filmlover Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 (edited) Surprised there didn't seem to be a thread for this beyond general discussion threads. Last week the head of AMC said he predicted up to 30 movies would pass $100M this year (Adam Aron Couldn’t Stop Talking About Popcorn on AMC Q4 Earnings Call | IndieWire) but will he be right? Would be fun to guess how many movies will end up hitting the mark in this continued recovery year. Ant-Man already gives us 1 and Creed will be passing the mark shortly to give us 2. M3GAN won't get there unfortunately unless the studio pulls double feature shenanigans with it over the next few months. Edited March 6, 2023 by filmlover Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonwo Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 30 seems like a realistic and achievable total, Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 I’m also thinking 30 too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grebacio Posted March 6, 2023 Share Posted March 6, 2023 (edited) Locked 1. Ant man 2. Creed 3. John Wick 4. Mario 5. Guardians 6. Fast X 7. Little Mermaid 8. Spiderverse 9.Transformers 10. The Flash 11. M:I Dead Reckoning 12. Indy 5 13. Dune 14. The Marvels 15. Aquaman Spoiler Strong contenders (I think the ones in bold are gonna do it) 16. Scream VI 17. Shazam 18. Dungeons and Dragons 19. The Boogeyman 20. Elemental 21. Openheimer 22. Barbie 23. Haunted Mansion 24. The Meg 2 25. Ninja Turtles 26. Blue Beetle 27. Equalizer 3 28.The Nun 2 29. Kraven 30. Trolls 3 31. Hunger Games 32. Wish 33. Wonka 34. Ducks RN, I predict 28, but there could be a few surprises, so 30 is possible. Edited March 6, 2023 by Grebacio Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 (edited) I'm thinking among titles coming out for the rest of the year by month: March: John Wick will do it and Scream is a strong contender depending on how big it opens and what its legs are like. Shazam! waiting until closer to release to get an idea. Dungeons & Dragons, nope. 1-3. April: 1. Super Mario only. May: the big 3 (Guardians, Fast, Little Mermaid), obviously June: easily 5 (Spider-Man, Transformers, The Flash, Elemental, Indiana Jones). Possibly 6 if No Hard Feelings is a breakout. July: Mission: Impossible is locked; not locked yet but very strong bets: Barbie, Oppenheimer, Haunted Mansion. 4. August: Waiting for more movies from this month to start their marketing campaigns, but maybe Blue Beetle? Will make that 1 for now. September: No idea. Both previous Equalizers barely hit $100M and the last one was five years ago, so might finish just shy of the mark this time. 0 for now. October: Unlikely to be the final schedule, but if Dune or something else from November moves here that's easily 1. Waiting to see if Kraven is another Morbius. Doubt that Exorcist sequel does it, especially if it ends up of similar quality to Halloween Kills/Ends. Waiting to see actual footage from Gareth Edwards' True Love to have an idea of what to expect. 0 for now. November: Unlikely to be final but for now based on the movies there I'll say 5 (Dune, The Marvels, Hunger Games, Trolls, Wish). December: For now, 3 (Wonka, Ducks, Aquaman). Doubt The Color Purple makes it given recent performances of Broadway adaptations. Ghostbusters is likely not making this year with no casting/filming news. So just shy of 30, depending on a bunch of unknowns and potential surprises. Edited March 6, 2023 by filmlover Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Train Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 We're at 15 so far, maybe 30 is possible Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flip Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 I think 13 for the rest of the year, with The Creator and FNAF being touch and go Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LegionWrex Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 (edited) So far we have: Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Creed III Elemental Fast X The Flash Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny John Wick: Chapter 4 The Little Mermaid Scream VI Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse The Super Mario Bros Movie Transformers: Rise of the Beasts We still have several more to go, but I think we have some contenders: Rest of July: Mission: Impossible, Barbie, and Oppenheimer are locks. Haunted Mansion is a maybe but I'm leaning towards yes. August: Nothing set in stone. I think Mutant Mayhem has the biggest chance to be a breakout hit, and the first Meg made like $150M domestic so Meg 2 could absolutely do it. Blue Beetle will only do it if it gets really great reviews. September: The Equalizer 3 is a possibility but I have no idea how that's going to play post-pandemic. Part of me is thinking The Creator could do it (and it's budget is relatively low for a film like this) but sci-fi is not an easy bet. October: If Kraven plays like Venom, yes. If Kraven plays like Morbius, hell no. Going go out on a limb as well and already say Five Nights at Freddy's will do it. Exorcist is 50/50. November: Dune: Part Two, The Marvels, The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes, and Trolls Band Together are probably all happening. My take on Wish is that it will either be a Strange World level disaster or make as much as something like Moana did. If it's the latter it will easily cross it. December: Wonka and Aquaman will do it. Thinking Migration will as well. Maybe Ghostbusters if that does hit this year. Edited July 9, 2023 by LegionWrex Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Train Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 Could Nun II do it? The first one did Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted July 9, 2023 Author Share Posted July 9, 2023 3 hours ago, Bob Train said: Could Nun II do it? The first one did Maybe since it'll be the first really high-profile horror movie since Insidious (not counting Haunted Mansion), though between weak reception to the first + 5 year gap it would be lucky to just barely hit it in all likelihood. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pinacolada Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 I'm a broken record but Dungeons and Dragons not being able to cross $100m DOM after a $38m OW sucks so many Donkey Dicks 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Train Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 MI7 Barbie Oppenheimer will do it. I think Meg 2 and TMNT do it. Equalizer 3 can do it and Nun 2 can do it but neither are locks. I'm confident in FNAF doing it, Haunted Mansion is 50/50 IMO. Marvel Dune 2 Wish Aquaman 2 are locks, Trolls Migration Wonka Hunger Games are more likely than not. Ghostbusters will do it if released in 2023. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Immortal Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 At this rate Sound of Freedom also has an outside chance Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grebacio Posted July 12, 2023 Share Posted July 12, 2023 On 3/6/2023 at 12:00 PM, Grebacio said: Locked 1. Ant man 2. Creed 3. John Wick 4. Mario 5. Guardians 6. Fast X 7. Little Mermaid 8. Spiderverse 9.Transformers 10. The Flash 11. M:I Dead Reckoning 12. Indy 5 13. Dune 14. The Marvels 15. Aquaman Reveal hidden contents Strong contenders (I think the ones in bold are gonna do it) 16. Scream VI 17. Shazam 18. Dungeons and Dragons 19. The Boogeyman 20. Elemental 21. Openheimer 22. Barbie 23. Haunted Mansion 24. The Meg 2 25. Ninja Turtles 26. Blue Beetle 27. Equalizer 3 28.The Nun 2 29. Kraven 30. Trolls 3 31. Hunger Games 32. Wish 33. Wonka 34. Ducks RN, I predict 28, but there could be a few surprises, so 30 is possible. I had Flash as locked and it almost failed 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonytr87 Posted July 12, 2023 Share Posted July 12, 2023 Thinking 28 at the moment, but if Sound of Freedom keeps legging we could see 29. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Train Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 Sound of Freedom has done it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 (edited) Will be 19 by the end of this weekend. I don't see any film making 100M until the Exorcist reboot at halloween. After that, there's Dune 2, Marvels, Hunger Games, Trolls 3, Wonka and Aquaman, which would make 26, minus 1-2 of those which get moved to next year. I think 25 tops. Glad we are getting barbenheimer weekend because the box office looks dire for the remainder of 2023. Edited July 21, 2023 by Avatree Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Train Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 MI7 Barbie Oppenheimer Haunted Mansion TMNT Meg 2 Equalizer 3 Nun 2 (underestimate James Wan at your own peril) FNAF Dune 2 (if not delayed) Marvels Hunger Games Wish Wonka Aquaman Ghostbusters (if not delayed) Migration The Color Purple Comes out to 33, but I will subtract 2 due to possible delays so I'll say 31. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted July 26, 2023 Share Posted July 26, 2023 What about Killers of the Flower Moon? It could surprise and reach 100M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted July 26, 2023 Author Share Posted July 26, 2023 14 minutes ago, stripe said: What about Killers of the Flower Moon? It could surprise and reach 100M Possibly. Marty + Leo + De Niro is one heck of a combo (even if the latter two don't promote it because of the strike) and Oppenheimer has proven there is an audience for adult-targeted fare at the theater in 2023 still. All depends on how big of a marketing push it's given since it's an Apple release (as is Napoleon) receiving theatrical runs to appease their filmmakers. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...