The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[keysersoze123]

18 minutes ago, Menor Reborn said:

Ticket to Paradise Marcus Theaters:

 

Thursday:

Showtimes: 233

Seats Sold: 1000/25456

 

0.29x Bullet Train pure Thu on Wednesday night (1.16m)

 

Friday:

Showtimes: 540

Seats Sold: 4493/60632

 

0.89x Bullet Train true Fri on Wednesday night (7.38m)

 

I haven't been posting my Marcus numbers due to lack of good comps (and I still don't love Bullet Train as a comp here) but thought this was worth posting to show just how Friday-loaded the sales for TTP have been. It could easily have a massive IM from a soft Thu. 

Did you check BP2 at Marcus. You have comps with Thor 4.

[Menor the Destroyer]

9 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Did you check BP2 at Marcus. You have comps with Thor 4.

I have taken some numbers but I didn't get Marcus up and running until T-15 for Thor, so will start posting BP2 next week. 

[Tinalera]

Black Adam

Oct 20/21 (T-1 Thur. T-2 Fri)

SW/Toronto Ontario

 

	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Thurs	20	135	3662	29139	32801	0.1116
Fri	20	161	2392	15509	17901	0.1336

 

Comps

 

Thurs 

x .1711 Dr Strange 2 (1.06 Mil Cdn)

x .1850 Thor 4 (1.14 Mil Cdn)

 

Fri

x .1732 Dr Strange 2 (1.07 Million)

x .2498 Thor 4 (1.54 Million)

 

Disclaimer-I may....just may have messed up yesterdays comps. I was doing them today and saying "this isn't right"....I did yesterdays comps using Black Panther Numbers accidently....heh....ooops. 

 

THESE numbers are Black Adam, I may have to go back and revise the Comps from yesterday just for continuity-so yea if these numbers seem way off from yesterday, that's why (and gives you an idea of how BP is doing in comparison at its stage)

[el sid]

Black Adam, counted today at 11am EST for Thursday, October 20:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 482 (9 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 413 (10 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 51 (9 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 26 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 123 (5 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 459 (13 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 705 (18 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 2.259.

Up 10.5% since yesterday. To be honest I thought it would have a slightly better jump.
Comps (all counted on Wednesday of the release week for Thursday):
TSS (4.1M from previews) had 1.656 sold tickets = 1.365x for Black Adam = 5.6M /exactly the same number as yesterday) + no HBO Max competition = 7-8M I guess.
SC (8.8M) had 3.166 sold tickets = 72% of SC = 6.3M.
Morbius (5.7M) had 1.873 sold tickets = x1.21 = 6.9M.
Eternals (9.5M) had 3.581 = 63% = 6M.
And Venom (10M, with very good jumps in its last week) had 2.498 sold tickets = 90.5% =9M.

The comps look pretty good but I'm not pleased about the small jump.

[Inceptionzq]

21 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Black Adam Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

333

2584

12.89%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

279

1770

15.76%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1594	294	23546	6.77%	15	122

 

AMCs sold	1045
Cinemarks sold	257
Regals sold	157
Harkins sold	135

 

0.201x Thor L&T T-2 (5.82M)

0.363x Jurassic World 3 T-2 (6.54M)

0.134x Doctor Strange MoM T-2 (4.83M)

0.255x Batman T-2 (5.51M)

0.640x Eternals T-2 (6.08M)

0.772x Shang-Chi T-2 (6.80M)

Black Adam Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

373

2584

14.43%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

332

1770

18.76%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1895	301	24354	7.78%	15	132

 

AMCs sold	1212
Cinemarks sold	322
Regals sold	186
Harkins sold	175

 

0.209x Thor L&T T-1 (6.07M)

0.376x Jurassic World 3 T-1 (6.77M)

0.148x Doctor Strange MoM T-1 (5.33M)

0.270x Batman T-1 (5.84M)

0.663x Eternals T-1 (6.29M)

0.797x Shang-Chi T-1 (7.02M)

[Inceptionzq]

21 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Black Adam Megaplex

 

T-2 Thursday(94 showings): 958(+179)/28155

0.109x Thor L&T T-2 (3.15M)

0.198x Jurassic World 3 T-2 (3.57M)

0.127x Batman T-2 (2.74M)

0.384x Eternals T-2 (3.65M)

0.452x Shang-Chi T-2 (3.97M)

 

T-3 Friday(194 showings): 1157(+309)/53224

0.203x Thor L&T T-3 (10.07M)

0.200x Jurassic World 3 T-3 (8.33M)

0.221x Batman T-3 (7.72M)

0.505x Eternals T-3 (10.77M)

0.643x Shang-Chi T-3 (13.31M)

 

T-4 Saturday(200 showings): 805(+176)/54622

0.244x Thor L&T T-4 (10.28M)

0.198x Jurassic World 3 T-4 (9.27M)

0.271x Batman T-4 (11.71M)

0.625x Eternals T-4 (15.08M)

 

T-5 Sunday(180 showings): 347(+74)/50535

0.300x Thor L&T T-5 (9.76M)

0.255x Jurassic World 3 T-5 (9.83M)

0.480x Batman T-5 (16.39M)

1.02x Eternals T-5 (16.67M)

Black Adam Megaplex

 

T-1 Thursday(94 showings): 1139(+181)/28155

0.112x Thor L&T T-1 (3.26M)

0.205x Jurassic World 3 T-1 (3.69M)

0.135x Batman T-1 (2.92M)

0.389x Eternals T-1 (3.70M)

0.461x Shang-Chi T-1 (4.05M)

 

T-2 Friday(194 showings): 1392(+235)/53224

0.201x Thor L&T T-2 (9.94M)

0.196x Jurassic World 3 T-2 (8.17M)

0.212x Batman T-2 (7.41M)

0.473x Eternals T-2 (10.10M)

0.620x Shang-Chi T-2 (12.83M)

 

T-3 Saturday(200 showings): 982(+177)/54622

0.249x Thor L&T T-3 (10.49M)

0.197x Jurassic World 3 T-3 (9.26M)

0.258x Batman T-3 (11.18M)

0.592x Eternals T-3 (14.27M)

 

T-4 Sunday(183 showings): 402(+55)/51033

0.297x Thor L&T T-4 (9.65M)

0.230x Jurassic World 3 T-4 (8.88M)

0.444x Batman T-4 (15.15M)

0.944x Eternals T-4 (15.41M)

[Inceptionzq]

21 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Black Adam Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-2 Thursday(185 showings): 4085(+778)/25521 ATP: $15.37

0.215x Thor L&T T-2 (6.23M)

0.415x Jurassic World 3 T-2 (7.48M)

0.159x Doctor Strange MoM T-2 (5.72M)

0.255x Batman T-2 (4.49M, Thurs only)

0.573x Eternals T-2 (5.44M)

 

T-3 Friday(260 showings): 4223 (+999)/35524 ATP: $15.36

0.244x Thor L&T T-3 (12.09M)

0.363x Jurassic World 3 T-3 (15.10M)

0.163x Doctor Strange MoM T-3 (8.93M)

0.226x Batman T-3 (7.92M)

0.564x Eternals T-3 (12.03M)

 

T-4 Saturday(267 showings): 3788(+780)/36589 ATP: $14.81

0.232x Thor L&T T-4 (9.77M)

0.330x Jurassic World 3 T-4 (15.47M)

0.138x Doctor Strange MoM T-4 (7.99M)

0.194x Batman T-4 (8.37M)

0.524x Eternals T-4 (12.64M)

 

T-5 Sunday(229 showings): 1439(+326)/30683 ATP: $13.91

0.142x Thor L&T T-5 (4.61M)

0.230x Jurassic World 3 T-5 (8.89M)

0.091x Doctor Strange MoM T-5 (3.52M)

0.140x Batman T-5 (4.78M)

0.327x Eternals T-5 (5.34M)

Black Adam Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-1 Thursday(185 showings): 4613(+528)/25521 ATP: $15.28

0.211x Thor L&T T-1 (6.11M)

0.405x Jurassic World 3 T-1 (7.29M)

0.165x Doctor Strange MoM T-1 (5.94M)

0.256x Batman T-1 (4.50M, Thurs only)

0.583x Eternals T-1 (5.54M)

 

T-2 Friday(268 showings): 5035(+812)/36487 ATP: $15.28

0.247x Thor L&T T-2 (12.24M)

0.349x Jurassic World 3 T-2 (14.51M)

0.173x Doctor Strange MoM T-2 (9.46M)

0.230x Batman T-2 (8.06M)

0.578x Eternals T-2 (12.33M)

 

T-3 Saturday(274 showings): 4406(+618)/37561 ATP: $14.71

0.232x Thor L&T T-3 (9.77M)

0.326x Jurassic World 3 T-3 (15.29M)

0.145x Doctor Strange MoM T-3 (8.41M)

0.192x Batman T-3 (8.30M)

0.533x Eternals T-3 (12.85M)

 

T-4 Sunday(239 showings): 1763(+324)/31896 ATP: $13.83

0.152x Thor L&T T-4 (4.95M)

0.221x Jurassic World 3 T-4 (8.53M)

0.100x Doctor Strange MoM T-4 (3.85M)

0.146x Batman T-4 (4.97M)

0.358x Eternals T-4 (5.85M)

[Inceptionzq]

21 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

701

3301

21.24%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

454

2758

16.46%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
3188	76	32176	9.91%	15	224

 

AMCs sold	1936
Cinemarks sold	601
Regals sold	285
Harkins sold	366

 

No Doctor Strange comp today

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

708

3301

21.45%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

464

2758

16.82%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
3256	68	32294	10.08%	15	225

 

AMCs sold	1974
Cinemarks sold	611
Regals sold	302
Harkins sold	369

 

0.938x Thor L&T T-22 (27.21M)

0.526x Doctor Strange MoM T-22 (18.95M)

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/18/2022 at 7:05 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Megaplex

 

T-23 Thursday(99 showings): 2085(+17)/29419

 

T-24 Friday(160 showings): 1129(+24)/45165

 

T-25 Saturday(163 showings): 668(+33)/47913

 

T-26 Sunday(140 showings): 140(+17)/42321

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Megaplex

 

T-22 Thursday(99 showings): 2127(+42)/29419

0.696x Thor L&T T-22 (20.17M)

0.328x Doctor Strange MoM T-22 (11.80M)

 

T-23 Friday(160 showings): 1146(+17)/45165

0.782x Thor L&T T-23 (31.71M)

0.361x Doctor Strange MoM T-23 (19.78M)

 

T-24 Saturday(163 showings): 678(+10)/47913

0.974x Thor L&T T-24 (41.02M)

0.412x Doctor Strange MoM T-24 (23.81M)

 

T-25 Sunday(140 showings): 144(+4)/42321

0.754x Thor L&T T-25 (24.50M)

0.364x Doctor Strange MoM T-25 (14.14M)

Edited October 20, 2022 by Inceptionzq

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/18/2022 at 7:06 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-23 Thursday(219 showings): 10791(+184)/30510 ATP: $16.08

 

T-24 Friday(327 showings): 10924(+229)/46457 ATP: $15.72

 

T-25 Saturday(330 showings): 9154(+218)/47364 ATP: $15.41

 

T-26 Sunday(319 showings): 4819(+203)/45087 ATP: $15.46

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-22 Thursday(219 showings): 10932(+141)/30510 ATP: $16.08

1.18x Thor L&T T-22 (34.33M)

0.770x Doctor Strange MoM T-22 (27.72M)

 

T-23 Friday(327 showings): 11103(+179)/46457 ATP: $15.72

1.70x Thor L&T T-23 (68.94M)

0.977x Doctor Strange MoM T-23 (53.44M)

 

T-24 Saturday(330 showings): 9362(+208)/47364 ATP: $15.41

1.60x Thor L&T T-24 (67.38M)

0.824x Doctor Strange MoM T-24 (47.62M)

 

T-25 Sunday(319 showings): 4969(+150)/45087 ATP: $15.46

1.79x Thor L&T T-25 (58.28M)

0.994x Doctor Strange MoM T-25 (38.66M)

Edited October 20, 2022 by Inceptionzq

[katnisscinnaplex]

Santikos Tracking

 

By format

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-1	Black Adam	PLF	39	1,352	1,352	8,898	15.19%	$15.06	$20,367.61
		Standard	66	843	843	8,768	9.61%	$11.34	$9,560.85
	Total		105	2,195	2,195	17,666	12.42%	$13.63	$29,928.46
T-1	Paradise	Standard	32	174	174	2,710	6.42%	$12.55	$2,183.55
	Total		32	174	174	2,710	6.42%	$12.55	$2,183.55

 

By matinee

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-1	Black Adam	N	85	1,967	1,967	14,663	13.41%	$14.04	$27,608.66
		Y	20	228	228	3,003	7.59%	$10.17	$2,319.80
	Total		105	2,195	2,195	17,666	12.42%	$13.63	$29,928.46

 

Was planning on just setting my sheets up for tomorrow but figured I'd go ahead and take a look.  This is much later in the day than normal, so comps will be inflated a bit.  (Started around 2:30pm Santikos time).

 

Black Adam T-1 comps

 - Batman - .364x (6.41m)

 - Batman + EA - .339x (7.33m)

 - Thor 4 - .237x (6.88m)

 - Morbius - 1.539x (8.77m)

 

Paradise T-1 comps

 - Downton - .883x (927k)

 - Crawdads - .465x (930k)

 - Easter Sunday - 3.164x (1.58m)

 - Bob's Burgers - .654x (981k)

 

Hopefully can get final numbers in the morning, but these are pointing to similar numbers as my regionals

[jedijake]

56 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-22 Thursday(219 showings): 10932(+141)/30510 ATP: $16.08

1.18x Thor L&T T-22 (34.33M)

0.770x Doctor Strange MoM T-22 (27.72M)

 

T-23 Friday(327 showings): 11103(+179)/46457 ATP: $15.72

1.70x Thor L&T T-23 (84.24M)

0.977x Doctor Strange MoM T-23 (53.44M)

 

T-24 Saturday(330 showings): 9362(+208)/47364 ATP: $15.41

1.60x Thor L&T T-24 (67.38M)

0.824x Doctor Strange MoM T-24 (47.62M)

 

T-25 Sunday(319 showings): 4969(+150)/45087 ATP: $15.46

1.79x Thor L&T T-25 (58.28M)

0.994x Doctor Strange MoM T-25 (38.66M)

Why does it seem like the average of the Alamo Drafthouse comps are reflecting what seems like a very reasonable and predictable OW for BPW?

 

And is it my feeble understanding of all of this, or are BPWF's numbers looking better and better?

Edited October 19, 2022 by jedijake

[Menor the Destroyer]

17 minutes ago, jedijake said:

Why does it seem like the average of the Alamo Drafthouse comps are reflecting what seems like a very reasonable and predictable OW for BPW?

 

And is it my feeble understanding of all of this, or are BPWF's numbers looking better and better?

The picture has been generally unchanged since the first day.

[Nikostar]

22 minutes ago, jedijake said:

Why does it seem like the average of the Alamo Drafthouse comps are reflecting what seems like a very reasonable and predictable OW for BPW?

 

And is it my feeble understanding of all of this, or are BPWF's numbers looking better and better?

Nothing really has change. The film is looking to open huge as it always was. The big question is how big the bump will be once we get reactions in 5 days.

Edited October 19, 2022 by Nikostar

[YSLDC]

I've seen people go as far to say it'll open under 50M just because of Rotten Tomatoes like 20M worth of tickets just disappear because of an online rating system 😅

 

[Joyous Legion]

3 minutes ago, YSLDC said:

I've seen people go as far to say it'll open under 50M just because of Rotten Tomatoes like 20M worth of tickets just disappear because of an online rating system 😅

 

Under 50 is totally plausible, but it's not 20M disappearing since it never looked headed for 70

[keysersoze123]

5 minutes ago, YSLDC said:

I've seen people go as far to say it'll open under 50M just because of Rotten Tomatoes like 20M worth of tickets just disappear because of an online rating system 😅

 

where do you get the 20m from? I would be surprised if PS is that high based on the data seen so far?

 

Edit: Never mind. You are assuming 70m is given. Ticket sales are driven by PS and walkups. PS have been meh outside big cities and walkups wont benefit from its bad reviews. 

Edited October 20, 2022 by keysersoze123

[jedijake]

1 hour ago, Nikostar said:

Nothing really has change. The film is looking to open huge as it always was. The big question is how big the bump will be once we get reactions in 5 days.

How much of a bump did DSMoM and ThL&T see after their social embargoes lifted? From what I recall (and just read back on), they had very positive reactions.

 

Hell, Eternals also had very positive reactions when its social embargo lifted and we all know how that turned out Did Eternals also see a bump in presales after that?

[Durden]

50 minutes ago, jedijake said:

How much of a bump did DSMoM and ThL&T see after their social embargoes lifted? From what I recall (and just read back on), they had very positive reactions.

 

Hell, Eternals also had very positive reactions when its social embargo lifted and we all know how that turned out Did Eternals also see a bump in presales after that?

 

Neither DSMoM or Eternals had "very positive" reactions. Far from it.

 

Love and Thunder had the most glowing reactions, but i can't say anything about a bump in the presales.

[Ledmonkey96]

12 minutes ago, Durden said:

 

Neither DSMoM or Eternals had "very positive" reactions. Far from it.

 

Love and Thunder had the most glowing reactions, but i can't say anything about a bump in the presales.

Eh? MoM was about 10pts higher than thor 4 in critic score and audience score on RT