BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[IndustriousAngel]

In Austria, Guglhupfgeschwader is MUCH stronger (already >70k admissions, so more than doubling Germany's per-capita numbers) while Bullet Train is pretty head-to-head with Germany (the usual 10-15% lead); most holdovers however were stronger than those 15% in Austria once more. (It HAS been pretty rainy here ...) - so, overall, in Austria a pretty perfect summer weekend! Maverick has now passed 500k admissions and while still a far-out bet, seeing its drops there's still a (very) slight chance at 600k - incredible!

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top12 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Guglhupfgeschwader	251.664	569	442	295.728	2.722.797	-	1
2	Minions 2	186.163	755	247	2.894.030	25.674.259	-24	6
3	Bullet Train	123.767	588	210	140.511	1.431.332	-	1
4	Thor 4	88.429	447	198	1.575.374	16.463.820	-38	5
5	Top Gun 2	73.760	569	130	3.038.157	31.140.151	-16	11
6	DC League of Super-Pets	72.695	576	126	223.640	1.707.289	-28	2
7	Qu'est-ce qu'on … 3	69.652	684	102	386.395	3.451.429	-18	3
8	Bibi & Tina	63.185	655	96	334.048	2.451.191	-12	3
9	Jurassic World 3	41.064	426	96	2.008.039	22.324.794	-28	9
10	Elvis	28.022	422	66	483.730	4.939.469	-6	7
11	Liebesdings	23.117	281	82	251.231	2.028.073	-6	5
12	The Black Phone	14.319	225	64	263.493	2.413.078	-26	7

Overall good (for a summer weekend), with one strong and one weak wide opener and fine holds across the chart!

Guglhupfgeschwader is showing that the franchise has still growing potential in its 8th installment, opening 14% higher than nr.7 (which was a franchise high, too, like every one of them). Bullet Train stood no chance with only half the PTA of its competitor - maybe it can recover some ground with little competition in the next weeks. Top Gun Maverick has now crossed 3mil total - a "Goldene Leinwand", congratulations! Jurassic World 3 and Thor 4 movie have crossed 2 resp. 1,5mil admissions, not spectacular numbers but good.

In Austria, the lead of the Bavarian crime comedy was even bigger, it dominated the market.

Next weekend: Nope and domestic family movie Der junge Häuptling Winnetou are the bigger openers, but are not expected enter the Top3, which should stay the same as this week.

[Issac Newton]

Germany WKend (Additional)

 

⚪ No Way Home - €11,201 / €45,844,683

⚪ Fantastic Beasts 3 - €10,903 / €29,676,489

⚪ Monkeyboys - €3,535 / €13,125

⚪ Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon (RE) - €2,282 / €30,755

⚪ Jujutsu Kaisen 0 - €673 / €2,531,764

⚪ Belle - €386 / €469,841

[Issac Newton]

Austria Box Office

 

WK: Aug 5-7, 2022 (Fri-Sun)

 

① Guglhupfgeschwader - €576,749 / €704,998

② Minions 2 - €208,983 / €3,677,173

③ Bullet Train - €205,352 / €247,445

④ Thor: Love &Thunder - €118,979 / €2,880,543

⑤ DC: League of Super-Pets - €112,324 / €366,546

 

Misc.

⚪ Top Gun: Maverick - €99,685 / €5,662,860

⚪ Jurassic World: Dominion - €28,921 / €2,812,104

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Cawdads (Aug 10th) Ba-Wü Preview Seat Report T-0

 

	Sellouts	Shows	Seats Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
Total	0	33	1178	6337	18.59%

 

Total Seats Sold Last 6 Days: 873

 

Comp

6.266x Massive Talent T-0 (0.52M€/83.250 Adm. OD)

9.577x Black Phone T-0 (0.33M€/41.500 Adm. OD)

2.283x Elvis T-0 (0.26M€/25.500 Adm. OD)

1.506x Liebesdings T-0 (0.28M€/32.500 Adm. OD)

 

Nope (Aug 10th) Ba-Wü Preview Seat Report T-0

 

	Sellouts	Shows	Seats Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
Total	0	32	357	6232	5.73%

 

Total Seats Sold Last 5 Days: 314

 

Comp

1.899x Massive Talent T-0 (0.16M€/25.250 Adm. OD)

2.902x Black Phone T-0 (0.10M€/12.500 Adm. OD)

0.692x Elvis T-0 (0.08M€/7.750 Adm. OD)

0.457x Liebesdings T-0 (0.09M€/9.750 Adm. OD)

 

I think Nope will have previes of 10-15k, not really good and i dont have comp like get out or second peele movie, whatever the name is.

cawdad looks around 30-40k inmy opinion.

[IndustriousAngel]

First estimates for Germany from insidekino.de:

#1: Guglhupf - 160k (-37%)

#2: Minions 2 - 110k (-41%)

#3: Bullet Train - 60k (-52% - ugly drop)

Nope might make it to #3; estimated at 70k incl. previews

[Aristis]

On 8/5/2022 at 9:46 AM, Aristis said:

Thursday

 

#1 Guglhupfgeschwader 57k

             -Its predecessor had 47k

#2 Minions 30k (-40%)

#3 Bullet Train 25k

#4 Thor4 16k (-47%) 

#5 DC Super Pets 13k (-48%) 

Thursday

 

#1 Guglhupfgeschwader 35k (-39%) 

#2 Minions2 21,5k (-28%)

#3 Bullet Train 13,5k (-46%) 

#4 Nope 11k

#5 Thor4 11,5k (-28%) 

[Sophia Jane]

This year Germany market performence really bad with only 2 film crossing 3m admits,Frnace already got five film cross 3m mark.

Hope Avatar 2 will save the market with 9－10m admits（think Avatar 2 will doing around 12m admits in France）

 

[LPLC]

2 hours ago, Bruce said:

This year Germany market performence really bad with only 2 film crossing 3m admits,Frnace already got five film cross 3m mark.

Hope Avatar 2 will save the market with 9－10m admits（think Avatar 2 will doing around 12m admits in France）

 

I would say more something like 9M-11M in France and around 7M-8M in Germany

[Sophia Jane]

16 minutes ago, LPLC said:

I would say more something like 9M-11M in France and around 7M-8M in Germany

That's really flop,even No time to die cross 6m in Germany,no way for Avatar 2 only 7－8m

[Issac Newton]

Why prediction is like 1M in Germany &2M France? In China, Avatar re-release managed $57.7M, even after years of piracy in 4K-UHD.

 

Why so much negative buzz? Because of Lunacy or just people believe that we are still in pandemic and not ready for JC film.

 

I would say atleast 10M in Germany &12M in France.. (｡ŏ﹏ŏ)

[IndustriousAngel]

3 hours ago, Bruce said:

This year Germany market performence really bad with only 2 film crossing 3m admits,Frnace already got five film cross 3m mark.

France has a completely different culture, where cinema is acknowledged as art and industry (same as bédé) while in Germany and Austria, cinema is still partly seen as low-brow entertainment, mainly for children and illiterates ... really, nobody gives a damn here if a movie theater is closing or how you could support the industry. France has at least 50% more admissions/head over the year, and a MUCH bigger share of domestic productions.

That being said, it's true that even considering these conditions, Germany is underperforming this year - as mentioned a few times, Austria (which is usually just 10-15% ahead/capita) has been leading by rather something like 30% for a few months now. Given the similarity of the two markets, that's quite a difference and it's really a good question if there are any deeper reasons behind this decline.

[LPLC]

7 hours ago, Bruce said:

That's really flop,even No time to die cross 6m in Germany,no way for Avatar 2 only 7－8m

 

7 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

Why prediction is like 1M in Germany &2M France? In China, Avatar re-release managed $57.7M, even after years of piracy in 4K-UHD.

 

Why so much negative buzz? Because of Lunacy or just people believe that we are still in pandemic and not ready for JC film.

 

I would say atleast 10M in Germany &12M in France.. (｡ŏ﹏ŏ)

 

I have blind faith in JC and I'm sure Avatar 2 will be awesome no doubt about it it's just that when Avatar came out in 2009 there was a huge hype (first movie with 3D, crazy special effects.. .), today I have the impression that the hype is much less strong and above all much less strong than great marvels like the last spiderman or the last avengers (obviously even if I like marvels I would like that A2's hype is even bigger like it was then but that's the way it is).

 

So I don't see it reaching the peaks of admissions of the first films but slightly less (I've seen people who talked about a 50% drop but it's way too much you have to respect JC the film and the WOM will surely be great ).

 

Anyway 9-11M admissions in France or 7M-8M in Germany is not nothing, it is certainly less than the first one but it remains HUGE (only 4 films have exceeded 10M admissions in France since 2009 !)

[IndustriousAngel]

latest update from insidekino.de has lower weekend estimates for every release ... 😟

[Issac Newton]

Monday Trend

 

#1 Guglhupfgeschwader - 165K / 575K

#2 Minions 2 - 100K / 3,085K 

#3 Bullet Train - 75K / 265K

#4 Thor - 55K / 1,670K

#5 Maverick - 55K / 3,135K

#6 Nope - 67.5K (inc. prev.)

#7 Super-Pets - 40K / 300K

#8 Monsieur Claude und sein großes Fest - 40K / 455K

#9 Bibi & Tina - Einfach anders - 35K / 405K

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top14 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Guglhupfgeschwader	164.253	656	250	570.343	5.149.443	-35	2
2	Minions 2	104.387	768	136	3.090.811	27.307.769	-44	7
3	Bullet Train	73.808	603	122	263.973	2.646.638	-40	2
4	Top Gun 2	56.369	552	102	3.136.107	32.112.699	-24	12
5	Thor 4	53.572	423	127	1.671.016	17.377.551	-39	6
6	Nope	48.953	455	108	70.834	646.507	-	1
7	Qu'est-ce qu'on … 3	43.092	633	68	462.680	4.137.441	-38	4
8	DC League of Super-Pets	40.892	592	69	301.137	2.276.690	-44	3
9	Bibi & Tina	34.096	644	53	404.113	2.953.693	-46	4
10	Jurassic World 3	27.532	384	72	2.056.019	22.800.975	-33	10
11	Der junge Häuptling Winnetou	22.520	501	45	27.454	202.994	-	1
12	Elvis	16.285	354	46	511.710	5.220.718	-42	8
13	Wunderschön	11.123	75	148	1.617.499	15.021.553	+67	28
14	Liebesdings	9.860	184	54	268.450	2.167.834	-57	6

A typical summer weekend, only two releases >100k admissions - at least Minions 2 crossed the 3mil treshold, not bad at all after the lukewarm OW. Guglhupfgeschwader is doing fine, 25% ahead of ist predecessor in this domestic crime comedy "franchise", it should sail past 1mil total without any problems and has a good chance to reach an all-time high for the series (hitherto Leberkäsjunkie with 1,24mil total). Top Gun Maverick managed one more fine hold. Let's not talk about the openers …

In Austria, Guglhupf already has passed 100k after weekend two; Minions are now >400k and Maverick even >500k, just wow at those legs, it's already at a multiplier of nearly 9!

Next weekend: Where the Crawdads Sing should become the biggest opener but at the rate presales are dropping in, it will have a hard time entering the Top3 … with open air shows now in full swing everywhere, we might see some older releases reappear in the charts.

[Issac Newton]

Germany WKend (Additional)

 

⚪ Moneyboys - €1,289 / €14,414

⚪ No Way Home - €1,039 / €45,847,615

⚪ Jujutsu Kaisen 0 - €680 / €2,532,444

⚪ Crouching Tiger - €158 / €33,277

[altglascontainer]

On 8/16/2022 at 12:11 PM, IndustriousAngel said:

Germany's Top14 last weekend:

6

Nope

48.953

455

108

70.834

 

Wow, okay. Nope played more like Massive Talent with huge walkup boost for the previews. I was to conservative with my expectation. Nonetheless not a good opening weekend for Nope.

[Aristis]

With this being the first WE in (what seems to be) ages having bad weather in most parts of Germany again, I really hope there'll be some good business. Would be great if in the end Minions could be much closer to 4M than 3M 👀

[Borobudur]

2 hours ago, Aristis said:

With this being the first WE in (what seems to be) ages having bad weather in most parts of Germany again, I really hope there'll be some good business. Would be great if in the end Minions could be much closer to 4M than 3M 👀

Can TGM come close to 3.5m?