Eric Atreides Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 I'm bored at work, so might as well set this thread up. Title is self-explanatory, so do whatever you want to do with it. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 I should be studying for my organic chemistry final but I’m on a two hour lunch break so, I’ll be back with a list in a moment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 2023 is packed! So much competition next summer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 Way-To-Early DOM 2023 Predictions (Chronological) Kraven the Hunter $47M OW / $108M DOM Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania $118M OW / $315M DOM Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom $125M OW / $310M DOM John Wick Chapter 4 $77M OW / $214M DOM Mario $55M OW / $145M DOM Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 $190M OW / $440M DOM Fast X $86M OW / $203M DOM The Little Mermaid $112M OW / $316M DOM Spider-Man: Across the Spider-verse $95M OW / $275M DOM Transformers: Rise of the Beasts $80M OW / $224M DOM Elemental $65M OW / $195M DOM The Flash $77M OW / $188M DOM Indiana Jones 5 $135M OW / $330M DOM Madame Web $60M OW / $160M DOM M:I Dead Reckoning - Part One $90M OW / $250M DOM The Marvels $165M OW / $410M DOM Dune Part 2 $61M OW / $158M DOM Wonka $49M OW / $170M DOM Star Trek 4?? $100M OW / $300M DOM 3 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 Summer is too crowded. Should spread some movies across the rest of the year Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 (edited) January Kraven - $35m/$80m Megan - $17m/$45m Dementer - $14m/$35m Harold - $25m/$90m February Cabin - $22m/$70m Me - $13m/$40m Quantumania - $105m/$125m/$320m Cocaine - $17m/$60m March Dungeons - $70m/$225m Mansion - $45m/$160m Aquaman - $135m/$360m Wick - $40m/$125m Scream - $50m/$120n April Mario - $105m/$340m Lion - $20m/$70m Reinfeld - $30m/$85m 65 - $12m/$30m Last Train - $25m/$65m May GOTGV3 - $205m/$620m Fast X - $80m/$185m TLM - $125m/$165m/$435m June SpiderVerse - $60m/$185m Beasts - $35m/$90m Strays - $30m/$100m Elemental - $65m/$235m Flash - $135m/$320m Indy 5 - $140m five day/$340m Migration - $75m five day/$220m July Web - $30m/$60m MI7 - $95m/$280m Oppenheimer - $30m/$130m Barbie - $30m/$115m Marvels - $170m/$405m August TMNT - $25m/$90m Meg 2 - $30m/$90m Blue Beetle - $95m/$345m September 3qualizer - $40m/$100m Quiet Place - $50m/$140m October Exorcist - $65m/$160m Paw 2 - $17m/$60m 2une - $75m/$225m November Blade - $90m/$260m If - $45m/$185m Songbirds - $55m/$170m Trolls - $35m/$150m (either this or IF should open against Blade as counterprogramming) Foster - $65m five day/$180m December Wonka - $50m/$200m Purple - $25m/$115m Star Trek - $25m/$115m Tiger - $20m/$105m Top 10 Guardians - $620m/$1.65b TLM - $435m/$1.25b Aquaman - $360m/$1.25b Marvels - $405m/$1.05B Indy 5 - $340m/$900m The Flash - $320m/$880m MI7 - $280m/$835m Quantumania - $325m/$800m 2une - $225m/$775m Fast X - $180m/$750m Edited May 17, 2022 by YourMother 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, YourMother said: Wick - $40m/$125m huh why so low for this? I think it's gonna increase from the predecessor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, Maggie said: huh why so low for this? I think it's gonna increase from the predecessor I thought it’d fall anyways and close proximity to Aquaman. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 I think MI: DR should move to august. Too bad The Meg is on that 4th August date Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jedijake Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 I can see Little Mermaid making over $500 million and possibly be the biggest of the year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jedijake Posted May 18, 2022 Share Posted May 18, 2022 June is very crowded. Christmas is empty except for Wonka (no idea of the status of Star Trek). Disney should throw Indiana Jones 5 to December. That would be great for it! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Potiki Posted May 18, 2022 Share Posted May 18, 2022 First prediction is much like 2022, 2023 will have at least a few big releases move into 2024. As for Box Office I'm not really great at predicting individual titles (particularly when there is no marketing) but..... I will go DOM OW/DOM Total/WW total format for major movies/ones I'm interested in. Ant Man 3 - 110/350/870 Haunted Mansion - 35/100/220 Aquaman 2 - 120/360/1B John Wick 4 - 60/180/400 Scream - 40/100/200 Mario - 40/120/300 GOTG 3 - 195/430/1.1B Little Mermaid - 150/400/1B Spiderverse - 70/200/500 Elemental - 50/170/370 Flash - 100/200/650 Indy 5 -150/400/1B MI7 - 100/300/1B Oppenheimer - 50/150/400 Marvels - 120/360/1B Blue Beetle - 70/150/300 Dune 2 - 80/200/500 November and December look weak particularly if it ends up that there is no Star Wars or Star Trek which I think is pretty possible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juby Posted May 19, 2022 Share Posted May 19, 2022 I don't see how Quantumania can grow that much from the previous part. Ant-Man & the Wasp did "only" $216.6m (+36.4m of the first film) in 2018 and it was first MCU film after huge Infinity War success(!). The third part has nothing except being another MCU-Ant-Man movie. I'll be surprise if it hits $250m domestic and $350m overseas (with no China release). Same with The Marvels. First Captain Marvel film was such a big hit in 2019 because of Infinity War tease/post-credit scene, and it was the last MCU-film before Endgame - You couldn't watch it otherway except going to cinema. I don't think the first film is a very beloved one, I don't think Brie Larson has a big fandome, it isn't "the first female lead Marvel superhero film" anymore, and I don't see anything intresting / any "hook" for the audience to bring them back to the theaters for the sequel. $300 million domestic is my prediction for now and let's say $550m overseas (no China) for $850m worldwide. Same with DCEU films. Aquaman stole the show in late 2018, but got mixed reception among the critics and the audience, the sequel isn't very anticipated film, and it will be another under-water blockbuster after Wakanda Forever and Avatar: The Way of Water in pretty short period of time. I see here similiar situation as it was with Deadpool (breakout hit) and its sequel (also big, but not as big as the previous one). $290m domestic will be a huge victory for The Lost Kingdome and it will be much harder to get to $1 billion worldwide this time (no Christmas legs, weaker China gross. probably 45 days window and later HBO Max release). The Flash is much harder to predict. DCEU has so many flops and dissapointments in recent years (Wonder Woman 1984, Birds of Prey, The Suicide Squad...) and only one big hit (Aquaman) so I guess it all depends on marketing and how the movie will do on rottentomatoes / metacritic / IMDb. I believe $100m opening weekend is locked, but don't know much over the mark The Flash will go, and how predict his legs (x2.4 ? x3.2 ?). Fast X is another example of a sequel that should drop from the previous one. The seventh instalment was this franchise's peak, F9 become a joke, a meme of 2021. With bad pr after Justin Lin departure from the project, withour heart of the series (Brian R.I.P), without The Rock, I think this one might be TF: The Last Knight of this franchise. $165 million domestic + $480m overseas for now from me. Rise of the Beasts will be also interesting to watch. With new director and some new ideas I think it might go for more than the last one directed by Micheal Bay. The new Indiana Jones film will be huge, but not as big as the previous one, cause every Indy drop from the previous in admission, same will happen this time. It's hard to tell how it ends with current ticket prices, IMAXes, 3D, etc. Spider-Verse sequel, M:I:7 and Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 3 will do fine in 2023. I see here nice increases from their predecessors. Guardians should win the summer, the whole year, and I think it's the only film locked to gross over a $1b worldwide next year if Disney advertise it right. January-February ofc will be owned by Avatar 2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ImNotRacistAtAll Posted May 19, 2022 Share Posted May 19, 2022 10 hours ago, jedijake said: June is very crowded. Christmas is empty except for Wonka (no idea of the status of Star Trek). Disney should throw Indiana Jones 5 to December. That would be great for it! I don't think they should delay Indy more. Also, it feels more like a Summer movie and will definitely be ready in June 2023. Although... I think I would move The Marvels to 1st week of July and Indy to last week of July I still think we are getting a Star Wars movie in December. And it will be the Taika Waititi one. And they will announce it at Celebration. That script is probably more than done. And they can start shooting later this year after Taika is done will all things related to Love and Thunder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jedijake Posted May 19, 2022 Share Posted May 19, 2022 2 hours ago, ImNotRacistAtAll said: I don't think they should delay Indy more. Also, it feels more like a Summer movie and will definitely be ready in June 2023. Although... I think I would move The Marvels to 1st week of July and Indy to last week of July I still think we are getting a Star Wars movie in December. And it will be the Taika Waititi one. And they will announce it at Celebration. That script is probably more than done. And they can start shooting later this year after Taika is done will all things related to Love and Thunder Finish a script this summer. Casting and pre-production for a few months taking us to December, 2022. Then film for 4-6 months. Then post-production. That's IF they even have anything in the works. Not happening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ImNotRacistAtAll Posted May 19, 2022 Share Posted May 19, 2022 7 minutes ago, jedijake said: Finish a script this summer. Casting and pre-production for a few months taking us to December, 2022. Then film for 4-6 months. Then post-production. That's IF they even have anything in the works. Not happening. I think it's happening. I have the word. There will be Star Wars movie in 2023 December. There's no way around it. It will the second coming. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ImNotRacistAtAll Posted May 19, 2022 Share Posted May 19, 2022 9 minutes ago, jedijake said: Finish a script this summer. Casting and pre-production for a few months taking us to December, 2022. Then film for 4-6 months. Then post-production. That's IF they even have anything in the works. Not happening. But seriously. You're assuming a script is not done already. We have heard about Taika doing this script since December 2020. You're assuming casting has not begun yet or not done already. You're assuming the pre production has not started yet OR is starting really soon. LucasFilm knows how to hide stuff. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TomCruiseTop Posted May 19, 2022 Share Posted May 19, 2022 Avatar 3 #1 Worldwide is my prediction for released. Calendar year I expect Avatar 2 to take the crown (BIG legs). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted May 19, 2022 Share Posted May 19, 2022 If a Star Wars movie was coming out next December we would have info by now. 19 months is an awfully quick turnaround for such a big production. Next summer looks ridiculously overcrowded. With production on movies still playing catch up we might see some of them move to the holidays, which looks largely empty at the moment, to allow for breathing room. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jedijake Posted May 19, 2022 Share Posted May 19, 2022 Is there even an MCU film scheduled for November 2023? Blade? Would that be made in time? Fantastic Four? Shang Chi 2? Maybe whatever they were planning for November can be pushed to December? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
