Weekend Thread | July 7-9 | Weekend Estimates on Page 32

[WorkingonaName]

Indy will be out of cinemas in like 2 weeks time. 

[ZattMurdock]

1 minute ago, WorkingonaName said:

Indy will be out of cinemas in like 2 weeks time. 

It’s clearly not The Flash. It’s not falling off a cliff. It will be fine, and I’m still not sure how the rest of the films will put the box office on fire either. 

[eeetooki]

7 minutes ago, WorkingonaName said:

Indy will be out of cinemas in like 2 weeks time. 

 

I saw on Chinese social media, apparently somebody who lives in a small city are already having trouble finding showtimes second week in.

[ListenHunnyUrOver]

1 hour ago, ZattMurdock said:

It’s clearly not The Flash. It’s not falling off a cliff. It will be fine, and I’m still not sure how the rest of the films will put the box office on fire either. 

Indy is most likely going to be body slammed by MI7. Oppenheimer will then finish him off. 

[ZattMurdock]

Just now, ListenHunnyUrOver said:

Indy is most likely going to be body slammed by MI7. Oppenheimer will then finish him off. 

[Issac Newton]

Japan

 

Tom Cruise join with Anya (SPY X FAMILY) for Strongest SPY Collaboration!

 

 

This collaboration is said to be the most powerful collaboration since 2019 "Avengers: Endgame" X "Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire" 

 

Spoiler

Spoiler

 

SPY X Family is next gen Demon Slayer whose popularity ranked higher than Jujutsu Kaisen! It's upcoming film "SPY X FAMILY: CODE: WHITE" is expected to be the next $200M in Japan!

 

Spoiler

 

[Issac Newton]

3 hours ago, LegionWrex said:

It's probably not happening but imagine how insane it would be if Miyazaki got a Best Director nomination. Would be the first animated film to do so and this would likely be the final chance for that to happen.

Revisiting Memories -

 

[Bob Train]

Indy’s PTA has already fallen behind Sound of Freedom and isn’t even close to Insidious, it’s gonna lose 1000+ or so theaters this coming Friday. The drop won’t be pretty.

[baumer]

20 minutes ago, Bob Train said:

Indy’s PTA has already fallen behind Sound of Freedom and isn’t even close to Insidious, it’s gonna lose 1000+ or so theaters this coming Friday. The drop won’t be pretty.

 

It's not going to lose that many theaters. What film or films are going to take Andy spot? Mission Impossible is going to open and over 4,000 theater and other than that there's nothing new coming out. Indy might lose 4 or 500 theaters, I doubt it's going to be a thousand.

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

People are acting like MI7 is gonna open to Endgame's number of showings lol

[Joyous Legion]

Indy will lose all it’s screens to Psycho-Pass 😤

[Issac Newton]

Can't say anything about North America, but Tom Cruise is the face of Hollywood in Asia. Franchise like Transformers, Fast X are declining with fast pace and clearly Asia has moved out of Marvel Domination over Local Content. 

 

Regional Preference might be different like Horror clicks more in Indonesia, Live action in Philippines or let's say anime in East Asia but Post-CoVid-19 Asia is lot different from what it was originally ~

[wildphantom]

How Indy would fare was questionable at best. So long after it already had its nostalgic comeback, there were always question marks - and it’ll still trounce Flash. 
 

Flash on the other hand should have been a slam dunk $700 million plus WW winner. It’s a genuinely shocking performance, where as Indy’s isn’t miles off what some might have predicted. 

[Hildagarde25]

14 hours ago, Krissykins said:

A queen. 
 

If anyone wants to list the must-watch Bond films, I’ll add them to my watchlist. 

 

Casino Royale (2006)

On Her Majesty's Secret Service 

The Living Daylights 

Licence to Kill 

Live and Let Die

Skyfall 

Goldfinger

Goldeneye

Spectre

The World is Not Enough (actually don't think this is good, but I have a weird soft spot for it, lol)

[Incarnadine]

1 hour ago, baumer said:

 

It's not going to lose that many theaters. What film or films are going to take Andy spot? Mission Impossible is going to open and over 4,000 theater and other than that there's nothing new coming out. Indy might lose 4 or 500 theaters, I doubt it's going to be a thousand.

500 or so sounds about right for DoD. The Flash, on the other hand, still has 1700 screens and virtually 0 revenue coming in on them so I wouldn't be surprised to see it losing 1500+ of its remaining screens.

[baumer]

4 minutes ago, Incarnadine said:

500 or so sounds about right for DoD. The Flash, on the other hand, still has 1700 screens and virtually 0 revenue coming in on them so I wouldn't be surprised to see it losing 1500+ of its remaining screens.

Exactly they are going to find all the weaker films and taking away screens from them. Indy is not doing well but it's still going to be doing better than probably every film out there with the exception of maybe sound of freedom, in terms of holdovers.

[keysersoze123]

From Mark@Insidekino

 

Sunday looking like $8.5m for INDY, $7.75m for INSIDIOUS and $6.8m for FREEDOM (without magic money)

 

FYI he has comscore access as well. 

[Joyous Legion]

6 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

From Mark@Insidekino

 

 

 

FYI he has comscore access as well. 

YUGE for Freedom

[Incarnadine]

9 minutes ago, baumer said:

Exactly they are going to find all the weaker films and taking away screens from them. Indy is not doing well but it's still going to be doing better than probably every film out there with the exception of maybe sound of freedom, in terms of holdovers.

Yup. The biggest effect for DoD, won't be screen loss, but rather screen shuffling where it gets moved from the biggest auditoriums to smaller ones.

That should have very little effect on boxoffice though, filling 60-70% of seats in a smaller auditorium is the same as 30-40% of a bigger one.

 

Edited July 10, 2023 by Incarnadine

[Joyous Legion]

FWIW:

Movie	Shows	Change	Gross	PSA
Indiana Jones 5	68,347	-31.15%	$27,000,000	$395
Insidious 6	63,877		$33,000,000	$517
Joy Ride	46,097		$5,850,000	$127
Elemental	36,597	-14.92%	$9,600,000	$262
Ruby Gillman	31,974	-28.67%	$2,800,000	$88
Sound of Freedom	31,280		$19,000,000	$607
Spider-Verse 2	30,229	-20.12%	$8,000,000	$265
No Hard Feelings	27,981	-25.94%	$5,250,000	$188
Transformers 6	23,616	-21.56%	$5,000,000	$212
The Little Mermaid	17,956	-27.01%	$3,500,000	$195
The Flash	12,416	-56.39%	$2,215,000	$178
Asteroid City	12,045	-51.42%	$2,240,000	$186
Past Lives	5,026	-55.09%	$1,000,000	$199
Guardians Vol. 3	4,723	-45.08%	$1,000,000	$212

 

 

Showcounts sourced from @katnisscinnaplex, an incomplete but substantial coverage.

 

Ruby will get pasted, Joy Ride may have some 2 wk contract protection but it’s gone on barbieheimer wknd, and then there is a lot of 200ish stuff which can give up screens to provide some protection for Elemental/SV2/Indy. SOF may expand? The Sunday from marks suggests a great 2nd weekend imo retaining 2nd place PSA after MI and maybe even 2nd place gross if things get funky.