58x (2.41m)

 - FB3 - .305x (1.83m)

 

Minions 2 T-15 comp

 - Sonic 2 - .821x (4.09m)

 - FB3 - .687x (4.12m)

 

Not even gonna try for Nope.  The earliest horror I tracked was Black Phone that had 24 tickets sold in its first day.  Historically horror is not heavy on presales so I normally wait until the week before release to start tracking.  I'll keep it in the updates but probably no comps for a few weeks at least.

 

Thor 4 - 2 days comps

 - Eternals - 4.29x (40.73m)

 - Batman + EA - missed

 - No Way Home - .244x (12.19m)

 - Dr. Strange 2 - .546x (19.66m)

 

Too early to make any judgements.  It's a tough time right now with so much on sale and TG2/JW3 still huge.  This is also my first summer so I'm expecting presales pattern to be different.

[ringedmortality]

Deadline has Lightyear with a $70M-$85M DOM OW and a WW of 135M

[ThomasNicole]

As of Monday, Lightyear had racked up $4M in presales. Sonic the Hedgehog 2 earned an estimated $12M-$14M in presales the day before opening and the hope is that Lightyear arrives in that range by tomorrow.

[charlie Jatinder]

......

Edited June 15, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[John Marston]

Ticket sales for Lightyear around here seem anemic. Going to have to rely on walk ups heavily 

[BadOlCatSylvester]

29 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:

Deadline has Lightyear with a $70M-$85M DOM OW and a WW of 135M

Behold the rare highball from Deadline. I'm thinking a number closer to $65M, with a decent possibility of going as low as $60M. There simply isn't enough buzz for this movie to reach Deadline's projections. The lukewarm reviews won't help either.

[Nublar7]

7 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

Behold the rare highball from Deadline. I'm thinking a number closer to $65M, with a decent possibility of going as low as $60M. There simply isn't enough buzz for this movie to reach Deadline's projections. The lukewarm reviews won't help either.

If it does $60 million or under, then it is likely Dominion repeating as #1.

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Santikos Tracking

 

By format

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-1	Lightyear (EA)	PLF	3	65	394	947	41.61%	$16.97	$6,685.84
T-2	Lightyear	PLF	3	27	159	1,152	13.80%	$14.38	$2,286.49
		Standard	61	85	411	7,730	5.32%	$11.18	$4,595.07
	Total		64	112	570	8,882	6.42%	$12.07	$6,881.56
T-23	Thor 4	PLF	57	542	2,505	11,672	21.46%	$16.08	$40,288.32
		Standard	87	349	1,095	11,439	9.57%	$12.12	$13,268.64
	Total		144	891	3,600	23,111	15.58%	$14.88	$53,556.96

 

By matinee

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-2	Lightyear	N	43	73	407	5,887	6.91%	$12.85	$5,228.31
		Y	21	39	163	2,995	5.44%	$10.14	$1,653.25
	Lightyear Total		64	112	570	8,882	6.42%	$12.07	$6,881.56
T-23	Thor 4	N	103	714	3,012	16,531	18.22%	$15.44	$46,519.34
		Y	41	177	588	6,580	8.94%	$11.97	$7,037.62
	Thor 4 Total		144	891	3,600	23,111	15.58%	$14.88	$53,556.96

 

Lightyear T-2 comps

 - Sonic 2 - .567x (2.82m)

 - FB3 - .427x (2.56m)

 - Bob's Burgers - 2.65x (3.98m)

 

Lightyear + EA comp

 - Sonic 2 - 3.67m

 

 

Thor 4 (26 hrs) comps

 - DS2 (50 hrs) - .494x (17.78m)

 - NWH (33 hrs) - .271x (13.58m)

 

These comps are a little wacky still since I missed the first full day runs for literally every movie.

Santikos Tracking

 

By format

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Lightyear (EA)	PLF	3	90	484	947	51.11%	$16.99	$8,220.88
T-1	Lightyear	PLF	3	42	201	1,152	17.45%	$14.44	$2,901.77
		Standard	63	211	622	7,934	7.84%	$10.99	$6,836.21
	Total		66	253	823	9,086	9.06%	$11.83	$9,737.98
T-22	Thor 4	PLF	57	248	2,753	11,672	23.59%	$16.05	$44,191.90
		Standard	87	192	1,287	11,439	11.25%	$12.02	$15,475.07
	Total		144	440	4,040	23,111	17.48%	$14.77	$59,666.97

 

By matinee

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-1	Lightyear	N	45	155	562	6,091	9.23%	$12.80	$7,191.12
		Y	21	98	261	2,995	8.71%	$9.76	$2,546.86
	Lightyear Total		66	253	823	9,086	9.06%	$11.83	$9,737.98
T-22	Thor 4	N	103	331	3,343	16,531	20.22%	$15.38	$51,427.84
		Y	41	109	697	6,580	10.59%	$11.82	$8,239.13
	Thor 4 Total		144	440	4,040	23,111	17.48%	$14.77	$59,666.97

 

One thing I want to point out - Lightyear only has three PLF shows on Thursday night in this chain.  I haven't checked to see how widespread that is, but I know that number will jump way up on Friday.  Those three shows account for almost a quarter of its sales for tomorrow (201/823).  I'm expecting that to hurt previews a little, but help the IM. 

 

Lightyear T-1 comps

 - Sonic 2 - .54x (2.69m)

 - FB3 - .532x (3.19m)

 - Bob's Burgers - 3.09x (4.64m)

 

Lightyear + EA comp

 - Sonic 2 - 2.2m

 

Thor 4 (2 days) comps

 - DS2 (50 hrs) - .554x (19.95m)

 - NWH (33 hrs) - .305x (15.24m)

[YM!]

31 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

As of Monday, Lightyear had racked up $4M in presales. Sonic the Hedgehog 2 earned an estimated $12M-$14M in presales the day before opening and the hope is that Lightyear arrives in that range by tomorrow.

Yikes, granted Sonic probably drew more adult skewing but it’s OW was 58 families/42 adults. If it’s not at like 2/3 by tomorrow, I think it’s probably going $60m or lower.

[katnisscinnaplex]

12 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

@katnisscinnaplex do you know how many early shows for lightyear and breakup by chain?

 

You know I do.

 

MTC1 - 157

MTC2 - 98

MTC3 - 76

 

Total - 481

[filmlover]

$70-85M is such a broad range lol. They might as well had said "we're covering all the bases."

[Shawn Robbins]

4 minutes ago, filmlover said:

$70-85M is such a broad range lol. They might as well had said "we're covering all the bases."

It's actually quite reasonable to everyone who understands how tracking works and acknowledges the lack of traditional comparison points for Lightyear. Deadline could have easily gone with a wider range and been somewhat justified for it.