BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[Taruseth]

52 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Final weekend estimates for Germany:

#1: Endgame - 875k admissions (-48%, everything better than 50% is excellent!)

#2: Collini - 110k (-5%)

#3: QecqoaefaBD?  - 95k (-18%)

#4: 90k and best opener: The Queen's Corgi

 

Nahm 48% isn't excellent ... It's good, but definitely not excellent, especially as it's OD wasn't a part of last weekend, if it was (and that would mean Previews would have been a part of OD) it certainly would have been a great drop.

What do you think will be the final adm count.

 

 

Endgame vs TLJ  (In brackets are the totals) - Final for TLJ was 5906k

Before Weekend: 462k vs 0k -> +462k

OWend: 1672k (2134k) vs 1627k -> +45k (+507k)

OWdays: 706k (2840k) vs 490k (2117k) ->+216k (+723k)

2nd Wend: 875k (3715k) vs 721k (2838k) -> +154k (+877k)

It will be about 875k ahead after this weekend, but that in no way means that Endgame will get to more than 6.5m adm, because:

2nd Wdays: 300k (4000k) vs 706k (3544k) -> -406k (+481k)

3rd Wend: 500k (4525k) vs 849k (4393k) -> -349k (+132k)

3rd Wdays: 150k (4675k) vs 351k (4744k) -> -201k (-69k)

 

 

 

Edited May 5, 2019 by Taruseth
Corrected total after 2nd Week to 4000k not 400k

[Moses]

10 minutes ago, Taruseth said:

Nahm 48% isn't excellent ... It's good, but definitely not excellent, especially as it's OD wasn't a part of last weekend, if it was (and that would mean Previews would have been a part of OD) it certainly would have been a great drop.

What do you think will be the final adm count.

 

 

Endgame vs TLJ  (In brackets are the totals) - Final for TLJ was 5906k

Before Weekend: 462k vs 0k -> +462k

OWend: 1672k (2134k) vs 1627k -> +45k (+507k)

OWdays: 706k (2840k) vs 490k (2117k) ->+216k (+723k)

2nd Wend: 875k (3715k) vs 721k (2838k) -> +154k (+877k)

It will be about 875k ahead after this weekend, but that in no way means that Endgame will get to more than 6.5m adm, because:

2nd Wdays: 300k (400k) vs 706k (3544k) -> -406k (+481k)

3rd Wend: 500k (4525k) vs 849k (4393k) -> -349k (+132k)

3rd Wdays: 150k (4675k) vs 351k (4744k) -> -201k (-69k)

 

 

 

So are we talking total above 65 million dollars??

[Taruseth]

2 minutes ago, Moses said:

So are we talking total above 65 million dollars??

Wouldn't bet on it yet, but i'd say yes.

$65m ≈ €58.3m ≈ 5.2m adm and it should get that without too many problems and actually could, approach 70m, so I won't go that far without knowing the drop next weekend.

[Taruseth]

So:

 

Presales for three movies:

 

 

Detective Pikachu:

Preview on Wednesda 8 May 20:00

26th April 23:59 (T-12): 51 / 425 -> 12%

28th April 23:59 (T-10): 66 / 425 -> 15.5%

29th April 23:59 (T-9): 73 / 425 -> 17.2%

1th May 04:00 (T-8): 75 / 425 -> 17.6% (I counted this so late because I saw Endgame)

1th May 22:00 (T-7): 85 / 425 -> 20%

2th May 23:54 (T-6): 94 / 425 -> 22.1%

3th May 23:58 (T-5): 102 / 425 -> 24%

4th May 23:59 (T-4): 114 / 425 -> 26.8%

5th May 22:59 (T-3): 146 / 425 -> 34.4 % (I know it's an hour early, sorry)

 

Aladdin:

Preview on Wednesday 22nd May 19:45

5th May 22:59(T-17): 3 / 572 -> 0.5%

 

John Wick 3 

Preview on Wednesday 22nd May 20:15

 

 

 

 

5th May 22:59(T-17): 8 / 425 -> 1.9%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[el sid]

The Monday update from insidekino.de - A: E (almost) stable and nice holds:

#1 A: E 870k/3.71M (and is now already #2 of all Marvel films, behind Spider-Man; overtook Infinity War on Saturday)
#2 Der Fall Collini 105k/425k
#3 Monsieur Claude2 92.5k/more than 1M
#4 Royal Corgi 80k
#5 After Passion 75k/900k
#6 Wonder Park 55k/400k

 

Anecdotal: In mathäser, John Wick 3 gets on Wednesday (the 22th) the biggest cinema hall and has sold so far a bit more than 100 tickets of 839 for the evening show.
Pokémon Detective Pikachu gets this Wednesday the biggest cinema hall in mathäser and so far ca. half of the tickets are sold (means around 400). I can't judge if this is good, it's probably quite ok for an afternoon showing.
 

Edited May 6, 2019 by el sid

[Taruseth]

On 5/5/2019 at 11:01 PM, Taruseth said:

So:

 

Presales for three movies:

 

 

Detective Pikachu:

Preview on Wednesda 8 May 20:00

26th April 23:59 (T-12): 51 / 425 -> 12%

28th April 23:59 (T-10): 66 / 425 -> 15.5%

29th April 23:59 (T-9): 73 / 425 -> 17.2%

1th May 04:00 (T-8): 75 / 425 -> 17.6% (I counted this so late because I saw Endgame)

1th May 22:00 (T-7): 85 / 425 -> 20%

2th May 23:54 (T-6): 94 / 425 -> 22.1%

3th May 23:58 (T-5): 102 / 425 -> 24%

4th May 23:59 (T-4): 114 / 425 -> 26.8%

5th May 22:59 (T-3): 146 / 425 -> 34.4 % (I know it's an hour early, sorry)

 

Aladdin:

Preview on Wednesday 22nd May 19:45

5th May 22:59(T-17): 3 / 572 -> 0.5%

 

John Wick 3 

Preview on Wednesday 22nd May 20:15

5th May 22:59(T-17): 8 / 425 -> 1.9%

 

 

Detective Pikachu:

Preview:

6th May 23:59 (T-2): 148 / 425 -> 34.8 % (but what the hell is this?)

 

For OWend (counted at the same time)

It started presales today, no, please don’t ask me why it only did today.

Thursday:

3D 17:00: 2 / 425

3D 20:30: 8 / 296

3D 22:30: 0 / 280

 

2D 14:20: 0 / 425

 

Total: 10 / 1426 -> 0.7%

 

Friday:

3D 17:00: 0 / 425

3D 20:30: 0 / 296

3D 22:30: 8 / 280 (probably one group)

 

2D 14:20: 0 / 425

 

Total: 8 / 1426 -> 0.6%

 

Saturday:

3D 17:00: 5 / 425

3D 20:30: 9 / 296

3D 22:30: 0 / 280

 

2D 14:20: 0 / 425

 

Total: 14 / 1426 -> 1%

 

Sunday:

3D 17:00: 0 / 425

3D 20:30: 0 / 296

 

2D 11:20: 4 / 425

2D 14:20: 12 / 425

Total: 16 / 1571 -> 1%

 

Overall without previews: 48 / 5849 -> 0.8%

Overall with Previews: 196 / 6274 -> 3.1%

 

 

Which is absolutely useless in every single way as presales started way to late.

Though at least the preview number is 31% of Endgame (translating that to OWend would mean about 500k)

 

 

More Preview numbers:

Aladdin:

Preview on Wednesday 22^nd May 19:40

6th May 23:59(T-16): 9 / 572 -> 1.6% (all 6 added probably by a group)

 

John Wick 3:

Preview on Wednesday 22^nd May 19:40

6th May 23:59(T-16): 8 / 425 -> 1.9% (+0)

 

Godzilla:

Preview on Wednesday 29^nd May 20:15

6th May 23:59 (T-23): 7 / 425 -> 1.6%

 

Edited May 6, 2019 by Taruseth

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Avengers - Endgame	871.287	736	1.184	3.712.000	42.085.004	-48	2
2	Der Fall Collini	105.365	573	184	425.284	3.743.677	-9	3
3	Qu'est-ce qu'on a encore fait au Bon Dieu ?	95.867	676	142	1.011.318	8.292.704	-18	5
4	After	74.623	579	129	901.638	7.370.374	-37	4
5	The Queen's Corgi	63.381	415	153	81.182	564.229	-	1
6	Wonder Park	56.288	620	91	400.608	2.832.810	-42	4
7	Dumbo	35.524	513	69	653.361	5.024.280	-43	6
8	At Eternity's Gate	32.277	165	196	127.511	1.042.258	-8	3
9	Pet Sematary	25.825	429	60	479.833	4.150.151	-31	5
10	Fighting with My Family	20.323	173	117	30.375	237.629	-	1
11	La Dernière Folie de Claire Darling	19.853	116	171	21.224	168.490	-	1
12	The Curso of La Llorona	16.739	318	53	102.504	894.111	-29	3
13	Die Goldfische	16.208	320	51	575.757	4.643.623	-28	7
14	The Hole in the Ground	15.584	187	83	29.429	207.980	-	1
15	Astérix - Le Secret de la Potion Magique	14.349	347	41	437.968	2.948.746	-47	8
16	Captain Marvel	11.460	207	55	2.057.543	21.641.934	-55	9
17	Alfons Zitterbacke	10.028	230	44	120.768	786.409	-52	4
18	Serenity	9.485	97	98	27.498	176.909	-	1
19	How to Tame Your Dragon 3	8.554	209	41	2.235.596	18.411.451	-44	13
20	Rocca verändert die Welt	8.177	217	38	197.796	1.295.327	-36	8

Once more a good weekend, pushed by movie-friendly weather. Avengers Endgame had an ok drop and should have no problem topping 5mil total; also remarkable domestic courtroom drama Der Fall Collini. Among openers, The Queen's Corgi did quite well; it remains to be seen how it will fare in the coming weks. French blockbuster sequel Qu'est-ce qu'on a encore fait au Bon Dieu ? crossed 1mil total and has some more miles in the tank; while not reaching the first one's heigths, it's still a success. The latest Astérix otoh is struggling for 500k total, not so good.

Next weekend: Pokémon Detective Pikachu will be the big opener; I'm too old for that stuff but among the younger generations there seems to be quite some buzz, it might even beat the Avengers' 3rd weekend! Also opening: The Hustle (ok scheduling, little competition here, might make the Top3). With weather still on the nasty side and a wide range of offerings, we should see a very satisfying overall weekend!

[Taruseth]

On 5/7/2019 at 12:03 AM, Taruseth said:

Detective Pikachu:

Preview:

6th May 23:59 (T-2): 148 / 425 -> 34.8 % (but what the hell is this?)

 

For OWend (counted at the same time)

It started presales today, no, please don’t ask me why it only did today.

Thursday:

3D 17:00: 2 / 425

3D 20:30: 8 / 296

3D 22:30: 0 / 280

 

2D 14:20: 0 / 425

 

Total: 10 / 1426 -> 0.7%

 

Friday:

3D 17:00: 0 / 425

3D 20:30: 0 / 296

3D 22:30: 8 / 280 (probably one group)

 

2D 14:20: 0 / 425

 

Total: 8 / 1426 -> 0.6%

 

Saturday:

3D 17:00: 5 / 425

3D 20:30: 9 / 296

3D 22:30: 0 / 280

 

2D 14:20: 0 / 425

 

Total: 14 / 1426 -> 1%

 

Sunday:

3D 17:00: 0 / 425

3D 20:30: 0 / 296

 

2D 11:20: 4 / 425

2D 14:20: 12 / 425

Total: 16 / 1571 -> 1%

 

Overall without previews: 48 / 5849 -> 0.8%

Overall with Previews: 196 / 6274 -> 3.1%

 

 

Which is absolutely useless in every single way as presales started way to late.

Though at least the preview number is 31% of Endgame (translating that to OWend would mean about 500k)

 

 

More Preview numbers:

Aladdin:

Preview on Wednesday 22^nd May 19:40

6th May 23:59(T-16): 9 / 572 -> 1.6% (all 6 added probably by a group)

 

John Wick 3:

Preview on Wednesday 22^nd May 19:40

6th May 23:59(T-16): 8 / 425 -> 1.9% (+0)

 

Godzilla:

Preview on Wednesday 29^nd May 20:15

6th May 23:59 (T-23): 7 / 425 -> 1.6%

 

 

5^thMay 23:59 MESZ (T-1)

Previews: Wednesday

3D 20:00: 175 / 425 -> 41.2 % 

 

It started presales yesterday.

Thursday:

3D 17:00: 8 / 425

3D 20:30: 11 / 296

3D 22:30: 0 / 280

 

2D 14:20: 0 / 425

 

Total: 19 / 1426 -> 1.3% (+9)

 

Friday:

3D 17:00: 8 / 425

3D 20:30: 24 / 296

3D 22:30: 22 / 280 (probably one group)

 

2D 14:20: 8 / 425

 

Total: 62 / 1426 -> 4.3% (+54)

 

Saturday:

3D 17:00: 12 / 425

3D 20:30: 17 / 296

3D 22:30: 0 / 280

 

2D 14:20: 24 / 425

 

Total: 53 / 1426 -> 3.7% (+39)

 

Sunday:

OV 3D 20:15: 2 / 166

 

3D 17:00: 0 / 425

3D 20:30: 0 / 296

 

2D 11:20: 4 / 425

2D 14:20: 17 / 425

 

Total: 23 / 1737 -> 1.3% (+7)

 

Overall without previews: 157 / 6015 -> 2.6% (+109)

Overall with Previews: 332 / 6440 -> 5.2% (+136)

 

It added one show, the OV on Sunday

 

(Endgame: Previews: 565 (Previews) and 1848 (4-day OWend one more day out) so DP is at 31% for Previews (even with yesterday) and 8.5% for OWend (without Previews) and 18% with Previews.

 

 

I am still counting Aladdin, John Wick 3 and Godzilla but won't post those for either a week or maybe not even until the Sunday before OD.

 

[altglascontainer]

Avengers Endgame entered the Top 50 German Box-Office at Rank 43.

It is the first superhero-movie to achieve this in Germany.

 

Top 48

 

 

Top 3

#1 Titanic

#2 Avatar

#3 Star Wars TFA

 

[Taruseth]

Spoiler

On 5/8/2019 at 12:18 AM, Taruseth said:

5^thMay 23:59 MESZ (T-1)

Previews: Wednesday

3D 20:00: 175 / 425 -> 41.2 % 

 

It started presales yesterday.

Thursday:

3D 17:00: 8 / 425

3D 20:30: 11 / 296

3D 22:30: 0 / 280

 

2D 14:20: 0 / 425

 

Total: 19 / 1426 -> 1.3% (+9)

 

Friday:

3D 17:00: 8 / 425

3D 20:30: 24 / 296

3D 22:30: 22 / 280 (probably one group)

 

2D 14:20: 8 / 425

 

Total: 62 / 1426 -> 4.3% (+54)

 

Saturday:

3D 17:00: 12 / 425

3D 20:30: 17 / 296

3D 22:30: 0 / 280

 

2D 14:20: 24 / 425

 

Total: 53 / 1426 -> 3.7% (+39)

 

Sunday:

OV 3D 20:15: 2 / 166

 

3D 17:00: 0 / 425

3D 20:30: 0 / 296

 

2D 11:20: 4 / 425

2D 14:20: 17 / 425

 

Total: 23 / 1737 -> 1.3% (+7)

 

Overall without previews: 157 / 6015 -> 2.6% (+109)

Overall with Previews: 332 / 6440 -> 5.2% (+136)

 

It added one show, the OV on Sunday

 

(Endgame: Previews: 565 (Previews) and 1848 (4-day OWend one more day out) so DP is at 31% for Previews (even with yesterday) and 8.5% for OWend (without Previews) and 18% with Previews.

 

 

I am still counting Aladdin, John Wick 3 and Godzilla but won't post those for either a week or maybe not even until the Sunday before OD.

 

 

 

8^thMay 23:59 MESZ (T-0)

Previews: Wednesday

3D 20:00: 175 / 425 -> 41.2 % (forgot to count at 8pm)

 

Thursday:

3D 17:00: 19 / 425

3D 20:30: 31 / 296

3D 22:30: 2 / 280

 

2D 14:20: 5 / 425

 

Total: 57 / 1426 -> 4% (+38)

 

Friday:

3D 17:00: 14 / 425

3D 20:30: 52 / 296

3D 22:30: 32 / 280 (probably one group)

 

2D 14:20: 12 / 425

 

Total: 110 / 1426 -> 7.7% (+48)

 

Saturday:

3D 17:00: 12 / 425

3D 20:30: 45 / 296

3D 22:30: 0 / 280

 

2D 14:20: 47 / 425

 

Total: 104 / 1426 -> 7.3% (+51)

 

Sunday:

OV 3D 20:15: 4 / 166

 

3D 17:00: 2 / 425

3D 20:30: 7 / 296

 

2D 11:20: 12 / 425

2D 14:20: 26 / 425

 

Total: 51 / 1737 -> 2.9% (+28)

 

Overall without previews: 322 / 6015 -> 5.4% (+165)

Overall with Previews: 497+ / 6440 -> 7.7+% (+165+)

 

 

I also started counting Rocketman but won't post about that either until I will post for godzilla.

[charlie Jatinder]

5 hours ago, altglascontainer said:

Avengers Endgame entered the Top 50 German Box-Office at Rank 43.

It is the first superhero-movie to achieve this in Germany.

 

Top 48

 

 

Top 3

#1 Titanic

#2 Avatar

#3 Star Wars TFA

 

It can reach top 20 I guess. €57mn plus.

[IndustriousAngel]

Austria's April numbers are now available and thanks to Avengers, QecqoaefaBD? and After and the fact that it was a 5-wekend-April, it's been a really strong one (in recent history, only 2017 and 2006 have been stronger). A welcome relief after the disasterous 1st quarter; let's hope the good numbers continue with Pikachu.

Edited May 9, 2019 by IndustriousAngel

[Taruseth]

21 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

It can reach top 20 I guess. €57mn plus.

Needs ~58.5m for Top 20.

Hope it gets to 60m that would be #18. #17 would need 63m, that might be a bit too much.

Edited May 9, 2019 by Taruseth

[Taruseth]

9^th May 23:00 MESZ (T-(-1))

 

Thursday: ~150-160 (final presales)

 

Friday:

3D 17:00: 17 / 425

3D 20:30: 81 / 296

3D 22:30: 34 / 280

 

2D 14:20: 14 / 425

 

Total: 146 / 1426 -> 10.3% (+36)

 

Saturday:

3D 17:00: 26 / 425

3D 20:30: 66 / 296

3D 22:30: 5 / 280

 

2D 14:20: 55 / 425

 

Total: 152 / 1426 -> 10.7% (+48)

 

Sunday:

OV 3D 20:15: 6 / 166

 

3D 17:00: 17 / 425

3D 20:30: 7 / 296

 

2D 11:20: 15 / 425

2D 14:20: 38 / 425

 

Total: 83 / 1737 -> 4.8% (+32)

 

So Presales for Friday are 2.56 times as large as those for Thursday were.

Presales for Saturday are 1.38 times as large as those for Friday were 24h ago.

And Presales for Sunday are 0.8 times of those for Saturday 24h ago.

[IndustriousAngel]

Early weekend estimates for Germany from insidekino.de:

#1: Pikachu - 525k admissions incl. previews

#2: Endgame - 425k (-51%)

#3: Hustle - 150k incl. previews

#4: Collini - 80k (-24%)

[Taruseth]

1 minute ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Early weekend estimates for Germany from insidekino.de:

#1: Pikachu - 525k admissions incl. previews

#2: Endgame - 425k (-51%)

#3: Hustle - 150k incl. previews

#4: Collini - 80k (-24%)

Endgame slightly worse than I thought:

Spoiler

On 5/5/2019 at 12:30 PM, Taruseth said:

Nahm 48% isn't excellent ... It's good, but definitely not excellent, especially as it's OD wasn't a part of last weekend, if it was (and that would mean Previews would have been a part of OD) it certainly would have been a great drop.

What do you think will be the final adm count.

 

 

Endgame vs TLJ  (In brackets are the totals) - Final for TLJ was 5906k

Before Weekend: 462k vs 0k -> +462k

OWend: 1672k (2134k) vs 1627k -> +45k (+507k)

OWdays: 706k (2840k) vs 490k (2117k) ->+216k (+723k)

2nd Wend: 875k (3715k) vs 721k (2838k) -> +154k (+877k)

It will be about 875k ahead after this weekend, but that in no way means that Endgame will get to more than 6.5m adm, because:

2nd Wdays: 300k (4000k) vs 706k (3544k) -> -406k (+481k)

3rd Wend: 500k (4525k) vs 849k (4393k) -> -349k (+132k)

3rd Wdays: 150k (4675k) vs 351k (4744k) -> -201k (-69k)

 

 

 

1

 

 

Endgame vs TLJ  (In brackets are the totals) - Final for TLJ was 5906k

Before Weekend: 462k vs 0k -> +462k

OWend: 1672k (2134k) vs 1627k -> +45k (+507k)

OWdays: 707k (2841k) vs 490k (2117k) ->+217k (+724k)

2nd Wend: 871k (3712k) vs 721k (2838k) -> +150k (+874k)

2nd Wdays: 163k (3875k) vs 706k (3544k) -> -548k (+326k)

3rd Wend: 425k (4300k) vs 849k (4393k) -> -424k (+93k)

3rd Wdays: 90k (4390k) vs 351k (4744k) -> -261k (-354k)

4th Wend: 275k (4665k) vs 467k (5211k) -> -192k (-546k)

4th Wdays: 60k (4725k) vs 91k (5302k) -> -31k (-577k)

5th Wend: 150k (4875k) vs 202k (5504k) -> -52k (-629k)

5th Wdays: 35k (4910k) vs 49k (5553k) -> -14k (-643k)

6th Wend: 90k (5000k) vs 110k (5663k) -> -20k (-663k)

6th Wdays: 25k (5025k) vs 28k (5691k) -> -3k (-666k)

 

TLJ had 215k more admissions after that, if Endgame would add that it would get to 5240k, which is probably the highest it could go, would mean a little below €60m, translating to ~$67m. It would also mean that it would beat Spider-Man 1 (5186k) in adm.

 

More realistic would probably a finish closer to 5m adm and with that slightly below Spider-Man 1.

[el sid]

And some Thursday actuals (source Blickpunkt:Film):

The new releases:
 

Pokémon Detective Pikachu (released in 547 theaters): 40k/415k US$
The Hustle (420): 15k
Nur eine Frau (66): 1.5k
Stan & Ollie (111): 1.350 → 17.5k admissions OW in the first trend
Master Z: The Ip Man Legacy (116, Eventstart): 820
Das Ende der Wahrheit (36): 700

The holdovers: 

Avengers: Endgame: 50k (actuals last Thursday 110k)
Der Fall Collini: 8k (10k)
Monsieur Claude 2: 5.5k (8k)

Edited May 10, 2019 by el sid

[Brainbug]

22 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Early weekend estimates for Germany from insidekino.de:

#1: Pikachu - 525k admissions incl. previews

#2: Endgame - 425k (-51%)

#3: Hustle - 150k incl. previews

#4: Collini - 80k (-24%)

 

Overall solid if that comes true. Decent opening for Pika, but a slightly worse hold for Endgame than i thought, but the film exceeded all expectations here anyway already.

[Nakamura]

7 minutes ago, Taruseth said:

Endgame slightly worse than I thought:

  Reveal hidden contents

 

 

Endgame vs TLJ  (In brackets are the totals) - Final for TLJ was 5906k

Before Weekend: 462k vs 0k -> +462k

OWend: 1672k (2134k) vs 1627k -> +45k (+507k)

OWdays: 707k (2841k) vs 490k (2117k) ->+217k (+724k)

2nd Wend: 871k (3712k) vs 721k (2838k) -> +150k (+874k)

2nd Wdays: 163k (3875k) vs 706k (3544k) -> -548k (+326k)

3rd Wend: 425k (4300k) vs 849k (4393k) -> -424k (+93k)

3rd Wdays: 90k (4390k) vs 351k (4744k) -> -261k (-354k)

4th Wend: 275k (4665k) vs 467k (5211k) -> -192k (-546k)

4th Wdays: 60k (4725k) vs 91k (5302k) -> -31k (-577k)

5th Wend: 150k (4875k) vs 202k (5504k) -> -52k (-629k)

5th Wdays: 35k (4910k) vs 49k (5553k) -> -14k (-643k)

6th Wend: 90k (5000k) vs 110k (5663k) -> -20k (-663k)

6th Wdays: 25k (5025k) vs 28k (5691k) -> -3k (-666k)

 

TLJ had 215k more admissions after that, if Endgame would add that it would get to 5240k, which is probably the highest it could go, would mean a little below €60m, translating to ~$67m. It would also mean that it would beat Spider-Man 1 (5186k) in adm.

 

More realistic would probably a finish closer to 5m adm and with that slightly below Spider-Man 1.

The worst case can be about $63-65M ? 

[Taruseth]

4 hours ago, Nakamura said:

The worst case can be about $63-65M ? 

I'd say the worst case is 4.9m adm and -> €54m ~$60m (somewhat low average ticket price of just €11 and exchange rate of $1.11.

Though I don't think it will fall that much, because for that it would pretty much need to crash now.

Below 63m is disappointing.

 

65m is not worst case, I'd say that is realistic, that would be about €58m and that would mean around 5.09m adm (ticket price of €11.40, though it was higher last weekend, the for the whole run is lower, due to the higher weekend share in the future I think it overall average ticket price will increase).

 

Leg wise that wouldn't be impressive (just a 3.04x of the 4-day opening and it had a 462k OD before that, so no midnight-previews are part of OWend and it deflated Thursday itself a little bit too) That would be the second worst multi for any movie in the yearly top 10 for the last couple years, only worse was FF8.

 

Anything above 67m would be best case.

 

 

Though it needs to be said, that Spider-Man 1 is the only Superhero movie ever to have more than 5m adm.

And this most likely will be only the second to do more than 5m adm. and the first to gross more than €40 and €50m. 

Edited May 10, 2019 by Taruseth