LPLC Posted November 8, 2021 Share Posted November 8, 2021 (edited) 14 minutes ago, Carlangonz said: LONG RANGE FORECAST. SPIDER-MAN: NO WAY HOME. 4-DAY OPENING. Sony has officially confirmed December 16th as opening day for the third installment of MCU's Spidey. We'll have to wait until presale begin to know if it'll hold midnight shows or rather Wednesday Night Previews. Big opening coming. Opening Weekend (4-Day): $480M / 6.5M admissions Lifetime Gross: $1,150M / 17M admissions Thank you for these figures, I hope they turn out to be true, that would be huge ! More than I expected. @VenomXXR With 1,15Bn lc in Mexico, NWH can reach $700M in DOM, right ? #3 all time in Mexico, so let's try #3 all time in DOM Edited November 8, 2021 by LPLC Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted November 8, 2021 Share Posted November 8, 2021 14 minutes ago, Carlangonz said: LONG RANGE FORECAST. SPIDER-MAN: NO WAY HOME. 4-DAY OPENING. Sony has officially confirmed December 16th as opening day for the third installment of MCU's Spidey. We'll have to wait until presale begin to know if it'll hold midnight shows or rather Wednesday Night Previews. Big opening coming. Opening Weekend (4-Day): $480M / 6.5M admissions Lifetime Gross: $1,150M / 17M admissions Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted November 8, 2021 Share Posted November 8, 2021 This should be to Spider-Man 3 what Toy Story 3 was to Toy Story 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted November 8, 2021 Share Posted November 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, LPLC said: Thank you for these figures, I hope they turn out to be true, that would be huge ! More than I expected. @VenomXXR With 1,15Bn lc in Mexico, NWH can reach $700M in DOM, right ? #3 all time in Mexico, so let's try #3 all time in DOM The comparison isn’t all movies, it’s MCU specific and MCU Spider-Man more specialized. But yes, if NWH can pull 1.15B LC in Mexico then there’s no reason it can’t pull the equivalent growth domestically. 1.15B / 611M (FFH)= 88% growth 1.15B / 485M (HC) = 137% growth So I’ll declare that if it hits 1.15B LC in Mexico it’ll make at least $675M DOM. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted November 8, 2021 Share Posted November 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, Carlangonz said: This should be to Spider-Man 3 what Toy Story 3 was to Toy Story 2 lol I went to check the difference between TS2 and TS3 in Mexico and it's so huge, I've never seen that. How do you explain that ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 8, 2021 Share Posted November 8, 2021 10 minutes ago, Carlangonz said: This should be to Spider-Man 3 what Toy Story 3 was to Toy Story 2 That was released in different era right. 1999 to 2010. Did number of Multiplexes explode during that time? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted November 8, 2021 Share Posted November 8, 2021 12 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said: 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted November 8, 2021 Share Posted November 8, 2021 (edited) 23 minutes ago, LPLC said: lol I went to check the difference between TS2 and TS3 in Mexico and it's so huge, I've never seen that. How do you explain that ? What @keysersoze123 said. I say there are basically three stages in modern era. We're probably entering a fourth one now. 1994 - 2000. This one comes along entrance of NATFA and a new ER type. Multiplexes start to show up half this term and attendance is high but grosses are quite tricky. Gives us the legendary run of Titanic and ends with Spider-Man (2000) 2000 - 2009. Infrastructure is changing and adapting to new demands. Stable ER and inflation which gives room to grow but not to really explode. Gives us sizable grosses from HP, LOTR, Shrek and SM sagas, good results from local cinema and allows Hollywood to set ground for future franchises. Ends with Ice Age 3 and Avatar disrupting the market and giving us two 10M+ admissions titles in less than a year. 2010 - 2020-21. ER, inflation and infrastructure finally converge in a nice position and we can enjoy records continuously being broken as well as explosion from smaller titles and local cinema. Gives us first 15M, 20M and 25M admissions titles as well as four $1B lc releases in less than two years. By its final years lc yearly gross increases but admissions and USD start to settle. Not sure if this has ended but looking how 2019 was barely a record in admissions is safe to say we're reaching limits. All we can hope for is an improvement in ER and stabilization of inflation. No Way Home coming in the golden era really speaks on how high Spider-Man 3 could've gone Edited November 8, 2021 by Carlangonz 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 8, 2021 Share Posted November 8, 2021 This is why I wont say Mexico market is mature with new admission records hit. Domestic peak admit records were seen long back and I dont think we will every see movies that big. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted November 9, 2021 Author Share Posted November 9, 2021 On 11/8/2021 at 4:42 PM, Carlangonz said: Didn't realized how big inflation has hit during pandemic times. Average ticket price has gone up 12% since 2020, according to CANACINE. Highest increase in more than a decade. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted November 9, 2021 Author Share Posted November 9, 2021 Busiest weekends in 2021 so far 1. Oct 07-10: 3.4 million, Venom 2 OW 2. Jun 24-27: 3.2 million. F9 OW. 3. Jun 03-06: 2.5 million. Cruella 2nd week + ease of restrictions. 4. Jul 01-04: 2.3 million. F9 2nd week. 5. Oct 14-17: 2.3 million. Venom 2 2nd week. http://canacine.org.mx/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Asistencia-de-Cine-en-México-por-FDS-4-7-noviembre-2021-ok.pdf 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juni78ukr Posted November 10, 2021 Share Posted November 10, 2021 Canacine posted really weird chart 1 to 7 November (Monday to Sunday). Is it possible to contact them and correct it? Or this is the new way of reporting? http://canacine.org.mx/taquilla/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted November 10, 2021 Author Share Posted November 10, 2021 32 minutes ago, juni78ukr said: Canacine posted really weird chart 1 to 7 November (Monday to Sunday). Is it possible to contact them and correct it? Or this is the new way of reporting? http://canacine.org.mx/taquilla/ Don't know yet, we think it's a one-off. No mention of this change in Canacine's social media. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juni78ukr Posted November 11, 2021 Share Posted November 11, 2021 13 hours ago, Purple Minion said: Don't know yet, we think it's a one-off. No mention of this change in Canacine's social media. And no other sources? The Numbers just copied Canacine numbers with ridiculous increases. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jma22 Posted November 11, 2021 Share Posted November 11, 2021 2 hours ago, juni78ukr said: And no other sources? The Numbers just copied Canacine numbers with ridiculous increases. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted November 14, 2021 Author Share Posted November 14, 2021 $10.2M total for Eternals, already passed Black Widow and Shang-Chi. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danhjpn Posted November 14, 2021 Share Posted November 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, Purple Minion said: $10.2M total for Eternals, already passed Black Widow and Shang-Chi. Do you know the 2nd weekend drop? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 About 40% hold for Eternals. It has indeed crossed $200M and surpassed Black Widow and Shang-Chi. Should pass Cruella by next friday.Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone re-release grossed north $500K across its four days of limited release and pulled the biggest PSA of the year.Venom 2 will end *this* close to $500M, up to $480M by sunday. Dune has passed $100M; incredible performance. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted November 15, 2021 Author Share Posted November 15, 2021 TOP MOVIES 2021 (lc) 01 521,000,000 F9 02 481,700,000 Venom: Let There Be Carnage 03 410,000,000 Godzilla vs Kong 04 338,600,000 The Conjuring 3: The Devil Made Me Do It 05 231,800,000 Cruella 06 211,000,000 Eternals 07 196,000,000 Black Widow 08 163,900,000 Space Jam: A New Legacy 09 153,400,000 Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings 10 131,500,000 A Quiet Place Part II Canacine again published weekly figures rather than just weekend 😒 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted November 15, 2021 Author Share Posted November 15, 2021 Weekend figures 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...