The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[romeross]

2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Not sure if One Piece is gonna hit 10M but I can dream. It's still a strong increase from the last film regardless.

One Piece will earn more than 10 million in OW

[JustLurking]

1 hour ago, romeross said:

One Piece will earn more than 10 million in OW

Would be great but the trackers suggest otherwise atm.

Edited November 2, 2022 by JustLurking

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-10 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	2	295	29214	37031	7817	21.11%

 

Total Showings Removed Today	1
Total Seats Removed Today	123
Total Seats Sold Today	201

 

T-10 Comp

	%		Sold T-10	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	69.24		265	11290		0/353	31386/42676	26.46%		21117	37.02%		24.93m
L&T	106.18		178	7362		0/228	24235/31597	23.30%		16962	46.09%		30.79m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Panther 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:      1871/11712  [15.98% sold]
Matinee:    376/4103  [9.16% | 4.81% of all tickets sold]

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-9 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	2	301	29820	37937	8117	21.40%

 

Total Showings Added Today	6
Total Seats Added Today	906
Total Seats Sold Today	300

 

 

T-9 Comp

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	69.42		403	11693		0/353	30983/42676	27.40%		21117	38.44%		24.99m
L&T	106.10		288	7650		0/237	24964/32614	23.46%		16962	47.85%		30.77m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Panther 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:      1871/11712  [15.98% sold]
Matinee:    376/4103  [9.16% | 4.81% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

Somewhat buoyed by at least 70 tickets worth of group sales (a 50 and a 20 at two separate theaters), so we'll have to see how much the acceleration continues when there isn't a 50 spot dropped on a single showing.  Still, sales are sales, and Sacto is hardly the only place where mega group purchases are gonna happen.

[filmlover]

She Said showtimes are live now.

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Black Panther 2	T-9	Jax	6	128	74	2,330	18,561	12.55%
		Phx	7	131	73	1,805	19,081	9.46%
		Ral	8	128	144	3,003	15,185	19.78%
	Total		21	387	291	7,138	52,827	13.51%
BP2 DF	T-9	Jax	2	3	4	141	292	48.29%
	Total		2	3	4	141	292	48.29%
Glass Onion	T-22	Jax	4	16	0	55	1,847	2.98%
		Phx	2	8	2	56	736	7.61%
		Ral	2	11	6	101	896	11.27%
	Total		8	35	8	212	3,479	6.09%
One Piece	T-2	Jax	5	24	32	228	5,074	4.49%
		Phx	5	15	24	221	2,847	7.76%
		Ral	7	19	33	248	2,929	8.47%
	Total		17	58	89	697	10,850	6.42%

 

One Piece T-2 comps

 - Dragon Ball - .566x (2.43m)

 - JJK - .516x (1.48m)

 - MHA - .597x (1.72m)

 

Black Panther T-9 comps

 - Black Widow - 2.91x (38.43m)

 - Thor 4 - 1.11x (32.28m)

 - DS2 - .65x (23.33m)

 - NWH - .367x (18.37m)

 - Batman - 2x (35.13m)

 

I don't really have any good Glass Onion comps this far out, especially with it being OD sales.  Here's what I have for T-22 though:

 - Black Widow - .164x (2.16m)

 - Downton Abbey - 1.64x (1.73m)

 - Dragon Ball - .575x (2.47m)

 - Eternals - .239x (2.27m)

 - JW3 - .136x (2.41m)

 - Nope - .906x (5.8m)

 - Sonic 2 - 1.35x (6.72m)

 - Thor 4 - .06x (1.62m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Black Panther 2	T-8	Jax	6	135	100	2,430	18,862	12.88%
		Phx	7	138	122	1,927	19,520	9.87%
		Ral	8	134	129	3,132	15,657	20.00%
	Total		21	407	351	7,489	54,039	13.86%
BP2 DF	T-8	Jax	2	3	6	147	292	50.34%
	Total		2	3	6	147	292	50.34%
Glass Onion	T-21	Jax	4	16	1	56	1,847	3.03%
		Phx	2	8	2	58	736	7.88%
		Ral	2	11	1	102	896	11.38%
	Total		8	35	4	216	3,479	6.21%
One Piece	T-1	Jax	5	27	25	253	5,294	4.78%
		Phx	5	17	17	238	3,294	7.23%
		Ral	7	23	21	269	3,475	7.74%
	Total		17	67	63	760	12,063	6.30%

 

One Piece T-1 comps

 - Dragon Ball - .523x (2.25m)

 - JJK - .506x (1.46m)

 - MHA - .568x (1.64m)

 

Black Panther T-8 comps

 - Black Widow - 2.86x (37.76m)

 - Thor 4 - 1.11x (32.23m)

 - DS2 - .65x (23.4m)

 - NWH - .373x (18.64m)

 - Batman - missed

 

I don't really have any good Glass Onion comps this far out, especially with it being OD sales.  Here's what I have for T-21 though:

 

 - Black Widow - .161x (2.12m)

 - Downton Abbey - 1.6x (1.68m)

 - Dragon Ball - .529x (2.28m)

 - Eternals - .219x (2.08m)

 - JW3 - .136x (2.4m)

 - Nope - .911x (5.83m)

 - Sonic 2 - 1.11x (5.54m)

 - Thor 4 - .054x (1.57m)

[VENOM]

6 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-9 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	2	301	29820	37937	8117	21.40%

 

Total Showings Added Today	6
Total Seats Added Today	906
Total Seats Sold Today	300

 

 

T-9 Comp

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	69.42		403	11693		0/353	30983/42676	27.40%		21117	38.44%		24.99m
L&T	106.10		288	7650		0/237	24964/32614	23.46%		16962	47.85%		30.77m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Panther 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:      1871/11712  [15.98% sold]
Matinee:    376/4103  [9.16% | 4.81% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

Somewhat buoyed by at least 70 tickets worth of group sales (a 50 and a 20 at two separate theaters), so we'll have to see how much the acceleration continues when there isn't a 50 spot dropped on a single showing.  Still, sales are sales, and Sacto is hardly the only place where mega group purchases are gonna happen.

Bulk buying tickets hmm.. wonder who that is going to? Seems unlikely a group of 50 friends would be able to pull off that scheduling for a movie.

Edited November 2, 2022 by VENOM

[keysersoze123]

On 11/1/2022 at 8:22 AM, keysersoze123 said:

Wakanda Forever MTC2 previews(T-10) - 98477/604469 1434368.55 4382 shows

 

 

Wakanda Forever MTC2 Previews(T-9) - 102174/604723 1485835.14 4403 shows +3697

[katnisscinnaplex]

Santikos Tracking

 

By format

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-8	Black Panther 2	PLF	32		3,047	7,298	41.75%	$15.40	$46,934.23
		Standard	69		2,077	8,470	24.52%	$11.25	$23,370.83
	Total		101		5,124	15,768	32.50%	$13.72	$70,305.06
	Black Panther 2 DF	Standard	2		61	317	19.24%	$23.82	$1,453.02
	Total		2		61	317	19.24%	$23.82	$1,453.02
T-9	Black Panther 2 (Fri)	PLF	67		2,754	13,617	20.22%	$15.38	$42,364.06
		Standard	82		1,169	10,884	10.74%	$10.78	$12,596.35
	Total		149		3,923	24,501	16.01%	$14.01	$54,960.41

 

By matinee

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-8	Black Panther 2	N	75		4,525	11,738	38.55%	$14.10	$63,785.93
		Y	26		599	4,030	14.86%	$10.88	$6,519.13
	Total		101		5,124	15,768	32.50%	$13.72	$70,305.06
T-9	Black Panther 2 (Fri)	N	72		3,028	12,348	24.52%	$14.90	$45,126.61
		Y	77		895	12,153	7.36%	$10.99	$9,833.80
	Total		149		3,923	24,501	16.01%	$14.01	$54,960.41

 

BP2 Thu T-8 comps

 - NWH - .333x (16.66m)

 - DS2 - .484x (17.44m)

 - Thor 4 - .826x (23.94m)

 

BP2 Fri T-9 comps

 - NWH - .311x (22.36m)

 - DS2 - .531x (29.03m)

[Menor the Destroyer]

50 minutes ago, VENOM said:

Bulk buying tickets hmm.. wonder who that is going to? Seems unlikely a group of 50 friends would be able to pull off that scheduling for a movie.

Most likely some type of community group/school group etc.

[filmlover]

Wish you could see Stranger Things on the big screen? If you're near these areas this Sunday with four hours or so to spare...

 

Stranger Things Day 2022 | Fan Screening Event (strangerthingsdayscreenings.com)

[jedijake]

I wonder if the Avatar WOW trailer drop will impact the sales of BPWF tickets. Before people say "one thing has nothing to do with another" just wait to see the press go crazy over Avatar.

[David W]

10 hours ago, JustLurking said:

Would be great but the trackers suggest otherwise atm.

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-the-menu-and-she-said-will-fight-for-runner-up-in-black-panther-wakanda-forevers-second-frame/

 

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-devotion-the-fabelmans-glass-onion-a-knives-out-mystery-and-strange-world/

It's tracking above 10 million.

[VENOM]

34 minutes ago, Menor Reborn said:

Most likely some type of community group/school group etc.

But going back to what I said.. it’s hard enough getting a group of 10 people to agree on a movie time/date and have them all be free but it’s almost impossible for a group of 50 people. 

[misterpepp]

16 hours ago, datpepper said:

December 2 has another wide release set... sort of. Sony's re-releasing Father Stu (as "Father Stu: Reborn") over that weekend, I guess to get people into the holiday spirit? I dunno, it's odd. (EDIT: It's a new edited PG-13 version)

 

Other holiday-related news: Violent Night will be getting IMAX screens along with Dolby Cinema.

 

Lastly, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio is opening in theaters on November 18. Hearing Regal will be one of the major chains to play it.

Sony is up there with STX (well, what that studio used to be) when it comes to nervousness about release dates. Stu Reborn is on the 9th instead of the 2nd now I guess?

[filmlover]

Just now, datpepper said:

Sony is up there with STX (well, what that studio used to be) when it comes to nervousness about release dates. Stu Reborn is on the 9th instead of the 2nd now I guess?

December 9 currently has no confirmed wide releases (Empire of Light and The Whale are both set for that date but nobody knows if they're wide or limited), so I guess they figured they might as well take advantage of a seemingly empty spot before Avatar + the rush of Christmas releases right after it force theaters to clean house.

[Menor the Destroyer]

9 minutes ago, VENOM said:

But going back to what I said.. it’s hard enough getting a group of 10 people to agree on a movie time/date and have them all be free but it’s almost impossible for a group of 50 people. 

It's not that uncommon when it's part of some kind of community group that already has scheduled group outings and such. Not the same as a group of friends. 

Edited November 2, 2022 by Menor Reborn

[VENOM]

3 minutes ago, Menor Reborn said:

It's not that uncommon when it's part of some kind of community group that already has scheduled group outings and such. Not the same as a group of friends. 

What kind of community group has a nice round number of 50 that happen to all be fans of marvel and have similar schedules in there daily lives? Just seems like hogwash to me.

[filmlover]

Usually one group of 50 tickets = renting out a theater (or at least having a portion of it blocked off for a group). Those have always been popular with schools, sports teams, etc.

[Porthos]

8 minutes ago, VENOM said:

What kind of community group has a nice round number of 50 that happen to all be fans of marvel and have similar schedules in there daily lives? Just seems like hogwash to me.

 

My dude, it happens with plenty of Event Movies.  Even happened with Top Gun: Maverick when there was a group sale of 51 tickets on the first day of sales at one of the theaters I track.

 

As for "who", the list is endless.  For this movie, church groups are a somewhat obvious culprit.  As are businesses who are having office parties.

 

This isn't an unheard of experience.

[VENOM]

2 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

My dude, it happens with plenty of Event Movies.  Even happened with Top Gun: Maverick when there was a group sale of 51 tickets on the first day of sales at one of the theaters I track.

 

As for "who", the list is endless.  For this movie, church groups are a somewhat obvious culprit.  As are businesses who are having office parties.

 

This isn't an unheard of experience.

Have you been to one yourself or just heard of them?