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THE HUNGER GAMES: THE BALLAD OF SONGBIRDS AND SNAKES | 170.8M overseas | 338.1M worldwide

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China

 

- T-0 Pre-sales ¥1.611.600 at 54,923 Shows.

- Just above "Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny" (¥1,247,600), and below "Elemental" (¥1,739,500) &"Shazam! Fury of the Gods" (¥1,771,300).

 

Spoiler

Forecast by @Maoyan

 

¥6.755M / Friday

¥8.107M / Saturday

¥5.269M / Sunday

 

¥28.109M / $3.88M Final

 

2023 Hollywood Titles OD Pre-sales

 

R. Title OD PS FD Addition PSM OD
1. Meg 2: The Trench ¥46,038,900 ¥17,179,700 3.17 ¥145,920,900
2. Fast X ¥27,716,800 ¥13,190,900 3.75 ¥104,017,100
3. Transformer: Rise Of Beast ¥19,782,900 ¥9,495,200 3.83 ¥75,713,100
4. Oppenheimer ¥17,012,900 ¥7,980,500 2.10 ¥35,783,700
5. Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One ¥14,875,800 ¥6,976,700 3.42 ¥50,911,700
6. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 ¥12,725,700 ¥7,182,500 3.27 ¥41,593,300
7. The Super Mario Bros. Movie ¥12,010,000 ¥7,729,800 2.70 ¥32,397,400
8. Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania ¥10,742,500 ¥5,508,300 3.69 ¥39,618,900
9. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse ¥10,705,500 ¥5,273,000 2.57 ¥27,523,000
10. The Flash ¥7,058,500 ¥3,587,100 3.87 ¥27,290,500
11. The Marvels ¥6,902,400 ¥3,121,900 3.95 ¥27,272,000
12. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever ¥6,616,500 ¥3,996,500 3.03 ¥20,031,000
13. The Expendables 4 ¥5,213,200 ¥2,152,400 4.75 ¥24,773,600
14. Barbie ¥3,802,500 ¥2,570,100 2.20 ¥8,375,300
15. PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie ¥3,754,700 ¥2,542,600 2.98 ¥11,199,300
16. Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves ¥2,867,400 ¥1,178,600 3.21 ¥9,200,300
17. Shazam! Fury of the Gods ¥1,771,300 ¥792,400 5.16 ¥9,143,900
18. Elemental ¥1,739,500 ¥1,158,300 4.06 ¥7,065,700
19. The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds ¥1,611,600 ¥867,100 - -
20. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny ¥1,247,600 ¥796,800 4.62 ¥5,768,300
21. A Haunting in Venice ¥971,000 ¥605,200 4.17 ¥4,053,000
22. The Little Mermaid ¥958,400 ¥610,000 3.82 ¥3,663,000
23. Gran Turismo: Based on True Story ¥883,700 ¥235,600 4.17 ¥2,411,000
24. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem ¥529,100 ¥358,500 3.28 ¥1,737,900
25. M3GAN ¥491,300 ¥315,100 6.03 ¥2,964,200
26. 65 Movie ¥206,600 ¥94,000 5.16 ¥1,066,700
27. A Man Called Otto ¥77,600 ¥41,300 3.27 ¥253,500
28. Beast ¥17,600 ¥11,000 8.77 ¥154,300
29. The Woman King ¥8,700 ¥7,200 3.03 ¥26,400
30. Wish - - - -
31. Wonka - - - -
32. Migration - - - -
33. Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom - - - -
34. Napoleon - - - -
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The top overseas market openings include the UK with a No. 1 of $6.7M, Germany also at No. 1 with $4.8M, China at a No. 3 of $4.5M, France with $4.1M at No. 1 and Mexico also at No. 1 with $3.7M. In general, we understand that Latin America saw some overperformance.

 

 

In China, there is no Maoyan audience score yet, though Douban critics have it at 7.1, on par with the first film and not the lowest of the franchise. Maoyan is currently predicting a final of $7.1M which would, however, rep the lowest of the Hunger Games titles released there. We weren’t expecting great things out of China – the previous years were a different time for Hollywood there and local tastes have turned greatly inward in more recent times. 

 

In IMAX, the global bow was $7.3M, including $3.2M from 74 overseas markets ($700K of which came from China to rep 15% of the nationwide total).

 

As Anthony has noted, Songbirds & Snakes sits at a $100M-plus production cost, 65% of which is funded by foreign sales, with another $20M in German tax credits.

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1 hour ago, Unfitclock said:

Um this movie only has around a 100 million budget and has holidays coming up please explain to me why people think this movie is going to lose money 

Well... I think the break-even point for this movie is around 300m, so it probably won't hit 300m unless it has decent legs. 

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Liongates movies are heavily market pre-sold, their concept of WW bo break-even point could be quite fuzzy or at least for who ?

 

For Liongates that could be a 40m movie with Uk-Domestic and couple of others market and one co-financed.

 

8 minutes ago, Blue35 said:

Why would break even be 300m rather than 250m?

 

 

Why 250m for something domestic heavy ?

Edited by Barnack
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