The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Old Spice]

Tues Dec 13th Salt Lake Valley update for Avatar 2: The Way of Water

 

Preview Night:

Cinemark Sugarhouse (SLC, non-PLF) 227 +53. Showtimes jumped from 9 to 15. (10 3D, 5 2D.)

Cinemark Draper XD 313 (+59)

Cinemark Farmington XD (361 (+48)

Total Tix Sold: 901 ((+160) increase of 21.6% from two days ago. (I put the wrong date on my previous report; it was Dec 11th, not the 9th.)

 

Current A2 presale as a % of FINAL presale:

Nope 299%

Black Adam 243%

B.P. Wakanda 73.8%

 

Current presale as a % of FINAL presale, Sugarhouse only:

Elvis 227%

JW Dominion 62.3%

The Batman 53.9%

Thor: L&T 45.4%

 

 

[Maggie]

Babylon tracking has the pic at a $18M opening over four days.

 

https://deadline.com/2022/12/paramount-damien-chazelle-babylon-1235198056/

[Maggie]

Not bad for Babylon, right? I knew this was not gonna completly bomb

[IronJimbo]

30 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

Or you lose them entirely in the US.  A LOT of the US potential fanbase for this movie has D+.  

 

If you tell that fanbase, it's 3d or it isn't as good...they'll say "well, if it isn't as good, I might as well see Puss and Boots with my kids and watch Avatar on D+ at Easter" - I mean, that's what I'm doing b/c I can't do 3d glasses for 30 minutes let alone 3.5 hours and all PLFs are in 3d, and I do have the active D+ subscription til next November...

 

It's a risky strategy to not take money in hand OW b/c you hope to get it later...a lot of times, later never brings the money in...

No where in the marketing does it say it's not good in 3D, you're missing out here not watching it in 2d 🤷‍♂️

[Nikostar]

6 minutes ago, Maggie said:

Babylon tracking has the pic at a $18M opening over four days.

 

https://deadline.com/2022/12/paramount-damien-chazelle-babylon-1235198056/

Seems like wishful thinking. 

[Maggie]

The wolf of Wall Street opened with 18M too

[Tinalera]

Avatar 2

Calgary, Alberta Canada (no comps)

Dec 15 and 16 (taken Dec 13) *note last count for Calgary

 

	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Thurs	8	61	1215	8801	10016	0.1213
friday	8	44	1255	7484	8739	0.1436

 

 

More Cineplex weirdness as it eliminated shows for both days (Heck one theatre at moment is showing no shows for Friday, it did before, might be a changeover or something.

 

While there are 2D shows available, pretty evident with switching around (and there was some real weirdness there) that they are pushing for the 3D shows to be filled from what I can see so far

[Inceptionzq]

18 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Avatar The Way of Water Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

970

2534

38.28%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

734

2926

25.09%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
5013	666	25936	19.33%	15	174

 

AMCs sold	2777
Cinemarks sold	771
Regals sold	830
Harkins sold	635

 

0.695x Thor L&T T-3 (20.16M)

1.31x Jurassic World Dominion T-3 (23.57M)

0.836x Top Gun Maverick T-3 (16.09M)

0.916x Batman T-3 (19.79M)

2.23x Eternals T-3 (21.15M)

 

Counted later than usual, so comps are gonna be kinda skewed in favor of Avatar.

Avatar The Way of Water Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

998

2718

36.72%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

805

3226

24.95%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
5367	354	29855	17.98%	15	214

 

AMCs sold	2934
Cinemarks sold	804
Regals sold	926
Harkins sold	703

 

0.676x Thor L&T T-2 (19.61M)

1.22x Jurassic World Dominion T-2 (22.01M)

0.786x Top Gun Maverick T-2 (15.15M)

0.856x Batman T-2 (18.55M)

2.15x Eternals T-2 (20.46M)

 

Yeah you can definitely see that yesterday's comps were skewed. 

[Inceptionzq]

18 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Avatar The Way of Water Megaplex

 

T-3 Thursday(175 showings): 5096(+670)/36053

0.662x Thor L&T T-3 (19.19M)

1.23x Jurassic World Dominion T-3 (22.10M)

0.707x Top Gun Maverick T-3 (13.88M)

0.787x Batman T-3 (17.00M)

 

T-4 Friday(263 showings): 6180(+951)/58247

1.26x Thor L&T T-4 (51.09M)

1.36x Jurassic World Dominion T-4 (56.56M)

0.821x Top Gun Maverick T-4 (26.89M)

1.47x Batman T-4 (51.45M)

 

T-5 Saturday(284 showings): 6180(+881)/62684

2.16x Thor L&T T-5

1.86x Jurassic World Dominion T-5

1.09x Top Gun Maverick T-5 (41.44M)

2.70x Batman T-5

 

T-6 Sunday(287 showings): 3217(+437)/65100

3.18x Thor L&T T-6

2.79x Jurassic World Dominion T-6

2.05x Top Gun Maverick T-6

5.90x Batman T-6

Avatar The Way of Water Megaplex

 

T-2 Thursday(186 showings): 5405(+309)/37450

0.612x Thor L&T T-2 (17.76M)

1.12x Jurassic World Dominion T-2 (20.16M)

0.665x Top Gun Maverick T-2 (12.80M)

0.717x Batman T-2 (15.49M)

 

T-3 Friday(269 showings): 6742(+562)/60089

1.18x Thor L&T T-3 (48.02M)

1.17x Jurassic World Dominion T-3 (48.52M)

0.733x Top Gun Maverick T-3 (24.02M)

1.28x Batman T-3 (44.97M)

 

T-4 Saturday(285 showings): 6534(+354)/62795

1.98x Thor L&T T-4

1.60x Jurassic World Dominion T-4

0.977x Top Gun Maverick T-4 (37.16M)

2.20x Batman T-4

 

T-5 Sunday(296 showings): 3405(+188)/67284

2.95x Thor L&T T-5

2.50x Jurassic World Dominion T-5

1.72x Top Gun Maverick T-5

4.71x Batman T-5

[Inceptionzq]

18 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Avatar The Way of Water Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-3 Thursday(244 showings): 8732(+1376)/30690 ATP: $15.76

0.491x Thor L&T T-3 (14.24M)

1.03x Jurassic World Dominion T-3 (18.45M)

1.14x Top Gun Maverick Thurs only T-3 (17.36M)

0.625x Batman Thurs only T-3 (11.01M)

 

T-4 Friday(388 showings): 11294(+1644)/47907 ATP: $15.95

0.720x Thor L&T T-4 (29.20M)

1.22x Jurassic World Dominion T-4 (50.61M)

1.24x Top Gun Maverick T-4 (40.61M)

0.741x Batman T-4 (25.92M)

 

T-5 Saturday(409 showings): 12304(+1605)/50650 ATP: $15.23

0.843x Thor L&T T-5 (35.50M)

1.34x Jurassic World Dominion T-5 (62.83M)

1.45x Top Gun Maverick T-5 (55.13M)

0.758x Batman T-5 (32.79M)

 

T-6 Sunday(374 showings): 8285(+1270)/46748 ATP: $15.00

0.936x Thor L&T T-6 (30.44M)

1.62x Jurassic World Dominion T-6 (62.60M)

1.55x Top Gun Maverick T-6 (56.86M)

0.995x Batman T-6 (33.96M)

Avatar The Way of Water Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-2 Thursday(294 showings): 9392(+660)/35943 ATP: $15.64

0.494x Thor L&T T-2 (14.32M)

0.955x Jurassic World Dominion T-2 (17.19M)

1.06x Top Gun Maverick Thurs only T-2 (16.15M)

0.587x Batman Thurs only T-2 (10.33M)

 

T-3 Friday(507 showings): 12425(+1131)/61722 ATP: $15.89

0.719x Thor L&T T-3 (29.14M)

1.07x Jurassic World Dominion T-3 (44.50M)

1.14x Top Gun Maverick T-3 (37.34M)

0.666x Batman T-3 (23.30M)

 

T-4 Saturday(530 showings): 13258(+954)/64174 ATP: $15.21

0.811x Thor L&T T-4 (34.16M)

1.16x Jurassic World Dominion T-4 (54.39M)

1.34x Top Gun Maverick T-4 (50.95M)

0.677x Batman T-4 (29.30M)

 

T-5 Sunday(494 showings): 8740(+455)/59955 ATP: $15.00

0.862x Thor L&T T-5 (28.00M)

1.40x Jurassic World Dominion T-5 (54.02M)

1.38x Top Gun Maverick T-5 (50.69M)

0.851x Batman T-5 (29.05M)

[interiorgatordecorator]

4 hours ago, Derpity said:

According to Deadline, these are Avatar 2's 3D pre-sales by region:

 

65% Latin America

 

many big theaters chains around latam are simply refusing to do 3d 

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

1 hour ago, Inceptionzq said:

Yeah you can definitely see that yesterday's comps were skewed. 

 

If these comps don't improve, I'll skew you!! 

 

[Nikostar]

How are sales for Whitney and Babylon looking

[keysersoze123]

Avatar ways of water MTC2 previews - 103181/704180 1594993.08  5471 shows

 

This is morning run(takes about 8 hours). Its definitely not showing the acceleration I expected last week. Still not worried even if previews come below expectations. This movie is not about previews. This will have a leggy run. Let us rather see how WOM is. 

[ZackM]

15 hours ago, ZackM said:

 

Avatar: The Way of Water Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	508	7	46	17	33
Seats Added	62,015	1,025	5,853	2,343	6,327
Seats Sold	11,782	9,482	6,678	5,570	6,345
12/12/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	436	5,480	141,795	870,740	16.28%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	6	50	143	305
ATP
$18.27

 

 

Avatar: The Way of Water Comps
	Thor: Love & Thunder		Black Panther: Wakanda Forever		Jurassic World: Dominion		The Batman		Top Gun: Maverick
	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted
D0
T-0
T-1
T-2
T-3	$14.0	$15.3	$13.8	$15.3	$21.5	$22.7	$13.8	$15.2	$19.6	$21.1
T-4	$13.6	$14.9	$13.7	$15.2	$22.0	$23.2	$14.1	$15.5	$20.2	$21.7
T-5	$13.1	$14.4	$13.4	$14.9	$22.2	$23.5	$13.9	$15.3	$20.3	$21.8
T-6	$12.8	$14.1	$13.3	$14.7	$22.6	$23.9	$13.7	$15.1	$20.8	$22.3
T-7	$12.7	$14.0	$13.2	$14.6	$23.1	$24.4	$13.7	$15.0	$21.3	$22.9
T-8	$12.4	$13.6	$12.9	$14.3	$22.9	$24.1	$13.3	$14.6	$21.5	$23.1
T-9	$11.9	$13.2	$12.6	$14.0	$22.6	$23.9	$12.8	$14.1	$21.2	$22.8
T-10	$11.6	$12.8	$12.3	$13.7	$22.4	$23.6	$12.6	$13.9	$21.2	$22.8
T-11	$11.3	$12.5	$12.0	$13.3	$22.0	$23.2	$12.2	$13.5	$21.0	$22.5
T-12	$11.1	$12.2	$11.6	$12.9	$21.6	$22.9	$11.9	$13.1	$20.7	$22.3
T-13	$10.9	$12.1	$11.4	$12.7	$21.4	$22.7	$11.7	$13.0	$20.9	$22.5
T-14	$10.8	$12.0	$11.3	$12.6	$21.2	$22.5	$11.5	$12.8	$21.6	$23.3
T-15	$10.6	$11.8	$11.1	$12.4	$21.0	$22.3
T-16	$10.4	$11.6	$10.9	$12.2	$20.7	$22.0
T-17	$10.3	$11.5	$10.7	$12.0	$20.6	$21.9
T-18	$10.2	$11.4	$10.5	$11.8	$20.5	$21.8

 

 

 

Avatar: The Way of Water Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	783	508	7	46	17
Seats Added	88,682	62,015	1,025	5,853	2,343
Seats Sold	14,885	11,782	9,482	6,678	5,570
12/13/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	436	6,263	156,680	959,422	16.33%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	9	60	179	348
ATP
$18.13

 

 

 

Avatar: The Way of Water Comps
	Thor: Love & Thunder		Black Panther: Wakanda Forever		Jurassic World: Dominion		The Batman		Top Gun: Maverick
	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted
D0
T-0
T-1
T-2	$14.2	$15.5	$14.0	$15.4	$20.8	$22.0	$13.6	$14.9	$19.1	$20.6
T-3	$14.0	$15.3	$13.8	$15.3	$21.5	$22.7	$13.8	$15.2	$19.6	$21.1
T-4	$13.6	$14.9	$13.7	$15.2	$22.0	$23.2	$14.1	$15.5	$20.2	$21.7
T-5	$13.1	$14.4	$13.4	$14.9	$22.2	$23.5	$13.9	$15.3	$20.3	$21.8
T-6	$12.8	$14.1	$13.3	$14.7	$22.6	$23.9	$13.7	$15.1	$20.8	$22.3
T-7	$12.7	$14.0	$13.2	$14.6	$23.1	$24.4	$13.7	$15.0	$21.3	$22.9
T-8	$12.4	$13.6	$12.9	$14.3	$22.9	$24.1	$13.3	$14.6	$21.5	$23.1
T-9	$11.9	$13.2	$12.6	$14.0	$22.6	$23.9	$12.8	$14.1	$21.2	$22.8
T-10	$11.6	$12.8	$12.3	$13.7	$22.4	$23.6	$12.6	$13.9	$21.2	$22.8
T-11	$11.3	$12.5	$12.0	$13.3	$22.0	$23.2	$12.2	$13.5	$21.0	$22.5
T-12	$11.1	$12.2	$11.6	$12.9	$21.6	$22.9	$11.9	$13.1	$20.7	$22.3
T-13	$10.9	$12.1	$11.4	$12.7	$21.4	$22.7	$11.7	$13.0	$20.9	$22.5
T-14	$10.8	$12.0	$11.3	$12.6	$21.2	$22.5	$11.5	$12.8	$21.6	$23.3
T-15	$10.6	$11.8	$11.1	$12.4	$21.0	$22.3
T-16	$10.4	$11.6	$10.9	$12.2	$20.7	$22.0
T-17	$10.3	$11.5	$10.7	$12.0	$20.6	$21.9
T-18	$10.2	$11.4	$10.5	$11.8	$20.5	$21.8

 

[Eric Prime]

23 hours ago, Eric The Last Airbender said:

Avatar: The Way of Water Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	184	3686	32041	11.50%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 374

 

Comp

2.277x of F9 T-3 (16.16M)

2.095x of Venom 2 T-3 (24.31M)

2.364x of No Time to Die T-3 (14.89M)

2.811x of Dune T-3 (14.34M)

2.818x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-3 (16.91M)

1.203x of Top Gun 2 T-3 (23.18M)

1.185x of Jurassic World 3 T-3 (21.33M)

2.302x of Black Adam T-3 (17.5M)

Avatar: The Way of Water Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	199	4079	33504	12.17%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 393

 

Comp

2.105x of F9 T-2 (14.94M)

1.886x of Venom 2 T-2 (21.87M)

2.182x of No Time to Die T-2 (13.75M)

2.687x of Dune T-2 (13.7M)

2.756x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-2 (16.54M)

1.133x of Top Gun 2 T-2 (21.83M)

1.165x of Jurassic World 3 T-2 (20.97M)

2.117x of Black Adam T-2 (16.09M)

 

I can tell this is going to be a looooooooooong weekend.

[charlie Jatinder]

Awful two days. Not just US across World for some reason slowed badly.

[Eric Prime]

23 hours ago, Eric The Last Airbender said:

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	94	516	12899	4.00%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 2

Total Seats WITHOUT Early Access: 49

 

Comp w/ Early Access

0.284x of Sing 2 T-9 (2.77M)

0.769x of Sonic 2 T-9 (4.81M)

2.804x of Lightyear T-9 (14.58M)

2.253x of Minions 2 T-9 (24.22M)

10.750x of Super Pets T-9 (23.65M)

 

Comp w/out Early Access

0.120x of Sing 2 T-8 (979K)

0.073x of Sonic 2 T-9 (456K)

0.266x of Lightyear T-9 (1.38M)

0.214x of Minions 2 T-9 (2.3M)

1.021x of Super Pets T-9 (2.25M)

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	113	523	16775	3.12%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 7

Total Seats WITHOUT Early Access: 56

 

Comp w/ Early Access

0.277x of Sing 2 T-8 (2.7M)

0.720x of Sonic 2 T-8 (4.5M)

2.004x of Lightyear T-8 (10.42M)

2.067x of Minions 2 T-8 (22.22M)

9.685x of Super Pets T-8 (21.31M)

 

Comp w/out Early Access

0.117x of Sing 2 T-8 (955K)

0.077x of Sonic 2 T-8 (482K)

0.215x of Lightyear T-8 (1.12M)

0.221x of Minions 2 T-8 (2.38M)

1.037x of Super Pets T-8 (2.28M)

[Eric Prime]

On 12/13/2022 at 2:21 AM, Eric The Last Airbender said:

M3GAN Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-24 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	33	18	5433	0.33%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 1

 

Comp

0.099x of Scream T-24 (348K)

0.086x of Nope T-24 (551K)

M3GAN Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-23 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	33	21	5433	0.39%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 3

 

Comp

0.105x of Scream T-23 (367K)

0.096x of Nope T-23 (614K)

[Eric Prime]

7 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Awful two days. Not just US across World for some reason slowed badly.

Daddy Cameron has failed us.