BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[miketheavenger]

I think this weekend will be a lot slower that the last few. This weekend will have very nice spring weather across the country, so people will likely want to do activities outside.

[IndustriousAngel]

I think this weekend will be a lot slower that the last few. This weekend will have very nice spring weather across the country, so people will likely want to do activities outside.

yep, true - myself was running for 3h today - but I see no way Chappie or Focus can make up for this poor opening, that's really flop territory. (to say nothing of Metegol ... absolutley crazy PTA, must be nearly a minus record)

[Dingdong123]

Any current total for BH6? Has it passed Wreck it Flop?

[IndustriousAngel]

Any current total for BH6? Has it passed Wreck it Flop?

has passed it by at least 50% ... actuals tomorrow

[terrestrial]

yep, true - myself was running for 3h today - but I see no way Chappie or Focus can make up for this poor opening, that's really flop territory. (to say nothing of Metegol ... absolutley crazy PTA, must be nearly a minus record)

 

For THREE hours?!!!

 

Wow, I think I'd be dead

 

I'm more for lifting weight, but not as a sport, as in working

 

 

InsideKino ‏@MarkGInsideKino

 

7.053.344 Besucher für HONIG IM KOPF im deutschsprachigen Raum: 6.278.262 (D), 394.751 (A), 380.331 (CH)

 

Besucher = audience, means admissions in German speaking region, split up in D = Germany, A = Austria, CH = Switzerland (in this case the German speaking part of Switzerland)

 

 

 

 

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total	drop	week
1	Fifty Shades of Grey	282.801	657	430	3.754.202	-43	4
2	American Sniper	220.437	375	588	690.033	-35	2
3	Traumfrauen	205.061	634	323	1.148.018	-33	3
4	Focus	137.176	474	289	137.952	-	1
5	Spongebob 3D	110.118	619	178	994.858	-58	3
6	Honig im Kopf	106.085	712	149	6.278.262	-39	11
7	Chappie	85.300	449	190	85.300	-	1
8	Astérix : Le Domaine des dieux	69.061	452	153	268.368	-54	2
9	La famille Bélier	46.270	206	225	66.874	-	1
10	Still Alice	42.389	105	404	55.253	-	1
11	Samba	41.266	174	237	137.783	-37	2
12	Seventh Son	35.360	271	130	40.650	-	1
13	Birdman	33.350	278	120	423.231	-43	6
14	Big Hero 6	30.361	550	55	1.532.474	-57	7
15	Into the Woods	28.898	296	98	238.480	-57	3
16	Fünf Freunde 4	27.835	571	49	739.438	-51	6
17	Frau Müller muss weg	23.773	418	57	970.749	-45	8
18	The Imitation Game	12.797	190	67	559.911	-52	7
19	Selma	12.713	118	108	91.672	-44	3
20	Als wir träumten	10.636	83	128	41.430	-44	2

 

weeell, the strong weekends had to end sooner or later, so here we are. The only opener doing anything resembling business was "Still Alice" on its few screens, no doubt helped by the Oscar win but also good reviews. "Focus" is disappointing and "Chappie" a real flop. "La famille Bélier" was way behind expectations, too. And the drops - ugh, no, let's have a look at next weekend instead:

"Kingsman: The Secret Service" is my personal favourite among the openers, sadly buzz is still missing - let's see, an action comedy might be just the thing against boring weekends!

"Cinderella" - don't really know if it will connect, the kids market is a bit dry atm.

"The Wedding Ringer" - another tired comedy ...

 

Since nothing opens really wide, 50SoG might stay on top next weekend too! Of course I hope that Kingsman can do better.

[el sid]

True. The buzz for Kingsman could be bigger. It's the same at my cinema. It is doing better than Focus and Chappie, but a bit more reservations would be nice. But it improves and perhaps with a 200k+ weekend and a very good WOM (which it has), it could still reach a million admissions.

 

I think the Wedding Ringer will find some moderate audience.

 

The Cinderella movie is (like Kingsman) a film where I think it will be a hit - but not especially on its first weekend, more in its longtime run.

 

And by the way I said earlier, 1M admissions = $10M. But I made a double mistake and only because of that I was right again. First I forgot to transfer Euros into US$ and second I did not look at the exchange rate. Of course, a year or two earlier, 1M admissions would have translated into $13-14M. But the exchange rate is so terrible at the moment (I read it here but did not realize how terrible it is), that all movies need much more admissions at the moment.

[juni78ukr]

What about Leviathan? How wide it will be?

[IndustriousAngel]

What about Leviathan? How wide it will be?

about as wide as Keira Knightleys waist, max. Seriously, this is restricted to arthouses, and not that many on opening weekend, maybe 50 or 60 would be my guess. Of course, with arthouse films, it's not about the opening weekend, but 100k total I'd consider a success.

[IndustriousAngel]

if I take just my cinema, Kingsman will rather disappoint this weekend ... Cinderella otoh is doing ok - not really big business but at least double that of Kingsman.

[picores]

if I take just my cinema, Kingsman will rather disappoint this weekend ... Cinderella otoh is doing ok - not really big business but at least double that of Kingsman.

 

Shame

[el sid]

At my cinema Cinderella and Kingsman are pretty head to head (perhaps Cinderella is a little bit in front here too). The reservations for both for tomorrow are around 150% of what Focus and Chappie had last week.

 

The admission numbers for today are like that (these are of course not exact numbers but most of the time they are surprisingly close). I don't know exactly how to value them, I can only try.

 

Newcomers:

Kingsman: 22.600 - not too bad but could be better, for comparison Focus had 17k and Chappie 12k Opening Day, but both had not that WOM, not by far

Cinderella 11.500 (only evening)  - quite ok I think

Wedding Ringer: 2730 - clearly not ok

 

Holdovers:

50 Shades: 21.030

Traumfrauen: 14.503

AS: 12.209

Focus: 8.147

Chappie: 3.404

Still Alice: 3.260

Edited March 12, 2015 by el sid

[IndustriousAngel]

2015 in Austria: Jan was only so-so (but at least about 20% up from 2014), but we had the best Feb of the last 5 years - mostly thanks to 50SoG. March is not looking so good atm but March 2014 was terrible too so we should see a healthy overall increase 1st quarter.

 

In Germany, thanks to a strong domestic lineup, numbers look even better!

[IndustriousAngel]

1st trend for Germany's weekend from insidekino:

#1: Cinderella - 300k admissions

#2: Kingsman - 225k (both openers contain some sneaks / previews)

#3: 50SoG - 175k (-40% or better)

#4: Traumfrauen - 140k (-30%)

#5: AS - 125k (-45%)

[IndustriousAngel]

Sunday update - sadly, openers are looking weaker once more:

#1: Cinderella - 250k admissions

#2: Kingsman - 210k

#3: 50SoG - 180k (-35% or better)

#4: AS - 145k (-35%)

#5: Traumfrauen - 140k (-30%)

#6: HiK - 85k (-20%)

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total	drop	week
1	Cinderella	274.484	514	534	276.019	-	1
2	Kingsman - The Secret Service	191.405	536	357	227.092	-	1
3	Fifty Shades of Grey	177.164	578	307	4.018.903	-37	5
4	American Sniper	143.544	415	346	885.574	-35	3
5	Traumfrauen	139.376	664	210	1.354.298	-32	4
6	Honig im Kopf	91.365	681	134	6.411.548	-14	12
7	Spongebob 3D	83.092	638	130	1.097.058	-25	4
8	Focus	77.888	479	163	250.518	-43	2
9	Astérix: Le Domaine des dieux	70.563	520	136	349.790	+2	3
10	The Wedding Ringer	52.917	305	173	74.999	-	1
11	La famille Bélier	44.876	220	204	132.974	-3	2
12	Still Alice	44.347	121	367	123.862	+5	2
13	Chappie	39.505	428	92	145.982	-54	2
14	Samba	34.532	192	180	188.605	-16	3
15	Fünf Freunde 4	33.929	466	73	780.466	+22	7
16	Big Hero 6	27.207	410	66	1.563.198	-10	8
17	Birdman	22.116	239	93	457.811	-34	7
18	Frau Müller muss weg	17.533	334	52	1.003.490	-26	9
19	Seventh Son	14.262	271	53	64.311	-60	2
20	Into the Woods	13.152	205	64	258.579	-54	4

 

While the two wide openeres managed #1 and 2, the results were not overwhelming. Again, it's a holdover weekend: 50SoG passed 4mil total (better than every Twilight movie), and "Frau Müller muss weg" passed 1mil total. Some movies managed an increase, among them the new Astérix which seems to get a little WOM after the poor start (saw it yesterday, it's a really nice one, one of the best Astérix adaptions ever).

"Honig im Kopf" fell below 100k admissions in week 12 but is still remarkably strong, 7mil total are still possible!

 

Next weekend:

"Shaun the Sheep" is very successful as a TV show and should do fairly well in theaters, too. It might become nr.1 for the weekend, depending on Cinderella's hold and the other wide opener, "Insurgent"- 300k are possible for both. Shaun should see much better holds than Insurgent, though. Also opening: "The Boy Next Door" - ugh. And Austrian dark crime comedy "Das ewige Leben" gets its Germany release after two very successful weeks in Austria, but will be restricted to mostly Bavaria due to language problems farther north.

[IndustriousAngel]

No trend yet but first numbers indicate Cinderella might stay on top ... openers not doing too well. Of course, with Shaun there's little rush factor, but the same went for Cinderella last week.

 

edit:

first trend is online:

#1: Shaun - 300k admissions (contains a lot of previews)

#2: Cinderella - 200k (-25%)

#3: Insurgent - 200k (also some previews)

 

that's ok for Shaun and so-so for Insurgent, couldn't expand as much from part 1 as hoped for.

Edited March 20, 2015 by IndustriousAngel

[IndustriousAngel]

2nd weekend trend on insidekino.de:

#1: Shaun - 300k

#2: Cinderella - 200k (-25%)

#3: Insurgent - 175k (meh)

#4: Kingsman - 140k (-25%)

#5: 50SoG - 100k (-45%)

[SchumacherFTW]

AWESOME! Aardman for the win!

[IndustriousAngel]

AWESOME! Aardman for the win!

well, secretly I was hoping for bigger numbers but at least it's better than Pirates!