MLK Weekend Thread (1/13-16) | 3-day/4-day Estimates: Avatar 32.4M/40.6M, M3GAN 18.26M/21.72M, Puss 14.39M/19.04M, Otto 12.8M/15.33M, Plane 10M/12.03M, House Party 4M/4.73M

[kayumanggi]

It's run in China has been extended but with very few shows per day.

[TwoMisfits]

6 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said:

 

where did the "500 ww" chants come from?

does it really have enough to get past 400?

 

If the US continues to hold up, I think PiB2 should pass $400M - expectations are that it could still have a minimum of $60M+ DOM here, and it still has Japan to open plus the legs from the other INT areas (where it did open in many places just last weekend)...

 

I don't know about the realism of $500M...but that's b/c I haven't followed the INT part of the legs...but I can see $400M if it continues to hold so well DOM...

 

Edit to Add: Do note I said "if it continues to hold so well" - obviously, it is gonna take some great legs to get there...so far, it's had better than great legs in January, so possible seems doable...

Edited January 15, 2023 by TwoMisfits

[kayumanggi]

 

[Poseidon]

6 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

I'm happy for PIB: THE LAST WISH.

Most important:

 

Dreamworks is not quite dead yet. Maybe this gets them motivated to actually give a shit about their movies again,

 

[Krissykins]

2 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

Incredible! $90.7m in 10 days. On a budget of $12m. 
 

2023 already has its Smile. 

[Cooper Legion]

7 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said:

 

where did the "500 ww" chants come from?

does it really have enough to get past 400?

400 should be no problem. I am thinking 440ish.

[kayumanggi]

 

[Alex SciChannel]

Puss in Boots TLW over 400M worldwide?

[kayumanggi]

estimates (3day / 4day)

 

$31.12M / $38.50M / AVATAR: TWOW

$17.92M / $21.22M / M3GAN

$13.40M / $17.32M / PUSS IN BOOTS: TLW

$12.65M / $15.00M / A MAN CALLED OTTO

$10.00M / $11.60M / PLANE

$03.90M / $04.52M / HOUSE PARTY

$02.18M / $02.60M / BLACK PANTHER: WF

$01.45M / $01.80M / THE WHALE

$01.18M / $01.43M / WHITNEY HOUSTON: IWDWS

 

[kayumanggi]

 

[kayumanggi]

 

[filmlover]

I know folks don't want to get their hopes up too much but 2023 starting off with back-to-back strong weekends really seems like a terrific sign for the rest of the year IMO, especially when the dry spell that is the remainder of January won't last long cause starting in February to the end of the summer we're looking to see consistently solid grosses for almost every weekend with little downtime.

[MikeQ]

With the 4-day weekend estimate, Avatar jumps up to the top 5 multipliers for $70M+ Friday openers. Let's see if it has the late legs to hit a 5+ multiplier.

 

Best Multipliers Ever for $70+ Million Opening Films (Friday Openers):

1. Avatar (2009) — 77.0 million (9.73)
2. Top Gun: Maverick (2022) — 126.7 million (5.67)
3. Finding Nemo (2003) — 70.3 million (4.84)
4. Zootopia (2016) — 75.1 million (4.55)
5. Avatar: The Way of Water (2022) — 134.1 million (4.25)^
6. Wonder Woman (2017) — 103.3 million (4.00)
7. Inside Out (2015) — 90.4 million (3.94)
8. American Sniper (2015) — 89.3 million (3.92)
9. Aladdin (2019) — 91.5 million (3.89)
10. Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) — 248.0 million (3.78)
11. Toy Story 3 (2010) — 110.3 million (3.76)
12. The Incredibles (2004) — 70.5 million (3.71)
13. Despicable Me 3 (2017) — 72.4 million (3.65)
14. Finding Dory (2016) — 135.1 million (3.60)
15. Toy Story 4 (2019) — 120.9 million (3.59)
16. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (2012) — 84.6 million (3.58)
17. The Secret Life of Pets (2016) — 104.4 million (3.53)
18. The Jungle Book (2016) — 103.3 million (3.53)
19. Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 94.3 million (3.53)
20. Harry Potter and the Sorceror’s Stone (2001) — 90.3 million (3.52)

^ Run not yet complete

 

Peace,

Mike

[kayumanggi]

 

[dignam]

Holy shit top 3 5th best weekends

 

1. Avatar

2. Avatar 2

3. Titanic

 

[efialtes76]

15 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

It's run in China has been extended but with very few shows per day.

$211.8M?

1464mio yuan are $218M+.

[kayumanggi]

1 minute ago, efialtes76 said:

$211.8M?

1464mio yuan are $218M+.

 

We'll get a clearer picture on Monday. Apparently, even S. Korea is underestimated.

[kayumanggi]

 

[todos]

The Disney lowballing both DOM & International feels at times incompetent or misleading & deliberate. 
Sunday & Monday estimates are very fishy. 

We have official China, Korea & India numbers that are nothing like what they are reporting.  
 

Edited January 15, 2023 by todos

[interiorgatordecorator]

my dad saw top gun 2 because he heard it was making a lot of money, if avatar 2 crosses 2 billion on saturday can we expect a better than usual sunday drop?

Edited January 15, 2023 by interiorgatordecorator