The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[cooldude97]

18 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Transformers 6	T-7	Jax	5	55	236	236	9,013	2.62%
		Phx	6	56	246	246	10,104	2.43%
		Ral	8	52	210	210	6,776	3.10%
	Total		19	163	692	692	25,893	2.67%
Transformers EA	T-6	Jax	5	7	245	245	1,216	20.15%
		Phx	1	1	136	136	208	65.38%
		Ral	1	1	59	59	101	58.42%
	Total		7	9	440	440	1,525	28.85%

 

Transformers + EA T-7 comps

 - NTTD Total - 1.285x (8.09m)

 - Ghostbusters Total - 1.915x (8.62m)

 - F9 - 1.173x (8.33m)

 - Dune - 1.377x (7.02m)

 

This is much more EA heavy than the others; could end up filling up a lot of those shows by next week.  Thursday sales are sitting at almost exactly 50/50 standard/PLF.  

Ea?

[GOGODanca]

Tonight is Finals game 1 so will definitely underindex in Denver/Miami and maybe some other markets

[katnisscinnaplex]

5 minutes ago, cooldude97 said:

Ea?

Early Access shows on 6/7.  Looks like around 650 shows so far with about half being PLF shows.  

[Eric is Quiet]

2 hours ago, MrPink said:

Call an ambulance for those who couldn't get Oppy IMAX tickets.

 

BUT NOT FOR ME. +14 for Lincoln Square 

So hyped to have the boys together. Hopefully you'll be here for Barbie too.

[Eric is Quiet]

23 hours ago, Eric 2099 said:

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	123	4092	23838	17.17%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 696

 

Comp - T-2

2.307x of Sonic 2 (14.42M)

1.169x of Jurassic World 3 (21.04M)

0.443x of Thor 4 (12.86M)

2.123x of Black Adam (16.14M)

1.003x of Avatar 2 (17.05M)

0.632x of Ant-Man 3 (11.07M)

0.706x of Guardians 3 (12.35M)

1.110x of The Little Mermaid (11.43M)

 

Golly gee whiz, this sure is a lot of tickets.

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	160	5071	28448	17.83%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 979

 

Comp - T-1

2.092x of Sonic 2 (13.07M)

1.218x of Jurassic World 3 (21.93M)

0.476x of Thor 4 (13.81M)

2.189x of Black Adam (16.64M)

1.114x of Avatar 2 (18.95M)

0.697x of Ant-Man 3 (12.19M)

0.768x of Guardians 3 (13.45M)

1.195x of The Little Mermaid (12.31M)

[Eric is Quiet]

23 hours ago, Eric 2099 said:

The Boogeyman Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	26	150	2993	5.01%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 45

 

Comp - T-2

1.613x of X (710K)

0.307x of The Black Phone (920K)

2.206x of The Invitation (1.71M)

1.136x of Barbarian (966K)

0.300x of Smile (600K)

0.475x of Knock at the Cabin (688K)

2.586x of The Pope's Exorcist (2.2M)

The Boogeyman Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	35	248	3775	6.57%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 98

 

Comp - T-1

2.050x of X (902K)

0.337x of The Black Phone (1.01M)

2.385x of The Invitation (1.85M)

0.939x of Barbarian (798K)

0.437x of Smile (875K)

0.603x of Knock at the Cabin (875K)

3.875x of The Pope's Exorcist (3.29M)

[Porthos]

re:  Oppenheimer discussion.

 

One thing to remember is that only PLF showtimes are on sale right now, which will probably mess with comps more than a little.  With that said, do agree that the best comp will probably be Nope for the reasons mentioned previously.

[Flopped]

13 minutes ago, Eric 2099 said:

The Boogeyman Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	35	248	3775	6.57%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 98

 

Comp - T-1

2.050x of X (902K)

0.337x of The Black Phone (1.01M)

2.385x of The Invitation (1.85M)

0.939x of Barbarian (798K)

0.437x of Smile (875K)

0.603x of Knock at the Cabin (875K)

3.875x of The Pope's Exorcist (3.29M)

what's your prediction based on this? 

[Eric is Quiet]

23 hours ago, Eric 2099 said:

The Flash Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	98	1421	18907	7.52%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 40

 

Comp - T-16

0.305x of The Batman (6.58M)

0.906x of Jurassic World 3 (16.3M)

0.280x of Thor 4 (8.13M)

2.500x of Black Adam (18.98M)

0.841x of Avatar 2 (14.29M)

0.355x of Ant-Man 3 (6.22M)

0.454x of Guardians 3 (7.94M)

The Flash Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	98	1455	18907	7.70%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 34

 

Comp - T-15

0.305x of The Batman (6.59M)

0.908x of Jurassic World 3 (16.35M)

0.281x of Thor 4 (8.14M)

2.347x of Black Adam (17.83M)

0.812x of Avatar 2 (13.8M)

0.355x of Ant-Man 3 (6.22M)

0.460x of Guardians 3 (8.04M)

[Eric is Quiet]

4 minutes ago, Flopped said:

what's your prediction based on this? 

I dunno. Probably 900K or something?

[Menor the Destroyer]

15 minutes ago, Porthos said:

re:  Oppenheimer discussion.

 

One thing to remember is that only PLF showtimes are on sale right now, which will probably mess with comps more than a little.  With that said, do agree that the best comp will probably be Nope for the reasons mentioned previously.

I think Nope will be a bad comp honestly, I think Nolan's audience is much more likely to prebuy (especially on day 1) than Peele's. 

[ThomasNicole]

Apparently Oppenheimer is Rated R which will mess comps even more imo

[mmed1345]

3 hours ago, MrPink said:

Call an ambulance for those who couldn't get Oppy IMAX tickets.

 

BUT NOT FOR ME. +14 for Lincoln Square 

I woke up at 4:55 am to get the last two middle seats for 70mm IMAX at Citywalk Hollywood. 😼🤞🏽

 

This theater is insane for 70mm and film buffs I love it, literally every 2pm and 6:30 showing until Sunday is damn near sold out. Obviously means nothing for tracking though since all of these big city PLF’s are going to be sold out. We’ll wait and see how standard showings do later down the line.

[Austin]

8 minutes ago, Menor Reborn said:

I think Nope will be a bad comp honestly, I think Nolan's audience is much more likely to prebuy (especially on day 1) than Peele's. 

You got a better comp?

[filmlover]

Lot of PLFs (not IMAX, which are getting it all day) I've seen for Oppenheimer have it set to play only for at night that weekend. Safe to assume Barbie is getting a pretty sizeable PLF showing after all, albeit only during the day (when its main target audience is more likely to show up to begin with).

[Menor the Destroyer]

35 minutes ago, Austin said:

You got a better comp?

Am with Jat on Dune honestly, at least both will have strong PLF skew.

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, Menor Reborn said:

I think Nope will be a bad comp honestly, I think Nolan's audience is much more likely to prebuy (especially on day 1) than Peele's. 

 

Fair enuf.  Just checked Sacto and PLF showings have in fact outsold Nope's first day locally already.

 

1 hour ago, Menor Reborn said:

Am with Jat on Dune honestly, at least both will have strong PLF skew.

 

I see the rationale for Dune, but that had 18 days of pre-sales versus 50/43 (PLF/reg) for Oppenheimer.  Plus Dune had Day + Date and was before the wave of ATP hikes.  Might be good for Day 1/2 comps though, sure.

 

FWIW it's not gonna come close to Dune's first day locally at first glance.  Might give a final first day sales total at the end of the day if I feel like it.

Edited June 1, 2023 by Porthos

[GOGODanca]

4 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Fair enuf.  Just checked Sacto and PLF showings have in fact outsold Nope's first day locally already.

 

 

I see the rationale for Dune, but that had 18 days of pre-sales versus 36/29 (PLF/reg) for Oppenheimer.  Plus Dune had Day + Date and was before the wave of ATP hikes.  Might be good for Day 1/2 comps though, sure.

 

FWIW it's not gonna come close to Dune's first day locally at first glance.  Might give a final first day sales total at the end of the day if I feel like it.

How about something like where the crawdads? Fans of the book vs Fans of Nolan and both skew older or do older males buy much earlier than older women?

Edited June 1, 2023 by GOGODanca

[kayumanggi]

 

[Porthos]

1 minute ago, GOGODanca said:

How about something like where the crawdads? Fans of the book vs Fans of Nolan and both skew older or do older males buy much earlier than older women?

 

Wouldn't help in my/many folks cases as those sorts of films get very little tracking attention until just before release.

 

(never even thought of looking at Crawdads, for instance)