The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Joyous Legion]

2 minutes ago, Menor Reborn said:

Not sure it will quite reach 700k, maybe like 685. So unadjusted NWH comp will be 36.5 and ATP adjusted probably 2m higher or so. Maybe 37 since smaller chains like Megaplex might be weaker?

Forgot the NWH finish in mtc1 tickets, is that36.5 unadjusted off 50 or 51?

[keysersoze123]

Just now, Menor Reborn said:

Not sure it will quite reach 700k, maybe like 685. So unadjusted NWH comp will be 36.5 and ATP adjusted probably 2m higher or so. Maybe 37 since smaller chains like Megaplex might be weaker?

Still final day number puts 200m strongly in play. Needs 50% increase from today to make it happen. So 37/55/60/48 to hit 200m OW. NWH increased 40% from extremely crazy previews. Endgame was in different universe as every show sold out over the weekend in most of NA.  

[Menor the Destroyer]

Just now, Illuminegion Confirmed said:

Forgot the NWH finish in mtc1 tickets, is that36.5 unadjusted off 50 or 51?

940, using 51 it'll be about 37.1 

[keysersoze123]

1 minute ago, Illuminegion Confirmed said:

Forgot the NWH finish in mtc1 tickets, is that36.5 unadjusted off 50 or 51?

Tad under 940K tickets !!! Crazy number for sure. OD was around 1.2 million. 

@ZackM I dont know if you will get a chance to look at OD PS tonight. if possible post an update or at least run it 1st thing tomorrow before shows start over at east coast. 

[charlie Jatinder]

14 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Roughly around 700K finish at alpha? @charlie Jatinder would that be sufficient for high 30's previews?

Will it reach 700? It 636K so far. Assuming it hit 675K, that will be $10.4M approx. That will be good for $37M.

[Menor the Destroyer]

4 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Will it reach 700? It 636K so far. Assuming it hit 675K, that will be $10.4M approx. That will be good for $37M.

I was also skeptical but I went and looked in the old thread. NWH was at 884k with 4 hours left to finish on the East Coast (~40k walkups at that point), and at 912k with 2 hours left to finish on the East (~68k). Finished with ~940k. DS2 so far seems to be outpacing NWH by a good bit in walkups with 79k so far and 3 hours left, so could potentially get close to 700k. 

Edited May 6, 2022 by Menor Reborn

[Tokugennumataka]

$100M OD incoming? 

[Joyous Legion]

4 minutes ago, Menor Reborn said:

I was also skeptical but I went and looked in the old thread. NWH was at 884k with 4 hours left to finish on the East Coast (~40k walkups at that point), and at 912k with 2 hours left to finish on the East (~68k). Finished with ~940k. DS2 so far seems to be outpacing NWH by a good bit in walkups with 79k so far and 3 hours left, so could potentially get close to 700k. 

DS2 runtime could also help late nights relatively

Edited May 6, 2022 by Illuminegion Confirmed

[XXR & Friends]

Talking about NWH and MOM previews just makes me further understand how insane Endgame’s demand/hype level was.

 

If Endgame was releasing today with the demand it had 3 years ago + 3PM show times and current ATP; you could very well be looking at $80M in previews….

[Joyous Legion]

3 minutes ago, MultiverseXXR said:

Talking about NWH and MOM previews just makes me further understand how insane Endgame’s demand/hype level was.

 

If Endgame was releasing today with the demand it had 3 years ago + 3PM show times and current ATP; you could very well be looking at $80M in previews….

+20% from an extra show per screen or so? Seems fair. Maybe even more tbh. 85M previews 330 true fss?

[AnotherDayAnotherDollar]

6 minutes ago, MultiverseXXR said:

Talking about NWH and MOM previews just makes me further understand how insane Endgame’s demand/hype level was.

 

If Endgame was releasing today with the demand it had 3 years ago + 3PM show times and current ATP; you could very well be looking at $80M in previews….

 

Endgame was the ONLY movie ever where I could not get tickets for until the 2AM showings about 30-40 miles away. I had to call in sick the next day at work because I got home almost at 6AM.

 

NWH took some tries, but I got it in a relatively good spot at 8 or 9PM. Strange was very easy to get good spots at the time I wanted.

[Flopped]

12 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:

$100M OD incoming? 

What makes you say that? 

[Eric the Minion]

14 hours ago, Eric loves Rey said:

Top Gun: Maverick Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-22 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	148	636	30872	2.06%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 126

 

Comp

1.479x of F9 T-22 (10.5M)

Top Gun: Maverick Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-21 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	148	749	30872	2.43%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 113

 

Comp

1.522x of F9 T-21 (10.81M)

[Eric the Minion]

14 hours ago, Eric loves Rey said:

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-36 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	130	954	23332	4.09%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 21

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-35 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	130	996	23332	4.27%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 42

[XXR & Friends]

7 minutes ago, Flopped said:

What makes you say that? 

It’s a question. That’s why there’s a question mark.

[XXR & Friends]

14 minutes ago, Illuminegion Confirmed said:

+20% from an extra show per screen or so? Seems fair. Maybe even more tbh. 85M previews 330 true fss?

I would think more like $350M FSS. Ticket price inflation alone puts it at $420M OW, then couple in the 3PM Thursday start. 
 

Now let’s go a step further and imagine a film with MOM’s runtime + Endgame’s hype. We’d be looking at $450-470M OW 🤣

[ZackM]

54 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Roughly around 700K finish at alpha? @charlie Jatinder would that be sufficient for high 30's previews?

No, more like 650k.  It probably wasn't clear from my post (because I haven't done it this way in the past), but the yellow cells are in realish-time, not presale numbers from the 2pm run.  And previously I think I left time ranges blank until they were final.  So if you want to compare this to NWH, just ignore the yellow cells, I think.  Either way, walkups are going to be right around NWH, which is pretty remarkable.

Edited May 6, 2022 by ZackM

[cookieleeann]

20 minutes ago, MultiverseXXR said:

Talking about NWH and MOM previews just makes me further understand how insane Endgame’s demand/hype level was.

 

If Endgame was releasing today with the demand it had 3 years ago + 3PM show times and current ATP; you could very well be looking at $80M in previews….

 

 

That is just insane. Also, question, what do you think Endgame would do with true Midnights instead of Thursday previews? I always think about DH part 2 amazing midnight numbers.

 

Opening weekend records are always broken but I think the record Endgame will hold for years and years to come is the wide release per theater average. It beat Return of the Jedi PTA for a wide release which held the record for 30+ years!!! 

[ZackM]

 

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: D0 - In Progess
	Walkups	Last Day Presales	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago
Showings Added	0	63	193	961	662
Seats Added	0	2,684	13,944	95,395	64,909
Seats Sold	87,492	55,979	38,340	38,455	27,969
5/6/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	430	9,368	644,626	1,401,453	46.00%

 

 

Alpha - Doctor Strange MoM - Eastern Time Zone					Alpha - Doctor Strange MoM - Central Time Zone
Showtimes	Sales	NWH Comp	Batman Comp		Showtimes	Sales	NWH Comp	Batman Comp
3:00-3:59	37,871	64.3%	169.6%		3:00-3:59	20,939	56.1%	176.2%
4:00-4:59	24,534	66.1%	278.0%		4:00-4:59	13,206	60.0%	343.8%
5:00-5:59	17,183	53.8%	231.2%		5:00-5:59	10,485	57.0%	233.2%
6:00-6:59	44,160	85.1%	306.6%		6:00-6:59	26,451	75.1%	288.5%
7:00-7:59	47,874	74.6%	124.2%		7:00-7:59	30,360	72.9%	125.6%
8:00-8:59	30,988	69.7%	130.7%		8:00-8:59	18,199	65.1%	163.2%
9:00-9:59	40,789	96.4%	325.1%		9:00-9:59	21,364	95.3%	321.7%
10:00-10:59	30,327	58.8%	340.5%		10:00-10:59	17,341	52.2%	374.1%
11:00-11:59	8,194	57.2%	79.3%		11:00-11:59	3,368	32.4%	57.3%
12:00+	4,975	72.3%	436.8%		12:00+	1,754	30.6%	475.3%
Alpha - Doctor Strange MoM - Mountain Time Zone					Alpha - Doctor Strange MoM - Pacific Time Zone
Showtimes	Sales	NWH Comp	Batman Comp		Showtimes	Sales	NWH Comp	Batman Comp
3:00-3:59	5,716	61.5%	169.2%		3:00-3:59	20,056	67.5%	157.7%
4:00-4:59	3,410	64.6%	381.0%		4:00-4:59	11,888	59.3%	226.4%
5:00-5:59	2,638	61.6%	222.4%		5:00-5:59	10,340	68.6%	269.0%
6:00-6:59	7,153	86.1%	316.4%		6:00-6:59	22,791	86.8%	271.2%
7:00-7:59	6,933	71.4%	112.3%		7:00-7:59	23,394	77.3%	120.0%
8:00-8:59	3,948	75.4%	144.6%		8:00-8:59	16,403	76.5%	145.7%
9:00-9:59	5,417	95.3%	340.5%		9:00-9:59	20,108	108.1%	268.4%
10:00-10:59	3,961	45.7%	410.5%		10:00-10:59	16,722	61.0%	305.2%
11:00-11:59	588	16.9%	34.1%		11:00-11:59	6,168	33.8%	80.1%
12:00+	487	32.5%	-		12:00+	6,143	46.4%	378.0%

 

[interiorgatordecorator]

MoM just leaked, not a cam-rip, its the movie, perfectly watchable, resolution is a tiny bit low, but if you're only using a 1080p monitor then it shouldn't be much of a problem

any chance this stops it from getting to 200 million?

Edited May 6, 2022 by interiorgatordecorator