cannastop Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 If Elemental shows boffo legs, and somehow makes say… $180 in the domestic market? Will it be more likely to get a nomination? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LegionWrex Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 45 minutes ago, cannastop said: If Elemental shows boffo legs, and somehow makes say… $180 in the domestic market? Will it be more likely to get a nomination? 100%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 I'm thinking Ninja Turtles has gone ahead of Elemental in the pecking order, it has much better reviews and probably gonna have a box office take as good if not better 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 2 hours ago, AniNate said: I'm thinking Ninja Turtles has gone ahead of Elemental in the pecking order, it has much better reviews and probably gonna have a box office take as good if not better then again Elemental is Pixar. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted July 30, 2023 Share Posted July 30, 2023 I wonder how Hayao Miyazaki's movie will do. If it can get good reviews at Toronto... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grebacio Posted July 31, 2023 Share Posted July 31, 2023 This is one of the most competitive years in the category and it's not even August yet 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted July 31, 2023 Share Posted July 31, 2023 9 hours ago, Grebacio said: This is one of the most competitive years in the category and it's not even August yet Not sure what you mean... there's still a frontrunner. Spider-Verse 2. Last year I guess Turning Red was a frontrunner but we still knew Del Toro's Pinocchio was coming up. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morieris Posted July 31, 2023 Share Posted July 31, 2023 Yeah to me this category is looking both pretty obvious and kind of filler-y. You have those getting in based off of brand or creator goodwill (provided Wish isn't pushed back), then you have a filler because they look nice but not stylized and certainly not thoughtful (Mario, Migration) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted July 31, 2023 Share Posted July 31, 2023 29 minutes ago, Morieris said: Migration people thought this movie could have been a contender because the director was an Oscar nominee before. How hopeful they were. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted July 31, 2023 Share Posted July 31, 2023 (edited) I mean, I'm still not ruling out the possibility, does have the late release date going for it. I fully expected Illumination to focus on slapstick and one liners in marketing Edited July 31, 2023 by AniNate Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Train Posted September 9, 2023 Share Posted September 9, 2023 (edited) Brave winning over Wreck it Ralph was my Joker moment. Edited September 9, 2023 by Bob Train 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morieris Posted September 9, 2023 Share Posted September 9, 2023 35 minutes ago, Bob Train said: Brave winning over Wreck it Ralph was my Joker moment. Me, but with ParaNorman. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MOVIEGUY Posted September 9, 2023 Share Posted September 9, 2023 47 minutes ago, Bob Train said: Brave winning over Wreck it Ralph was my Joker moment. Lego Movie getting shut out completely was worse Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingonaName Posted September 9, 2023 Share Posted September 9, 2023 Babylon getting snubbed across the board is the worst thing to ever happen to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 Dunno which way it will go. Either Spider-Verse 2 or The Boy and the Heron. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Train Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 13 hours ago, cannastop said: Dunno which way it will go. Either Spider-Verse 2 or The Boy and the Heron. Wish is more likely than either of them imo. Spider-Verse 2 caught bad press a few months ago, which killed its chances, particularly in the background of the historic dual strikes. Heron is reportedly not much of a crowdpleaser and one of Miyazaki's less digestible works. And it will not win the vote of people who just ask their kids what they liked the most, but surely will get nominated. Wish is the generic crowd-pleasing Disney movie. Disney has won 12/15 of the most recent best-animated feature, as the academy is highly biased towards them. This could be a Frozen/TWR redux. It's not like the academy really cares about this category, given it was partially created as an excuse to not nominate animations for other categories. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 40 minutes ago, Bob Train said: Wish is more likely than either of them imo. Nah. Would have to be huge culturally for it to happen. But hey I do have a $300m dom club for Wish. Guess I'm hedging my bets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 Wish does not look like a BA movie. Spiderverse will still win. It has universal acclaim as a movie despite controversies and is also biggest hit among all animated movies(there is no chance of any other movie coming close). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valencia Posted October 12, 2023 Share Posted October 12, 2023 The only way Wish has a chance of winning is if it does big $1B box office. That with Disney logo could be enough. Heron is not going to win. Even arsty anime film festival fans find it disjointed, inaccessible, and difficult to understand. Academy will never go for it, if they even watch it. Its rated PG-13 too, and this won't be any kids favorite movie. Spider-Man is Spider-Man. Its critically acclaimed, and domestic loves it. Considering this is a category they don't care about anyway, where they don't even watch the movies, I honestly can't see them passing on easy popularity points. Unless Wish breaks out they will probably vote for Spider-Man cause its Spider-Man. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted October 12, 2023 Share Posted October 12, 2023 (edited) I'm not sure AMPAS remembers the Spiderverse controversy that much, but I don't think they would go for it over Miyazaki. He has become a highly regarded name in western cinephile circles, reviews are stellar and I don't think they're that concerned about it being "kid-friendly" and "mainstream". Spiderverse also is very much a part 1 narrative, so I see a LOTR scenario where voters don't feel that impassioned about it until the concluding movie. Edited October 12, 2023 by AniNate 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...