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Purple Minion

Mexico Box Office | Garfield scratches great $8.4M 6-day OW; safe $2.5M start for The Fall Guy

By Purple Minion, in International Box Office

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Carlangonz Box Office Gold

Carlangonz

Posted
Posted

The Marvels shows are up and tickets go on sale on Thursday. 

 

No Wednesday previews but rather midnight shows which is the first time since The Rise of Skywalker.

 

It's tracking... meh. Thinking The Flash/Quantumania scenario but will be a hard track with discrepancies over comps.

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Carlangonz Box Office Gold

Carlangonz

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12 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

Killers ended up opening at #4, $800K. May have opened below Wolf in lc.

1. Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour - $43.6M/$138.5M (-53.52%)

2. Radical - $43.2M

3. The Exorcist: Believer - $15.5M/$151,7M (-57.65%)

4. Killers of the Flower Moon - $14.2M

5. The Equilizer 3 - $11.7M/54.7M (-62.5%)

6. Mira - $9.4M

7. Paw Patrol: The Mighty Movie - $8.4M/$113M (-46.15%)

8. Saw X - $4M/$91.2M (-61.9%)

9. The Nun II - $2M/$384.3M (-60%)

10. Guimoon: The Lightless Door - $1.7M

 

Spectacular drop for The Eras Tour considering its nature. It is now the highest grossing concert event ever. It'll keep playing on IMAX until next weekend but maybe exhibitors give it another one on regular screens.

Radical above my expectectations and Killers of the Flower Moon on line with them. We'll see how much WOM benefits each one of them but overall a bit of a letdown for both. Equilizer took a big hit as well after the audience clash with Scorsese's film.

 

All horror titles also taking big drops but Nun II keeps pulling through to show up on the Top 10. Is all set and done to welcome Five Nights at Freddy's.

 

 

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Carlangonz Box Office Gold

Carlangonz

Posted
Posted (edited)
On 10/20/2023 at 4:06 PM, Carlangonz said:

FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY'S (PREVIEWS) - T-5 DAYS

 

Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth on sales Increase on seats
Five Nights at Freddy's 5611 7135 78.64% +9.08% 0

 

Comps at the same point before release

Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-7 Comp in % Comp in lc
Fast X (T-5) 5098 17153 29.72% +28.41% 110,06% $40.72M

 

Comps at T-0

Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Comp in % Comp in lc
The Flash (T-0) 4812 11053 43.54% 116.6% $18.66M
GOTG 3 (T-0) 6643 12606 52.69% 84.46% $20.27M

 

FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY'S (PREVIEWS) - T-2 DAYS

Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-5
Five Nights at Freddy's 6189 7135 86.74% +10.3%

 

Comp at the same point before release.

Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-5 Comp in % Comp in lc
Fast X (T-2) 6500 17153 37.89% +27.5% 95.22% $35.23M

 

Comps at T-0

Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Comp in sales Comp in lc
The Flash (T-0) 4812 11053 43.54% 128.62% $20.58
GOTG 3 (T-0) 6643 12606 52.69% 93.17% $22.36

 

Occupancy over 85% happened before I anticipated. Wondering if 90% be possible, if so that would be insane. Of course growth will now be minimal due to lack of screens and seats.

 

Comps at this point are useless; once they all align will point to o/u $25M previews but its own limitations will bring it down by o/u $10M. Although overperformance on other chains might lift it up a few millions. This is the kind of fan-rush where demand spreads to wherever it can.

 

Out of eight locations: two are over 80% full, one over 85%, three over 90% and one over 95% which is basically only handicap and single seats spread across auditoriums. 

 

On 10/20/2023 at 4:06 PM, Carlangonz said:

WEDNESDAY PREVIEWS + THURSDAY OPENING

 

Day Number of shows Seats sold Total seats Occupancy Growth from T-8
Wednesday (T-5) 34 5611 7135 78.64% +9,08
Thursday (T-6) 54 3690 11876 31.07% +8,34
Total 88 9301 19011 48.92% +8,78

 

Comps at the same point before release

 

Day Number of shows Seats sold Total seats Occupancy Growth fom T-8 Comp in % Comp in lc
Spiderverse (T-6) 84 8692 19284 45.07% +15% 107.01% $47.08M
Barbie (T-6) 106 12557 23117 54.32% +20.09% 74.07% $78.88M

WEDNESDAY PREVIEWS + THIRSDAY OPENING

 

Day Number of shows Seats sold Total seats Occupancy Growth from T-5
Wednesday (T-2) 34 6189 7135 86.74% +10.3
Thursday (T-3) 54 4165 11876 35.07% +12.87
Total 88 10354 19011 54.46% +11.32%

 

Comps at the same point before release

Day Number of shows Seats sold Total seats Occupancy Growth fom T-6 Comp in % Comp in lc
Spiderverse (T-3) 84 9797 19284 50.8% +12,71 105.69% $46.5M
Barbie (T-3) 106 15226 23117 65.86% +21,26 68% $72.42M

 

Pace has managed to improve and even though it lags behind Spiderverse is still great considering that one had slowed down at this point. Even if we remove Wed numbers, Thu growth isn't much bigger than combined average because matinees and sub shows still hurting growth so once again... is up to final allocation to see how much accelerates on its final hours.

 

Overall I'm within the same range but higher end on OD leaning more into $40M and lower end on opening weekend at $170M. Biggest opening for a horror title since 2019's It: Chapter II.

 

Edited by Carlangonz
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Carlangonz Box Office Gold

Carlangonz

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Posted

Final allocation for Freddy coming in and is huge! Pure Thursday count is 30k seats which is close to Spiderverse's 33k seats and combining it with Wednesday it expands to 37k.

 

Main concern now is hurricane Otis which is hitting on the Pacific coast and shutting down one state. Center of the country including major markets such as Mexico City and Puebla will likely face rainy weather all rest of the week.

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Carlangonz Box Office Gold

Carlangonz

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Posted
On 10/23/2023 at 7:29 PM, Carlangonz said:

FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY'S (PREVIEWS) - T-2 DAYS

Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-5
Five Nights at Freddy's 6189 7135 86.74% +10.3%

 

Comp at the same point before release.

Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-5 Comp in % Comp in lc
Fast X (T-2) 6500 17153 37.89% +27.5% 95.22% $35.23M

 

Comps at T-0

Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Comp in sales Comp in lc
The Flash (T-0) 4812 11053 43.54% 128.62% $20.58
GOTG 3 (T-0) 6643 12606 52.69% 93.17% $22.36

 

FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY'S (PREVIEWS) - T-6 HOURS

 

Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-2 Increase on seats
Five Nights at Freddy's 6939 7411 93.63% +12.12% 276

 

T-0.5 HOURS

 

Title Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-6 Hrs
Five Nights at Freddy's 7123 7411 96.11% +2.65%

 

Overall better pace than what it had showed on previous week despite limitations and with a couple extra shows. Occupancy is nuts! Not even on par with most Marvel titles but Endgame/Infinity War levels right away.

 

I'm not including comps but as suspected Guardians and Fast X point towards $25M and Flash to $23M. Cinemex and indie chains unlike Cinepolis did add extra shows thoughout the night so likely that'll help it to push previews number o/u $18M.

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Carlangonz Box Office Gold

Carlangonz

Posted
Posted
On 10/23/2023 at 7:29 PM, Carlangonz said:

WEDNESDAY PREVIEWS + THIRSDAY OPENING

 

Day Number of shows Seats sold Total seats Occupancy Growth from T-5
Wednesday (T-2) 34 6189 7135 86.74% +10.3
Thursday (T-3) 54 4165 11876 35.07% +12.87
Total 88 10354 19011 54.46% +11.32%

 

Comps at the same point before release

Day Number of shows Seats sold Total seats Occupancy Growth fom T-6 Comp in % Comp in lc
Spiderverse (T-3) 84 9797 19284 50.8% +12,71 105.69% $46.5M
Barbie (T-3) 106 15226 23117 65.86% +21,26 68% $72.42M

FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY'S - WEDNESDAY PREVIEWS + THURSDAY OPENING

 

Day Number of shows Seats sold Total seats Occupancy Growth from T-2
Wednesday (T-0.5 Hours) 36 7123 7411 96.11% +2.65%
Thursday (T-15 Hours) 156 5512 30485 18.08% +32.34%
Total 192 12635 37896 33.34% +22.03%

 

Comps at the same point before release

 

Day Number of shows Seats sold Total seats Occupancy Growth fom T-3 Comp in % Comp in lc
Spiderverse (T-16 hours) 175 13954 33397 41.78% +42,43% 90.55% $39.84M
Barbie (T-16 hours) 258 23370 45283 51.61% +53,49% 54.07% $57.58M
Fast X (T-15 Hours) 359 13778 63874 21.57% na 91.7% $68.04M

 

Bad news coming from this side. Absolutely meh final hours despite getting final allocation before comps and pace took it now under Spiderverse.

Hopefully walk-ins get stronger but because school is hard to tell. Rainy days will factor in as well if instead we get storms but I'd rather go conservative to $160M-$170M.

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Carlangonz Box Office Gold

Carlangonz

Posted
Posted (edited)

THE MARVELS (OPENING DAY) - FIRST 12 HOURS (T-14 DAYS)

 

49 sold out of 12,962 available

 

The Flash - 634/10,065

Across the Spiderverse - 2,203/17,820

Insidious: The Red Door (!) - 58/2,036

Well at least we know there's no fan rush. This may be one for the ages.

Edited by Carlangonz
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JustLurking Box Office Gold

JustLurking

Posted
Posted
16 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

THE MARVELS (OPENING DAY) - FIRST 12 HOURS (T-14 DAYS)

 

49 sold out of 12,962 available

 

The Flash - 634/10,065

Across the Spiderverse - 2,203/17,820

Insidious: The Red Door (!) - 58/2,036

Well at least we know there's no fan rush. This may be one for the ages.

its 12h is lower than insidious...?

lol...

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Carlangonz Box Office Gold

Carlangonz

Posted
Posted
22 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

THE MARVELS (OPENING DAY) - FIRST 12 HOURS (T-14 DAYS)

 

49 sold out of 12,962 available

 

The Flash - 634/10,065

Across the Spiderverse - 2,203/17,820

Insidious: The Red Door (!) - 58/2,036

30 hours update

 

125 sold / 13,979 available

 

Across the Spiderverse (36 hours) - 4,876/19,284

Barbie (30 hours) - 2,627/22,440

The Little Mermaid (30 hours) - 449/11,662

 

If sub-$100M happens that would be a first for MCU since 2016's Dr Strange. Of course this excludes Shang-Chi which was released amidst pandemic but still below Eternals.

 

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keysersoze123 Global Phenomenon

keysersoze123

Posted
Posted
11 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

30 hours update

 

125 sold / 13,979 available

 

Across the Spiderverse (36 hours) - 4,876/19,284

Barbie (30 hours) - 2,627/22,440

The Little Mermaid (30 hours) - 449/11,662

 

If sub-$100M happens that would be a first for MCU since 2016's Dr Strange. Of course this excludes Shang-Chi which was released amidst pandemic but still below Eternals.

 

its astonishing that entire world have suddenly decided to give up on MCU or may be specifically this movie. Thes are absolutely shocking numbers. Brazil is also showing something similar. 

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Zakiyyah6 Blockbuster

Zakiyyah6

Posted
Posted
12 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

its astonishing that entire world have suddenly decided to give up on MCU or may be specifically this movie. Thes are absolutely shocking numbers. Brazil is also showing something similar. 

It is too early to say that the world has given up on the MCU entirely. The quality for recent MCU movies has been more inconsistent. That was always going to hurt in the long run. Spider-Man No Way Home, Wakanda Forever and GOTG 3 can't hold the entire universe on its back. It doesn't help that Captain Marvel over performed because Marvel lied about how important it was in marketing. People liked the film at the time but it was always due for a big drop, even in the best of times. This is the worst of times so The Marvels is going to do even worse.

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Sophia Jane Box Office Gold

Sophia Jane

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Posted (edited)

Mexico is Marvel Nation

Is the country which love Marvel more than almost everywhere,on par with Phillippines,Singapore etc.

A shit quality Marvel movie will enter top 5 of year in Mexico,Mexico spoil Marvel like Marvel is the nation’s own childern.

If a Marvel movie performance suck in Mexico,we can certainly said it will performence suck in every markets.

Edited by Sophia Jane
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