redfirebird2008 Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 Irrelevant to my point, but thanks for playing, red. You're welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 it's not Avengers that will suffer, it is TDKR..imo.Indeed. TDK was a domestic overperformer. Although TDKR could ride TDK's good will to an OW record, a drop in the final domestic total is inevitable. WW has a good chance to increase though. Most foreign countries eat superhero sequels up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 Everyone saving money for The Avengers? *wishful thinking*I certainly am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 Indeed. TDK was a domestic overperformer. Although TDKR could ride TDK's good will to an OW record, a drop in the final domestic total is inevitable. WW has a good chance to increase though. Most foreign countries eat superhero sequels up.I don't think it will increase WW. But the lack of China for TDK last time hurt it a lot. This time around it will have China, which will be a nice boost for some of the other markets where it will drop (like the UK and Australia). I expect $800-900m worldwide, which is damn good. If this is the "letdown" for a sequel to a big Batman movie, I think WB will be pretty happy with that result compared to the box office of Batman Returns. Heck, Batman Begins only made $370m. They've got to be very happy with where the franchise is sitting compared to where it was, which was dead in the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 I don't think it will increase WW. But the lack of China for TDK last time hurt it a lot. This time around it will have China, which will be a nice boost for some of the other markets where it will drop (like the UK and Australia). I expect $800-900m worldwide, which is damn good. If this is the "letdown" for a sequel to a big Batman movie, I think WB will be pretty happy with that result compared to the box office of Batman Returns. Heck, Batman Begins only made $370m. They've got to be very happy with where the franchise is sitting compared to where it was, which was dead in the water.I am hoping TASM can do the same for the Spider-Man franchise, but there's still the uncharted waters Sony is in here. Rebooting after SM3 is tantamount to the Batman franchise rebooting after Batman Forever in 2000 and never making B&R(Yes, I have fantasized about this). One has to wonder if Sony would have been better off releasing the complete disaster that was to be SM4. Sure, they would have had to wait longer between SM4 and TASM, but the public would have been more open to the reboot idea. Especially if the reboot's quality is along the lines of BB then the sequel the same quality as TDK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 Easter was not this past weekend.Maybe there's just a ton of movie-going Greek Orthodox peeps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 I think this situation mirrors 2010 in some ways. We had a stellar first quater, a huge hit in March, and then the box office kind of went downhill. Every major release in April so far underperformed.Could the Avengers suffer the same fate as Iron Man 2?A BIG NO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JarJarBinks Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 Some of the actuals are in: http://www.boxoffice.com/statistics/bo_numbers/daily/2012-04-18$1,565,935 for Hunger Games$1,306,947 for Cabin in the Woods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTX Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 The Hunger Games $1,565,935 12% Titanic 3D $893,187 12% Tuesday increases seem pretty normal with actuals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted April 18, 2012 Author Share Posted April 18, 2012 Aren't you predicting $450m for it? How is that suffering? 450 is gerat for TDKR, I'm just saying that will be a drop, not an increase like some are maintaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted April 18, 2012 Author Share Posted April 18, 2012 The Hunger Games $1,565,935 12% Titanic 3D $893,187 12% Tuesday increases seem pretty normal with actuals.I was thinking more along the lines of 20%:1 The Hunger Games $1,565,935 12% 3,916 -221 $400 $339,629,253 4 Lionsgate 2 The Cabin in the Woods $1,306,947 10% 2,811 -- $465 $17,243,529 1 Lionsgate 3 American Reunion $1,008,945 21% 3,203 11 $315 $41,554,365 2 Universal 4 The Three Stooges $942,867 17% 3,477 -- $271 $18,755,685 1 Fox 5 Titanic 3D $893,187 12% 2,697 23 $331 $46,417,940 2 Paramount 6 Lockout $512,314 12% 2,308 -- $222 $7,202,608 1 Open Road 7 Mirror Mirror $502,713 25% 3,206 -412 $157 $50,221,071 3 Relativity Media 8 Dr. Seuss' The Lorax $190,080 6% 2,112 -891 $90 $204,883,515 7 Universal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatebox Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 (edited) People are crazy to expect TDKR to increase domestically (has anyone around here actually rpedicted as much though?) but I don't think it's unreasonable to think it has a good chance to beat it WW. 4 years is a long time in the international markets, it seems. Edited April 18, 2012 by Hatebox Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 People are crazy to expect TDKR to increase domestically (has anyone around here actually rpedicted as much though?) but I don't think it's unreasonable to think it has a good chance to beat it WW. 4 years is a long time in the international markets, it seems.I think BJ is predicting $600m for it. But didn't he leave the board? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 Pretty good jump for AR. Rest are average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 I think BJ is predicting $600m for it. But didn't he leave the board?Dunno.... but he had made a claim that if THG didn't hit 3x multiplier, he would leave the board..... so maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 Another lame day. Wednesday is going to be even worse. Uh, Avengers needs to come out ASAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vc2002 Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 (edited) People are crazy to expect TDKR to increase domestically (has anyone around here actually rpedicted as much though?) but I don't think it's unreasonable to think it has a good chance to beat it WW. 4 years is a long time in the international markets, it seems.I think it's pretty much locked to beat TDK WW. No matter how much it drops DOM, it will make up even more OS. I'm thinking sth like 450-480m DOM and 600-650m OS. Edited April 19, 2012 by vc2002 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
